It's your team, you make the final decision. Matthew Berry ain't settin your lineup
2014 Fantasy Football Advice Thread
- Thread starter OJdaKiller
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DizzyCaffeine
Member
Holy shit, dude...I have those 3 players too and I NEED at least one of them to go off. And I'm afraid Thomas will give us nothing.
My Bills fucked you. Not Rodgers.
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
Never mind. Look's like Wilson's 9 points will end up being the smart choice.
Ninja Scooter
Member
Well I'm done. Stafford fucked me over for the last time. Snuck into the playoffs at 6-7 and almost made it to the Final so I can't be too mad.
Brees
J Bell
D Murray
O Beckham
J Matthews
M Bennet
J Hill
Rams
J Tucker
has me ahead 119 to 96 right now. He's got Ingram and Graham tomorrow. I think I'm safe for a trip to my Super Bowl. Going for a repeat. It's gonna be a rough day at work for the rest the people in my league tomorrow because the guy winning the other division is a can.
J Bell
D Murray
O Beckham
J Matthews
M Bennet
J Hill
Rams
J Tucker
has me ahead 119 to 96 right now. He's got Ingram and Graham tomorrow. I think I'm safe for a trip to my Super Bowl. Going for a repeat. It's gonna be a rough day at work for the rest the people in my league tomorrow because the guy winning the other division is a can.
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
2 players and 20 points. Even with low end players I would not rest easy with that.
Graham alone could smoke you.
Ninja Scooter
Member
He's got Brees going too though.
And this bit me in the rear... Landry had 17 in my ppr league. Now i need 22 from stills to win. Ugh. Not impossible, but ugh.
Missed our fantasy super bowl by .22 points.
Yikes. That's when you start looking at your bench then closing your eyes in an attempt to go back in time.
Well, that's that for my keeper league. I'm down by 22 and he still has Alshon Jeffery and Mark Ingram to go. Bad performances + injuries screwed me over this week. I was on an 8 week win streak too. Sucks to lose it in the semifinals.
I made it to the finals in my 10 man league though. So I can be happy about that at least.
I made it to the finals in my 10 man league though. So I can be happy about that at least.
2 leagues. 1 I'm almost a lock for the championship, and the other I look pretty good if Graham shows up even a little tonight.
Feels pretty good to have my WR heavy approach validated this year. RBs simply aren't worth the risk. Give me a bunch or late round guys and let me see who pans out. Stack WR.
Down 17 points against Martellus Bennett and have Forte.
Need a miracle.
Was in first place the entire season and now I'm losing to the 4th seed who has Andre Williams and Chris Johnson as his RBs after injuries and Harry Douglas/Mike Wallace as late WR fillers along with Demariyus.
It just feels demoralizing and I'm wholly considering retiring from Fantasy forever,
Need a miracle.
Was in first place the entire season and now I'm losing to the 4th seed who has Andre Williams and Chris Johnson as his RBs after injuries and Harry Douglas/Mike Wallace as late WR fillers along with Demariyus.
It just feels demoralizing and I'm wholly considering retiring from Fantasy forever,
2 leagues. 1 I'm almost a lock for the championship, and the other I look pretty good if Graham shows up even a little tonight.
Feels pretty good to have my WR heavy approach validated this year. RBs simply aren't worth the risk. Give me a bunch or late round guys and let me see who pans out. Stack WR.
Meh. Depends on the league and who you draft. Through injuries trades and other nonsense, I've been in both situations and I'm headed to the finals next week. Everyone is still pretending this is a science. It ain't. Especially after this whacky year.
The Albatross
Member
My fantasy hopes fall on the Bears tonight. My opponent was projected to win by about 15 and I got the game I needed from him, he only put up 95 points (and has NO's kicker tonight). But then my team underperformed gloriously as well, handing me just 65 points, and so I need Forte and Martellus Bennet to get me about 40 points to have a shot. Yahoo's updated projections have me at a 53% / 47%, but that only translates out to about 2 points.
I am with you on that WR-heavy philosophy though it definitely didn't work out for me this year... I ended up with crap at WR and worked hard to put together a productive but lousy bunch. If you're in a deep PPR league, it's almost definitely better to go WR, TE, and QB, and try to get RBs on the waiver wire. The thing with a good fantasy running back is if he gets hurt, his backup is probably going to be pretty good too. This happened with countless backs this year, and there's probably a solid chunk of the 20 or so top performing backs who weren't drafted... and then tons of guys who were drafted who weren't any better or worse.
Unless you can get a sure fire lock of an elite RB in the first round, a guy like Forte, Demarco, or Jamaal Charles, i think it's better to get a top WR or TE.
But looking at your team, you must have a pretty shallow league or playing with people who don't watch football. I'm in a 14 team league so getting AJ Green, Hilton, Bryant, and Lacy would be impossible. It'd be almost impossible to get 2 of those guys.
--edit--
So doing a little research, I agree with your philosophy. Here's screenshots of the Top 25 performing WRs and Top 25 performing RBs:
I've highlighted players in orange who were probably either not drafted in most drafts or drafted very low... late round.
RBs:
WRs:
Now these might be different from league to league, but generally, you have a lot of high performing WR's in a PPR league outscoring the majority of running backs, and only a handful of those top 25 WRs went undrafted or drafted late. I'm thinking maybe the rookies like Mike Evans or Odel Beckhams went undrafted.
In PPR, top 25 vs top 25, WR's typically out perform RBs, and good ones get swallowed up while high-producing RBs are available on the wire throughout the year.
I am with you on that WR-heavy philosophy though it definitely didn't work out for me this year... I ended up with crap at WR and worked hard to put together a productive but lousy bunch. If you're in a deep PPR league, it's almost definitely better to go WR, TE, and QB, and try to get RBs on the waiver wire. The thing with a good fantasy running back is if he gets hurt, his backup is probably going to be pretty good too. This happened with countless backs this year, and there's probably a solid chunk of the 20 or so top performing backs who weren't drafted... and then tons of guys who were drafted who weren't any better or worse.
Unless you can get a sure fire lock of an elite RB in the first round, a guy like Forte, Demarco, or Jamaal Charles, i think it's better to get a top WR or TE.
But looking at your team, you must have a pretty shallow league or playing with people who don't watch football. I'm in a 14 team league so getting AJ Green, Hilton, Bryant, and Lacy would be impossible. It'd be almost impossible to get 2 of those guys.
--edit--
So doing a little research, I agree with your philosophy. Here's screenshots of the Top 25 performing WRs and Top 25 performing RBs:
I've highlighted players in orange who were probably either not drafted in most drafts or drafted very low... late round.
RBs:
WRs:
Now these might be different from league to league, but generally, you have a lot of high performing WR's in a PPR league outscoring the majority of running backs, and only a handful of those top 25 WRs went undrafted or drafted late. I'm thinking maybe the rookies like Mike Evans or Odel Beckhams went undrafted.
In PPR, top 25 vs top 25, WR's typically out perform RBs, and good ones get swallowed up while high-producing RBs are available on the wire throughout the year.
Yeah that sucks man. Is it a PPR league? I'm up 3 with Forte going against Bennett. PPR league so I feel good, but crazier things have happened so I'm anxious.
UberTag
Member
Heading to two championship games next week in 16-team GAF leagues.
On a 9-game win streak in my bid to finally take down the No Quitters money league in my 4th attempt after finishing in the Top 4 each of the past three seasons.
And on a 7-game win streak in my title defense of the Shirtless League championship.
If there are any fantasy leagues on GAF looking for capable competition in 2015, feel free to send me an invite next summer.
On a 9-game win streak in my bid to finally take down the No Quitters money league in my 4th attempt after finishing in the Top 4 each of the past three seasons.
And on a 7-game win streak in my title defense of the Shirtless League championship.
If there are any fantasy leagues on GAF looking for capable competition in 2015, feel free to send me an invite next summer.
Well, the league allows 2 keeper players each season and is a 12-team, so that's how I got Lacy. Then my first pick was Bryant, followed by Green, and I got Hilton in like rd 6. It's .5PPR, so the idea of taking anything but WR early seems nuts to me. Here's my draft:
1. (10) Dez Bryant WR
2. (15) A.J. Green WR
3. (34) Shane Vereen RB
4. (39) Roddy White WR
5. (58) T.Y. Hilton WR
6. (63) Eddie Lacy RB (keeper)
7. (82) Jay Cutler QB
8. (87) Dennis Pitta TE
9. (106) Steven Jackson RB
10. (111) Brian Hartline WR
11. (130) Andy Dalton QB
12. (135) Ahmad Bradshaw RB
13. (154) Cincinnati DEF
14. (159) James Starks RB
15. (178) Dan Carpenter K
16. (183) Benny Cunningham RB
17. (202) Zac Stacy RB (keeper)
I'm up 26.4 and my opponent has Bennett in a PPR league. Have a feeling I'm going to lose. If so, McCoy and Rodgers can go fuck themselves
I have a feeling Rodgers lost it for a lot of people this week. And the Broncos for the last few weeks as well. In my league, everyone with Broncos players have been ousted. There's NO ONE left, lol. McCoy almost screwed me over though. Vultured THREE times. Fucking bullshit. Thank God for Bell.
With that said, I hope you lose. If Bennett goes off I'm in the money for fanduel, Lol.
Standard league :[
On paper I was supposed to destroy him..
Aaron Rodgers
Mike Evans
Josh Gordon
Marshawn Lynch
Matt Forte
Julius Thomas
Justin Tucker
Dan Herron
Baltimore DEF @ JAX
against
Russell Wilson
Demariyus Thomas
Mike Wallace
Chris Johnson
Andre Williams
Martellus Bennett
Harry Douglas
Dan Bailey
Giants DEF @ WAS
had Knile Davis drop 20 pts on the bench..
Basically I need Forte to have 16 more points than Bennett tonight
Hoping for Forte 140 yds 2TDs against Bennett's 40 yds 1TD
The Albatross
Member
I would be smitten with those results. Love how so many people's seasons (mine included) are resting on terrible Bears and Saints teams.
Fantasy football. Gotta love it.
Next week is going to be fun. I'm (potentially) facing a guy who has Cam, Sanchez, and Johnny football as his QBs. I have a Keenan Allen situation to deal with. Picking up Douglass just in case Julio is out and I have Moncrief as well so I'll be watching the injury reports like a hawk.
Love this shit.
I need 20 points from Stills and Graham (40 in total). Let's pray together.
DizzyCaffeine
Member
I'm up by 7 puts, BUT tonight he has Brees and I have Forte.
So what are my chances? I'm feeling like I'm going to lose.
Edit: holy shit, Murray just had surgery on his left hand and is questionable for Sunday. HUGE fantasy super bowl implications!
So what are my chances? I'm feeling like I'm going to lose.
Edit: holy shit, Murray just had surgery on his left hand and is questionable for Sunday. HUGE fantasy super bowl implications!
Junior Asparagus
Member
I'm in 3 leagues this year and it looks like I have a very good shot to reach the finals in all 3. I'm ahead in two of my matchups. In the one I'm behind in, I need Jimmy Graham and Mark Ingram to combine for 21 points and I'll win.
Yeeppppp...he's on two of my teams. So if he doesn't play, I'll probably end up getting 2nd place in those.
Yeeppppp...he's on two of my teams. So if he doesn't play, I'll probably end up getting 2nd place in those.
Holy Shit. Really need Forte/Cutler to keep being mediocre. The guy I'd face next week has Murray.
Nah son. They should throw it to Bennett.
The Albatross
Member
Fucking Bears man.
Needed Forte & Bennet to combine for 40 today. Forte was projected for 25, Bennet for 15, and that's exactly what I needed for a 2 point win in the playoffs.
Of course, they're combining for 15, barely.
Cutler is the worst starting QB in the NFL. For a guy who actually has a secure role, there is no worse player. Of QB's to have secure starting roles (eg, no Zach Mettenberger or Tom Savage, etc), Cutler is the worst starting QB. He doesn't even look like he wants to play. Every time he calls an audible, his teammates look like they don't know what he's doing.
And then you have his offensive lineman basically being like "dude, why didn't you just throw the ball away?"
https://vine.co/v/OgKHm2rZabe
He can't complete 3 yard check down passes... They're all behind his receivers.
Needed Forte & Bennet to combine for 40 today. Forte was projected for 25, Bennet for 15, and that's exactly what I needed for a 2 point win in the playoffs.
Of course, they're combining for 15, barely.
Cutler is the worst starting QB in the NFL. For a guy who actually has a secure role, there is no worse player. Of QB's to have secure starting roles (eg, no Zach Mettenberger or Tom Savage, etc), Cutler is the worst starting QB. He doesn't even look like he wants to play. Every time he calls an audible, his teammates look like they don't know what he's doing.
And then you have his offensive lineman basically being like "dude, why didn't you just throw the ball away?"
https://vine.co/v/OgKHm2rZabe
He can't complete 3 yard check down passes... They're all behind his receivers.
The Albatross
Member
Alright Cutler. Bennet & Forte show. Do it. Resurrect your career.
I will personally buy you a Christmas present if you can get me back into this game. 15 points between those two.
I will personally buy you a Christmas present if you can get me back into this game. 15 points between those two.
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