Mask Efficacy |OT| Wuhan!! Got You All In Check

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February Japanese grocery store sales went up 4%, while department stores sales fell 12%.




Yeah the store I work at has seen a 5% drop in customers YOY for March so far. The clothing store next door has been harder hit apparently. And we only have 6 cases in our prefecture.
This is why the idea that ending lockdowns or people going back to work will somehow stop a recession is ridiculous. The economy is fucked until the virus is dealt with.
 
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So Ontario shut down today dramatically in a press conference held by the Premier. Everything closed except for "essential services" a list that would be forthcoming.

here is the list: https://s3.amazonaws.com/files.news.ontario.ca/opo/en/2020/03/list-of-essential-workplaces-2.html

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Yes but it's not a niche crisis, it's general.

Company A makes widgets, company F makes cars, company T makes toys. Everyone is stopping because otherwise death. Who's willing to spend on any of these right now anyway? "Well, some are".

Ok, so let's say you bring everyone back to work because everyone needs consumerism to keep the wheels turning and then people start dying, people close to you, people around you, people everywhere, the death numbers rise = panic rises. Who's is going to buy the unnecessary things when everyone's attention is exclusively directed at survival?

You see my point here? There was a disruption in the way people live. The world went 3 steps down in the Maslow Pyramid all at once, there's no safety anymore and safety is at the base of the pyramid, bellow it there's only food and water and other physiological needs (voila, toilet paper). There's no room for unnecessary superfluous things right now.

You're asking people to sacrifice so that consumerism gets back to where it was before, but the harder the disease hits, the harder it will be to sell any of this trash. We were at a point where folding phone screens were the kick. You see the problem?

Changing and adapting superfluous industries to basic needs may be one of the solutions, but how many do we really need?

We're at a weird spot where a huge amount of people survived on the superfluousness of other people ridiculous "needs". And when the people realize they don't actually need any of that, then you have a big problem.

Where do we go from here? I don't know... maybe in a month or two people will get back to wanting the latest phone and that will be it, but I don't know... the best chance that happens is making sure not too many people die, the best way to do so? Keeping them at home right now? I don't know...

It's all connected, though. The person who had been working at the Ventilator company wasn't doing it for nothing. They did it so they could afford food, home, and completely unnecessary widgets. The widget factory guy spent his excess cash on thots. Thot girl spent her money on makeup. The lady hawking makeup at the mall spent money on shoes.

That is to say, shit you consider completely frivolous and trash is what gets someone else up at 6:30 to get ready to work. I'm not prepared to define 'essential goods' for everyone, and quite honestly, a world in which all goods are essential sounds like the setup for a dystopian novel. We are on a gaming forum fetishing plastic energy and time suckers, after all.

And while a shitload of that is crass consumerism, and we can shit on that all day, if the shoes stop coming the thot goes broke and the ventilator dude doesn't get his completely unnecessary widget thar he really wants. And that other guy loses his temper because he didn't get to kill space aliens last night.

I can bitch about consumerism all day. I spent years practically off the grid, and while i have too much junk now you don't have to sell me on the value of minimalism. But with going on 10 billion people in the world, we can't just let our economy go to shit. The US is fortunate due to land/resources that we can be self sufficient in a pinch, but that doesn't mean we throw our economy overboard.

I also don't think it's true people aren't buying stuff. We are. Tp, oreo cookies, extra food, water... downloading movies and games and books. I don't think 99% of people are learning we don't need shit.... rather, i think most people are absolutely aching to go out to the mall and splurge in consumerism withdrawal.

You say: "You're asking people to sacrifice so that consumerism gets back to where it was before, but the harder the disease hits, the harder it will be to sell any of this trash."

Nah, i'm saying people want to get back to work. They want to be social. They want to buy shit. Just look at the stupid spring break stuff. Not everyone is scared, or hiding. I have a family member who proudly helps keep trucking going to a major food retailer. I know a couple medics proud to be at work. I know a bartender who is itching to get back to serving people. People miss 1 month ago.

What i'm saying is that i don't think people are learning 'to do without', but rather, 'holy hell do i miss how good we had it' and the way to keep that is to not destroy the economy in the process of preventing pandemic. There is balance to be found.

Like i said, i spent many, many years buying very, very little. I don't particularly like defending consumerism. But i recognize it is what ultimarely feeds billions, and it works. I'd rather consumerism than mass food riots and a breakdown of society.
 
It's a fundamentally different country. I get so annoyed seeing people pointing to draconian (albeit technologically cool) shit in Asia and acting like we (assuming you're in an English-speaking western country) should be emulating them. The US was never ever going to do anything like that and that's by design. South Korea is also tiny in comparison to the US. 38,691 mi² vs 3.797 million mi². Seriously, it's 1/100th the size, despite having 1/6th the population.
You don't need draconian measures. You just have to start mass testing immediately to stunt exponential growth from happening in the first place. Imagine if you slowed a rocket at takeoff. How high would it go? If we shutdown the border to China and began testing immediately we wouldn't have so many people transmitting it. The number of people transmitting it is your initial velocity, which is a function of people coming in at the border and people inside who have it.

It's was better to spend money on testing everybody in the start than giving $1000 handouts and socialized bailouts to large industries that participated in stock buybacks.

Also, we aren't even comparing population sizes. We are normalizing everything and looking at the growth curve which doesn't depend on population size. It depends on rate of growth. Once you see the curve begin to bell down, you have slowed the rate of growth and can restart your economy.

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You don't want to shut down your economy completely. That would be disastrous. As soon as the curve comes down, we put in social distancing measures in public areas (thermometer checks and so forth) to control its spread until we get a vaccine.

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It's all connected, though. The person who had been working at the Ventilator company wasn't doing it for nothing. They did it so they could afford food, home, and completely unnecessary widgets. The widget factory guy spent his excess cash on thots. Thot girl spent her money on makeup. The lady hawking makeup at the mall spent money on shoes.

That is to say, shit you consider completely frivolous and trash is what gets someone else up at 6:30 to get ready to work. I'm not prepared to define 'essential goods' for everyone, and quite honestly, a world in which all goods are essential sounds like the setup for a dystopian novel. We are on a gaming forum fetishing plastic energy and time suckers, after all.

And while a shitload of that is crass consumerism, and we can shit on that all day, if the shoes stop coming the thot goes broke and the ventilator dude doesn't get his completely unnecessary widget thar he really wants. And that other guy loses his temper because he didn't get to kill space aliens last night.

I can bitch about consumerism all day. I spent years practically off the grid, and while i have too much junk now you don't have to sell me on the value of minimalism. But with going on 10 billion people in the world, we can't just let our economy go to shit. The US is fortunate due to land/resources that we can be self sufficient in a pinch, but that doesn't mean we throw our economy overboard.

I also don't think it's true people aren't buying stuff. We are. Tp, oreo cookies, extra food, water... downloading movies and games and books. I don't think 99% of people are learning we don't need shit.... rather, i think most people are absolutely aching to go out to the mall and splurge in consumerism withdrawal.

You say: "You're asking people to sacrifice so that consumerism gets back to where it was before, but the harder the disease hits, the harder it will be to sell any of this trash."

Nah, i'm saying people want to get back to work. They want to be social. They want to buy shit. Just look at the stupid spring break stuff. Not everyone is scared, or hiding. I have a family member who proudly helps keep trucking going to a major food retailer. I know a couple medics proud to be at work. I know a bartender who is itching to get back to serving people. People miss 1 month ago.

What i'm saying is that i don't think people are learning 'to do without', but rather, 'holy hell do i miss how good we had it' and the way to keep that is to not destroy the economy in the process of preventing pandemic. There is balance to be found.

Like i said, i spent many, many years buying very, very little. I don't particularly like defending consumerism. But i recognize it is what ultimarely feeds billions, and it works. I'd rather consumerism than mass food riots and a breakdown of society.
Amen ! And that's the way the cookie crumbles.
 
You don't need draconian measures. You just have to start mass testing immediately to stunt exponential growth from happening in the first place. Imagine if you slowed a rocket at takeoff. How high would it go? If we shutdown the border to China and began testing immediately we wouldn't have so many people transmitting it. The number of people transmitting it is your initial velocity, which is a function of people coming in at the border and people inside who have it.

It's was better to spend money on testing everybody in the start than giving $1000 handouts and socialized bailouts to large industries that participated in stock buybacks.

Also, we aren't even comparing population sizes. We are normalizing everything and looking at the growth curve which doesn't depend on population size. It depends on rate of growth. Once you see the curve begin to bell down, you have slowed the rate of growth and can restart your economy.

25bpseo.jpg


You don't want to shut down your economy completely. That would be disastrous. As soon as the curve comes down, we put in social distancing measures in public areas (thermometer checks and so forth) to control its spread until we get a vaccine.

oCzU8Os.jpg
I don't think this is gonna work, you need full lock down is my opinion to get enough head room to start what you described in your last graph. So you need a lock down for at least 2 - 3 months after that you can do all the social distancing and other measures, maybe even mini lock downs are needed to regulate. If a country is big enough you can lock down states individually, but cut travel between them, create mini economics.
 
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You don't want to shut down your economy completely. That would be disastrous.
Said someone in Italy some time ago.
Oh, and in Spain also.

Oh, and UK BoJo blantly said, fuck it, herd immunity. Remind me, why did he reverse it on 16th of Feb?

Just for HOW LONG could grown ups be in denial about seriousness of the crisi, including fucking country leaders is beyond me.
 
Said someone in Italy some time ago.
Oh, and in Spain also.

Oh, and UK BoJo blantly said, fuck it, herd immunity. Remind me, why did he reverse it on 16th of Feb?

Just for HOW LONG could grown ups be in denial about seriousness of the crisi, including fucking country leaders is beyond me.
Actually I am 40 ;) it became quiet clear after seeing China unfold in January, we aren't all that bad 😜 but I am not in my government, I do agree they move to slow, if that's because of age I hope the world changes and let's fresh young blood into governments.

It became clear that they didn't follow China as closely, which would be easy with something like the internet.

Because my government also reacted slow..
 
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How did young governments that, as a bonus, are free from Patriarchy (all coalition parties in Finland are lead by women) react please?

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Good point ! maybe it's the way we teach? Would mean whole societies would need reform .. hard task , as most are methods, physiology ..
 
Well it's been an interesting morning and I haven't even finished my coffee yet. People phoning up in a panic because their car is due it's MoT test in a couple of months, but they want it done now before we close on them. Others that were booked in this week cancelling because they now want to self-isolate. One guy who hasn't stepped foot in the garage in about 10 years coming back to check that we will be staying open. I guess maybe his new garage has closed, so he came back here, who knows?

Mad times. At least the gestapo didn't hassle me for being out walking yet. The roads are very quiet though. Even quieter than during school holidays. It feels weird.
 
Good point ! maybe it's the way we teach? Would mean whole societies would need reform .. hard task , as most are methods, physiology
It may be me being biased, but all the "improvements" I have seen so far, were rather steps forward.
From invisible overlords picking up that werid Greta girl, daughter of multi-millionaires that is now authorized ot teach the world about climate, to "progressives" attempting to shut down debates, pushing for "moral truth" and "winning" debates by smearing opponents to that pretty Finnish prime minister who hasn't have a single original initiative.

What is the idea of "people of wrong age" holding back the world even based on? An attempt to exclude sizable part of the population from the debate?
 
Said someone in Italy some time ago.
Oh, and in Spain also.

Oh, and UK BoJo blantly said, fuck it, herd immunity. Remind me, why did he reverse it on 16th of Feb?

Just for HOW LONG could grown ups be in denial about seriousness of the crisi, including fucking country leaders is beyond me.

You're just so desperate to put the boot into Boris based on speculation. The plan to manage the way people acquire the virus and get over it was, on the evidence at the time, perfectly sensible. You need to learn to consider the decision and the context in which it is made without obsessing over the political party of the person making that choice, and you need to learn that in a situation like this there is no magic 'nobody suffers' button - every choice is a bad one and it's just about choosing the least shitty one. Fucking politics. Jeeez.
 
And my brother's having a bad cough, got tested and it was inconclusive. He'll be quarantined for 14 days... he has asthma, but since this is just a flu, he'll be alright even if it turns out he really has it, right? Right? RIGHT? Guys?...
 
Well it's been an interesting morning and I haven't even finished my coffee yet. People phoning up in a panic because their car is due it's MoT test in a couple of months, but they want it done now before we close on them. Others that were booked in this week cancelling because they now want to self-isolate. One guy who hasn't stepped foot in the garage in about 10 years coming back to check that we will be staying open. I guess maybe his new garage has closed, so he came back here, who knows?

Mad times. At least the gestapo didn't hassle me for being out walking yet. The roads are very quiet though. Even quieter than during school holidays. It feels weird.

Business opportunity right there mate. For most of an MOT you don't need to go to a garage (I am not a mechanic) so scoop up that business for yourself and make home calls. Car on the drive, pass the keys through the letterbox. markup on a call out charge, parts and labor and you've got a sound customer base built up.
 
There is only two ways out of this while saving the economy.

Either you test everyone, know where the infected are, and quarantine them.

Or you quarantine everyone (mandatory) for 1-2 months and risk a much higer death count and expect people to not leave the house, which wont work.

most countries are selecting the 2nd option, thinking it will be cheaper, it wont, it wont because people do not stay home, it wont because the death toll is much much higher, it wont because even if you quarantine everyone, you still need to test them.

Do not think of solving this problem in a realistic manner, this requires measures that we would think would never happen. Over 100M people are in quarantine in EU alone! This was unthinkable even a few weeks back.
 
There is only two ways out of this while saving the economy.

Either you test everyone, know where the infected are, and quarantine them.

Or you quarantine everyone (mandatory) for 1-2 months and risk a much higer death count and expect people to not leave the house, which wont work.

most countries are selecting the 2nd option, thinking it will be cheaper, it wont, it wont because people do not stay home, it wont because the death toll is much much higher, it wont because even if you quarantine everyone, you still need to test them.

Do not think of solving this problem in a realistic manner, this requires measures that we would think would never happen. Over 100M people are in quarantine in EU alone! This was unthinkable even a few weeks back.

Testing all inhabitants of a country is MUCH cheaper (and does nothing at all and is useless) than a two-month lockdown. In addition, there may be 10-20% of people who do not respect the lockdown. Nevertheless, the spread of the virus is very strongly contained.
 
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There is only two ways out of this while saving the economy.

Either you test everyone, know where the infected are, and quarantine them.

Or you quarantine everyone (mandatory) for 1-2 months and risk a much higer death count and expect people to not leave the house, which wont work.

most countries are selecting the 2nd option, thinking it will be cheaper, it wont, it wont because people do not stay home, it wont because the death toll is much much higher, it wont because even if you quarantine everyone, you still need to test them.

Do not think of solving this problem in a realistic manner, this requires measures that we would think would never happen. Over 100M people are in quarantine in EU alone! This was unthinkable even a few weeks back.

This is how it will go eventually but right now they need to buy some time to come up with a fast and easy test that can be mass produced on a absolutely huge scale.

The quarantine is working now by reducing the opportunity for the virus to spread (even a 25%, 50% or whatever reduction will have a big impact) and this is buying time for those people who are developing tests, treatments and other infrastructure etc.

Things will die down a bit soon and then we will be trying to catch and shut down isolated outbreaks until there is some kind of vaccine.
 
Said someone in Italy some time ago.
Oh, and in Spain also.

Oh, and UK BoJo blantly said, fuck it, herd immunity. Remind me, why did he reverse it on 16th of Feb?

Just for HOW LONG could grown ups be in denial about seriousness of the crisi, including fucking country leaders is beyond me.

I doubt they are in denial as such. They will be at least keeping an eye on the future though.

I would not want to be in their position right now as they are surely being pushed into decisions that are basically weighing people's lives against the potential future of the country. Maybe they are all psychopaths or something so it's OK for them but no way I would want to be in that spot.
 
I won't quote the guy but who let the China cuck into this thread claiming the wider world had months to prepare 😂 I would love to know how we were supposed to prepare for a outbreak.

5 months ago something like this was inconceivable and people would have being laughed at for suggesting it.

I would totally hit that.

Who wouldn't 🤩
 
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I won't quote the guy but who let the China cuck into this thread claiming the wider world had months to prepare 😂 I would love to know how we were supposed to prepare for a outbreak.

5 months ago something like this was inconceivable and people would have being laughed at for suggesting it.



Who wouldn't 🤩
There are definitely countries which seemed better prepared than others or at least handled it much better than others. South Korea on the positive side, Italy on the negative.
 
There are definitely countries which seemed better prepared than others or at least handled it much better than others. South Korea on the positive side, Italy on the negative.

Without a doubt some Countries have handled it better. I just don't know what people expect, do they expect tanks rolling down the road at the first sign of a confirmed case with a mandatory lock in 🤷‍♂️

A lot of it comes down to the cultural aspect of Countries, some Eastern Asian countries people have a habit of wearing masks in public so they don't spread common colds, in the west people will spread that shit around. In the US you have collage students defying orders and partying now they have it. In the UK people were heading to parks over the weekend and cramming into trains with little protection.

My point is, without attacking the outbreak with a hammer approach on first contact it was always going to spread.

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just to add but also if you base your response on false information like it's just a flu and no human to human transmission then any protocols that are drawn up would be thrown outta the window and then you are behind the curve using reactionary measures just like we're seeing in the west.
 
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I doubt they are in denial as such. They will be at least keeping an eye on the future though.
First waiting for people die in higher numbers and only then resorting to stricter measures hints at it.

The plan to manage the way people acquire the virus and get over it was, on the evidence at the time, perfectly sensible.
I don't have any feelings about Boris (he is, perhaps, mildly amusing), certainly no negative feelings.

If it was "based on evidence" please remind me, what kind of evidence it was.
And exactly what "new" evidence he got by 16th of March to 180 on it.

He acted the "oh, it only elderly people" way. And then figured "fuck, you bloody "experts", it's not". I don't see any other sensible explanation of reversing "herd immunity" approach.

You need to learn to consider the decision and the context in which it is made without obsessing over the political party of the person making that choice, and you need to learn that in a situation like this there is no magic 'nobody suffers' button - every choice is a bad one and it's just about choosing the least shitty one. Fucking politics. Jeeez.
I don't know whom you are talking to.
Easy choices are not hard to made.
Obviously.
I'm not the one calling for "easy" choices, on the opposite:


I would totally hit that.
Pretty much any heterosexual male would (evolution, doh) and likely some gay ones too. And, I suspect, even some otherwise non-lesbian women.
 
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Pretty much any heterosexual male would (evolution, doh) and likely some gay ones too. And, I suspect, even some otherwise non-lesbian women.
That's the definition of plain Jane. Not saying I wouldn't, but also not exactly something I'd make a point about or bring to anybody's attention either.
 
I have mixed feelings about the extent of the nanny-ing. The ethical question of how much the government should be able to make people stay safe whether or not they want to.

Two cases here:

1) Albert is a grumpy bastard and doesn't want to listen to Gov advice. He is at risk because of an underlying condition but he leaves the house and mingles at bowles anyway. He gets CV19 and dies. His fault, tough. But his intensive care put additional pressure on health services. Not good.

2) Timothy is a 21 year old and is healthy and low risk.Ignore gov warning to go to a rave. Picks up CV19 but doesn't have symptoms. Goes to see granny who is elderly. She dies. So does the old man he stood next to at the bus stop. Timothy is a selfish cunt and has further spread the disease, killing people and putting pressure on health services.

This isn't nannying.A governments prime responsibility is to protect its people and that's what they're trying to do. If people don't want to be made to be safe, fine. But it's not about them. It's about the other people they are putting in danger. So they need to suck it up and stop being selfish cunts.
 
Sorry if it's been raised here already but has anyone noticed that there seems to be a lack of content, video or forum conversation based, of people who have contracted coronavirus talking about it. Is the internet trying to scrub them out. What are they hiding? It would be good to hear from everyday people who have contracted it to know what it's like.
 
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