Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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Just give Hillary 4 years and Bernie the following 4 years and call it a day.

Trump can take over Bill O'Reilly's spot on Fox News after he's fired for beating up his ex-wife.
 
boiled goose said:
haha no. If he wins Minne and Colo he is fine for now. winning Ma would have been great, but it will be so close it is a wash delegates wise.
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He doesn't have a chance.

He is so far off the pace and there just aren't enough delegates out there for him.

He needs huge wins in Minnesota and Colorado, which he won't get.
 
MThanded said:
I'd like to see Van go in on some more fools.

Can't believe this guy said "liberals love to divide". Discussing real and relevant issues is not dividing. Ignoring real issues divides the country.
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The guy trying to attach the KKK to the modern democratic party was the most.... Brain cell bleaching thing I've ever seen.
 
adam387 said:
Most of the delegate rich upcoming states favor Hillary by wide margins. Florida, Ohio and Michigan, for example, all lean heavily Hillary.

There are no states left on the map where Bernie will be able to blow Hillary out by the margins he would need to to secure even a tie in the pledged delegates.
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I thought Sanders was doing well polling wise in Ohio and Michigan (not so much Florida). I guess I'm wrong then? What's the latest polling saying?
 
Mass. is tightening up a bit on the Democratic side. Down to 3 point difference with 76% of the votes counted. Maybe not enough for Sanders to pull even at this point, but good to see it closer at least.
 
NATE SILVER 10:50 PM
Sanders is not having a good night. Last week, we published demographic targets in each state. These were not predictions; instead, they were estimates, based on the racial composition of each state and other demographics, of how well a candidate would have to do to get half of pledged delegates nationwide.

Clinton is running ahead of her benchmarks by an average of 17 percentage points tonight, which is equivalent to her holding a 17-point lead over Sanders in national polls. Sanders won a few of his “must-win” states tonight, but not others, and the huge deficits he racked up to Clinton in Southern states will make it hard for him to make up his deficit later on.
 
giga said:
NYT: Sanders Campaign Will Travel On, but Path to Victory Is All but Blocked
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Pretty much this. I have to give credit to Bernie for picking up 4 states tonight (assuming MN and CO go his way, and they almost certainly will), but being the candidate of northern white (largely young) people in a party where non-white voters make up a very large plurality of the electorate just isn't going to work in a general election.

I think Bernie's win keeps him in the race (if not really in the running) for now, but the next couple of weeks still aren't looking too good for him.

BowieZ said:
I thought Sanders was doing well polling wise in Ohio and Michigan (not so much Florida). I guess I'm wrong then? What's the latest polling saying?
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Well, perhaps, but not 'blowout well'. Even if he manages to outperform and get both states by a few percentage points, he'll gain only a handful of net delegates out of the total. Bernie needs huge double digit wins in multiple large states to even have a chance, and the polling just isn't there.
 
adam387 said:
Most of the delegate rich upcoming states favor Hillary by wide margins. Florida, Ohio and Michigan, for example, all lean heavily Hillary.

There are no states left on the map where Bernie will be able to blow Hillary out by the margins he would need to to secure even a tie in the pledged delegates.

At the moment, with supers, it stands at:

Hillary 883
Bernie 232

Last Super Tuesday, Obama managed to leave with a 114 delegate lead and Hillary could never catch up.

Find a path where he can make up these numbers, and I'm totally open to listen and hear it out.
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LC2tML.gif
 
What he trying to conflate there is the KKK were aligned with the historic Democrats which held those policies until they left the party after the Civil Rights Act.
 
BowieZ said:
Clinton double-digit: SC, TX, TN, GA, VA, AL, AR (The South!)
Clinton narrow: NV, MA
Basically tied: IA
Sanders narrow:
Sanders double-digit: NH, VT, OK, MN, CO*

35 states to go. Yeah of course delegates are heavier in the South so far, but if he can pick up momentum in the next 2 weeks it's not impossible. Unlikely, but not impossible.
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Shhhh, Bernie lost! He doesn't have a chance, never had a chance, he should have retired years ago, possibly never been born.
 
boiled goose said:
haha no. If he wins Minne and Colo he is fine for now. winning Ma would have been great, but it will be so close it is a wash delegates wise.
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look at the margins of victory in some of the southern states. she's winning bigger than Obama did in '08. these delegates are awarded proportionately. not good for le bern
 
Boke1879 said:
The GOP is literally shitting itself HAHAHA.

Say what you want about Hillary and Bernie supporters but the 2 candidates are pretty civil and one will no doubt back the other if given the nom.


The GOP is literally committing suicide.
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I wouldn't make too much of the GOP's implosion they are a circus, but come election time very few will sit out.
 
HvySky said:
Very true. The guy was spouting utter nonsense during the entire exchange, but it's still satisfying to watch nonetheless. I can't imagine a world in which Trump has any semblance of a chance against Hillary in the general.
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Even if you were a die hard Sanders supporter you would have to be pretty satisfied with how Super Tuesday has turned out for the Democrats. I struggle to envisage any future that has a Republican candidate in The White House after the election.

Personally, I don't like Hillary. I feel like she has way too many black marks on her record both in and out of politics to be a candidate I'd support, I'm British anyway so that doesn't matter, but I've got a raging hard-on right now at the thought of Hillary tearing Trump apart in every debate. I'm also excited at the prospect of GOP Senators endorsing Hillary.

hillary1-edited2.gif
 
Officerrob said:
NATE SILVER 10:50 PM
Sanders is not having a good night. Last week, we published demographic targets in each state. These were not predictions; instead, they were estimates, based on the racial composition of each state and other demographics, of how well a candidate would have to do to get half of pledged delegates nationwide.

Clinton is running ahead of her benchmarks by an average of 17 percentage points tonight, which is equivalent to her holding a 17-point lead over Sanders in national polls. Sanders won a few of his “must-win” states tonight, but not others, and the huge deficits he racked up to Clinton in Southern states will make it hard for him to make up his deficit later on.
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This is what I'm trying to tell people.
 
I am at that point now where I can't tell if Bernie supporters are trolling or being honest.

This is not a good night for him. I'd buy an argument that it's not a terrible one, but it's just...not good.
 
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