Not underestimating BG3, but there is a possibility that Circana does not track its data just like GFK did not in EU and UK, which means BG3 doesn't show up on the charts at all even if it were topping it.
Hogwart's may be there. Madden and MK1 as well. But even in that case, Starfield might be around #4?
If Starfield performs well in the yearly chart (top 3-5 spots), then it actually means something.