Y2Kev said:
Um, that's not realistic for WKC. I went and ran the numbers and no level 5 RPG has even come close to that (and that's on the PS2). Dark Cloud no, Dark "Chronicle" (lol) no, Rogue Galaxy no.
I agree that 500k is very unlikely for
WKC, but not because it's a Level 5 RPG. Plenty of devs have changed performance over the years, and
Dragon Quest VIII was also by Level 5. They have recent long-legs RPGs on portables, too.
No, it'll fall short of that number because we already know what its first week was like, and that allows us to predict its trajectory. The
Dark Cloud series is a bad comparison because they had first weeks much smaller than
WKC (one-quarter and one-half as big, respectively).
Rogue Galaxy is much better, since its first week was very similar. It got to about 310k by the end of 2005, sold 40k in 2006, and sold 30k in 2007 on re-release.
WKC has online to extend its legs, but it's on PS3 which will hurt. I'd expect around the same performance, ending in a few years around the 400k mark. If next week is around 50-60k that arc will be virtually assured.