Support NeoGAF

[kswiston]

Blair Witch ded

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/t...-snowden-26m-db-14m-wtbb-14m-squad-1m/?page=9

Blair witch must have had no walk up business with that reverse in forutunes from Deadline's matinee report. I rarely see them off by such a large margin.

Busty continues his being right streak.

 

[FTF]

Oh wow that's terrible for BW :/

 

[Alrus]

Found Footage genre is truly dead it seems.

 

[M.W.]

Good. It's trash.

 

[Chamber]

Blair Witch ded

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/t...-snowden-26m-db-14m-wtbb-14m-squad-1m/?page=9

Blair Witch in 2016....

 

[kswiston]

Book of Shadows opened to $13M over 15 years ago.


At least Blair Witch was cheap. Deadline reported $5M budget and an estimated $20M marketing I think.

 

[kswiston]

The hilarity is that DC flops curbstomp most Marvel films. Even with dat Avengers bump, Thor 2 got punked out by SS.

And before anyone says Will Smith, it's been a long time since he was a draw.

Worldwide, Suicide Squad will top 8 of the 13 MCU films. China keeps Guardians of the Galaxy ahead. Since Avengers, anything starring Iron Man has been nearly untouchable.


I do think that Will Smith Helped out Suicide Squad, but obviously it was a number of factors. Margot Robbie's Harley, and the Joker were probably bigger draws than Smith.

 

[DeathyBoy]

Worldwide, Suicide Squad will top 8 of the 13 MCU films. China keeps Guardians of the Galaxy ahead. Since Avengers, anything starring Iron Man has been nearly untouchable.


I do think that Will Smith Helped out Suicide Squad, but obviously it was a number of factors. Margot Robbie's Harley, and the Joker were probably bigger draws than Smith.

And Batman.

The real test for Marvel is hitting a billion without Iron Man. GOTG 2 has a good shot at it. And of course, it'll be interesting to see if WW can hit big numbers without Batman cameoing.

 

[overcast]

I think Wonder Woman will do disappointing unless there are some great reviews.

Gonna be interesting.

 

[kswiston]

I'm not really expecting Guardians of the Galaxy 2 to break $1B. I expect the domestic gross to be fairly stagnant (maybe increasing to the $350-375M range), which would mean that the overseas gross would need a 45-50% increase.

Unless foreign exchange rates start to recover, I don't really see that happening. $850-900M might end up being a more achievable target.

 

[Mix Master]

Hulk 2008 made 280M$? holy shit that's low for a 150M budget.

GOTG ain't touching 1B Get outta here with that garbo.

The hilarity is that DC flops curbstomp most Marvel films. Even with dat Avengers bump, Thor 2 got punked out by SS.

And before anyone says Will Smith, it's been a long time since he was a draw.

you sound like you have a personal investment in these films dude get over yourself, Batman and goddamn superman got curbed stomped by a movie with stupid fucking Ant-Man in it.

 

[Schlorgan]

Batman and goddamn superman got curbed stomped by a movie with stupid fucking Ant-Man in it.

It couldn't even beat Spider-Man 3.

Spoiler

I think Spider-Man 3 is WAY better than BvS.

 

[DeathyBoy]

Hulk 2008 made 280M$? holy shit that's low for a 150M budget.

GOTG ain't touching 1B Get outta here with that garbo.



you sound like you have a personal investment in these films dude get over yourself, Batman and goddamn superman got curbed stomped by a movie with stupid fucking Ant-Man in it.

The fuck is this shit - it was a film with every major MCU character save for Thor/Hulk/GOTG. No shit it made more money.

And I'm only invested in throwing shade at Thor 2. Which it deserves.

 

[3N16MA]

It couldn't even beat Spider-Man 3.

Spoiler

I think Spider-Man 3 is WAY better than BvS.

Only 6 superhero films have beaten SP3. All of them feature Batman and Iron Man.

 

[GhaleonEB]

Looks like the official estimate for Blair Witch is $4m, including previews. It's going to crater. (Which I'm okay with, as it was dreadful.)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

Sully slaying all comers.

 

[trembli0s]

Eastwood is a god

 

[kswiston]

Suicide Squad's 7th Friday is larger than BvS' entire 7th weekend.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

Really an incredibly bad number for Blair Witch. It's weekend will fall well short of the infamously poor second one, and the number won't be much higher than what the original made in 16 days while being in 31 or fewer theaters.

Given the high quality of the horror film breakouts this year, I'm pretty certain the reviews falling of a cliff this week decimated The Blair Witch.

 

[kswiston]

Boxoffice.com updated their long range forecasts.

New Films:

Arrival - $27M opening weekend / $95M total
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - $22M opening weekend / $103M total
Almost Christmas - $16.5M opening weekend / $46M total
Shut in - $5.5M opening weekend / $13M total


I have no idea why Arrival and Billy Lynn are opening on the same weekend. It seems like they would have a decent amount of demographic overlap.



Next weekend should be a stronger weekend with Magnificent Seven and Storks.

 

[Ross61]

Boxoffice.com updated their long range forecasts.

New Films:

Arrival - $27M opening weekend / $95M total
Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - $22M opening weekend / $103M total
Almost Christmas - $16.5M opening weekend / $46M total
Shut in - $5.5M opening weekend / $13M total


I have no idea why Arrival and Billy Lynn are opening on the same weekend. It seems like they would have a decent amount of demographic overlap.



Next weekend should be a stronger weekend with Magnificent Seven and Storks.

When does the review embargo on Storks end?

 

[MHWilliams]

The hilarity is that DC flops curbstomp most Marvel films. Even with dat Avengers bump, Thor 2 got punked out by SS.

And before anyone says Will Smith, it's been a long time since he was a draw.

This is what I keep saying. The decent box office despite being really bad means the WB/DC ceiling is real high if they'd just make a good movie.

 

[BronsonLee]

This is what I keep saying. The decent box office despite being really bad means the WB/DC ceiling is real high if they'd just make a good movie.

Watch the first good one hit 900/a billy

 

[MHWilliams]

Watch the first good one hit 900/a billy

Easily, as long as it's not Aquaman or Cyborg. I think a great Wonder Woman will probably get to $750-800 million. Swole Batman and Justice League? Sky is the limit.

 

[inm8num2]

This place is quieter than usual. Here, have some weekend estimates.

1 Sully $22,000,000
2 Blair Witch $9,650,000
3 Bridget Jones's Baby $8,240,715
4 Snowden $8,023,329
5 Don't Breathe $5,600,000

 

[Penguin]

This place is quieter than usual. Here, have some weekend estimates.

1 Sully $22,000,000
2 Blair Witch $9,650,000
3 Bridget Jones's Baby $8,240,715
4 Snowden $8,023,329
5 Don't Breathe $5,600,000

Sadly what happens when there isn't a film to champion or chide.

Probably won't really pick up again until Doctor Strange.

 

[Count of Monte Sawed-Off]

It'll be funny when Blair Witch makes less than Book of Shadows: Blair Witch 2!

 

[Mix Master]

@MHWilliams what do you mean sky's the limit, BvS made 8something hundred Million not that far from 1B so I can only see JL growing by 2-300M.

But i think Ultron numbers are DC and Marvel's ceiling, but we'll have to wait and see about the effects of 'Superhero Fatigue'.