I still ask myself if this is really just the case because of the forks. I would never panic sell in my whole fucking life, i did at the beginning with ETH and Antshares etc. It made me a man and i can still tell myself i was lucky, because i always made some deals to at least break even. But damn, isn't this something different? Look at this, this is weeeeks before the whole damn show even starts or started. I expect BTC to pop 5k before weekend.
I think it is just the forks. I think people basically "learned" from last fork in August. Everything went fine and people got free Bitcoin Cash that went as high as $800 a coin for absolutely nothing. Just free money; and then immediately following it, normal Bitcoin and Altcoins all surged in the weeks following with BTC hitting a ATH. I mean damn, that must have left a really permanent memory with people in the market. And they are likely hoping this time the same thing happens; Loads of free cash leading into a Bull market for a few weeks.
I however have to agree with you, this drop started slowly around the last 4 days of September. Thats early as HELL. But theres no denying that its the alts that are dying while BTC is creeping towards its ATH again. No way to explain that but people selling alts for Bitcoin. Plus the overall market cap since the dip started is increasing:
I think this means more money is entering the market overall; but BTC is benefitting from all of it while alts are strangled and dropping.
Im still worried. I wouldnt be if Bitcoin Gold and 2xfork were further apart, but these two forks are within roughly 30 days of one another, and the dip for alts started late September so.... that's almost 2 whole months of a possible Altcoin suppression, unless things recover a bit after BitGold.