FunkMiller
Banned
Good. This even further reinforces the fact, that the current vaccines will not stop or contain the virus.
Please try to think about, and look at, other countries than America.
Good. This even further reinforces the fact, that the current vaccines will not stop or contain the virus.
Prospective German government eyes coronavirus lockdown for the unvaccinated
Responding to the criticism, the parties have agreed on stricter measures for the non-vaccinated, including requiring them to get a negative test before travelling by bus or train, public broadcaster ARD reported Monday.
Greens' leader Robert Habeck told the evening TV news on Sunday evening that, in simple terms, the proposed rules amounted to a "lockdown for the unvaccinated." That echoed restrictions that have just entered force in neighboring Austria, where vaccine numbers are lower and infection numbers even higher than in Germany.
You can think about herd immunity as something achieved at a given point in time, and given contact level. In this sense of the word, the UK may achieve herd immunity to Delta over winter, as the booster + natural infections cause the virus to run out of hosts. That doesn't mean the virus can't come back if immunity wanes or a new variant emerges, but it does mean it can be controlled in the short term.There will never be a herd immunity with COVID-19. But you're right with controlling the peak ofc.
But we will have to wait and see how the situation develops over the next few years. Maybe the vaccination rates will not be so important and very specific antiviral and well-tolerated drugs will be easily and cheaply available for everyone. The virus continues to mutate, of course, and it may also become much weaker and less dangerous and eventually not play a role at all. This would of course be by far the worst option for the pharmaceutical industry.
?Please try to think about, and look at, other countries than America.
edit: nvm :<So Austria is already imposing a lockdown for the unvaccinated only.
We're treading on a slippery slope in my opinion with all these restrictions that a government can impose with a snap of a finger. They're also giving the wrong ideas to other European countries, I'm sure.
For those of you who follow this shit when are they going to relax the rules for booster eligibility (US)? All my friends are lying to get theirs but I want to be a good citizen and not jump the line but I want a booster as I got my second shot back in April.
It depends on what your definition of herd immunity is. Whooping cough is the best example of what we might expect with COVID going forward. It is an endemic infection with periodic epidemic outbreaks. We have a vaccine that is 80 -90% effective and which fades overtime and requires boosters over time that have limited take-up. And we have a high risk population (babies in the case of whooping cough).There will never be a herd immunity with COVID-19. But you're right with controlling the peak ofc.
Memoli believes that the COVID-19 vaccines…could hamper people's ability to develop natural, robust protection against the virus through infection.
it's complicated bro. gotta look at it in context of these numbers...So Austria is already imposing a lockdown for the unvaccinated only.
We're treading on a slippery slope in my opinion with all these restrictions that a government can impose with a snap of a finger. They're also giving the wrong ideas to other European countries, I'm sure.
All they do is present the facts, they link all the paperwork. What more do you want?both those guys are dumbasses. even cursory literature review puts their claims into question. but that don't matter on youtube where people find channels that say what they want to believe dressed up in faux science
edit:
Pfizer’s new COVID-19 protease inhibitor drug is not just “repackaged ivermectin”
Pfizer recently announced that its new protease inhibitor-based drug was 89% effective in preventing hospitalization due to COVID-19 and it is seeking an emergency use authorization for it from the FDsciencebasedmedicine.org
The vaccinated did they part, the anti-vax didn’t. Now they can learn the great adult privilege of being responsible for your actions.So Austria is already imposing a lockdown for the unvaccinated only.
We're treading on a slippery slope in my opinion with all these restrictions that a government can impose with a snap of a finger. They're also giving the wrong ideas to other European countries, I'm sure.
that's a very naive view of the body of scientific literature. that dude doesn't even understand the articles he's reading. overconfident idiots with youtube channels are a good way to reach cognitive closure because they and their audience don't recognize how incompetent their "independent research" is. there's zero checking of their output by anyone with relevant expertise.All they do is present the facts, they link all the paperwork. What more do you want?
The majority of the virus is spread by vaccinated people. In my personal circle, it is exclusively vaccinated people who have spread the virus.
Not quite. Look up the base rate fallacy to see the error you are making.
I don't see anything wrong with that.
Many vaccinated people often get sick without symptoms, but pass the virus on to vaccinated and unvaccinated people.
If you don't understand it now, you will understand it in 2-6 weeks, when politics and the media have reached the point of publicly acknowledging it. I will quote your post again at that time.
All they do is present the facts, they link all the paperwork. What more do you want?
So Austria is already imposing a lockdown for the unvaccinated only.
We're treading on a slippery slope in my opinion with all these restrictions that a government can impose with a snap of a finger. They're also giving the wrong ideas to other European countries, I'm sure.
Jesus. You’re right.
The next thing you know they’ll be telling us we have to wear belts in cars, give them some of our money every month, and stop us taking cocaine.
Run for the hills!
That's debatable. Last time I checked the vaccine is not mandatory in EU, outside of specific jobs that are of increased risk.The vaccinated did they part, the anti-vax didn’t. Now they can learn the great adult privilege of being responsible for your actions.
The vaccine is not obligatory. You neither have the right to go to restaurants, cinemas, cafés, etc.That's debatable. Last time I checked the vaccine is not mandatory in EU, outside of specific jobs that are of increased risk.
I just don't see how punishing and singling out a part of the population with an all-out lockdown is helping anyone. Demanding negative rapid tests for most indoor activities on the other hand sounds more fair and logical for those who choose not to take the vaccines.
I just don't see how punishing and singling out a part of the population with an all-out lockdown is helping anyone. Demanding negative rapid tests for most indoor activities on the other hand sounds more fair and logical for those who choose not to take the vaccines.
If zero percent of people are vaccinated, then no disease is spread by vaccinated people. If 100% of people are vaccinated, then all disease is spread by vaccinated people.
You said that the majority of the virus is being spread by vaccinated people. Do you see the problem now? It involves denominators.
It depends on what your definition of herd immunity is. Whooping cough is the best example of what we might expect with COVID going forward. It is an endemic infection with periodic epidemic outbreaks. We have a vaccine that is 80 -90% effective and which fades overtime and requires boosters over time that have limited take-up. And we have a high risk population (babies in the case of whooping cough).
Through mass vaccination in children, plus boosters especially for pregnant women, we effectively have herd immunity - ie the majority of the 'herd' has sufficient immunity to keep epidemics contained and make it very unlikely that the at risk population that lacks immunity comes into contact with the disease.
What is the data that is leading you to this conclusion?Again, this is all true, but it does not change the fact that whether the vaccination rate is 70% or 100%, it will not change the current case rates.
It can be. What do you feel about the other vaccines that are already mandated, and what is the prevalence of those diseases in our modern society?My point is simply that we need to stop blaming everything on the unvaccinated and accept that vaccination cannot and will not be the final solution to this virus (to avoid occasional regional overloads of the health system).
Also, do you understand how you are making a base rate fallacy?Again, this is all true
Where is the data that leads you to something else? The number of unvaccinated people in a hospital has absolutely nothing to do with whether they are the primary spreaders of the virus.What is the data that is leading you to this conclusion?
I am clearly in favor of vaccination. However, there is no general mandatory vaccination for everyone to protect against an endemic virus that occurs annually in waves.It can be. What do you feel about the other vaccines that are already mandated, and what is the prevalence of those diseases in our modern society?
No. Do you?Also, do you understand how you are making a base rate fallacy?
I asked you first, but here you go -Where is the data that leads you to something else? The number of unvaccinated people in a hospital has absolutely nothing to do with whether they are the primary spreaders of the virus.
And this proves...what? That Germans don't have very good compliance or enforcement of these safeguards?Here in Germany there were countless so-called "2G" events, which means that one must either be proven to have recovered or be vaccinated. Almost all of these events led to mass infections among the participants afterwards. In many places there is now a discussion about "2G+", which means recovered and vaccinated people have to be tested additionally before they can join an event or visit specific locations. One federal state (Saxony) already wanted to introduce "1G", i.e. everyone, whether vaccinated or not, must always be tested. However, this was prevented by law for now.
Which means that they are fine for generating a casual understanding of your immediate surrounding, but are prone to bias and are useless relative to controlled and rigorously analyzed data.These are only personal anecdotes
Are measles, mumps, rubella, whooping cough, and other such viruses endemic? Why or why not?I am clearly in favor of vaccination. However, there is no general mandatory vaccination for everyone to protect against an endemic virus that occurs annually in waves.
You don't understand your error? Then how did you respond to it the first time if you don't understand it? In order to compare two different populations, in this case the vaccinated vs the unvaccinated, you have to analyze them separately and get the per capita numbers for each group. Tell me - and use several different countries to get a broader point of view - how many vaccinated people per capita are getting infected? How many unvaccinated people per capita are getting infected? How many vaccinated people per capita are getting hospitalized or dying? How many unvaccinated people per capita are getting hospitalized or dying?
Yes. That's how I know you're doing it.Do you?
What a great way to over simplify things.
But you're right, governments always care about our well-being and safety. They have never ever overstepped boundaries and abuse their power.
I asked you first, but here you go -
Monitoring Incidence of COVID-19 Cases...
After the COVID-19 B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant reached predominance, fully vaccinated people had less risk of infection, hospitalization, and death.www.cdc.gov
Vaccinated people get infected less, which means that they spread it less per capita, assuming similar behavior.
Now you go.
And this proves...what? That Germans don't have very good compliance or enforcement of these safeguards?
Which means that they are fine for generating a casual understanding of your immediate surrounding, but are prone to bias and are useless relative to controlled and rigorously analyzed data.
Are measles, mumps, rubella, whooping cough, and other such viruses endemic? Why or why not?
As I said, I'm still waiting for your data to prove your point.You don't understand your error? Then how did you respond to it the first time if you don't understand it? In order to compare two different populations, in this case the vaccinated vs the unvaccinated, you have to analyze them separately and get the per capita numbers for each group. Tell me - and use several different countries to get a broader point of view - how many vaccinated people per capita are getting infected? How many unvaccinated people per capita are getting infected? How many vaccinated people per capita are getting hospitalized or dying? How many unvaccinated people per capita are getting hospitalized or dying?
Ι didn't think you made an argument in the first place other than being ironic to me.Stop over simplifying things! = I don’t have an argument.
Ι didn't think you made an argument in the first place other than being ironic to me.
If you don't see the problem in a government single-handily deciding what's best for you and what's not in all facets of your life, why don't you move in China or N. Korea then? I guess you would also be fine if they started prohibiting other things that are considered detrimental to people's health as they see fit like smoke, alcohol, sugar or limiting how many hours you can get on the internet or play games citing health issues?
I know it's an extreme example but my point is that these covid restrictions are happening way too easily and often have a punishing nuance in my eyes at least. I don't have a problem with Austria's decision per se (I don't even know if they've tried other things first before reaching down to this decision) but judging from our government here, they practically churn out new restrictions overnight that make no sense and are aiming to punish people who haven't been vaccinated than actually protect them from the virus. Instead of trying to educate and convince someone who is hesitant to do something by building trust, you're treating them like second-class citizens, putting the blame solely on them while trying not to piss off the already vaccinated population who are also spreading the virus (letting them get stacked on clubs every night because that's the "normality" that you promised in order for them to take the vaccine in the first place) and lose their votes in the upcoming elections. Sorry but this is not my definition of a government that cares to end the pandemic for real.
Now imagine if they had spent a fraction of these billions on the actual health care system (again talking specifically for my country here). But no, it's far more logical to assume that everyone would be willing to take a new vaccine within the first year of its release, right? So let's just overprovision on vaccines, force them down people's throat, and paint everyone who doesn't agree antivaxxer, conspiracy theorist and whatnot. At the same time, let's leave the poorer countries open to the virus (it's a global pandemic after all) and wait to see what happens while taking our 3rd, 4th and 5th booster jabs every 6 months making the pharmaceuticals richer.a government that has spent millions/billions on vaccines is not one that cares to end the pandemic, for real
Now imagine if they had spent a fraction of these billions on the actual health care system (again talking specifically for my country here). But no, it's far more logical to assume that everyone would be willing to take a new vaccine within the first year of its release, right? So let's just overprovision on vaccines, force them down people's throat, and paint everyone who doesn't agree antivaxxer, conspiracy theorist and whatnot. At the same time, let's leave the poorer countries open to the virus (it's a global pandemic after all) and wait to see what happens while taking our 3rd, 4th and 5th booster jabs every 6 months.
So what? If 100% people were vaccinated the virus can spread all it wants, you will not have many people hospitalized. How is that different than the common cold you can get vaccinated against each year?Here in Germany there were countless so-called "2G" events, which means that one must either be proven to have recovered or be vaccinated. Almost all of these events led to mass infections among the participants afterwards. In many places there is now a discussion about "2G+", which means recovered and vaccinated people have to be tested additionally before they can join an event or visit specific locations. One federal state (Saxony) already wanted to introduce "1G", i.e. everyone, whether vaccinated or not, must always be tested. However, this was prevented by law for now.
You may be okay with rolling lockdowns, and semi permanent social distancing and masking, but the majority of us want normality to return or continue. I don't know if UBI is tenable but I can guarantee that if you try and bring it in through the back door like this it will be a complete failure. You need to try and soften your liberal beliefs with a little reality, because most of us have to live in the real world.I do not agree. The virus will still regularly overwhelm some regional health care systems because vaccination has simply not been proven to protect well enough against infection and spread.
It is also not a solution to permanently vaccinate those groups of people (e.g. children) for whom the virus is not a threat. We are talking about an endemic virus. Vaccination every 10-20 years is not enough. It must be done annually and perhaps several times a year.
Not everything is black and white and you clearly don't care about the bigger picture so sure keep living in your bubble.yes you want a solution that takes decades to sort out and costs a magnitude more money than the vaccine procurement, majority of people have taken the vaccine...if you don't want it then you want to live like we all lived before the vaccine was available
rest of your post is strawman
That's a big if, especially with the vaccine dwindling down in effectiveness every couple of months.So what? If 100% people were vaccinated the virus can spread all it wants, you will not have many people hospitalized. How is that different than the common cold you can get vaccinated against each year?
Not everything is black and white and you clearly don't care about the bigger picture so sure keep living in your bubble.
Man the bleeding heart liberals are sure out in force today. Yeah it sucks that impoverished nations get screwed on this - bit that is just like they do on every other fucking thing. I'm sorry the western world is too wealthy for your liking but that's just the way global capatilism works, your great reset is not what we need right now when even wealthy economies are struggling.Now imagine if they had spent a fraction of these billions on the actual health care system (again talking specifically for my country here). But no, it's far more logical to assume that everyone would be willing to take a new vaccine within the first year of its release, right? So let's just overprovision on vaccines, force them down people's throat, and paint everyone who doesn't agree antivaxxer, conspiracy theorist and whatnot. At the same time, let's leave the poorer countries open to the virus (it's a global pandemic after all) and wait to see what happens while taking our 3rd, 4th and 5th booster jabs every 6 months making the pharmaceuticals richer.
Have you ever heard of virus mutations? You know you can be cynical and ignore the impoverished nations but the virus mutations can travel and fuck up our struggling wealthy economies again. But sure we can combat this with more booster shots because Pfizer loves producing them.Man the bleeding heart liberals are sure out in force today. Yeah it sucks that impoverished nations get screwed on this - bit that is just like they do on every other fucking thing. I'm sorry the western world is too wealthy for your liking but that's just the way global capatilism works, your great reset is not what we need right now when even wealthy economies are struggling.
You mean exactly like the vaccine against common cold which mutates each year?That's a big if, especially with the vaccine dwindling down in effectiveness every couple of months.
There is no vaccine for the common cold. Think you mean the flu.You mean exactly like the vaccine against common cold which mutates each year?
Yes, sorry for that.There is no vaccine for the common cold. Think you mean the flu.
Not everything is black and white
If you don't see the problem in a government single-handily deciding what's best for you and what's not in all facets of your life, why don't you move in China or N. Korea then?
The vaccine is not obligatory. You neither have the right to go to restaurants, cinemas, cafés, etc.
Rapid tests have drawbacks since outside of the activities above you can have Covid and be asymptomatic. So if everyone thinks ‘no biggie, I will just make a test when I want to go somewhere’ - till that moment they will still infect lots of people and if (as mentioned) people will choose not to vaccinate you will have lots of them in hospitals and ICUs.
Loki said:Now, when looking at the sheer FERVOR with which these people advocate for vaccine mandates, and the furiously rapid progression of said dictates, one should keep in mind that all of this is not happening in the USA of March or April 2020 - it is happening now. That is to say, the dynamics of the disease as well as our knowledge of and response to it have grown dramatically since the inception of the pandemic. The landscape has changed significantly, and thus some measures which might (MIGHT) have been understandable/acceptable in the early months of COVID are simply no longer acceptable as they no longer comport with the science. The way these mandate-pushers talk, you'd think that folks were just as likely to contract COVID, be hospitalized from it, or die from it as they were in April 2020 when the alpha strain was dominant. This is simply NOT the case for the following reasons:
- Alpha strain was demonstrably more lethal (roughly 150% as lethal as Delta). All the data from the UK/Israel/US supports this. Delta, a less lethal (yet admittedly more contagious) strain, now predominates. One would thus expect fewer deaths per capita. Admittedly, however, Delta's presumptive lethality is confounded by the fact that...
- Treatment modalities have improved tremendously. The biggest change from the first 6-10 months of the pandemic has been the increasing consensus that putting folks on ventilators actually does more harm than good. If you'll recall, early statistics showed that 40-50% of patients who were put on these vents ended up dying. It was later found that a lot of this was due to the mechanism of action of the virus (which wasn't known initially), and that mechanical pressure was actually counterproductive and could cause a cascade into total pulmonary failure. Now folks are treated for low blood oxygen and poor respiration via other methods, leading to better outcomes. In addition, you have monoclonal antibodies being deployed at scale, steroid-based treatment regimens, anti-virals about to enter the market (Monulpiravir as well as one from Pfizer), a mini-resurgence of HCQ etc. The net effect of all these new treatments and knowledge is that it makes the "prognosis" for hospitals and society much less grim than it was in early-mid 2020. I dare say that if we have these treatments and knowledge from the outset, we'd probably be looking at 350-500K dead in the US instead of 700K.
- The first two waves picked off the "low hanging fruit," so to speak. Folks who were disposed towards severe disease for whatever reasons (age, comorbidities, immune/genetic predisposition in terms of their idiosyncratic response to the virus etc.) were likely culled during the initial phases. At a population level, this means that what you are left with as a substrate for future infections is a more resilient, healthier populace which is better able to fight off severe outcomes or is more responsive to treatment. The net effect is that if you had population B (the population of, say, March-August 2021) as the full population at the start of the pandemic, we wouldn't have accrued as many deaths as we did, simply because it is, on average, a healthier and more resilient population. The same is even more true today.
- Between vaccine-induced and natural immunity, somewhere between 70-85% of the population has some form of protection against severe disease from COVID. This means that if we had today's population living in March/April of 2020, we would not have incurred nearly the amount of deaths which we did, nor would nearly the same amount of people require hospitalization.
Note that each of the above considerations are independent of each other, but each serves to lower the overall risk of death/disease today as compared to 18 months ago. Thus, the question becomes: why are they pushing these mandates so forcefully right now? It's an incongruous reaction given the level of threat.
Freedom doesn't mean having the right to put other people's lives in danger."It's not obligatory - you just don't have a right to go to cafes, restaurants, stores, events, museums, basically anywhere except your own home. Oh, and you also can't work or find new employment. Or travel. We'll let you breathe (with 3 masks on) and maybe throw you some food, though!"
You don't need to ask yourself that. We have seen this before. America lost its collective mind 20 years ago with the draconian and freedom-killing initiatives known as the war on terror and the Patriot Act, which are unprecedented, unjustified, and much worse than vaccine mandates (which have precedent).I often ask this: If people are willing to tolerate (or advocate, as some of the clowns in here do) this level of abrogation of freedoms and liberty for THIS comparatively harmless virus, what would they be willing to accept and advocate for a TRULY deadly pandemic? Weld people into their homes? Complete lockdown and martial law?