Scotty W
Banned
While I don't much like Trudeau, this makes his opponents look bad. He realized it was a ridiculous thing to say immediately after saying it. Everyone is entitled to a slip of the tongue.
If these antibody tests are accurate, then the numbers don't look so good. According to the tests 14.9% of the state has already been infected. That would give us a death rate of about 0.6%. This is ignoring all of the current active cases that will result in more deaths, so I think the final number will be close to around 1%. But even if magically 0 of the thousands of people currently infected died, 0.6% is still pretty high.
If these antibody tests are accurate, then the numbers don't look so good. According to the tests 14.9% of the state has already been infected. That would give us a death rate of about 0.6%. This is ignoring all of the current active cases that will result in more deaths, so I think the final number will be close to around 1%. But even if magically 0 of the thousands of people currently infected died, 0.6% is still pretty high.
If half of the US got infected that would be about a million deaths.
Glad this conference wasn't long. Once they start to drag on you get the really dumb questions like that.
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Exasperation Grows Over Delays Trying To Sign Up For Unemployment, 'People Have No Food, People Are Talking About Suicide'
Many New York and New Jersey residents are losing hope, and are out of cash.newyork.cbslocal.com
Vaccine news, in Indian vaccine production capacity we trust:
India is among the largest manufacturer of generic drugs and vaccines in the world. It is home to half a dozen major vaccine makers and a host of smaller ones, making doses against polio, meningitis, pneumonia, rotavirus, BCG, measles, mumps and rubella, among other diseases. Now half a dozen Indian firms are developing vaccines against the virus that causes Covid-19.
One of them is Serum Institute of India, the world's largest vaccine maker by number of doses produced and sold globally... Now the firm has stitched up collaboration with Codagenix, an American biotech company, to develop a "live attenuated" vaccine, among the more than 80 reportedly in development all over the world... "We are planning a set of animal trials [on mice and primates] of this vaccine in April. By September, we should be able to begin human trials," Adar Poonawalla, chief executive officer of Serum Institute of India, told me over the phone. Mr Poonawalla's firm has also partnered to mass produce a vaccine being developed by the University of Oxford and backed by the UK government...
"It's pretty clear the world is going to need hundreds of millions of doses, ideally by the end of this year, to end this pandemic, to lead us out of lockdown," Prof Adrian Hill, who runs the Jenner Institute at Oxford, told the BBC's Health and Science correspondent James Gallagher. This is where Indian vaccine makers have a head start over others. Mr Poonawalla's firm alone has an extra capacity of 400 to 500 million doses. "We have lots of capacity as we have invested in it," he says.
There's more. Hyderabad-based Bharat Biotech had announced a partnership with the University of Wisconsin Madison and US-based firm FluGen to make almost 300 million doses of a vaccine for global distribution. Zydus Cadilla is working on two vaccines, while Biological E, Indian Immunologicals, and Mynvax are developing a vaccine each. Another four or five home-grown vaccines are in early stages of development.
Meanwhile in UK:
In Race for a Coronavirus Vaccine, an Oxford Group Leaps Ahead
In the worldwide race for a vaccine to stop the coronavirus, the laboratory sprinting fastest is at Oxford University. From a report: Most other teams have had to start with small clinical trials of a few hundred participants to demonstrate safety. But scientists at the university's Jenner Institute had a running start on a vaccine, having proved in previous trials that similar inoculations -- including one last year against an earlier coronavirus -- were harmless to humans. That has enabled them to leap ahead and schedule tests of their new coronavirus vaccine involving more than 6,000 people by the end of next month, hoping to show not only that it is safe, but also that it works. The Oxford scientists now say that with an emergency approval from regulators, the first few million doses of their vaccine could be available by September -- at least several months ahead of any of the other announced efforts -- if it proves to be effective.
Now, they have received promising news suggesting that it might. Scientists at the National Institutes of Health's Rocky Mountain Laboratory in Montana last month inoculated six rhesus macaque monkeys with single doses of the Oxford vaccine. The animals were then exposed to heavy quantities of the virus that is causing the pandemic -- exposure that had consistently sickened other monkeys in the lab. But more than 28 days later all six were healthy, said Vincent Munster, the researcher who conducted the test. "The rhesus macaque is pretty much the closest thing we have to humans," Dr. Munster said, noting that scientists were still analyzing the result. He said he expected to share it with other scientists next week and then submit it to a peer-reviewed journal.
If these antibody tests are accurate, then the numbers don't look so good. According to the tests 14.9% of the state has already been infected. That would give us a death rate of about 0.6%. This is ignoring all of the current active cases that will result in more deaths, so I think the final number will be close to around 1%. But even if magically 0 of the thousands of people currently infected died, 0.6% is still pretty high.
If half of the US got infected that would be about a million deaths.
These Antibody Tests are really difficult to put weight on. I don't know how they did the tests, but if everyone can go and get a test, it's pretty clear that people go that had some kind of symptoms in the last weeks. I think, Nevertheless. 15%-20% seems to be about right in New York. We've had 15% in a study in germany.
Well, I got a job during these trying times. I'll be ferrying COVID-19 patients to and from the hospital starting soon. This is a shuttle program started by my city (don't want to say). But starting next week I'll be getting calls to pick people up and deliver them to hospitals. I don't get health insurance (which sucks) but it does pay 22/hour and 100 extra if I do more than 20 hours a week (I'd like to do more than that). Pay is time to pick up and drop off. Plus coming back to my house. So if they live two hours away I get paid two hours to go get them, two hours back. Plus about 10 minutes afterwards for cleaning the car. They outfitted my car with a sort of isolation pod in the passenger seat plus will give me PPE as well for my troubles. So all in all not too shabby. But contracting COVID-19 just got exponentially higher for me because I took this job (I'm one of those that doesn't get unemployment or the stimulus check so I have had a hard time up until now). Anyways, wish me luck, all.
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Well, I got a job during these trying times. I'll be ferrying COVID-19 patients to and from the hospital starting soon. This is a shuttle program started by my city (don't want to say). But starting next week I'll be getting calls to pick people up and deliver them to hospitals. I don't get health insurance (which sucks) but it does pay 22/hour and 100 extra if I do more than 20 hours a week (I'd like to do more than that). Pay is time to pick up and drop off. Plus coming back to my house. So if they live two hours away I get paid two hours to go get them, two hours back. Plus about 10 minutes afterwards for cleaning the car. They outfitted my car with a sort of isolation pod in the passenger seat plus will give me PPE as well for my troubles. So all in all not too shabby. But contracting COVID-19 just got exponentially higher for me because I took this job (I'm one of those that doesn't get unemployment or the stimulus check so I have had a hard time up until now). Anyways, wish me luck, all.
Well, I got a job during these trying times. I'll be ferrying COVID-19 patients to and from the hospital starting soon. This is a shuttle program started by my city (don't want to say). But starting next week I'll be getting calls to pick people up and deliver them to hospitals. I don't get health insurance (which sucks) but it does pay 22/hour and 100 extra if I do more than 20 hours a week (I'd like to do more than that). Pay is time to pick up and drop off. Plus coming back to my house. So if they live two hours away I get paid two hours to go get them, two hours back. Plus about 10 minutes afterwards for cleaning the car. They outfitted my car with a sort of isolation pod in the passenger seat plus will give me PPE as well for my troubles. So all in all not too shabby. But contracting COVID-19 just got exponentially higher for me because I took this job (I'm one of those that doesn't get unemployment or the stimulus check so I have had a hard time up until now). Anyways, wish me luck, all.
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Likely constrained in some form for years! But it's not to bad in The Netherlands, we should not complain being in war like ww1 and 2 is much worse.Well yeah, the only way to stop the Virus is by killing it via herd immunity or an vaccine.
Still, we are pretty early in all of this. Scientists all around the world are studying this damn thing and we get new evidence every week/days. WHo knows where we are at in 3 Months from now.
I think this will be a the pattern world wide. As we in the Netherlands only have 25% contact left with others.I just heard that in Zhejiang province, 1500 students have gotten fevers after schools reopened. Restaurants and public places opened up yesterday here in Beijing
immune or had antibodies? those are two separate thingsI think this will be a the pattern world wide. As we in the Netherlands only have 25% contact left with others.
So what lock down really is, get it down to manageable levels. And when you reopen it pop ups in spots which you can manage . Likely to last until a vaccine or herd immunity. After all this they found only 3 % was immune in some ways here in the Netherlands.
So I don't know if you want all these deaths in pursuit.
If it was me, I would honestly have gone with a small Limo or a Van.
Even though that setup looks decent enough, I still feel like the risk of the virus reaching the driver is high. Just look at this seatbelt area for example.
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Regardless, good luck.
In other news, not only in Russia:
Yeah I'm not sure how accurate they are or how well they represent the population as a sample size, but a death rate of around 1% seems right from all the other data (cruise ships and the like).These Antibody Tests are really difficult to put weight on. I don't know how they did the tests, but if everyone can go and get a test, it's pretty clear that people go that had some kind of symptoms in the last weeks. I think, Nevertheless. 15%-20% seems to be about right in New York. We've had 15% in a study in germany.
It all blurred, they talked about immune in some manner .. that's what's reported . How long etc. not communicated yet.immune or had antibodies? those are two separate things
In other news, not only in Russia:
Wow, CNN's Christiane Amnpour called it "Wulhan Virus" today (when talking to a dude that wrote "The End of October" fiction book about events similar to what we are experiencing now), how racist of her, chuckle.
In other news, not only in Russia:
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Exasperation Grows Over Delays Trying To Sign Up For Unemployment, 'People Have No Food, People Are Talking About Suicide'
Many New York and New Jersey residents are losing hope, and are out of cash.newyork.cbslocal.com
Well yeah, the only way to stop the Virus is by killing it via herd immunity or an vaccine.
Still, we are pretty early in all of this. Scientists all around the world are studying this damn thing and we get new evidence every week/days. WHo knows where we are at in 3 Months from now.
Or it could end up like the flu and be another thing with multiple strains and yearly vaccines that work better some years than other based on their prediction of which strain(s) will be most active.
Coronaviruses, in general, don't tend to mutate rapidly and this week scientists provided further reassurance that this is true for Covid-19. A team at Johns Hopkins University analysed 1,000 samples and, according to the Washington Post, found only four to 10 genetic differences between the strains circulating in the US and the original virus that was isolated from patients in Wuhan. An Italian analysis, also out this week, reached similar conclusions. This suggests that if an effective vaccine is found it should continue to work for some time
From what i've read ( and i'm no expert ofc) this irus seems to be very stable. Meaning that it won't mutate as much as the FLU for example.
Thing has two side: On one side, this means developing a vaccine is a lot easier. On the other side, this deadly virus will not change into something more tame.
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Coronavirus: what are the latest scientific advances?
From antibody testing to virus mutations, here’s what we have learned this weekwww.theguardian.com
This asshat is the one responsible for the completely wrong models. He also was wrong with H1N1.
Nah that was just more context on where the "get back to work!" cries are mostly coming from.Well surely that's not racist then. If the 5% lost their jobs because of the lockdown, the lockdown was a draconian overreaction, no?
Glad to see you agree!
Nah that was just more context on where the "get back to work!" cries are mostly coming from.
I wouldn't expect it. People have been taught to work and give their bodies to multinational corporations, and to despise "lazy" people who currently aren't rushing back into the workforce.I'm not American, so I can't really speak, but shouldn't the country try to be a bit more united? The media, especially this Brainy McBrainpants Jim Tankersley, are telling you that all white people despise all black people.
I wonder how we could fix that problem... I wonder what the virus is here... I wonder if the statistic is true that the colour of the skin is at fault here...