OpenAI converts to for-profit and targets $1 trillion IPO

EviLore

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Exclusive: OpenAI lays groundwork for juggernaut IPO at up to $1 trillion valuation


SAN FRANCISCO, Oct 29 (Reuters) - OpenAI is laying the groundwork for an initial public offering that could value the company at up to $1 trillion, three people familiar with the matter said, in what could be one of the biggest IPOs of all time.

OpenAI is considering filing with securities regulators as soon as the second half of 2026, some of the people said. In preliminary discussions, the company has looked at raising $60 billion at the low end and likely more, the people said. They cautioned that talks are early and plans - including the figures and timing - could change depending on business growth and market conditions.

Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar has told some associates the company is aiming for a 2027 listing, the people said. But some advisers predict it could come even sooner, around late 2026.

"An IPO is not our focus, so we could not possibly have set a date," an OpenAI spokesperson said. "We are building a durable business and advancing our mission so everyone benefits from AGI."

The IPO preparations signal a new urgency inside the ChatGPT maker to tap public markets now that a complex restructuring is complete that reduces its reliance on Microsoft (MSFT.O), opens new tab. An IPO would open the door to more efficient capital raising and enable larger acquisitions using public stock, helping to finance CEO Sam Altman's plans to pour trillions of dollars into AI infrastructure, according to people familiar with the company's thinking.

With an annualized revenue run rate expected to reach about $20 billion by year-end, losses are also mounting inside the $500 billion company, the people said.

During a livestream on Tuesday, Altman addressed the possibility of going public. "I think it's fair to say it is the most likely path for us, given the capital needs that we'll have," he said.

IPO PREPARATIONS FOLLOW MAJOR RESTRUCTURING

OpenAI started out as a nonprofit in 2015. A few years later, the company overhauled its structure again so that the nonprofit would have oversight and control over the for-profit arm. The main goal of the nonprofit was to ensure that OpenAI developed AI technology safely, rather than prioritizing profits like a traditional company.

This week, OpenAI revamped itself yet again. It is still controlled by a nonprofit, now called the OpenAI Foundation, but the nonprofit has a 26% stake in OpenAI Group and a warrant to receive additional shares if the company hits certain milestones. This change makes the nonprofit a significant stakeholder in OpenAI's financial success.

A successful offering would mark a major win for investors such as SoftBank, Thrive Capital and Abu Dhabi's MGX. Microsoft, one of its biggest backers, now owns about 27% of the company after investing $13 billion.

The deliberations come as AI is driving a surge in public markets. Earlier this year, AI cloud company CoreWeave went public at a $23 billion valuation and has roughly tripled since. On Wednesday, Nvidia became the first company to reach a $5 trillion market value, powered by a rally that has cemented its role at the center of the global AI boom.

The Wall Street Journal first reported on the possibility of OpenAI going public as early as 2027.
 
That's the biggest valuation in history, right?

Get Black Friday GIF by Pudgy Penguins


Gotta get in before the bubble bursts.
 
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One of the biggest, yeah. Looks like Saudi Aramco IPOed at $1.87 trillion, but that's kind of a special case.
Ironically, I used ChatGPT to look that statistic up. And yeah, that's foreign oil for you.

1 trillion is nuts though. For how much I assume AI is going to change humanity, it makes sense. OpenAI is definitely at the forefront, at least in terms of adoption.
 
What could go wrong?

a trillion openai ipo is the perfect beginning for the ai bubble to crash and see many hundreds of billions of dollars go up in smoke and take down the economy with it…
 
The companies involved in ai both software and hardware are investing in each other a sort of corporate centipede except the first is seen to the last one (Japanese keiretsu style).

This IPO needs to succeed and you bet nvidia, oracle, Microsoft, Facebook etc will be buying stock a plenty. Because if the IPO fails to meet its lofty goals the centipede will fail.
 
Bring the whole fucking grift down...crash & burn you cunts, you produce nothing of intrinsic value whilst strip mining the planets envoirement to power it.
 
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Why do i feel like the stock market will be imploding by 2030 and i somehow don't even know why? lmao

Everything feels so incredibly overvalued as we speak it's not even funny.
 
Why do i feel like the stock market will be imploding by 2030 and i somehow don't even know why? lmao

Everything feels so incredibly overvalued as we speak it's not even funny.
Cause you're old enough to remember when companies push too far too fast even when it doesn't make any sense, it ends up imploding every single time.

Like we had the NFT craze only 3 years ago and it was obvious it wouldn't last, but people spent huge amounts of money regardless.
 
Why do i feel like the stock market will be imploding by 2030 and i somehow don't even know why? lmao

Everything feels so incredibly overvalued as we speak it's not even funny.
Aging population. First all the rational and safe pension investments become incredibly over subscribed and the returns become terrible or even negative. Then there is a desperation from professional investors to find anything that promises a yield. Like they have to invest somewhere, they know all the investments are irrational and will go bad, but there is literally nothing for them to do other than give up and go live in cabin in the woods.
 
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Like we had the NFT craze only 3 years ago and it was obvious it wouldn't last, but people spent huge amounts of money regardless.
NFTs were always ridiculous, propped up by the zero interest rate economy.

A lot of hype in AI, but it's also useful and highly disruptive.
 
NFTs were always ridiculous, propped up by the zero interest rate economy.

A lot of hype in AI, but it's also useful and highly disruptive.
I'm not remotely any kind of expert on this stuff. But NFTs felt like people trying to figure out something to do with that technology. That people figured out NFTs were a thing that could be done and so backed into the art stuff trying to figure out something they could be used for. I imagine it's something that people could well find uses for in the future but that intial rush for them felt so forced. It was clearly something the average person couldn't give a fuck about and had no use for. But even if the current AI stuff is a bubble, it is something a lot of normal people are using in a variety of ways.
 
Like we had the NFT craze only 3 years ago and it was obvious it wouldn't last, but people spent huge amounts of money regardless.
There is a bubble, but you can't really compare this to NFTs. They held no intrinsic value irl, other than art pieces.
AI has had multiple applications for years already even for the general public to use.
 
I'm curious but don't understand how they plan to monitize- it just seems like there are a lot of players now
An entire generation of application layer apps are already being built on top of OpenAI's API (and others). It goes well beyond getting people to pay $20/m for ChatGPT as a B2C SaaS, though that's a piece of the puzzle.

Of course, there's no real moat for these models as APIs. The moment they're not competitive on intelligence and price they can be swapped out trivially.
 
NFTs were always ridiculous, propped up by the zero interest rate economy.

A lot of hype in AI, but it's also useful and highly disruptive.

There is a bubble, but you can't really compare this to NFTs. They held no intrinsic value irl, other than art pieces.
AI has had multiple applications for years already even for the general public to use.


Of course, I'm not saying they are comparable, but like sometime you feel like some valuations seems way off, and history proves they sometimes are, because of how people jump on the wagon and destroy it.
 
Ironically, I used ChatGPT to look that statistic up. And yeah, that's foreign oil for you.

1 trillion is nuts though. For how much I assume AI is going to change humanity, it makes sense. OpenAI is definitely at the forefront, at least in terms of adoption.
Yup. It is already making people more dumb. I like it for practical use, that is it.
 
Cause you're old enough to remember when companies push too far too fast even when it doesn't make any sense, it ends up imploding every single time.

Like we had the NFT craze only 3 years ago and it was obvious it wouldn't last, but people spent huge amounts of money regardless.
People just want to get in on the ground floor of whatever they think is the next Bitcoin/Google IPO. Stuff that happened in their lifetimes that they likely missed out on or jumped on "too late" and they don't want to make the same mistake again.

Basically... FOMO.
 
"OpenAI projects it will not become profitable until 2029, ... It also estimates that its losses could reach $14 billion in 2026."

They don't have a "moat", anyone can copy their (money-losing) business model.

They didn't become profitable, they simply declared it.

Infinite value for money!
 
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