With what he's done the last 2 years I've been made a believer. I thought the whole thing post 07 was overblown in that he never really found the replacement pieces for posey or Tony Allen, not to mention a new center, and his drafting was beyond questionable. That being said the pierce/kg/terry trade was insane, the courtney lee deal was great, and moving crawford was smart. But if he blows the tank here he's screwing up. They have so many assets, and a ton of good free agents comin up. If they could get a franchise player from the draft, sign a FA, and with some damn solid pieces they have now, they could be a contender in 3 or 4 years.