That may have been true when it wasn't appreciating. In fact, most of those people are now regretting their decisions to spend their bitcoins on goods and services. For example, the guy who apparently purchased a NES for $220,000. That will kill anybody's desire to spend bitcoins on goods and services. Read through this thread, and you will see that almost all of the interest in bitcoin is as an appreciable asset. Legal bitcoin transactions were small to begin with, and as bitcoin appreciates relative to currencies, those transactions will only decrease.
Bitcoin was always appreciating. And I actually had my best sales week when Bitcoin reached $1000 in the Chinese market. I already made a counter-argument to a similar post above, but I'll bite nonetheless. The guy that purchased a NES did not purchase it for $220,000. He purchased it for a very reasonable price, and the value of the currency has increased since. That's a huge difference. This story may encourage long-term traders to hoard their Bitcoins, but means absolutely nothing to short term traders. And I have read this thread. The fact that's it's an incredibly exciting investment opportunity has done little to discourage people from buying stuff from my store. Or buying premium accounts on file sharing sites. Or paying for their VPNs. Or donating BTC on Reddit. Furthermore, for every $220,000 NES story, there is a story of someone selling their BTC or buying something with it at the correct time. The guy that bought a NES made a bad bet on the currency. The people who bought BTC for $0.10 a piece, and bought cars and homes with it right before it plummeted from $260 to $90 made a good bet. Just because there is a bad time to spend BTC does not mean that there is not a good time to spend it.
I don't have a problem with anybody who wants to needlessly barter in bitcoin, even though I think it just increases risk by increasing the number of transactions beyond what is necessary. My biggest beef is with those who believe that as a private currency it is superior to the public currency of national governments or should replace it. But if somebody wants to use bitcoins to make transactions (and get needlessly hit with fees every time they want to withdraw real money from the bitcoin), by all means have fun. At least until the number of bitcoins remaining reaches 0.
The fees you're talking about are present for all currency exchanges. If I want to transact in Euros, and only have USD, I will be charged a fee in the exchange. There are very specific reasons for wanting to use another currency. I'd want to use the Euro if I was going to Europe. I'd want to use Bitcoin if I wanted to make anonymous purchases, move a large sum of money without additional fees or financial scrutiny, or to prevent governments from forfeiting my assets. Also, I also have a beef with people who believe private currency should replace fiat. However, I wholeheartedly believe that the two can be used in tandem, and both have advantages.
Nope. I'm not sure what the relevance is, but this is a misunderstanding of fiat monetary systems. The function of modern currency is conditional upon national governments imposing tax obligations on its citizens and accepting payment in its currency. Fractional reserve banking (1) doesn't exist; and (2) has nothing to do with national currencies.
Modern currency is not conditional upon governments imposing tax obligations. Tax obligations are good policy, and necessary for the sustainment of regulatory bodies, but currency is not based upon them. Governments simply use it as a medium to impose tax obligations. The currency itself is based upon central banking systems (e.g. the Federal Reserve) that sell securities to national governments and banks. This IS the fractional reserve system at work. How can it be non-existent, if it's the system used by most economies in the world? Maybe you're trying to make some philosophical argument. If so, I'd be more than willing to hear it. Otherwise, I really don't know what you mean.
Sorry, but to say that with bitcoin, deflation only occurs when the economy is growing is incoherent. I think you mean to say that deflation occurs when people are buying into bitcoin? But bitcoin is not "the economy." Deflation is precisely people buying into a currency at the expense of the real economy (real goods and services). It works the same way with bitcoin as it does with real currency. I certainly understand that deflation was a built-in feature of bitcoin. Unfortunately, it's a "feature" that is attributable to its designer's economic ignorance, at least if the purpose was to create a currency.
When I said "the economy," I was referring to the Bitcoin economy. Your argument is invalidated by the fact that Bitcoin is not some arbitrary and useless way of denominating US dollars. Neither does it merely exist within Mt. Gox, Coinbase, etc. Bitcoin has sparked a full-fledged creation of wealth, from the BTC mining industry, to the dozens of great Bitcoin related services available today. Not to mention all the money it has saved online vendors in transaction fees, and all the cross-continental transfers of money it has facilitated.
Oh, and an additional point. Deflation for Bitcoin and deflation for regular currency may look similar, but have vastly different effects on the economy. Deflation in Bitcoin encourages mining, which increases the security of the P2P network, and encourages vendors to use it as a payment system. Deflation in fiat currency increases the value of real debt (be it your regular mortgage, or debt between financial institutions), which hurts the economy in innumerable ways. Yes, deflation for ANY currency may discourage spending to some extent, but its effects on the concept of debt are a lot scarier.
(1) Transacting in bitcoin is riskier than in a real currency. Anything that multiplies the number of transactions is going to carry more risk for the parties doing the transacting. Not only does transacting in bitcoin increase the number of transactions, it also interposes another market within the transaction, making the transaction even riskier.
The problem here is that you're ignoring the fact that Bitcoin is a currency, not a "digital envelope." Read above, please.
(2) That bitcoin is (arguably) cheaper than credit card processing for a merchant is likely a temporal phenomenon that will not last, because if bitcoin transactions were to grow, the "free market" would likely ensure eventual parity with banks in that regard. In both cases, you're just dealing with a third party intermediary who has an incentive to squeeze out as much for itself from the transaction. It also is not cheaper for the purchaser, who using services like coinbase has to pay money (1%) to convert his dollars or other currency into bitcoin before the transaction can occur. I personally have no desire to needlessly increase the cost of all of my purchases by 1%. Needlessly complicating transactions usually does not render them cheaper, so I do not see any ultimate value in bitcoin in this regard.
Bitcoin is not just ARGUABLY cheaper than credit card processing. It is FACTUALLY cheaper than credit card processing. Go, check out authorize.net and bitpay.com, and tell me what you see. The free market would not ensure eventual parity with banks, because the two systems are entirely different infrastructures. Banks and credit card companies act as central authorities for overseeing and logging these transactions, and as a result have incentive to squeeze vendors on fees. Bitcoin is not a centralized system. There is no central authority. There is no company overseeing these transactions. It is a fully automated process facilitated by tens of thousands of individual miners, who are paid for their troubles via creation of new Bitcoins. This is the genius of Bitcoin. There are no central authorities overseeing the transactions.
In regards to the Coinbase fees (which are smaller on other exchanges): Do you believe that there is a currency exchange in the world that does not charge a fee?
A private company has real assets and creates a product or service and is therefore not inherently worthless. Gold is a physical good that has actual utility and is not inherently worthless. Bitcoin is a social construct and is inherently worthless. If it does not have utility (and I would argue we will come to find out that it doesn't), then it is valueless.
All currency is a social construct. Is all currency inherently worthless? Check your logic please. It lacks utility? How about free transactions? How about anonymity? How about security? How about its ability to move an infinite volume of money without financial scrutiny? How about its invulnerability to chargeback fraud? Please address this.
I can write an X on a piece of paper and call it a "real commodity." And, sadly, that may still have more utility than bitcoins at the end of the day. It is not that I think a digital envelope for sending currency can't work or provide some utility, but when it has been designed in such a manner as to encourage hoarding of the envelopes rather than sending of the envelopes, then it loses all of its possible utility. And if it has no possible utility, then it is "a fake and incredibly vague service/product."
If you wrote X on a piece of paper, nobody would give a shit. That's one difference. Bitcoin is not just an envelope. Read above please. I'm not going to keep repeating myself, because I hope hearing it twice or thrice will be enough. If it's not, there's no point in talking in circles.
QUOTE=empty vessel;91518388]
Bitcoin is the product that its purchasers are supposed
to use. But you are writing about it now as though early bitcoin adopters
are investors.
This is the very problem with bitcoin. It cannot be both a currency and a capital asset. And everybody is treating it like a capital asset. Which makes it nothing. I'm not calling Tesla a pyramid scheme either. Tesla builds cars, and knows the difference between the consumers of its product and its investors. Tesla was not designed so as to have its own investors hoard its own product. You see how such a business is designed to fail, right, eventually leaving the investors with loss?
[/QUOTE]
1. No idea where you're getting all of these false notions. People invest in currency all the time. Lookup Forex.
2. Everybody is not treating it like a capital asset. There are people who are, and there are people who are not. People are also using it to purchase goods and services (some of which are bought from my business). People use it to send money to their families without being put under financial scrutiny or being charged fees. People use it to hide their savings from seizure. Get your facts straight and do some research.
3. I wasn't equating Tesla to Bitcoin. I was merely pointing out that a single similarity does not create equality between two things, and I provided examples. Yet, here you go, committing the same fallacy I was talking about. You CANNOT compare a company to a currency. They are wholly different markets with their own nuances.
QUOTE=empty vessel;91518388]
Because at some point bitcoin won't be worth $10,000,000, but $0. In fact, that is entirely knowable right now; it is just the point at which it reaches $0 is unknowable. Again, it is not that an electronic envelope in which to send money could not be a viable product. But when the envelope itself is treated like a capital investment, that is what renders it a pyramid scheme.[/QUOTE]
This is not entirely knowable right now. As long as as Bitcoin wallets exist, and as long as people could still use it to move money, Bitcoin will not be $0. it might drop to $0.0001 in the distant future (if for example, a superior form of cryptographic currency replaces it), but there will always be some use for it. And for the tenth time: It is NOT a product. It is a currency.
You continually express ignorance of how Bitcoin actually works. I appreciate healthy skepticism, and I encourage dissenting opinion to fuel discussion, but we're going to be talking in useless circles until you learn a bit more about the currency.