Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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It's full of angry white people left behind by globalisation, for whom a populist protectionist message probably resonates well.

Ah.. I thought it was a more rural farming state, not a populace as affected by manufacturing jobs disappearing, but if OK has been hit hard economically I could see that.
 
Why does it make sense that Sanders would win OK? It's not exactly what I would consider a progressive state, though I'll admit I'm not familiar with local politics there. I mean, I'm pretty surprised that he's ahead there.

Uh, to be honest, mainly because 538 said that it was a strong state for him. The polls have given him a reasonable chance there, and although the state is majority minority, it has almost no African-American voters.
 
I think the Dem race is going into April now. Rubio's dropping out if he can't win Florida or Minnesota.

I think that's still a bit optimistic. As I said earlier tonight:

1 state for Bernie, he's done tonight.

2 or 3, he's probably done on the 15th.

4 or 5, the race is definitely going into April at least.
 
Clinton pulling away with the populous MA counties.

She's winning it.

So at best Bernie could win 4 states tonight: VT, OK, MN and CO. Which would mean his campaign is on life support but sustainable, and could be revived by some of the upcoming whiter states.

Just depends if the young college kids turn up to caucus or not.

Voting is one thing, but caucusing is totally different. That's going to be a tall tree to climb.

not impossible, but it's a lot harder to get people to caucus vs vote.
 
The percent difference between Kasich and Trump is like 3% right now in Vermont. I wonder if Kasich can win that state still.

It doesnt mean anything considering the delegate count, but it would be great salt for Rubio if Kasich won a state and he didnt.
 
I think that's still a bit optimistic. As I said earlier tonight:

1 state for Bernie, he's done tonight.

2 or 3, he's probably done on the 15th.

4 or 5, the race is definitely going into April.
Yup. He MUST win CO AND MN now.

If not, pack it all up. The momentum will be gone.
 
if none of the candidates are able to cross the finish line of total number of delegates, All delegates get tossed up into the air and everyone goes into backrooms cutting deals.

This is why Rubio is so smug not giving a crap. He knows that fix is in for him

Are you saying that if Trump leads the pack by double digits but doesn't get a majority of delegates he won't be the nominee because of backdoor deals during the convention ?

That's crazy.
 
The same people thinking that Hillary would lose NY in the GE.

The delusion is real, and I'm loving it. They make it seem like it's the end of the world if Hillary wins. It's just comical.
Cenk thinks if his favourite can't win they're fucked.

It's just so damn funny. They are acting like the U.S. is now fucked, and there is no going back. I'm honestly loving it from the pure entertainment stand point.
 
Cruz winning Oklahoma is neat. His ground game must have spilled over the border and swayed a few voters. With Kasich having done well in Vermont and New Hampshire and looking to maybe win Ohio, Rubio having some of the delegate math on his side, and Cruz having three wins under his belt, field stays divided and The walks away with it.

Rubio is most likely going to end up in third place for delegates after tonight. He's not getting destroyed, but he may need to rethink his campaign after tonight.He can not finish in second place or lower forever. He needs to start winning states before the establishment starts to question his chances of becoming the republican nominee. Trump seems to be having an amazing night tonight. Cruz seems to be having a great night tonight also. Kasich seems to be doing well in some states. Carson probably doesn't care what type of night he has tonight.
 
I think MA is going to be SOOOOOO CLOSE, I can feel it.

I don't think so, WBUR just had Union guy on and he flat out said the union is in Clinton's Camp. If the Dem Machine in 128 was Clinton, it's over. Judging by the return so far, looks like that's a confirmation. I'm betting it widens a little bit as Boston comes in.
 
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