There are two issues to consider:
- Game Pass on PlayStation 5 would cut into Sony's game sales for third-party publishers who have games on Game Pass.
- Most people who have the option of paying for the game or getting it for free are going to get the free route. Why buy a game on the PlayStation store when you can play it on Game Pass for free? I mean, there's the cost of the Game Pass subscription, obviously. But you get my meaning.
- Game pass on PlayStation 5 would negate micro-transaction profit for Sony if the micro-transaction game is on Game Pass.
- Game Pass on PlayStation would almost certainly be a streaming-only option. Xbox games cannot be natively played on a PlayStation 5, and this is almost certainly how Game Pass would operate because it would be the easiest and cheapest way to implement the Game Pass service.
- Assuming the above is true, this means that everything done via Game Pass is routing through Microsoft's servers, not PlayStation's. This means that Sony wouldn't see a dime from micro-transactions for Game Pass games.
The only way to mitigate the first issue is for Microsoft to agree to pay royalties to Sony for every unique user that plays a game through Game Pass that is available on the PlayStation store, and that's not going to happen because that would not be cost effective.
The only way to mitigate the second issue would be for Microsoft to agree to pay the 30% fee to Sony for micro-transactions made in Game Pass games on PlayStation consoles. The problem is that, even if Microsoft did agree to this, Sony would have to take Microsoft at their word regarding how much was done in micro-transactions and how much Sony is owed. This is because Sony doesn't have a way to see what micro-transactions were done. If they did, they could have just assessed the fee themselves. The only alternative to this would be Microsoft agreeing to share their financials to Sony, and there is absolutely no way they're going to agree to that. No competitor shares their books. That's pretty much only done with mergers and acquisitions.
The second issue mentioned above is exactly what Epic Games Store did to Apple with Fortnite. They routed payments through their own network instead of Apple's so that Apple couldn't get their 30% cut. Game Pass on PlayStation would be a huge loss in money for Sony. There is zero upside, and PlayStation would very likely fail.
Ezekiel_
, this this in response to the other thread that looks like it now no longer exists, but is still relevant in this thread.