GreatLord Tiger
Member
Despite my stupidity and large hands I successfully voted for Septimus Prime.
Despite my stupidity and large hands I successfully voted for Septimus Prime.
Can we skip all the foreplay and get to the lynching?
if the person we're lynching is razmos then yeah I'm fine with that.
Despite my stupidity and large hands I successfully voted for Septimus Prime.
To be fair, if I were KGB, I most likely wouldn't be discussing what I think the best strategy for them would be right in this thread like I am doing.Some slightly cooler (less hot) actual reads now that we have some actual words to go on.
Septimus Prime
Burbeting
cabbeh
Zubz
Hobohodo
I kinda wish I had posted this last night, it was certainly a surprise to see so many of that list clustered around voting for GLT, but no, that's not why this group is catching my attention.
With the exception of Septimus, everyone in this group stated an active disinterest in participating in the missions. cabbeh and burbe somewhat less so than Zubz and Hobo but it still stuck out to me.
To be clear, my gut feels strongly that there is a decent possibility of 1 KGB among this group. I very all or even a plurality of them are at this point.
So why did I bring up Septimus? Unfortunately, he reminds me a lot of nin1000. He's most likely agency but my gut makes me suspect that throughout the game he will be difficult to read and generally create more noise than signal. I hope to be proven wrong, as it's still very early in this game.
Still considering my vote.
To be fair, if I were KGB, I most likely wouldn't be discussing what I think the best strategy for them would be right in this thread like I am doing.
I am a little wary of people taking squidyj's Reaganomics calculation from earlier at face value, though. There are just too many assumptions--including that the KGB players would be playing poorly--to be made for that to be viable.
Fuzzy math.I don't understand what you mean by reaganomics here. trickle down? what?
Lets have it out about these assumptions and their reasonableness.
Bunch of wrong stuff
Damn, that's what I get for skimming the posts from over the weekend.
Fuzzy math.
As I mentioned before, the assumption being made is that that KGB would plan to send only one member on the first mission. This makes little sense, for a few reasons:
1. They should be sending as many members as possible so those members can be immune while no one else knows who they are.
2. They should also squeeze out all the regular Agency players from being able to do the mission so they have the advantage of knowing what the missions entail before anyone else knows.
3. Since we're eager to lynch someone, with more KGB members immune, it increases the probability of the player being lynched being Agency.
I know the KGB players are smart and have also figured this out.
I'll follow through then
Vote - squidyj
okay i'm going to ask you now to substantiate your argument against me.
Vote: Cabbeh[\highlight]
VOTE: Cabbeh
Whoops, wrong slash last time
The other problem with the idea is even if we send the wrong group in this scenario mafia can generate a false positive by simply choosing not to kill anyone (this can be alleviated by not immediately lynching but rather allowing the game to drag out for a few no-kill day phases, generating information and reads and potentially forcing mafia to make a move)
yeah if you want to make it a little complicated, 2 top town, 2 top scum. top town is +1, top scum is -1, sum and send.
I'm suggesting this system because hopefully we can use the mission system (at least until we have more information) to protect valuable town players and town assets. that's the goal, to have a system that integrates into the rest of gameplay, that also allows us to extract some value from the mission system. Later in the game we might want to abandon it in favor of something more nuanced or to achieve some other specific goal but for now I think the idea has to be that we want to keep mafia out and good town in.
no, we need to have control, any other system is simply unacceptable.
Unvote: El Topo
I'd like to see more from TheGoddamn. I know it can be difficult balancing this game with timezones and commitments, and I don't expect you to go through everything with a fine-toothed comb, nor respond to everything. Just skim it over, we'll eventually reach a point where we're all skimming over everything anyway.
But you should throw out a vote at least, so we have a record of what you did, which will become increasingly important in the following days. The chances of your single vote leading to a lynch is slight, unless you can create a convincing argument, so that should take some of the pressure off of "getting it right".
Really, Day 1 lynches aren't about "getting it right", but about "getting everyone's voice out" so we have material to work with as information starts to trickle in from night kills, from roles, and from the lynches themselves.
1) Just look at him
B) I've got all this, like, evidence and stuff
3) You've got a squid face and you belong in the Cthulhu game
That's the "gut" part of it
4) Far and away the most posts, with not all of them being meaningful. For example, broken tags
This happened twice I believe.
Also this fluffy exchange with the seath, from post 541 all the way to post 563. It's like, sheesh, just go ahead and make out already.
5) Talking about no-kill day phases
6) This complicated-ass method for voting on volunteers that was suggested as other people are talking about trying to put the volunteer voting aside and focus on lynch voting:
Which was then (too?) quickly explained:
Along with this post still insisting (maybe in jest) that we worry about the volunteer system 100 posts later:
7) squidyj, Palmer, Haly, Hobo, Mazre, Seath (? might be missing some) all seem to know what you're doing, and since the odds are that ~1/5 people are mafia or possibly anti-town neutral, that means one of the more active/experienced players is probably mafia (by the odds) and I am admittedly actively trying to focus on figuring out which of the more talkative/experienced players might be scum. Both because I don't want to be blatantly fooled by somebody who is talking in my face (a pride thing), and because the more talkative players give me more to look at. And you're the one of the more talkative/experienced players that happens to set off my squid alarm, for the actual reasons above + gut.
So, nothing personal (besides your squiddy face), I do have some actual reasons, maybe they're bogus but hey I'm new at this.
You think i'm the best lynch because I'm an easy target.
I already defended myself, and none of your accusations hold any ground at all.
Not active enough? I've been really busy and my timezone sucks for this game.
Not enough substance? It's day one and I'm sorry if I'm not coming out with grand theories or attacking random people for no reason.
You even said that i'm not posting that much which is bullshit, I am nowhere near the bottom of the rankings for posts.
Just admit it, you think I'm a bad player and an easy target and you want an easy lynch on the first day. It would make more sense than all the stupid accusations you are throwing my way, and that's probably why nobody is taking your bait.
My conviction that roy is mafia is stronger than ever, although I must admit I haven't read any of his posts since my accusation. Unless he's presented convincing evidence to the contrary they wouldn't change much anyway.
I'll follow my gut feeling this game.
To be fair, on day one, everybody's voting with their gut.Does anybody else think this post is kinda weird? You basically say that you are more convinced about me while giving exactly 0 reasons for it, except your "gut". You even confess you didn't read any of my posts before answering. There is no way for me to defend against this kind of accusation, and thus it will create no valuable responses from anybody.
Shoot. Better up my post count, quick, then.
To be fair, on day one, everybody's voting with their gut.
With the exception of Septimus, everyone in this group stated an active disinterest in participating in the missions. cabbeh and burbe somewhat less so than Zubz and Hobo but it still stuck out to me.
Counterpoint: The mafia knew that we would come to the conclusion that missions would have at least a one in four chance of having a mafia member, and deliberately delayed their volunteering so that the first mission would be all townies, giving them free rein over the town if they have special powers. Splitting the agency populace might be to their advantage, and losing access to the first night's mission chat-- given the lack of knowledge about missions-- is a calculated sacrifice. But this is crazy, right?
As said before, it's very likely that at least one of the volunteers is KGB.
Arkos and Tiger are both new, so like me, I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt.
Even though Palmer voted for me, it was one of the efforts that spurred me to start participating more, and I also understand the sentiment that keeping Palmer, if he is a townie, is invaluable.
Mazre's being immediately on the ball as regards volunteering-- a minute after Ourobolus kicked off the game-- is cause for concern. So,
Vote: Mazre
Again, sorry for not voting right away; I underestimated the time at which votes were expected.
Counterpoint: The mafia knew that we would come to the conclusion that missions would have at least a one in four chance of having a mafia member, and deliberately delayed their volunteering so that the first mission would be all townies, giving them free rein over the town if they have special powers. Splitting the agency populace might be to their advantage, and losing access to the first night's mission chat-- given the lack of knowledge about missions-- is a calculated sacrifice. But this is crazy, right?
Few of those towards the bottom could be an issue. A lot of their posts aren't super useful either. Giving them the benefit of the doubt for now.
Well, it looks like it ultimately comes down to a difference in values, then. I disagree, but I doubt I'd be able to convince you of that...OK I've been reading back and noticed cooljeanius has been giving some thought of why he's going after squidy, though I think his logic is pretty poor. Sure, some mafia do play the chatty game, but that's creating opportunities where slip-ups can happen. People that post infrequently/fluff are much more troublesome to weed out and should be given priority in these early stages.
With the exception of Septimus, everyone in this group stated an active disinterest in participating in the missions. cabbeh and burbe somewhat less so than Zubz and Hobo but it still stuck out to me.
To be clear, my gut feels strongly that there is a decent possibility of 1 KGB among this group. I very all or even a plurality of them are at this point.
Gonna follow my gut for now, and that's pretty much all I'm going on with this:
Vote: Zubz
Can we lnych Crab?
I'll get the choking robot ready if you'll bring him down to the lab~
I'll get the choking robot ready if you'll bring him down to the lab~
I love your new avatar!
Ah, good 'ol Fister Roboto. I was wondering when you'd show up!
As information in this game is key, experienced player such as Mazre and Palmer are more likely to be my guess as KGB since they know how to find good leads thanks to their russian special training.
People who are opting to change the volunteering process should be townies/drones as they are trashing mafia's plan.
Alright, caught up with the thread again and it seems the votes go the way of picking someone of the original volunteers instead of lynching an inactive player. I don't really have a problem with that, I still think the mafia will have 1 guy in this mission simply to have access to the chat, but I also think it doesn't give us a huge advantage, it gives us 1/4 chance instead of 4/18 (assuming there are 5 mafia members, which I know is kinda a guess, but we can really only guess at the number of mafia at this point). So I am still in favor of damage control and lynch a player that isn't as active, I have looked at the posts mike hawk made after my vote, and it only increased my suspicion:
This reads like he is trying us to vote for a player with a lot of experience and skill, which would hurt us a lot if they turn out to be town after lynching. I don't think it is a good idea to target potential valuable town members in day 1 since it is basically a guess who we lynch.
I don't agree with this at all. Yes, I know I am probably the most vocal advocate to change the volunteering process, but I expect there will be at least some mafia hiding in the group of people that support me in this. The mafia will never risk it to put all their eggs in one basket and only be against my idea, that would be stupid, instead I think they will spread their members around to all sides of the argument, which will make it harder for us to find them. So automatically calling everyone that is for a different system town is a mistake.
So in summary mike_hawk didn't say a whole lot, and I kinda disagree with the things he DOES say. Does that automatically make him KGB? defiantly not, like he himself said he is fairly new to this, but still, on day 1 there is so little to go on, that I will stick with my vote for now.
Everything you're doing is wrong.
First of all you should not be hunting active players giving lots of information, not at this point in the game. Even if I think palmer (for example) might be mafia I'm not going to lynch him day 1 because If I'm wrong I've just fucked town in an incredibly fucking stupid way, I will have engaged in bad strategy. Even if I'm right I know from experience that talkative mafia have a tendency to talk themselves into a corner later on so I can afford to give him enough rope to hang himself.
So this means everything up to your number 5 is garbage.
You need to reread the post you quote for number 5 because you're clearly not getting it since you're talking about day kills, which is not the subject of my post. So 5 is garbage as well.
6. You don't want people bringing up solutions to problems in the game because apparently that's distracting but by god if we're going to distract town we'd better spend pages doing it. If there's something you don't understand about what I proposed feel free to ask but I think it's been explained so far.
I'd like this to be the "gentleman's agreement":
1) We move down the list of volunteers with every day
2) Cannot volunteer while you're on the list (no queueing up multiple days)
3) Same queue rules as was established. If you unvolunteer and revolunteer, you go back to the end of the list
This way people who really want to get on that mission can do so just by being patient. KGB will have a hard time exploiting it for their own ends, nor can they do so without raising suspicion. This will not need to be managed anymore than Ouro is already managing the volunteer list, there's no subjectiveness here, it's plain for all to see.
7 goes back to your earlier stuff and has already been addressed.
Now, tell me why you volunteered so quickly for the mission if you're new and you don't know what you're doing.
And just for clarity, I was volunteering because a) I want to see what it's all about, b) it's cool, duh, and c) I'm afraid yall will lynch me if I stick around because I'm new and you don't know anything about me. I'm a pleb drone, village ftw.
I mistakenly thought volunteers can't be lynched that day. Although still, if people agreed on ones volunteering it might lessen the chances of lynching. But mostly that part of my motivation was a misunderstanding of the rules.
Arkos' post on voting for squidyj seemed pretty bizarre, half of it was joke reasons and the other half weren't very credible
then cooljeanius just agreed and hopped on the bandwagon.
I'm not gonna lie though, squidy's soaked comment and follow through got him pretty close to a principle lynch. DId you spike your own drink?!
Are any reasons generated on Day 1 really going to be that credible?
I actually agree this is kind of suspicious lol. If my reasons are so bad then it is kind of strange for somebody to follow me so quickly. But I just like to think that cooljeanius is a smart dude and gets it.
I still don't understand what this is about, can somebody explain it like I'm 5? What's a principle lynch?