Boehner: Nation on the path to default if Obama doesn't give concessions for ACA

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I agree with you.

I think the primary problem is in the most heavily gerrymandered Republican districts. The constituents there are so extreme in their libertarian/conservative beliefs that a more moderate Republican heavily funded by Wall Street has little chance of pushing them out. Districts where such moderate Republicans still exist risk getting primaried by more conservative candidates. Depending on how the lines have been drawn, this could lead to yet another candidate Wall Street can't do much about taking the district, or the extremist views of the new candidate handing the district over to a moderate, Wall Street backed Democrat.

It's those hard right districts that Wall Street is struggling with, I think.
This is certainly a problem, but only insofar that Boehner is willing to cater to them. Most probably he does so because it profits himself (and only himself) at this point. That all goes out the window if he lets the Tea Party steer the US into default, because that means he overshoots the grandest of payouts and ego trips, but it's dead-on for infamy and begging on a street corner.
 
Ok, too many posts to respond to here. Some informative stuff and some spewing of hate (which is to be expected)

People have been ignoring my underlying questions though, and if the general theme here is, "debt isn't inherently a bad thing" (which I agree with and understand), again, at what point is there too much debt? Is there such thing as too much debt? If there is no such thing as too much debt, why would any country ever actually pay off its debt?

Why shouldn't the USA go into $50T of debt then?

First thing first. Let's get one thing out of the way. Debt Ceiling that is being talked about is a giant misnomer. Debt Ceiling is raised periodically so the government can pay debt that is a done deal, it doesn't prevent debt from increasing next year.
 
Obama will probably cave to this anyway. It's only a matter of time.
I really hope that Obama does not back down, but he will probably make concessions.
I don't care about the ACA, Obama better cave in, letting this country default now would be disastrous.
Watch closely.
That was outstanding. The "point" was so stock-perfect that I had no idea where they were going with it. Then I say the byline of the counterpoint.

Ok, too many posts to respond to here. Some informative stuff and some spewing of hate (which is to be expected)

People have been ignoring my underlying questions though, and if the general theme here is, "debt isn't inherently a bad thing" (which I agree with and understand), again, at what point is there too much debt? Is there such thing as too much debt? If there is no such thing as too much debt, why would any country ever actually pay off its debt?

Why shouldn't the USA go into $50T of debt then?
I think you're just sort of fundamentally misunderstanding what the debate over the debt ceiling really is, and especially the debate surrounding this shutdown which wasn't described as having anything to do with "teaching a hard less about too much debt" so much as about delaying the funding of already-signed law to prove a point- of some kind. I think if you were more familiar with it, you'd understand that the shutdown/debt ceiling fight are not only not the answers to your questions, they're actually totally unrelated.

The debt ceiling in America is essentially a manufactured problem. It, bizarrely, does not put a ceiling on our debt.
Because expenditures are authorized by separate legislation, the debt ceiling does not actually restrict deficits. In effect, it can only restrain the Treasury from paying for expenditures that have already been incurred.
In other words, the debt ceiling in practice is not a limit on how much debt we can have, but a functional limitation on our ability to pay that debt back. A fixed or "lowered" debt ceiling would do nothing to reduce or restrict government spending or deficits, it would just make it much harder to legally pay for all the things that we'd still be spending money on anyway.

So why did we do this to ourselves? Pure politics. Congress loves the debt ceiling, because it gives them a bargaining chip to use in a sort of cavalier hostage-taking manner in budget negotiations. Because Congress is responsible for both writing the budget and raising the debt ceiling itself, while the President is the one that actually has to spend the money as instructed... they can basically yell at the President for being fiscally irresponsible while being both the source of the problem and the possessors of the only solution. It gives Congress the ability to say "beg me." What it doesn't do is reign in spending or make America more fiscally responsible.

I'll summarize it with this still from CGPGrey's 4-minute video you should really watch on the topic:
jfZe0jzUu6Giy.png
Whether or not you think the United States should be spending as much money or it is or how much debt is too much debt and so on, is a surprisingly unrelated discussion.
 
Reading the op, you would think Boehner was president, the way he's talking.

Would someone talk down to the president that way if it was Bush still in power?
 
I think the Republicans will fold. If not, option 2, Obama unilaterally raising the debt ceiling.

.

I've seen multiple posts calling them traitors, domestic terrorists, etc ...

so? They are terrorists. Does that mean its a good idea to arrest them? No
 
Ok, too many posts to respond to here. Some informative stuff and some spewing of hate (which is to be expected)

People have been ignoring my underlying questions though, and if the general theme here is, "debt isn't inherently a bad thing" (which I agree with and understand), again, at what point is there too much debt? Is there such thing as too much debt? If there is no such thing as too much debt, why would any country ever actually pay off its debt?

"Too much debt" is whatever the market thinks is too much debt. Basically, it becomes too much when interest rates start going up enough that it becomes difficult to pay back.

So the answer is that we don't know. Theoretically, at some point interest rates should start to climb as a signal that the market doesn't want US debt as much anymore, or thinks it's high risk, or what have you. But it's quite possible that we'll never reach that point as long as GDP is growing. Certainly as things stand now, with bondholders actually paying the US (in real, not nominal terms) for the privilege of holding US treasuries, we're nowhere near that point.

Note that the consequences of too much debt are loss of faith in US treasuries and rising interest rates. These are also the consequences of failure to raise the debt ceiling and the resulting default.

If you are concerned about the consequences of too much debt, you should be in favor of raising the debt ceiling for the same reasons.

Why shouldn't the USA go into $50T of debt then?
Sure, it's a reasonable question. There has to be some point where the debt is too much and the markets rebel, right? If we tried to dump $50T of treasuries on the market right now (I don't know how this could actually happen in practice, but let's just say...), then supply would far outstrip demand, rates would spike in order to find buyers, etc etc. It would be a disaster. But it doesn't follow that $50T is "too much debt." It's quite possible that decades from now, we will have $50T in outstanding treasuries and things will be totally fine. There's not a hard limit.
 
"Too much debt" is whatever the market thinks is too much debt. Basically, it becomes too much when interest rates start going up enough that it becomes difficult to pay back.

So the answer is that we don't know. Theoretically, at some point interest rates should start to climb as a signal that the market doesn't want US debt as much anymore, or thinks it's high risk, or what have you. But it's quite possible that we'll never reach that point as long as GDP is growing. Certainly as things stand now, with bondholders actually paying the US (in real, not nominal terms) for the privilege of holding US treasuries, we're nowhere near that point.

Note that the consequences of too much debt are loss of faith in US treasuries and rising interest rates. These are also the consequences of failure to raise the debt ceiling and the resulting default.

If you are concerned about the consequences of too much debt, you should be in favor of raising the debt ceiling for the same reasons.


Sure, it's a reasonable question. There has to be some point where the debt is too much and the markets rebel, right? If we tried to dump $50T of treasuries on the market right now (I don't know how this could actually happen in practice, but let's just say...), then supply would far outstrip demand, rates would spike in order to find buyers, etc etc. It would be a disaster. But it doesn't follow that $50T is "too much debt." It's quite possible that decades from now, we will have $50T in outstanding treasuries and things will be totally fine. There's not a hard limit.
The one thing saving us is low interest rates on the debt. If they rise much more, all taxes will go towards paying off the debt.
 
This is really fun to watch, I gotta be honest. It will be very entertaining to see US default on its debt, US credit rating to be downgraded, and stock market to crash all because of 40 people.

Won't be fun when people end up homeless or dead because of this.

The people responsible for this should go to prison.
 

This is really interesting when you think about it.

So much industry in the US is dependent on lobbying to operate. Whether is be a chemical company that needs the EPA to look away, or a brokerage that needs to skirt the SEC, industry really relies on government to be able to operate freely. If you have a group like the Tea Party, which is truly independent, of course Wall Street is going to be freaking out, because Wall Street can't play unless the deck is stacked.

Will this result in more responsible private entities that try to operate within the law, because they know they can't just call up their personal slave in DC and have them push through some deregulation? Prolly not.

It is really telling how indignant some of the quotes in that article are. They are angry with Tea Partiers because they aren't dependent on lobby money, and therefore aren't helping their firms. Before this crisis, I'm sure people on Wall Street would say that they donate money to support democracy, and that elected representatives are beholden to their constituents, but now that it's the 11th hour they're just coming out and screaming, "WE CAN'T MAKE THESE PEOPLE DO WHAT WE TELL THEM BECAUSE THEY'RE NOT TAKING OUR MONEY!"

I'm surprised people haven't seen it. It was playing nonstop for a few days during the 2010 election cycle I believe before getting banned. But alot of people got scared shitless and voted in a republican congress because of it.

I'm Canadian, so my view of this whole thing is a little different. From up here I do get the sense that the Republican Party is much more popular than people on here are saying. I truly hope they get beat down in the next election, but who knows. Everyone up here thought Gore was gonna beat Bush.
 
I've seen multiple posts calling them traitors, domestic terrorists, etc ...

That's exactly what they are. They are actively working against the American people and actively harming innocent people over a petty crusade. They are nothing less than criminals and traitors in my eyes.
 
Just wanted to say thanks to Hawkian and Cyan for posting reasonable answers and some sources. I'm gonna bow out of this one with whatever dignity I have left lol
 
As a newer member, I'm curious: Is Neogaf usually a Democrat-leaning community, or are the Republicans in general finally getting the crap they freaking deserve?
 
As a newer member, I'm curious: Is Neogaf usually a Democrat-leaning community, or are the Republicans in general finally getting the crap they freaking deserve?

The forum does lean left, however the United States also leans far right comparatively, and keep in mind posters are from many countries.

Additionally, Republicans, crossed the line from being an asshole during negotiations, to, taking hostages.
 
The forum does lean left, however the United States also leans far right comparatively, and keep in mind posters are from many countries.

Additionally, Republicans, cross the line from being an asshole during negotiations, to, taking hostages.

This is just not true. Remove gerrymandering and Democrats would have a supermajority in House.
 
As a newer member, I'm curious: Is Neogaf usually a Democrat-leaning community, or are the Republicans in general finally getting the crap they freaking deserve?

NeoGAF is very liberal for the US. At least the voting part of the country. The media, and by extension the public, are blaming Republicans and Obama almost equally. More blame Republicans, but not that much more.

This is just not true. Remove gerrymandering and Democrats would have a supermajority in House.

You sure about that? Democrats gerrymander too.
 
as a Liberal Canadian looking down from up north..... I feel sorry for Americans who just want nationalized health care but can't get Insurance Reform passed because Right Wingers are against it.
 
This is just not true. Remove gerrymandering and Democrats would have a supermajority in House.

The US is far right compared to most first world countries.
 
This is just not true. Remove gerrymandering and Democrats would have a supermajority in House.

Supermajority? Dude Republicans got 52% of the popular vote, Democrats 45%. Let's not skew the facts here. The truth is, the US is relatively a far-right country. The choice is between far-right and centre-right.
 
Supermajority? Dude Republicans got 52% of the popular vote, Democrats 45%. Let's not skew the facts here. The truth is, the US is relatively a far-right country. The choice is between far-right and centre-right.
Nope, they got 52% of the house. But he dems won the popular vote by 3%.

this basically means that the party make-up of congress is off from what it should be by 10%
 
Supermajority? Dude Republicans got 52% of the popular vote, Democrats 45%. Let's not skew the facts here. The truth is, the US is relatively a far-right country. The choice is between far-right and centre-right.

We don't have a proportional representation system. My assertion is that with straight geographical districting that dems would likely end up with a supermajority. You don't need 75% of the total votes to win 75% of the seats.
 
Sure, but that's not what I was disagreeing with.

republicans controlled most of the gerrymandering in 2010. Thus those gerrymandering districts favored republicans. Its pretty absurd when democrats win the popular house vote, but become a minority party thanks to gerrymandering.
 
I recall there was talk about a way President Obama could raise the debt ceiling himself but that it had never been done before so it was legally questionable. The justification had to be air tight if it was challenged. However if it was cleared by the courts then it would clear the way for all presidents to tell congress to go to hell when trying to hold this over them. Obama has been saying that isn't on the table, etc. However I wouldn't be surprised if it was and that they had a full presentation ready to justify it if they had to do it.
 
Right. Lol.
They did.

[G]errymandering is a major form of disenfranchisement. In the seven states where Republicans redrew the districts, 16.7 million votes were cast for Republicans and 16.4 million votes were cast for Democrats. This elected 73 Republicans and 34 Democrats. Given the average percentage of the vote it takes to elect representatives elsewhere in the country, that combination would normally require only 14.7 million Democratic votes. Or put another way, 1.7 million votes (16.4 minus 14.7) were effectively packed into Democratic districts and wasted.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/03/opinion/sunday/the-great-gerrymander-of-2012.html?pagewanted=all
 
I'm Canadian, so my view of this whole thing is a little different. From up here I do get the sense that the Republican Party is much more popular than people on here are saying. I truly hope they get beat down in the next election, but who knows. Everyone up here thought Gore was gonna beat Bush.

To be fair, more people actually voted for Gore than Bush. Similarly more people voted for democrats in the 2012 House elections than for republicans.
 
There is an argument to be made that the Democratic base is more liberal then the mainstream wing of the party but lacks the concentrated and virulent support to form a Tea Party-like movement.

Not that it places the average american citizen as necessarily more progressive then his Canadian/British/Australian counterpart.

America is Center Left.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UR0GcpBC8M8&list=WL1D62149764015251

And it's only going to get more progressive.

Was considering citing this, but I think it gives too much credit to a few wedge issues that have been given their prominence intentionally by the right.
 
I'm Canadian, so my view of this whole thing is a little different. From up here I do get the sense that the Republican Party is much more popular than people on here are saying. I truly hope they get beat down in the next election, but who knows. Everyone up here thought Gore was gonna beat Bush.

Well, Florida gonna Florida.

Gore probably *did* beat Bush.
 
as a Liberal Canadian looking down from up north..... I feel sorry for Americans who just want nationalized health care but can't get Insurance Reform passed because Right Wingers are against it.

Honestly I really wouldn't be horribly upset about the Affordable Healthcare Act. I see it as a temporary thing to get to single payer. What really upsets me is precedent of passing/repealing laws by holding budget hostage and that the GOP is doing it.

After 2014, assuming the Dems get full control, we need some amendments:
1. No legislation through budget.
2. No gerrymandering.
3. A way for the people to dissolve Congress and have some sort of temporary representative, nonpartisan body that addresses critical things like budget until elections are made. I
4. No filibuster.
 
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