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November 2012 NPD (U.S.) Predictions, including Wii U launch - closes December 3

Damn, that attach rate for Twilight Princess is crazy.

Absolutely nuts.

But yeah, 10%+ attach rate is fantastic, so top 5 games will be selling 40-45k (if 450k Wii U's sold, whatever that ends up being).

5%-10% gets you in the top 10, so #10 selling game is probably going to end up at 20-25k.

And most of these will be called out as "bombas" (god damn I hate that word) when in fact that performance would be pretty strong for a HW launch.
 
And now we play the waiting game.

(And after that we probably play a game of mathematical combinations as we work with the few numbers and broad ranges that we're given to actually figure out other numbers and useful ranges).
 
this NPD will bring back some of the former glory that were the clusterfuck threads of the past

If the other Wii U threads are anything to go by, it should. The Wii U launch generated a lot more meltdowns than either 3DS or Vita (my impression, I could be wrong).

There won't still be any numbers to talk about, though, so that will decrease all the excitement anyway.
 
No one making an official thread? It should be coming out real soon

oh and saw this. Might not be legit tho

https://twitter.com/EA_Jorge/status/276817463855947777

"Based on the NPD numbers just released, not sure how ActiBlizzard says they're over a billion Blops 2 sales. Europe has more sales that NA? "

What usually happens is tweets and stuff filter into here, and as soon as the games ranking comes out, a thread is made, usually by Nirolak or sometimes Road.
 
What usually happens is tweets and stuff filter into here, and as soon as the games ranking comes out, a thread is made, usually by Nirolak or sometimes Road.

Gotcha. Think it's my first time being online on gaf before a npd thread is being made :D
 
If the other Wii U threads are anything to go by, it should. The Wii U launch generated a lot more meltdowns than either 3DS or Vita

They all got banned, though, so there's no one left to meltdown. :P

I believe so.

Yeah, I think it gets released to subscribers after the market close at 4 p.m. Eastern Time, so as to not impact stock prices so late in the day. The press is supposed to sit on any news until 6:30 p.m. Eastern, though, is my understanding.
 
I hope he's not thinking a billion copies instead, surely it can't be :P

the wording though makes it sound like he thinks that way...
 
My predictions:

Wii U sales will be disappointing. Some gamers will claim shortages. Others will argue there are no shortages. Madness and bans will ensue.
 
@majornelson 3:17 PM
Latest #NPD's have been released: #Xbox 360 is number one for the 23rd consecutive month w/ 1.26 million units sold (US) in November
 
The_Joker said:
so there are numbers on twitter...is it safe to post them here or will i get banned?

if the source is reliable/known just link to it, we always go that. yeah.

---

1.26m. so 440k down for 360 yoy.
 
@majornelson 3:17 PM
Latest #NPD's have been released: #Xbox 360 is number one for the 23rd consecutive month w/ 1.26 million units sold (US) in November
Pretty close to the GAF average guesstimate.

Still.. pretty big YoY decline. Maybe they'll actually get Nov -> Dec growth this year.
 
So BF was 60% of the month. I think I remember jvm posting that the BF percentage was increasing every year, didn't he?
 
console sales have been declining all year, and it's only going to keep getting worse. microsoft could have stolen the spotlight with a new console this year.
 
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