Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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keep holding out hope for the cma I guess. This is over to me. Deal will close. CMA could of did nothing, yet they chose to pause the CAT. It's all worked out already. Time to end this.
Right now it's still blocked. Do you think it will all be over by the 18th?
 
keep holding out hope for the cma I guess. This is over to me. Deal will close. CMA could of did nothing, yet they chose to pause the CAT. It's all worked out already. Time to end this.

CMA didn't choose to do anything. MS is going to present a restructured deal and CMA has to consider that. Just part of the process.
 
Hard to say what MS can come up with to satisfy CMA or what CMA can ask for as this cloud thing is still very young, so many permutations with how it unfolds with new or existing companies. I doubt MS will be too worried, possibly will be minor change or a stipulation too ambiguous to matter if and when cloud gaming becomes big deal.
 
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keep holding out hope for the cma I guess. This is over to me. Deal will close. CMA could of did nothing, yet they chose to pause the CAT. It's all worked out already. Time to end this.

is that a ban I smell

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The restructure wouldn't mean MS leaving the UK. It would mean MS' cloud services not being bundled with Gamepass. Presumably it would have to be accessed separately.

But that's very likely the exact argument MS will make. How does this help your consumers?

It's the balance between fair competition and consumer access. It's why we're all absolutely outraged by the Amazon monopoly that brings us exceedingly cheap products to our door.

You're talking about something different from the post from adamsapple adamsapple that I was responding to. He was saying that divestiture of cloud would be removing xCloud from UK, and that's what my response was in regards to.

What you're saying is something different, as you're talking about Microsoft still having xCloud in the UK, but separating it from Game Pass. How does unbundling xCloud and Game Pass help with the Activision acquisition when the CMA has blocked the deal over the cloud gaming piece? Even if Microsoft makes xCloud and Game Pass separate products in the UK, this wouldn't change the CMA's decision as they are concerned about the cloud gaming market.
 
I am interested to see if Activision chooses to extend this on the 18th. If they do, then I'm going to bow out of this thread until something actually happens as it'll be several more months (most likely) of court cases and appeals. If Activision doesn't extend on the 18th, then I'll get my popcorn and watch the show.
 
What do you mean by "ammo"? Are you referring to legal facts/circumstances/precedent that support their position, or satisfactory personnel, expertise, skill level, etc. to match private sector?
Having data to stop the deal bro, The FTC used a Testimony of a Guy who pulled a figure from the ass without nothing to back it ffs.
 
I am interested to see if Activision chooses to extend this on the 18th. If they do, then I'm going to bow out of this thread until something actually happens as it'll be several more months (most likely) of court cases and appeals. If Activision doesn't extend on the 18th, then I'll get my popcorn and watch the show.
If they do, would they have to resubmit worldwide and not just the UK?
 
Plot twist: the 18th comes, the deal doesnt get extended, Tencent swoops in with a $120 billion offer that gets accepted. People realize that they have trash talked other console warriors for 1 1/2 years for nothing.
 
You're talking about something different from the post from adamsapple adamsapple that I was responding to. He was saying that divestiture of cloud would be removing xCloud from UK, and that's what my response was in regards to.

What you're saying is something different, as you're talking about Microsoft still having xCloud in the UK, but separating it from Game Pass. How does unbundling xCloud and Game Pass help with the Activision acquisition when the CMA has blocked the deal over the cloud gaming piece? Even if Microsoft makes xCloud and Game Pass separate products in the UK, this wouldn't change the CMA's decision as they are concerned about the cloud gaming market.
I can only assume that a potential restructure would remove Activision games from Xcloud, removing the CMA's concern that this acquisition would see MS establish an unassailable position of dominance in the cloud market.

So it would certainly sting.
 
Plot twist: the 18th comes, the deal doesnt get extended, Tencent swoops in with a $120 billion offer that gets accepted. People realize that they have trash talked other console warriors for 1 1/2 years for nothing.
At this point would be better if all big pubs goes to Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Apple and Tencent and nothing goes for Sony and MS.
 
CMA didn't choose to do anything. MS is going to present a restructured deal and CMA has to consider that. Just part of the process.
Nope. Everything was done. No reason to pause anything. If they wanted to reconstruct the deal. Tell them to do that during the CAT or after the CAT. I'm not sold.
 
Nah MS won't be able to get another publisher for a long time. Only studios for now. Publishers are off the table for them. for now
I think they would be able to. The rest are a lot smaller. And they don't own IPs that considered as 'important' as COD. Maybe they have to make promises to keep GTA everywhere like they do with Minecraft and intend to with COD (choosing my wording carefully because people are kind of sensitive over whether they will or won't)



I'd say focus on some devs with talent and hot games. . I've already said they should buy CDPR based on their relationship. They should also grab T2 just before somebody else does. Because they are a hot publisher to own like ABK. IO interactive would be a good fit,that would design some really good single player games. and I think they will acquire GSC shortly after stalker 2 releases.



I think it's worth buying BioWare from EA too. I wouldn't buy EA, but certainly come to agreement to buy BioWare and it's IP.
 
I can only assume that a potential restructure would remove Activision games from Xcloud, removing the CMA's concern that this acquisition would see MS establish an unassailable position of dominance in the cloud market.

So it would certainly sting.

But that conflicts with the remedies agreed to with the EU, doesn't it?

Nope. Everything was done. No reason to pause anything. If they wanted to reconstruct the deal. Tell them to do that during the CAT or after the CAT. I'm not sold.

Yes, there is reason to pause it and both CMA and Microsoft agreed to do just that. It doesn't matter if you are "sold" or not.
 
Having data to stop the deal bro, The FTC used a Testimony of a Guy who pulled a figure from the ass without nothing to back it ffs.

Yes, the expert testimony from the economic consultant did little if anything to support the FTC's case. Now, is that all the FTC brought forward or is that simply all you want to focus on?
 
With the FTC out of the way and the CMA willing to talk there is no reason for Activision not to extend.
FTC isn't out of the way and are still blocking the deal. The previous case was about a preliminary injunction which it looks like CMA have just created their own version of.
 
If they do, would they have to resubmit worldwide and not just the UK?

Shrugs GIF


I am unclear on how that part works. Maybe? I couldn't say for certain, and I'm not comfortable enough to hazard a guess.

I can only assume that a potential restructure would remove Activision games from Xcloud, removing the CMA's concern that this acquisition would see MS establish an unassailable position of dominance in the cloud market.

So it would certainly sting.

But removing Activision games from xCloud results in consumers having less choice. So this "remedy" is actually worse for consumers than just blocking the acquisition entirely. If it is blocked entirely, then Activision can put their games on whatever cloud service they want. Microsoft isn't going to pull Activision games from xCloud and then turn around and provide Activision games to all competing cloud services. If they are forced to remove Activision games from xCloud, then this acquisition will result in zero Activision games coming to cloud. Blocking the acquisition is a better option for consumers in that case.
 
But that conflicts with the remedies agreed to with the EU, doesn't it?



Yes, there is reason to pause it and both CMA and Microsoft agreed to do just that. It doesn't matter if you are "sold" or not.
There's a reason to pause it because they found a solution. No need to drag it any further. Remember the CMA said the "public interest." Or "may." This show is over. Keep hanging on I guess.
 
But that conflicts with the remedies agreed to with the EU, doesn't it?
It doesn't conflict. The EU was simply happy to accept the 'lesser' remedy, so to speak, of the ten year licensing deal.

You can have different commitments in different jurisdictions.
 
Nope. Everything was done. No reason to pause anything. If they wanted to reconstruct the deal. Tell them to do that during the CAT or after the CAT. I'm not sold.
Remember the part where CMA didn't want to go to trial so soon and claimed they weren't ready for CAT in the first place?
 
July 18. Tuesday.

Either we'll see a new CMA investigation with all that filthy laundry out in the public eye? OR Activision takes the 3 Billion and tells Microsoft they've taken too long as stipulated in their contract. It's going to be fun either way.
 
At this point would be better if all big pubs goes to Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Apple and Tencent and nothing goes for Sony and MS.
Aside from tencent….. I don't think apple, Amazon, meta, Google, care much for buying any of these pubs. Especially not apple. And they couldn't give a rats ass about the console market when they would rather sell games for the mobile devices on their own app stores. Console game publishing,are the least those companies are interested in. If anything they see consoles as competition. They would rather you play games on their devices and OS, on their stores. It's probably because they would be expected to make console games that they probably avoid buying these kinds of publishers.



It's really just tencent and embraced group…… or MS. As far as the big boss baller money players, that is….
 
But removing Activision games from xCloud results in consumers having less choice. So this "remedy" is actually worse for consumers than just blocking the acquisition entirely
100%. Nail on proverbial head.

And that's exactly what MS will argue.

I'm obviously just chewing the fat here. I have zero idea what's actually being proposed or reconsidered. Restructuring a deal suggests fundamental changes and, off the top of my head, I can't really think of anything (other than separating Activision and Cloud) that isn't just a different type of remedy.
 
July 18. Tuesday.

Either we'll see a new CMA investigation with all that filthy laundry out in the public eye? OR Activision takes the 3 Billion and tells Microsoft they've taken too long as stipulated in their contract. It's going to be fun either way.
Or nothing happens.
 
So how many appeals can either side do in the American legal system? Can both sides just appeal every decision infinitely?
"Most appeals are final. The court of appeals decision usually will be the final word in the case, unless it sends the case back to the trial court for additional proceedings, or the parties ask the U.S. Supreme Court to review the case. In some cases the decision may be reviewed en banc, that is, by a larger group of judges (usually all) of the court of appeals for the circuit."


Would be absolutely fucking HILARIOUS is this went to the us supreme court lmao
 
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