turtlepowa
Banned
That's too simple. Many kids own a Ps4 and many adults own a Switch, because it's perfect when the Tv is blocked by wife/kids or for their way to work. And i really doubt that TLOU2 can beat Uncharted 4 in sales.
Best selling exclusive of 2020?
- Thread starter OliverKahn
- Start date
Makoto-Yuki
Banned
TLOU took about 6 years to hit 20 million.
Best selling PS4 exclusive = Spiderman which came out in 2018 has sold 13.2 million
New Horizons hit 13.4m in a month and a half.
good luck to TLOU2 is all i'll say...
Best selling PS4 exclusive = Spiderman which came out in 2018 has sold 13.2 million
New Horizons hit 13.4m in a month and a half.
good luck to TLOU2 is all i'll say...
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I think it will beat Uncharted 4. This series has a huge fanbase that was looking forward to this game for years. It's similar to how RDR2 sold more in one week than part 1 did in eight years.
New Yorks Finest
Banned
I was going to say Cyberpunk cause no game coming near by a mile, game of Generations,, Period.....but then I saw, posted exclusives, and that damn poll.
..easy vote, TLOU2 by a double landslide.
..easy vote, TLOU2 by a double landslide.
MightySquirrel
Banned
Cyberpunk 2077 /
why is this even a question.
why is this even a question.
S77
Member
So how many copies do you think it will sell? because animal crossing will probably be north of 20 million by the end of the year
manfestival
Member
this thread is dumb. Cyberpunk isnt even on the list as an option or other great games... oh I know why... console wars. Gotta love peasants who want to fight over dumb stuff
New Yorks Finest
Banned
That is ridiculous, are there avatar bets here cause I'ld love to take one on this prediction. first the witcher 3 hasn't sold over 50 million copies, the series has, by the time the witcher 3 came out 1 and 2 were already at 10 million copies and given the sales breakdown the witcher 3 is at 26-33 million copies and the witcher 3 includes millions of sales from countries where game consoles are much much rarer that the last of us will never sell well in. Second the last of us has taken years to reach 10 million on ps4, uncharted 4 took 4 years to reach 16 million, you really think it is going to sell 3 times+ as well as uncharted 4?. The only way the last of us 2 will ever reach anywhere near the witcher 3's 40 million is if they released it only PC where it can enjoy being resold forever all over the world at some really low prices. So unless you are thinking it will reach 50 million+ after the ps6 last of us ultimate collection in 2030 or something that prediction is just silly.
Lionel Richie
Member
People saying TLOU2 are delusional. It will be closer to a 2:1 advantage to Animal Crossing than TLOU2 taking the lead.
and that still leaves that last of us 2 with an incredible probably 10 to 13 million copies this year and that would make it by far the fastest-selling ps4 exclusive, which is totally resonable.
Lionel Richie
Member
well you know, silver medal in the Olympics is only so-so at best and bronze is downright shameful.
Lionel Richie
Member
Vawn
Banned
It won't even be close. Animal Crossing is going to be the best selling exclusive of the entire generation for any console.
Animal Crossing is like the Wii - it's selling millions to people who don't even normally play games. It's the biggest factor in Switch consoles being impossible to find. The AC Special Edition is $750.
Animal Crossing is like the Wii - it's selling millions to people who don't even normally play games. It's the biggest factor in Switch consoles being impossible to find. The AC Special Edition is $750.
Amazon.com: Nintendo Switch - Animal Crossing: New Horizons Edition - Switch: Video Games
Amazon.com: Nintendo Switch - Animal Crossing: New Horizons Edition - Switch: Video Games
www.amazon.com
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jeffyjaixx
Member
Animal crossing will win just because of the casual gamer market, it's a lot bigger than the hardcore fanbase that The Last of Us 2 is more catered to.
S0ULZB0URNE
Member
Might be something else but AC has no chance of beating TLOU2 in sales or review scores.
animal crossing is already at 15 million or more, it would have to double the sales rate of spider-man, a t rated game that is both excellent and based on spiderman to just catch up with animal crossing. Do you really think that is reasonable?
Review scores, yeah probably naughty dog's games tend to score 93+ so it will top AC 91 with the only outside chance being people disappointed in a lack of multiplayer, which I admit is very unlikely
and 3 others
Banned
Anecdotal, but 50% of the women at my work who never plays games, have a Switch and Animal Crossing.
S0ULZB0URNE
Member
Frogman_676
Member
animal crossing. Nintendo planned this all along, dropping a life sim game during covid xD
OliverKahn
Banned
again Ridiculous.
turtlepowa
Banned
Coolio McAwesome
Member
TLOU2 will be heavily discounted in its lifetime, whereas Animal Crossing won't be. Also, TLOU2 might be remastered in the future, while Animal Crossing won't be. Those are the only reasons TLOU2 is even in the conversation. At the end of the day, Animal Crossing has a much wider appeal and most people are going to recognize it as the better game. TLOU2 might reach 20 million with enough price cuts and a re-release, but Animal Crossing will reach that level without breaking a sweat.
Type_Raver
Member
Before reading the opening post, i was like, "unless some huge surprise Nintendo announcement hits us, its gonna be TLOU 2".
Then I saw the OP, and realised i forgot all about Animal Crossing! Thats a surprisingly massive hit and i doubt anything will dethrone it.
Then I saw the OP, and realised i forgot all about Animal Crossing! Thats a surprisingly massive hit and i doubt anything will dethrone it.
AV
We ain't outta here in ten minutes, we won't need no rocket to fly through space
Totally true, but the attach rate on AC is already practically double what SM is - there are about twice as many PS4s in the wild without SM that are potential sales, obviously, since the box has had so much longer to sell.
This isn't about what sold better in what time frame, 6 weeks is more than enough time to see the bulk of AC sales and SM can keep going too, and AC will absolutely outsell SM at the end of the day. The point is simply that the figures are very similar and it may be a helpful indication, in conjunction with TLOU1 sales, on roughly how well it's going to do. I think you'll be surprised at just how many that thing sells. We're still in somewhat of a lockdown and we've had no big releases for a long time now.
OliverKahn
Banned
Please take a look at Nintendo switch 1st party legs before stating that.
1st quarter and current LTD
BOTW - 3.84 million, 18.1 million
MK8D - 3.54 million., 24.77 million
Splatoon 2 - 3.6 million, 10.13 million
Super Mario Party - 1.5 million, 10.10 million
Super Mario Odyssey - 9.2 million, 17.41 million
SUper Smash Bros Ultimate - 12.07 million, 18.84 million
Self
Member
C'mon that isn't even a real game.
Let us exclude shovelware from the equation.
That 1.5 year is false if you are going to do a comparison atleast do it right.
13.2 million Figure is from last July 28,2019. That's only 10 months SMH
.The numbers for Spider-man could be closer than 20M. Gamstat shows 26M Players or users for it.
Although animal crossing might outsell Spider-man in the following months and that's well deserved. Animal Crossing is a great game.
OT:
Tlou 2 is an m-rated game and a very violent game.
Also, AC:NH is also breaking records in Japan.
We know the numbers for Animal crossing and we know that it will win already. T
How about we do a more interesting comparison?
Ghost of Tsushima or paper mario? Both games will be releasing on the same month.
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AV
We ain't outta here in ten minutes, we won't need no rocket to fly through space
Yes, some games sell more later.. what's your point? You've just shown that Smash is an example of a game thay made the bulk of its sales in the initial period, other titles like Zelda were available at console launch and were always going to sell more over time. AC came out at a time where there was a Nintendo drought, 50+ million people owned a device, and there was a worldwide epidemic. Until we get more data on AC specifically it's very reasonable to imagine it's already made most of its sales
But that really isn't the point, you keep tunnel visioning on specific parts of what I'm saying as if I'm attacking Nintendo in some way, it's weird
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It's not really a game built for the YouTube/Twitch generation, it'd be like watching someone play "Theme Hospital" or "Sim City", yeah it looks boring but the person playing it is having a great time.
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This year obviously Animal Crossing but pan forward 5 or 10 years and Part II will be way ahead. Part 1 sold ridiculous amounts of copies but was a reasonably slow burner at the beginning and built up a fan base via years of acclaim and an early PS4 remaster which is how three quarters of people played it. It's often on sale for very low prices on psn and amazon whereas Nintendo games are never cheap. Nobody will still be buying this release of animal crossing in 10 years but people will still be buying Part II on their PS6.
Ogbert
Member
Nah. AC will still be selling. Hell, there will probably still be Switch bundles with the game.
It will be by far the biggest selling exclusive of this gen.
S
SpongebobSquaredance
Unconfirmed Member
When TLOU2 hits 20 million sold copies, the next AC will be on the horizon and sell another 15 million in a month. No chance!
Lionel Richie
Member
Now THAT is a good conversation. Paper Mario has always been a decent but not unreal seller, like the Infamous series. That's what a close race looks like. Animal Crossing is not on that level. Animal Crossing is going to outsell TLOU2 and GOT combined.
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