Support NeoGAF

[TheUntamedLegend]

People keep saying this, but what happens if Thompson actually wins? Trump to get impeached tomorrow?

Hillary retroactively becomes President.

 

[Herr Schwarz]

Is this a race or what? Which ones the democrat doi

 

[Mortemis]

Is this a race or what? Which ones the democrat doi

Thompson's the Democrat.

 

[smokeymicpot]

Is this a race or what? Which ones the democrat doi

Thompson is the dem.

 

[OnionPowder]

Is this a race or what? Which ones the democrat doi

the one losing

 

[Vestal]

Some good news:

tbonier: Another wow #KS04 moment here - Thompson won the EV/AV in Harvey County by 19%. The GOP were +15% on turnout. This is shocking.

Hmm....

 

[Ac30]

the one losing

Hehehe

 

[giga]

Not expecting a win here but if it's within 20 i'll be happy.

 

[CesspoolofHatred]

Initial results from Harvey County, looks like it flipped blue

Thompson 58.7%
Estes 39.5%
Rockhold 1.8%

Thompson 1,043
Estes 703
Rockhold 32

1 of 40 reporting for Sumner

Estes 52.3%
Thompson 46.2%
Rockhold 1.4%

EDIT: Reposting this on the new page

 

[Frozenprince]

Thompson keeping it way closer than he has any right too so far.

Maybe KS voters finally woke up.

 

[Swass]

People keep saying this, but what happens if Thompson actually wins? Trump to get impeached tomorrow?

This is the first post-Trump election.. it is a gauge for how the nation is viewing the GOP congress and Trump as a whole.. basically it should put the fear of god in them especially those who have midterm elections next year.

 

[OnionPowder]

Not expecting a win here but if it's within 20 i'll be happy.

Pretty much. I need to see some improvements over the presidential election at least.

Especially in the democrat off season (ugh)

 

[balladofwindfishes]

People keep saying this, but what happens if Thompson actually wins? Trump to get impeached tomorrow?

Elections before midterms, but after the presidential election often give us a good idea of what midterms will look like.

If the Democrats manage to pull this off, it means 2018 is likely going to be a GOP bloodbath

 

[Seiniyta]

Hillary retroactively becomes President.

You're joking but it wouldn't surprise me thats actually what Republicans want so they can oppose again (and higher vhance to keep their seat) instead of governing.

 

[Toxi]

Pawnee County completely in. 8% increase for Thompson over Hillary's result a few months ago.

Same percentage of votes for the Republican though.

 

[CrocMother]

Thompson ahead by 5k votes with 8%!

Spoiler

not getting my hopes up

 

[ezrarh]

You're joking but it wouldn't surprise me thats actually what Republicans want so they can oppose again (and higher vhance to keep their seat) instead of governing.

You can't teach an old dog new tricks. They got like 8 years of "do nothing" experience.

 

[Bonen no Max'd]

Same percentage of votes for the Republican though.

I deeply appreciate this post.

 

[BoogieWoogie]

 

[OniBarubary]

No one expected Thompson to win but some of these numbers are pretty shocking. Republicans should be looking at this shit very warily.

 

[Vectorman]

12% now. Thompson 53% Estes 44%

 

[Sean C]

Thompson is up 54-45 with 88 of 620 precincts in.

 

[RPGCrazied]

The Dem is still winning by 10%. The Republican isn't winning by 30 points. lol

 

[Escape Goat]

I need more tears in this thread. I don't care who they're from.

 

[Ac30]

The Dem is still winning by 10%. The Republican isn't winning by 30 points. lol

Depends on Wichita.

 

[Inyourprime]

So far this is going a lot better than I hoped for for Thompson.

 

[Herr Schwarz]

This is the election if the Ds win it would be shocking.

The ossoff one being the tighter race

 

[mcfrank]

34% swing toward the Dems in Harvey county so far. If Thompson wins this it will be because he way over performed there.

 

[drspeedy]

Anyone know the line in Vegas? You know there's someone betting on this...

 

[norm9]

Don't get your hopes up Dem-gaf. You'll pop a vein.

 

[CrocMother]

80% of Thompson's votes coming from one district.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

Don't get your hopes up Dem-gaf. You'll pop a vein.

If Thompson comes within 5%, that will be almost as good as winning.

 

[Amir0x]

If Thompson comes within 5%, that will be almost as good as winning.

yup. That's my dream scenario, 5%. I'll even take anything under 10, really. Because it means 2018 is gonna be disastrous for Republicans barring Trump magically becoming a competent leader for more than five consecutive hours at a time (if that).

 

[CrocMother]

yup. That's my dream scenario, 5%. I'll even take anything under 10, really. Because it means 2018 is gonna be disastrous for Republicans barring Trump magically becoming a competent leader for more than five consecutive hours at a time (if that).

I'm not as optimistic that a loss is anything other than a loss.

 

[neurosisxeno]

80% of Thompson's votes coming from one district.

That's how Democrats roll. Democrats do great in Cities and densely populated counties. They suffer with low information--primarily white--rural voters.

 

[Toxi]

80% of Thompson's votes coming from one district.

It's a shame he couldn't get more of the 62 votes cast in Pawnee.

 

[WedgeX]

80% of Thompson's votes coming from one district.

73% of Thompson's and 58% of Estes'.

 

[Amir0x]

I'm not as optimistic that a loss is anything other than a loss.

These things mean things, even Republicans know it. This is a seat that is stupidly overwhelmingly Republican. Even Republicans know a close race bodes extremely poor for what the future holds in 2018. This is why they had to do the unthinkable and spend money and have Trump record a call. For THIS seat.

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

I'm not as optimistic that a loss is anything other than a loss.

This district voted for Trump/Pompeo by 28 points. If Estes wins by 5, that's a 23 (!) point swing

There are two districts in Kansas that are less conservative than the 4th, including one which Hillary won. The representatives of those districts are not going to like the results of this.

 

[Herr Schwarz]

This is a "don't be fiddlin' with my health care" backlash of sorts.

When will victory be known

 

[Anion]

In a hypothetical world where the Dems take KS, I wonder what 45 would tweet

 

[numble]

Lead is down to 3.4% with 21% precincts reporting.

 

[JohnsonUT]

This district voted for Trump/Pompeo by 28 points. If Estes wins by 5, that's a 23 (!) point swing

There are two districts in Kansas that are less conservative than the 4th, including one which Hillary won. The representatives of those districts are not going to like the results of this.

23 point swing in less than 3 months. If this trend continues...

 

[giga]

This is a "don't be fiddlin' with my health care" backlash of sorts.

When will victory be known

GA-06

 

[RPGCrazied]

Yeah, I think Kansas is a lost cause.

 

[Slime]

Lead is down to 3.4% with 21% precincts reporting.

Thompson's done. Shame.

 

[watershed]

The count is still so early. I'll check back in later tonight.

 

[RPGCrazied]

Don't forget the Dem here was a rookie, nobody knew him, and he has 0 backing from the DNC.

Georgia is the one to watch.

 

[Mortemis]

I'm not as optimistic that a loss is anything other than a loss.

Nevertheless, Kansas 4 could be just as instructive for understanding the national environment as Georgia 6. We know from past special elections that wins and losses matter less than the margins if what you’re interested in is the upcoming midterm election. Democrat Paul Hackett, for example, did much better than expected in Ohio’s 2nd District in 2005, but lost to Republican Jean Schmidt. The closeness of that race, however, foreshadowed big gains for the Democrats in the 2006 midterm election.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-republicans-are-worried-about-kansas/

You can think of it as a loss is a loss, but it could be a precursor for things to come.

 

[Tallshortman]

KS was always a long shot. GA is where there is a chance though I'm not getting my hope up too much.