AbsolutBro
First thing: there's a lot of fluff here. He even makes a joke of voting
kingkitty for rather weak reasoning in #455, for "role-fishing". There's a lot of vagueries in subsequent posts, and the
kingkitty vote is retracted real easily. We get substantive material by #1042 (right at the end of D1), in which he follows my "mafia probably won't be in the wagons" logic to look at the key wagon avoiders, leading him to
SalvaPot,
kgtrep, and
Barrylocke... and then cops out of actually making an opinion on any of them. Gee, useful post.
In #1104, we get a push on
Makai for his bad roleclaim. There are three reasons given: a)
Makai's roleclaim might prompt a bunch of town PRs to unvote quickly because their role PM might be similar to
Makai's description so they back off. I mean, okay, I guess, maybe, but essentially every single person who had voted
Makai had already backed off at that stage and it seems implausible that they could all be PRs, b) he didn't see why
Makai had to claim at all (I agree with this), and c) he found Makoto Naegi too much of a coincidence. I have no comment on this except to say it's a flavour issue, I think there are stronger points to make.
I personally am deeply suspicious of
Makai, for reasons I'll go on to later, but I will say that
AbsolutBro's target of him seemed poorly put and a little strange - something that was called out by
Ty4on for very similar reasons.
#1439 is supposed to be a mega-post, but is really mega-nothing. It basically runs "tl;dr lol georgebush.gif" to
kgtrep, which doesn't help anyone, says myself and
kgtrep are probably Hope with little explanation as to why he thinks that, and continues to avoid commenting on many other players. He finishes with various questions about why
franconp might have died, but doesn't answer them himself. I'm also wary of people who only discuss nightkills because, if they're Despair, it's key WIFOM territory.
There's then more fluff/nothing posts until #1737. Here, he pushes on
CornBurrito, because
CornBurrito bandwagoned - this is actually quite fair in light of D2, where
CornBurrito changed his vote often, usually into following an already started vote. I'm dubious this is a scumtell, but at the very least I can see why others might find it do. However, his second part is to say
Corn is suspicious because
franconp died and
Corn pushed on him - this is exactly the sort of situation a Despair player can engineer by killing someone who was pushed on prominently and then going after their pusher. It also doesn't stack up - supposing
Corn was Despair, why would he bother to kill someone at night he might be able to get traction on during day?
Lots of the rest of this post then just becomes observations of what people have actually done, rather than a discussion of whether what people have done actually means anything. The only interesting observation is to note that
Makai might be the locus for Despair watchers trying to catch town protective roles. Otherwise, it boils down to "everyone might be Despair" which is useless because for town to act they need to know which people might be Despair more than others - to put it another way round, if everyone is Despair, nobody is.
In #1804 we find out he's voting for me (or at least, he more clearly says so than earlier), and the reasoning is terrible. It essentially boils down to "everyone is talking about
Crab, so we need to kill him so people will stop talking". a) having everyone talking about a person is good, as long as they talk about all the other people too, b) it's your (not necessarily directed at
AbsolutBro, but at all of town) job to make sure you talk about other people, not mine (although I'll have a go anyway), and c) you can prompt people to make sure they do talk about other stuff. Plus I guess d) if people only ever focus on one person ignoring all other happenings they're either bad players or scum so just lynch them. Lynching the tunnellee instead of the tunneller is just bizarro-land logic.
Verdict: I think it is probable AbsolutBro is Despair. Fluff, absence of content, non-committal posts, studied bandwagon avoidance, weak logic chains, largely non-confrontational, it's all classic scum play.
