Former FTC Chair: "Microsoft’s acquisition of Activision has been followed by significant price hikes and layoffs, harming both gamers and developers"

Said this in the other thread so just going to repost here since it's a dedicated topic on the subject:

This should be a warning to anyone (you know who you are) who is willing to throw themselves in the firing line when a cosumer/competition regulator is doing their job and trying to stop/prevent something from happening.

If you find yourself in a situation where you aren't in agreement with them then it's highly likely that you are too stupid to see why they are attempting to do what they are trying to do.

They have the tools and expertise to see things that you can't - let them do their jobs. Trusting corporations over independent bodies who exist to look out for the consumer is insanity.
Better yet, don't trust either. Let them present the facts and decide for yourself.
 
Gotta pay it back. It was the absolutely dumbest move in the history of this industry, for sure, but I go so far as to say it was the dumbest move in the history of any industry, ever. Across the whole of known human history. I'm not kidding. There was literally zero to gain, and the expenditure was astronomical.

How did this happen?
Ehhh, the AOL Time Warner merger was worse. Way worse. $165 billion for AOL. Here's a good example of how bad it was:
In 2002, the company reported a shocking loss of $99 billion, mainly due to a goodwill write-off, leading to a significant drop in its market cap from $226 billion to just $20 billion.
Activision isn't big enough to crater Microsoft.
 
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David Gyasi The Diplomat GIF by NETFLIX

Linda Khan was correct, but also ineffective at her job. Senior lawyers for the FTC were reportedly leaving in significant quantities because of her.

Don't get me wrong, I liked what she said, and she was right, but she couldn't even slow MS down.
 
Linda Khan was correct, but also ineffective at her job. Senior lawyers for the FTC were reportedly leaving in significant quantities because of her.

Don't get me wrong, I liked what she said, and she was right, but she couldn't even slow MS down.

I remember talking about it at the time in the thread. We were all a bit shocked that she didn't object to the judge when it was revealed that the judge's son worked for Microsoft. It was just bizarre.
 
No, Khan was not right.

Microsoft didn't establish a dominant platform.
Microsoft didn't hold the titles as exclusives to muscle out competitors.
Microsoft didn't abuse a monopolistic position that stemmed from the acquisition.
Microsoft doesn't have a dominant platform, it's not a monopoly, and it couldn't muscle out anyone - it's competitors punched it in the throat and stole its lunch money.

The price hikes and lay offs are a result of multiple factors. The natural effects of consolidating businesses of that size means lay offs are inevitable, but Microsoft also added AI on top, resulting in massive waves of layoffs as it seeks to, effectively, replace its human workers with digital agents. The price hikes are a result of Microsoft failing to meet its targets with services like Game Pass, and the resulting pivots away from trying to outspend its competitors. But, there's also inflation, tariffs, and general economic uncertainly stemming from an American trade war that makes no financial sense to anyone, giving every platform holder carte blanche to raise their prices to whatever the fuck they feel like.

The regulators predicted the end of the gaming industry, the collapse of Sony, and a complete monopoly held by Microsoft. Today, we're talking about if Xbox is even going to exist in five years.
 
No, Khan was not right.

Microsoft didn't establish a dominant platform.
Microsoft didn't hold the titles as exclusives to muscle out competitors.
Microsoft didn't abuse a monopolistic position that stemmed from the acquisition.
Microsoft doesn't have a dominant platform, it's not a monopoly, and it couldn't muscle out anyone - it's competitors punched it in the throat and stole its lunch money.

The price hikes and lay offs are a result of multiple factors. The natural effects of consolidating businesses of that size means lay offs are inevitable, but Microsoft also added AI on top, resulting in massive waves of layoffs as it seeks to, effectively, replace its human workers with digital agents. The price hikes are a result of Microsoft failing to meet its targets with services like Game Pass, and the resulting pivots away from trying to outspend its competitors. But, there's also inflation, tariffs, and general economic uncertainly stemming from an American trade war that makes no financial sense to anyone, giving every platform holder carte blanche to raise their prices to whatever the fuck they feel like.

The regulators predicted the end of the gaming industry, the collapse of Sony, and a complete monopoly held by Microsoft. Today, we're talking about if Xbox is even going to exist in five years.
Yup, the fear was Game Pass on every system powered by the cloud, eating up the competition.
 
This is for the gamers.

Gamers want higher prices because it makes them feel rich to have access to such an expensive hobby.
Yes, gamers want higher prices because cheap subscriptions like Game Pass used to devalue games in an unhealthy way.

Now Microsoft have finally course-corrected and took inspiration from Nintendo in order to celebrate the value of both their hardware and software products.

But for some reason, it doesn't seem right? Strange...
 
Linda Khan was correct, but also ineffective at her job. Senior lawyers for the FTC were reportedly leaving in significant quantities because of her.

Don't get me wrong, I liked what she said, and she was right, but she couldn't even slow MS down.

You have to consider the possibility that these lawyers who left are corporate lobbyists, working behind the scenes against the FTC.

If you're in there undercover to defend companies and sabotage the FTC, you'll obviously leave if the head of the FTC forces you to act correctly and prevent acquisitions and mergers.
 
Can't believe I'm saying this but she was right all along


and I ate flocks of crow and a dove with initially supporting the acquisition
She wasn't. The FTC's argument was that MS would have too much power, would be able to dominate the competition and effectively have a monopoly. Not that MS would struggle and have to raise prices because they couldn't attract customers and would have to grow or stabilize revenue by increasing prices.
 
Can't believe I'm saying this but she was right all along


and I ate flocks of crow and a dove with initially supporting the acquisition

And the FTC said as much after last year's price hike.

'In the filing, the agency notes "Microsoft's price increases and product degradation—combined with Microsoft's reduced investments in output and product quality via employee layoffs," and calls them "the hallmarks of a firm exercising market power post-merger."'

 
No, Khan was not right.

Microsoft didn't establish a dominant platform.
Microsoft didn't hold the titles as exclusives to muscle out competitors.
Microsoft didn't abuse a monopolistic position that stemmed from the acquisition.
Microsoft doesn't have a dominant platform, it's not a monopoly, and it couldn't muscle out anyone - it's competitors punched it in the throat and stole its lunch money.

The price hikes and lay offs are a result of multiple factors. The natural effects of consolidating businesses of that size means lay offs are inevitable, but Microsoft also added AI on top, resulting in massive waves of layoffs as it seeks to, effectively, replace its human workers with digital agents. The price hikes are a result of Microsoft failing to meet its targets with services like Game Pass, and the resulting pivots away from trying to outspend its competitors. But, there's also inflation, tariffs, and general economic uncertainly stemming from an American trade war that makes no financial sense to anyone, giving every platform holder carte blanche to raise their prices to whatever the fuck they feel like.

The regulators predicted the end of the gaming industry, the collapse of Sony, and a complete monopoly held by Microsoft. Today, we're talking about if Xbox is even going to exist in five years.
Good point. Linda was right (in the short term) on the consumer protection front, but wrong on the longer anti-competitiveness front, which was ultimately her job to find a strong arguement for.
 
I'd still be in the merger acquisition thread if it hadn't been closed, this outcome was so fucking obvious.
 
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and calls them "the hallmarks of a firm exercising market power post-merger."'
I really don't see these moves as Microsoft flexing it's market power. I see it as a short squeeze on current subscribers as the service plateaus and tapers off over the next few years.

Gamers aren't at all locked into Gamepass, and there is no exclusive content locked behind the paywall. Nexflix is far more anti-consumer with many shows and movies stuck there that you can't access once you leave.
 
Everyone except blatant Xbox shills and grifters knew prices were going up. I don't think people expected them to bungle COD and lose hundreds of millions of dollars in year one on it though.
 
I really don't see these moves as Microsoft flexing it's market power. I see it as a short squeeze on current subscribers as the service plateaus and tapers off over the next few years.

Gamers aren't at all locked into Gamepass, and there is no exclusive content locked behind the paywall. Nexflix is far more anti-consumer with many shows and movies stuck there that you can't access once you leave.

That was what she said after last years price hike. Either way, she is now saying all of this is a result of the merger and I firmly believe she is right. That was a bad deal and it should have been blocked.
 
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Yes, gamers want higher prices because cheap subscriptions like Game Pass used to devalue games in an unhealthy way.

Now Microsoft have finally course-corrected and took inspiration from Nintendo in order to celebrate the value of both their hardware and software products.

But for some reason, it doesn't seem right? Strange...
This is not a celebration of anything, this is the service going near what it actually means to forego all the sales with an insufficient user base.

They painted themselves into a corner.

This is why Sony never adopted this approach, they ran the numbers.

As for "cheap" games, epic can give a couple of games on a weekly basis, Amazon "gives" you games with your Prime sub as well, they just don't give you new releases.

Everybody else understood that to grant access to a game like Call of Duty on release meant the service needed to make billions more for them to recoup the price of the registration.

That also forces gaming companies to raise the price for base games, reduce the occurence of sales, etc. This gives artificial value to the GaaS model Gamepass wants to force down our throats, it's all made up BS, it's all digital, valuation is just whatever the bean counters think you may be willing to pay.

So no, this is not about any company's health, this is about them insisting on making this very high margin business even more predatory to its clients.

If you want phone games, well... just get a phone and don't pollute the ecosystems of actual gamers by encouraging that kind of BS.
 
And the FTC said as much after last year's price hike.

'In the filing, the agency notes "Microsoft's price increases and product degradation—combined with Microsoft's reduced investments in output and product quality via employee layoffs," and calls them "the hallmarks of a firm exercising market power post-merger."'

Exercising what power? You are allowed to do all that shit after a merger - you just can't do it because you unfairly reduced competition through the merger. MS are less competitive now than they were before the merger.
 
Exercising what power? You are allowed to do all that shit after a merger - you just can't do it because you unfairly reduced competition through the merger. MS are less competitive now than they were before the merger.

MS is less competitive with ABK than without? Come on.
 
MS is less competitive with ABK than without? Come on.
Yeah. They are selling less consoles, and making more games multiplatform. Nothing about that says 'we are competing better against the competition than before'.
 
Yeah. They are selling less consoles, and making more games multiplatform. Nothing about that says 'we are competing better against the competition than before'.

That's just consoles and it isn't like Microsoft was setting the world on fire there before the merger. Factually, they control a much larger chunk of the industry now than they ever have.
 
And what "facts" exactly do the corporations present in situations like this?

"Facts" like this? :

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And these? :

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Humans run corporations. Humans run government. Humans are good bad, honest, corrupt, and everything in between. Humans in govt are not inherently more honest than humans in business.

Be skeptical of all.
 
Humans run corporations. Humans run government. Humans are good bad, honest, corrupt, and everything in between. Humans in govt are not inherently more honest than humans in business.

Be skeptical of all.

GHG GHG is giving you concrete examples though. Not incredibly broad statements.
 
That's just consoles and it isn't like Microsoft was setting the world on fire there before the merger. Factually, they control a much larger chunk of the industry now than they ever have.
Isn't that what we were talking about? Well that and cloud but that was always a stupid argument based off of a lack of understanding of the market.
As a software publisher - their competition were salavating at the deal going through - EA management were ecstatic. BF6 probably exists in its current form because of that merger.
 
Not that it would matter to Microsoft, but can they get fined now since they appear to have lied in court about not raising prices?
 
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Humans run corporations. Humans run government. Humans are good bad, honest, corrupt, and everything in between. Humans in govt are not inherently more honest than humans in business.

Be skeptical of all.

I'm all for skepticism, but you referred to "facts". When it's come to all of this there was only one side which managed to provide factual evidence based on previous examples across a multitude of industries. The other side made a bunch of promises and lies that they've failed to keep.

One is empirical, the other is not - so if you're going to be skeptical then you should be more skeptical of the people who are not able to provide you with any evidence or guarantees.

The FTC/CMA can't bill you, Microsoft can.
 
She wasn't. The FTC's argument was that MS would have too much power, would be able to dominate the competition and effectively have a monopoly.
She was right. She didn't say they will dominate consoles. She said it was a foreclosure risk of content and it was, until it was looking like it was blocked in the EU and UK. MS made concessions to get that through. The FTC also mentioned higher prices and layoffs as a result of the merger. She was right about those. Gamepass may not have grown how MS expected but they still command some market power in subscriptions and cloud gaming which gives the the ability to do this in the first place. the FTC and CMA separated these markets. It's just a much smaller pie than xbox had hoped for and so they're in a phase of milking the userbase earlier than expected.
 
Not that it would matter to Microsoft, but can they get fined now since they appear to have lied in court about not raising prices?
You would have to prove that they always intended to increase prices because of the acquisition. Which they would never be stupid enough to put in writing (ok maybe) but it also probably wasn't their intention and this price increase isn't purely about the impact of the merger.
 
Lina Khan fought the good fight, but like most people in her administration and party, she failed miserably. just being on the right side of issues doesnt mean much. you have to succeed. she allowed that judge who was clearly biased and had a huge conflict of interest to preside upon the case. she fucked up an easy slam dunk case. nothing her FTC did stuck as trump came in and dismantled or overturned almost all of it.

They should learn from trump. thats how you get shit done. fucking making nvidia and amd give the u.s government 15% of all their china sales. then he bought a 15% stake in intel. i didnt even know you could do that. all that posturing from these so-called consumer rights activists and what did they get done? nothing. instead they let u.s corporations layoff anyone they wanted. almost 300k tech sector jobs were lost while she chaired the FTC. you are telling me she couldnt slap them with a fine like trump has done with intel, amd and nvidia? how many jobs she couldve saved by not allowing mass layoffs? zero balls. all talk. be a fucking man next time.
 
Lina Khan talks to this guy here about this subject:



I've not watched it myself yet so don't know what she's said but just sharing it before I watch.
 
I just woke up from a 2 year coma you're telling me Xbox spending $70+ billion in acquisitions wasn't so they could be the most consumer friendly and union friendly company???🤯
 
Success doesn't happen within 90, hell even 1000 days, I know it's the answer people want to see but m$ buying activation and call of duty was meant to deliver a message to Sony.
 
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