Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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By the way, has NZ cleared it? There was just no news about it. Their own website is so vague.

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Is the judge going to accept any answer?
In a word, no.

He even said he would repeatedly push timelines back to get Microsoft to submit an offer to the CMA that was materially different, and not just a rehash of the same merger.

Him understanding that CoD needs to be structurally controlled by someone else is going to be a 50:50 if he verbally destroys the legal head of the CMA and just throws the whole thing back to a phase 1.

The judge was so angry because Mr Beard had misused the legislation of material difference/special reason in the collusion with the CMA, as the judge made it very clear, that is a determination for the CMA in the public interest, not grounds for merging parties to apply on at the 11hour to unravel 18months of CMA work to generate a final draft, and certainly wasn't going to make his ruling something that would get cited for that purpose.

It is all so uncertain, and going by the way the judge was reading the situation and putting conditions to the adjournment, Microsoft may lose the deal by their offer satisfying the CMA, but not satisfying the judge as adequate looking at it from third parties - like Sony - to not appeal the CMA decision and his ruling.

I suspect some high profile CMA person is going to be in trouble with the judge if Microsoft aren't actually divesting CoD, given that the judge locked in on that cornerstone of the draft.
 
By the way, has NZ cleared it? There was just no news about it. Their own website is so vague.

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WHAT THE ACTUAL FUCK
go in the documents part, and you will every letter sent by Green shills saying the deal is good for gamers


In conclusion, I urge you to approve this merger without any undue delay or conditions. This merger will bring positive outcomes for consumers, competition, and innovation in the gaming industry.

All anonymous documents
 
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it's a big step for xbox, for Microsoft as a whole… eh jury's out.

Gaming is a high capital, resource intense, cutthroat market, that only provides relatively small returns for Microsoft.

I thought the whole point of Xbox in the first place was to stop Sony from totally dominating the living room, which makes gaming (to Microsoft) more of a strategic play rather than purely a money thing. If you think of all the stuff Microsoft has quietly given up on/killed off over the years when it didn't perform as expected, it becomes clear that Xbox/gaming is a bit of a special case. They're obviously committed to Xbox/gaming.
 
Agreed.

And from ABK's POV it makes no sense to sign an extension and remove their leverage.

The thing that would concern me from a MS perspective is that the CMA don't seem to have answers that the judge wanted, and can they get it all together by tomorrow lunch time?
This seems far more likely. There is simply a gentleman agreement between MS and ABK as of this moment.
 
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I thought the whole point of Xbox in the first place was to stop Sony from totally dominating the living room, which makes gaming (to Microsoft) more of a strategic play rather than purely a money thing. If you think of all the stuff Microsoft has quietly given up on/killed off over the years when it didn't perform as expected, it becomes clear that Xbox/gaming is a bit of a special case. They're obviously committed to Xbox/gaming.
I mean that was the initial reason. But that ship has long since sailed.

Xbox was almost killed off/ sold off after the XBO reveal if not for Phil Spencer convincing Satya to go down the subscription route as their main play.
 
I thought the whole point of Xbox in the first place was to stop Sony from totally dominating the living room, which makes gaming (to Microsoft) more of a strategic play rather than purely a money thing. If you think of all the stuff Microsoft has quietly given up on/killed off over the years when it didn't perform as expected, it becomes clear that Xbox/gaming is a bit of a special case. They're obviously committed to Xbox/gaming.
They are not, they are committed to defending Windows' domination, and they control that via single platform proprietary DirectX. That's why DirectXbox has been exempt from all culls
 
🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️
If Bobby terminates that contract, then Activision will get dozens of sexual harassment lawsuit.
This deal has been shielding the company from bad press.
All the good returns that the company did will evaporate.

Bobby wants this to be done and isn't stupid enough to drag it down.
 
Given the deal has survived the 18th of July deadline, the CAT judge is likely to feel angry about operating to Microsoft and Activision timelines - at the disadvantage of the CMA defending public interest.

You have to wonder if timelines are all going to get longer and more thorough now that date claim is no longer valid. I could see Mr Beard or Graben, or even the CMA solicitor phrase something marginally off, and a phase 1 restart will be the outcome for him to be satisfied that pubic scrutiny of the deal hasn't been tainted by the FTC situation.
 
Given the deal has survived the 18th of July deadline, the CAT judge is likely to feel angry about operating to Microsoft and Activision timelines - at the disadvantage of the CMA defending public interest.

You have to wonder if timelines are all going to get longer and more thorough now that date claim is no longer valid. I could see Mr Beard or Graben, or even the CMA solicitor phrase something marginally off, and a phase 1 restart will be the outcome for him to be satisfied that pubic scrutiny of the deal hasn't been tainted by the FTC situation.
That would be the perfect outcome

Start phase 1 again in November
Activision will 100% walk away
 
Given the deal has survived the 18th of July deadline, the CAT judge is likely to feel angry about operating to Microsoft and Activision timelines - at the disadvantage of the CMA defending public interest.

You have to wonder if timelines are all going to get longer and more thorough now that date claim is no longer valid. I could see Mr Beard or Graben, or even the CMA solicitor phrase something marginally off, and a phase 1 restart will be the outcome for him to be satisfied that pubic scrutiny of the deal hasn't been tainted by the FTC situation.

It took them a really long time to study the first deal. I don't see how the second one would take a couple of weeks to study.

Sounds like the CMA is trying to get the first deal through but with the changes that Microsoft is offering. I have no idea if that will work though.
 
she is useless , all that talk and the FTC got bitchslapped by microsoft
Not her fault if the entire justice system is support Microsoft.

The FTC did a good job (far from perfect, but good job nevertheless) in unearthening various damning things and raised significant concerns that easily warranted an injunction.

The whole system, however, is corrupt, and the FTC could only do so much.
 
Not her fault if the entire justice system is support Microsoft.

The FTC did a good job (far from perfect, but good job nevertheless) in unearthening various damning things and raised significant concerns that easily warranted an injunction.

The whole system, however, is corrupt, and the FTC could only do so much.
It's her fault as she didn't think this through.
She is inexperienced in this field and is trying to chew more than she can eat.

Her moto is her downfall. Big corporations bad, sue them. That won't get you that far here in America. Even the CMA is folding like a pancake.

EU approach has been the only thing that has been good in this case. Get what the consumers want. That cloud approach will benefit everyone in the future.
 
Unfortunately government is too intertwined with these companies. Add the fact that the only competitor is forgien and it was always going to be an uphill battle for them.

It's her fault as she didn't think this through.
She is inexperienced in this field and is trying to chew more than she can eat.

Her moto is her downfall. Big corporations bad, sue them. That won't get you that far here in America. Even the CMA is folding like a pancake.

EU approach has been the only thing that has been good in this case. Get what the consumers want. That cloud approach will benefit everyone in the future.
The EU approach hasn't even been explained. Their approach has been the worst.
 
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The EU approach hasn't even been explained. Their approach has been the worst.
The eu approach won't ask the license from MS.
If you own the game, you can stream it.

That is important for start up business, as they won't have to pay any fees to MS.
 
It's her fault as she didn't think this through.
She is inexperienced in this field and is trying to chew more than she can eat.

Her moto is her downfall. Big corporations bad, sue them. That won't get you that far here in America. Even the CMA is folding like a pancake.

EU approach has been the only thing that has been good in this case. Get what the consumers want. That cloud approach will benefit everyone in the future.
Complete rubbish, she would probably get elected in the UK as PM with her clean cut, intelligent, principled and calm demeanour working in the public interest.

From across the pond, IMO the US system now seems to be repeating the pattern of history of when Britain became a temporary republic because the ruling class did so with zero concern of the masses, that eventually led to the schism of a planned new eutopia democracy in North America by those that had opposed the monarchy of the time.
 
The eu approach won't ask the license from MS.
If you own the game, you can stream it.

That is important for start up business, as they won't have to pay any fees to MS.
No it's not, because all revenue from those games go 100% to Microsoft and start ups get nothing

EU approach has always been approve everything and fine them later
Vince Mcmahon Money GIF
 
FTC had a good case, but the execution of it was bad.
The FTC did a spectacular job on the research they did considering their resources and the fact that Microsoft handed then >1 000 000 documents with tons of crap to hide gems like emails among executives saying they will outspend Sony out of business, and getting Phil's lies out in the open about all future Bethesda games having their Playstation versions cancelled as soon as the acquisition went through.

Where they did fail was during the court sessions because apparently they're all a bunch of rookies in that situation (not enough money to pay for veterans), but I don't know if that would have made a difference considering how hostile the judge (whose son is a Microsoft employee) was to them from the start.
 
MS have gone all out Sony PR style i.e. giving us fuck all.

Damn frustrating. A disservice to Xbox gamers IMO. Yesterday was a significant date that, either way the deal is going, gamers should be updated.
 
The eu approach won't ask the license from MS.
If you own the game, you can stream it.

That is important for start up business, as they won't have to pay any fees to MS.
If you own the game. Who controls where you can own the game? It doesn't make sense to me and as I suspected they didn't put out their report for it.
 
They still get 3 billion even if CAT judge collapses the deal.
But do they get the interest on the $3b between the July 18th and the date that might happen? If not, then ATVI shareholders are being short-changed by Bobby for that amount, and without sound justification for it because he had a conflict of interest of wanting his half a billion exit money from the merger succeeding.
 
Not her fault if the entire justice system is support Microsoft.

The FTC did a good job (far from perfect, but good job nevertheless) in unearthening various damning things and raised significant concerns that easily warranted an injunction.

The whole system, however, is corrupt, and the FTC could only do so much.
Not courrput but completely incompetent.

FTC in Obama and Trump let too many mergers go through that should have been blocked.

And the Judges a lot of the times have sided with the corporations.

The merger between Time Warner and AT&T is a prime example. Whatever promises Time Warner and AT&T made
never paned out in the end.
We look forward to closing the merger on or before June 20 so we can begin to give consumers video entertainment that is more affordable, mobile, and innovative
 
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They still get 3 billion even if CAT judge collapses the deal.

Money isn't free. While ATVI don't get the $3bn from Microsoft, they are in effect giving MS an interest free loan.

Unless MS is upping the purchase price, that is.

Shareholders should be blasting ATVI board and MS for that money right now and a new payout for the next date if the deal should still be blocked.

From right now, ATVI is not being recompensed for the handcuffs on it's business and also not able to act freely to increase the business value.
 
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Money isn't free. While ATVI don't get the $3bn from Microsoft, they are in effect giving MS an interest free loan.

Unless MS is upping the purchase price, that is.

Shareholders should be blasting ATVI board and MS for that money right now and a new payout for the next date if the deal should still be blocked.

From right now, ATVI is not being recompensed for the handcuffs on it's business and also not able to act freely to increase the business value.
Maybe they are making an announcement later today
 
Of course not, it's just this sudden love for a $2.7 trillion corporation that all these liberal publications suddenly felt deep within their hearts.

That and agreeing with all those republicans saying the FTC shouldn't go after Microsoft because they're too big so they should focus on smaller fish instead, i.e. "Microsoft is so rich they're above the law and the FTC should leave them alone".
Telling regulators to leave rich companies alone is totally.a left wing talking point everywhere.
Both parties are owned by the same corporations. When it comes to something like this, both parties are the same. The "two party system" is a sham when Microsoft controls both.
 
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Money isn't free. While ATVI don't get the $3bn from Microsoft, they are in effect giving MS an interest free loan.

Unless MS is upping the purchase price, that is.

Shareholders should be blasting ATVI board and MS for that money right now and a new payout for the next date if the deal should still be blocked.

From right now, ATVI is not being recompensed for the handcuffs on it's business and also not able to act freely to increase the business value.
If the wait is couple of days then I guess doesn't mean much.

But AT&T and Time Warner also extended the deal without increasing the price, making it more certain than ever compared to a month ago.
 
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MS have gone all out Sony PR style i.e. giving us fuck all.

Damn frustrating. A disservice to Xbox gamers IMO. Yesterday was a significant date that, either way the deal is going, gamers should be updated.
When shareholders get no updates it means xbox gamers would be the least of their worries.
 
Big Tech now have more power than governments and regulators
The EU pretty much forced Apple to put USB C on its iPhones, which seems like a pretty major win. Wouldn't say regulators are totally dead yet.

Only question is whether Apple will get away with their shenanigans around slowing down transfer speeds for USB C cables that aren't "Apple approved" (ie where Apple wasn't able to get a cut).
 
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