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[mingoguaya]

Yep, confirmed.

Yup, we are fucked, Puerto Rico-gaf. Our local energy company is broke and yesterday as a Cat 3 stated that we could be without electricity for 3-4 months... Imagine a Cat 5.

Be safe, Puerto Rico-gaf. De ésta no nos salva nadie. :/

 

[sflufan]

How soon is too soon for Tampa GAF to panic?

You should be prepared to evacuate if you are in a mandatory evacuation zone or be well into obtaining supplies if you are not.

 

[Snaku]

Yup, we are fucked, Puerto Rico-gaf. Our local energy company is broke and yesterday as a Cat 3 stated that we could be without electricity for 3-4 months... Imagine a Cat 5.

Be safe, Puerto Rico-gaf. De ésta no nos salva nadie. :/

I didn't have power for over a month after Andrew. 3-4? Jesus Christ.

 

[Chumly]

https://mobile.twitter.com/MikeTFox5/status/905036146253684736

Stunning view of Irma

 

[maquiladora]

175mph. Wow, Irma is as strong now as Andrew was at his peak.

 

[SafeinSound]

Ok. Shit is really starting to get real. Hope everyone makes out ok

 

[Vestal]

That's a fucking killer storm. I got my family down in PR.. Going to be a tense few days then get prepared to deal with it myself here in FL.

Side note, that's a terrifyingly beautiful storm.

 

[charpunk]

Really wish I could try to find supplies today instead of being stuck at work.

 

[Tubie]

175mph...

Does this make it the strongest ever storm in the Atlantic?

 

[Zackat]

They probably should start evacuating the keys soon?

 

[mingoguaya]

I didn't have power for over a month after Andrew. 3-4? Jesus Christ.

Hurricane George left us with 1 month in 1998. The infrastructure here is shit. We are fucked and I'm legit scared for the life of my family.

 

[Kusagari]

175mph...

Does this make it the strongest ever storm in the Atlantic?

Wilma at its peak was still higher. Had 185 mph.

 

[sflufan]

They probably should start evacuating the keys soon?

I imagine the order will be given today.

 

[maquiladora]

175mph...

Does this make it the strongest ever storm in the Atlantic?

Joint 4th highest sustained winds recorded for a Hurricane.

Maybe the highest for this part of the ocean though? Not sure.

 

[metalslimer]

Holy fucking shit

 

[maquiladora]

Official forecast is for it to be 180 MPH in 12 hours. And so far it's blown past all the previous forecasts....

 

[rucury]

lol RIP electricity in PR for like a year. Gotta get some quality gaming in while I can.

 

[mingoguaya]

Official forecast is for it to be 180 MPH in 12 hours. And so far it's blown past all the previous forecasts....

If by 11am advisory it hasn't begun to shift nw even a tiny bit we will se a direct hit in Puerto Rico.

 

[Master Yoshi]

What a shitty name for what will undoubtedly be one of the most catastrophic storms in history!

 

[Lord_Byron28]

I love the armchair meteorologists on here yesterday saying it was next to impossible for it to hit Cat. 5

 

[Velcro Fly]

What a shitty name for what will undoubtedly be one of the most catastrophic storms in history!

I thought the same about Harvey. Kept thinking either Dent or the dude from Sabrina the teenage witch.

 

[Master Yoshi]

I love the armchair meteorologists on here yesterday saying it was next to impossible for it to hit Cat. 5

If there's two things GAF has experts at, it's US elections and meteorology!

 

[Kusagari]

National Hurricane track...

Cat 5 all the way to fucking Cuba.

 

[kinggroin]

Right, so I'm in Florida. I'm ready to evacuate tonight.



Best place?

 

[MrJames]

175mph...

Does this make it the strongest ever storm in the Atlantic?

A few have hit 190mph.

 

[PepsimanVsJoe]

Fuck.
I need to quit reading these threads.

Lifelong Central Floridian here and I used to never get anxiety this bad during hurricane season. Now I'm a freaking wreck.

National Hurricane track...

http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-18864-1504613917_thumb.jpg[/IG]

Cat 5 all the way to fucking Cuba.[/QUOTE]

Fucking Hell. I don't even know what to say to this.

 

[DeathGlobe]

Jacksonville here. Depending on the track Thursday is the day I leave.

 

[JimJamJones]

Right, so I'm in Florida. I'm ready to evacuate tonight.



Best place?

Not Florida.

 

[neurosisxeno]

Right, so I'm in Florida. I'm ready to evacuate tonight.



Best place?

Seattle sounds safe.

 

[Chumly]

I love the armchair meteorologists on here yesterday saying it was next to impossible for it to hit Cat. 5

Who was saying that?

 

[Velcro Fly]

What was said was that the sub 900mb pressure was off, not that it couldn't get cat 5.

 

[pulsemyne]

National Hurricane track...

Cat 5 all the way to fucking Cuba.

That track would also minimise the storms interaction with the mountains of cuba. Probably why they say it will only drop to cat 4. Personally I think it could maintain cat 5 because the sea round that area is red hot.

 

[Kusagari]

What was said was that the sub 900mb pressure was off, not that it couldn't get cat 5.

The really ridiculous ones were that they had sub 900mb pressure as it was heading toward the Carolina's in some earlier tracks.

There is no way in hell that was going to happen.

 

[Master Yoshi]

Fuck.
I need to quit reading these threads.

Lifelong Central Floridian here and I used to never get anxiety this bad during hurricane season. Now I'm a freaking wreck.



Fucking Hell. I don't even know what to say to this.

You need to get the fuck out of there..

This is coming from someone who lives right near the GA/FLA line, an hour from the coast.

 

[maquiladora]

The really ridiculous ones were that they had sub 900mb pressure as it was heading toward the Carolina's in some earlier tracks.

There is no way in hell that was going to happen.

The latest GFS has it at 893mb just south of Miami.

 

[powersurge]

Aw hell I'm in Pensacola and the track is starting to shift west and I can't afford to run very far if at all. Probably go to a shelter if its coming here as we have very large oak trees in our backyard one is dead so they will probably come down.

 

[Kusagari]

The latest GFS has it at 893mb just south of Miami.

That is definitely possible. And ridiculously terrifying.

 

[TarpitCarnivore]

Euro and GFS still have it tracking different paths

 

[Relix]

Fucking hell.... Wtf... 175mph in the MDR. That's ridiculous.

 

[Steejee]

National Hurricane track...

Cat 5 all the way to fucking Cuba.

I remember Andrew, back in the days before the internet had blown up, and that was scary enough without knowing much about the details. All this extra info almost makes it worse. Sad to see Key West in that track - not easy to evacuate and already has plenty of issues with how low lying it is.

I hope Dry Tortugas park survives this, that place was amazing.

Good luck Floridians/Cubans/Puerto Ricans/etc

 

[maquiladora]

Winds will be 180MPH on the next update (if not higher).

 

[Redmoon]

At this point it's probably safer for me to ride this out where I work at(Oceanside condo) than where I live.

Fuck having nowhere to go/noway to leave.

 

[Griss]

Big argument in the office right now as to whether it's right to have the office open. Some workers walking out - all pretty polite though.

Does anyone having a working historical hurricane records search site? Because I think this could end up being the second strongest storm to ever hit this country. And it's only 48 hours away.

The strongest one moved so much sand that it took two islands and made them into one... amazing to think we could be facing something of that nature.

...still think it could go south over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola though.

Euro and GFS still have it tracking different paths

Can anyone post these paths? I trust the Euro more... Where can I get updated euro model info?

 

[HylianTom]

My sister-in-law lives right on the water, about 30 miles south of Tampa. She says she's fleeing to our place (here in NOLA).

We're urging her to get out early.

 

[Snkfanatic]

My sister-in-law lives right on the water, about 30 miles south of Tampa. She says she's fleeing to our place (here in NOLA).

We're urging her to get out early.

Glad she is leaving, and yeah the earlier the better.

 

[TarpitCarnivore]

Can anyone post these paths? I trust the Euro more... Where can I get updated euro model info?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

Under Global, GFS and ECMWF. You can use the slider to step through each frame of the forecast model.

 

[Irminsul]

Can anyone post these paths? I trust the Euro more... Where can I get updated euro model info?

The ECMWF (European model) only updates every 12 hours, so the last one you see in this thread is still the current one.

The new one will appear in the near future on this site: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana...n=watl&pkg=mslp_uv850&runtime=2017090500&fh=0

Just select "12z Tuesday, Sep 05" as soon as it's available. The run was initiated at 1200 UTC (i.e., 12z), i.e., 55 minutes ago. I think the first prognosis for +24h will appear around 1400ish UTC.

 

[Nakazato]

Jacksonville here. Depending on the track Thursday is the day I leave.

I don't think we are going to get hit but I'm with you.

 

[Dead Prince]

My sister-in-law lives right on the water, about 30 miles south of Tampa. She says she's fleeing to our place (here in NOLA).

We're urging her to get out early.

stay safe everyone! what a monster.

 

[Griss]

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

Under Global, GFS and ECMWF. You can use the slider to step through each frame of the forecast model.

Yeah I use this site but where is the Euro forecast model here? I need the euro forecast for the Caribbean but when I press ECMWF under the 'global' tab I get the USA with where I am not shown and when I got to 'Hurricane' tab the euro isn't there.