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US PoliGAF 2012 | The Romney VeepStakes: Waiting for Chris Christie to Sing…

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Awesome exit poll from SC:

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SC has a 30%ish Black population

Who can blame them after that debate.
 
Bain attacks helped Gingrich grab the low-income bracket.
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/updates/4478

Santorum's not-victory speech had a large focus on the same voters. Will be interesting to see how they split in the next primaries. It looked like Santorum debuted a new populist, help those who need it, message today. His campaign probably recognizes that's where Romney and potentially Gingrich have weaknesses that he can exploit.
 
It's pretty hilarious that the republican primary voters are thinking about getting the least monogamous candidate rather than get a Mormon.

I bet Herman Cain is wondering if he might have had a chance after all.
 
Santorum's not-victory speech had a large focus on the same voters. Will be interesting to see how they split in the next primaries. It looked like Santorum debuted a new populist, help those who need it, message today. His campaign probably recognizes that's where Romney and potentially Gingrich have weaknesses that he can exploit.

I just hope Santorum drops out soon. Come on, guy. You don't have a chance.
 
I just hope Santorum drops out soon. Come on, guy. You don't have a chance.

I'd love for Santorum to drop out so that his support could swing Gingrich's way and we'd get more entertainment out of this primary season but Santorum seems determined, it will probably take at least two more third place finishes for him to hang it up.
 
Another interesting poll:

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Is this a really horrible infographic or am I just reading it wrong? The question says, "If Romney wins the nomination, would you:" then they have columns for each candidate. So is this chart telling me that Romney is only 56% sure he'd enthusiastically support himself, and Gingrinch is 50% sure he'd support Romney with reservations?
 
I want to meet the 1% of Romney supporters who would not support Romney if he were the candidate.

Are they allowed outside unattended.

SC has an open primary I believe anyone can vote.

Is this a really horrible infographic or am I just reading it wrong? The question says, "If Romney wins the nomination, would you:" then they have columns for each candidate. So is this chart telling me that Romney is only 56% sure he'd enthusiastically support himself, and Gingrinch is 50% sure he'd support Romney with reservations?

It is asking people who voted for the candidates, how would they support Mitt as the nominee. So, 31% of Gingirch's voters according to poll would not support Mitt.
 
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Wow. So like 20% of the GOP electorate in SC would not vote for Romney in the general if he wins the nomination? That is a bigger anti-Mormon bias than I thought.

Of course that could change .. . when it comes down to Obama v. Romney their Obama hate could get them change their minds.
 
Is this a really horrible infographic or am I just reading it wrong? The question says, "If Romney wins the nomination, would you:" then they have columns for each candidate. So is this chart telling me that Romney is only 56% sure he'd enthusiastically support himself, and Gingrinch is 50% sure he'd support Romney with reservations?

I think it's asking people who are already decided for one candidate, how they would vote in the general election if another candidate won. Maybe, it's kind of a weird chart.
 

And that's the popular vote. The electoral college would be an even bigger spread.

Yup. Obama's spread over McCain was half that and it was an electoral blowout. Which is why the DNC is continuing to pound on Romney, rather than even comment on Newt. I imagine high-fives going around Obama's camp tonight.

“If tonight proved one thing, it's that the central rationale of Mitt Romney’s campaign is cratering. He came into South Carolina with a 20 point lead - a state where jobs and the economy is the number one issue - and the candidate who hung his entire candidacy on these issues, Mitt Romney, saw his support collapse.

“Why? Because Mitt Romney's been exposed as being out of touch with the middle class, and voters are seeing that he lives by another set of rules. He’s refused to level with voters, and now he’s in trouble. Anyone who goes into a state with a significant double digit lead yet ends up losing that support in a week, is someone who is failing to connect.

blah blah blah

candidate3.gif


Wow. So like 20% of the GOP electorate in SC would not vote for Romney in the general if he wins the nomination? That is a bigger anti-Mormon bias than I thought.

Of course that could change .. . when it comes down to Obama v. Romney their Obama hate could get them change their minds.

We had similar numbers like this from Hillary voters when asked about Obama winning; they fell in line, and those divides were even more bitter. I don't buy into these kinds of questions at this stage in the game.
 
Paul's numbers should be taken out, as his support is not coming from republicans. His supporters either won't vote or will vote for Gary Johnson; some will even move to Obama
 
I just hope Santorum drops out soon. Come on, guy. You don't have a chance.

He doesn't. His money supply is probably dwindling and he will be out after Florida at the latest. Hopefully he drops before, leaving more time for GINGRICH: LEADER (POSSIBLY) OF THE CIVILIZING FORCES to gain more support.
 
So can we officially thank Jon King for handing Gingrich the victory?

Definitely helped him.

We had similar numbers like this from Hillary voters when asked about Obama winning; they fell in line, and those divides were even more bitter. I don't buy into these kinds of questions at this stage in the game.

Agreed, I am more interested in the Paul voters. A lot of independent and left leaning independents and in some cases even liberals are voting for him. How they move in the general election season will be interesting to see.
 
candidate3.gif


Wow. So like 20% of the GOP electorate in SC would not vote for Romney in the general if he wins the nomination? That is a bigger anti-Mormon bias than I thought.

Of course that could change .. . when it comes down to Obama v. Romney their Obama hate could get them change their minds.

Funny how the anit-Mormon issue is more important than Newt being polygamist.
 
My long-standing belief that Obama is the Democratic Reagan would really be driven home if he had his own version of the '84 election.

You guys are crazy. To think,ClintonObama is the next coming of Reagan. LOL

You really didn't forget about him that fast did you?
 
So can we officially thank Jon King for handing Gingrich the victory?
Fox News already said as much.

Did CNN’s John King swing the South Carolina primary to Newt Gingrich?

That’s what several Fox News analysts said on Saturday, including former presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, who said that Gingrich should take King out to a steak dinner for his tough questioning during Thursday night's debate.

King opened CNN’s candidates debate by asking Gingrich a controversial question about an interview ABC conducted with his ex-wife Marianne in which she said the former Speaker wanted an “open marriage.”

Gingrich then attacked King, calling his second wife’s claim “trash” and saying he was “appalled” that King would open a presidential debate with such a question.

Gingrich went on to have another strong debate, and attacking the media has long been a specialty of his.

In his victory speech after his win in South Carolina on Saturday, he took another opportunity to say the media elite was out of touch with the American people.

But it was King's question and the debate that Fox analysts argued swung the vote since a large number of voters were still undecided.

“Taking on the media is always good in a Republican primary,” Fox analyst Karl Rove said. “John King couldn’t have set up the question in a more positive way for Gingrich to just nail it and haul it right out of the park.
”
 
Newt Gingrich can't possibly win the Republic nomination right? RIGHT?!?!?!??!?!?! What in the fuck is this world coming to.

This shit is hilarious isn't it?

If Newt wins the nomination, champagne corks will be popping in the oval office because Obama can go ahead and pencil in 4 more years. Newt has zero appeal to people like me - moderates, centrists, and independents. I think it'll be a worse ass whipping than what McKain got in 08.
 
So far we have

Santorum 1(Iowa)
Romney 1 (NH)
Newt 1 (SC)
Ron Paul 0

What more could the democrats ask for? If Newt wins FL, it's panic mode for Romney.
 
Call me crazy, but I don't think Paul is going to do well in Florida. He's basically going to skip it and focus on smaller states.
Paul will do really lousy in Florida. Iowa, NH, and SC were all 'open' contests that allowed independents to vote. Florida is Republicans only. So in a pure GOP only contest, Paul loses a lot of support.
 
This shit is hilarious isn't it?

If Newt wins the nomination, champagne corks will be popping in the oval office because Obama can go ahead and pencil in 4 more years. Newt has zero appeal to people like me - moderates, centrists, and independents. I think it'll be a worse ass whipping than what McKain got in 08.

obamayeaaaah.gif
 
And that's the popular vote. The electoral college would be an even bigger spread.
True that. An extra four points goes a long way.

If you gave every Democratic candidate an extra four points in 2010, there'd be at least three less GOP governors (OH, FL, ME), two less GOP senators (IL, PA - and WI would be roughly a tie), and a bunch of House seats.

I think Obama would probably take about 56% of the vote against Gingrich, today. Going by the 08 results, that would swing MT and MO on its own, and possibly save McCaskill and Tester - eliminating 90% of Democrats' worries.
 
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