matthewwhatever
Member
Really? I think Raitt has a pretty good shot at winning. She won't be at the top of their first ballot -- I'm predicting right now it'll be either Leitch or Bernier, just based on the fundraising totals so far -- but she'll do better at drawing second-choice support than anyone else. Her main competition here is Scheer (a Harper-esque so-con, which means he's able to mask vile beliefs with blandness) and Erin O'Toole (who seems oddly beloved by CPC partisans because veterans, or something).
This is just incorrect and based on completely misguided assumptions. You can't swap out one trading partner for another. Last year, we did $2.5B in trade with the U.S. *every day* (the number is about 2x higher if you add in investments). Canada-EU trade last year was $93B for the whole year -- in other words, equal to about one month of the US-Canada trade relationship. Even with CETA, there's no way that we're suddenly going to increase trade with the EU tenfold. Shipping across an ocean is a whole lot harder than simply driving across a border. As terrifying as the prospect of a Trump-led US may be, the idea of the US-Canada trade relationship diminishing in any way should terrify you way, way more.
The list of CPC leadership candidates includes (but is not limited to, since a few people have said they're interested but haven't formally filed): Chris Alexander, Maxime Bernier, Steven Blaney, Michael Chong, Kellie Leitch, Dan Lindsay, Deepak Obhrai, Erin O'Toole, Lisa Raitt, Andrew Saxton, Andrew Scheer, and Brad Trost
The list of NDP leadership candidates: *tumbleweeds*
Peter Julian quit his job as House Leader to explore a leadership run, and that's the extent of the NDP race so far, unless you want to count Cheri Dinovo being in then out then in then out. Niki Ashton and Charlie Angus are probably going to run as well, based on everything they've said. Jagmeet Singh is apparently debating whether he wants to jump to the federal level, or just wait until Andrea Horwath gets wiped out in the next Ontario election and then go for the ONDP leadership. It'd make sense to jump in before the end of year to get two calendar years for fundraising instead of just one, but no one wants to do it.
Basically, even though the party is floundering (less than $1m raised last quarter, and I'm told they still have more than $5m in debt from the last election), no one wants to be seen as too eager -- partly because, as maharg said, they have an aversion to long, expensive campaigns; partly because there were no leaders-in-waiting actively organizing against Mulcair and ready to step in and take over; and partly because of Mulcair himself. As long as he's leader, putting your name forward means that it'll cause some tension, as every decision Mulcair makes will get run by leadership candidates in the hopes that they can manufacture some "NDP caucus dissent!" headlines.
The CPC leadership race is getting more headlines because there's an actual race with actual policy debates happening (plus being the Official Opposition doesn't hurt).
It's not my country or my country's politics, and I love Elizabeth Warren) but it'd be nice if the Democrats could run someone who isn't 70+ (which is what Warren will be come 2020). Personally, I'm putting my cross-border hopes in Kamala Harris.
So when does your perma-ban start? I was hoping there'd at least be that silver lining to a Trump win.
Well, in terms of GDP USA is ranked #1 with 18,561,930 Millions and the EU is ranked #2 with 16,518,723 Millions.
So basically, if we can get CETA ratified, and the USA pulls out of NAFTA... we are swapping one Major World Economy for another Major World Economy which are separated by only a couple percentage points. Short term it would be painful because we would need to give our businesses time to swap all of our business deals for the EU equivalent ones, but in the long term it would end up like the situation we are in now
This is just incorrect and based on completely misguided assumptions. You can't swap out one trading partner for another. Last year, we did $2.5B in trade with the U.S. *every day* (the number is about 2x higher if you add in investments). Canada-EU trade last year was $93B for the whole year -- in other words, equal to about one month of the US-Canada trade relationship. Even with CETA, there's no way that we're suddenly going to increase trade with the EU tenfold. Shipping across an ocean is a whole lot harder than simply driving across a border. As terrifying as the prospect of a Trump-led US may be, the idea of the US-Canada trade relationship diminishing in any way should terrify you way, way more.
You know, we've been talking a lot about the potential Conservative Party leadership (and rightfully so given how concerning it is that they seem to be pulling the CPC further to the right), as have a number of pundits, but not about the NDP leadership. Why not? Is the prospect of, say, Olivia Chow not as interesting as Maxime Bernier? Or is the fear of the right returning to power so soon more frightening given the current conservative climate of candidates?
The list of CPC leadership candidates includes (but is not limited to, since a few people have said they're interested but haven't formally filed): Chris Alexander, Maxime Bernier, Steven Blaney, Michael Chong, Kellie Leitch, Dan Lindsay, Deepak Obhrai, Erin O'Toole, Lisa Raitt, Andrew Saxton, Andrew Scheer, and Brad Trost
The list of NDP leadership candidates: *tumbleweeds*
Peter Julian quit his job as House Leader to explore a leadership run, and that's the extent of the NDP race so far, unless you want to count Cheri Dinovo being in then out then in then out. Niki Ashton and Charlie Angus are probably going to run as well, based on everything they've said. Jagmeet Singh is apparently debating whether he wants to jump to the federal level, or just wait until Andrea Horwath gets wiped out in the next Ontario election and then go for the ONDP leadership. It'd make sense to jump in before the end of year to get two calendar years for fundraising instead of just one, but no one wants to do it.
Basically, even though the party is floundering (less than $1m raised last quarter, and I'm told they still have more than $5m in debt from the last election), no one wants to be seen as too eager -- partly because, as maharg said, they have an aversion to long, expensive campaigns; partly because there were no leaders-in-waiting actively organizing against Mulcair and ready to step in and take over; and partly because of Mulcair himself. As long as he's leader, putting your name forward means that it'll cause some tension, as every decision Mulcair makes will get run by leadership candidates in the hopes that they can manufacture some "NDP caucus dissent!" headlines.
The CPC leadership race is getting more headlines because there's an actual race with actual policy debates happening (plus being the Official Opposition doesn't hurt).
She seems like a good potential candidate, but i'd bet more on Elizabeth Warren running. Only problem is her becoming president would result in a Democratic seat lost and possibly replaced with a Republican one.
It's not my country or my country's politics, and I love Elizabeth Warren) but it'd be nice if the Democrats could run someone who isn't 70+ (which is what Warren will be come 2020). Personally, I'm putting my cross-border hopes in Kamala Harris.
so who does Canada GAF think it he most ''normal'' Conservative candidate?
So when does your perma-ban start? I was hoping there'd at least be that silver lining to a Trump win.