whyamihere
Banned
For all of us who were maybe outraged at John McCain's latest comments, there's something we can actually do about that: We can elect a Democratic Congress. This is actually in the realm of possibility, especially now that the top of the ticket looks like such an electoral romp.
I'll post links to their donation pages below. But also, if you live in these states, I would really implore you to get involved. Go phonebank. Go canvass on a weekend. We really need these seats in order to get Democratic control of the Senate.
1. NORTH CAROLINA: DEBORAH ROSS
Challenger: Sen. Richard Burr (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 49.5%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribu...de=website_splash&recur_weekly=true&amount=25
Volunteer: https://www.deborahross.com/landing/get-involved/
About this race: This was initially a very low profile race. The top choices for Democrats -- ex-Sen. Kay Hagan and Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx -- both passed on the race, feeling that Burr was a strong opponent. The Democrats eventually found their candidate in ex State Assemblywoman Deborah Ross, who also used to lead the NC ACLU chapter. She was low profile, but Democrats thought they might have an outside chance like in 2008 when little-known state senator Kay Hagan beat incumbent Sen. Elizabeth Dole.
Ross has outraised Burr every quarter (I believe) this year. She's caught up in the polls to the point where it's literally a dead-even race. Unlike many southern Democrats, even ones in 2016, Ross is extremely progressive. Her history as director of the state ACLU has received scorn from Burr ("she's defending criminals!"), but her true-blue progressive stances have earned her the backing of Bernie's "Our Revolution". She's one of 3 senators who have been backed by the group.
This was not supposed to be a race. And now it's a dead heat.
Endorsement: The Charlotte Observer
http://www.newsobserver.com/opinion/editorials/article108296372.html
2. PENNSYLVANIA: KATIE McGINTY
Challenger: Sen. Pat Toomey (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 63.5%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/km-contribute
Volunteer: http://katiemcginty.com/volunteer/
Sen. Pat Toomey is the former president of Club For Growth, a radical-right PAC that: "According to its website, the Club for Growth's policy goals include cutting income tax rates, repealing the estate tax, supporting limited government and a balanced budget amendment, entitlement reform, free trade, tort reform, school choice, and deregulation." It's a destructive right-wing economic policy that Toomey has waded in for the past 6 years during his time as Senator.
Besides the fact that Toomey sucks, one reason why McGinty would be a great Senator is her focus on environmental issues. She was the Pennsylvania Secretary of Environmental Protection and, before that, Chairperson of the Council on Environmental Quality for Bill Clinton. If you care about global climate change, McGinty is going to be a fighter in the Senate and has the experience for meaningful environmental reform.
Most polls have had McGinty with a slight-yet-durable lead, but it's important to put her over the top and get McGinty in the Senate.
Endorsement: The Philadelphia Inquirer
http://www.philly.com/philly/opinio...orial__Katie_McGinty_for_the_U_S__Senate.html
3. MISSOURI: JASON KANDER
Challenger: Sen. Roy Blunt (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 60.1%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/jason-kander-3
Volunteer: https://www.jasonkander.com/get-involved/
So, behind Deborah Ross, this is my favorite race of the year. Kander is the current Secretary of State of Missouri, is an Iraq vet, and is lauded as one of the best recruits by Dems this cycle. It's hard not to see why since he put out the best ad of the campaign cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-wqOApBLPio
Watch it. Watch it again.
He's running one of the best campaigns of the cycle, and is neck-and-neck with Sen. Roy Blunt in what should be a generally sleepy race. Blunt doesn't really have any scandals, but like Richard Burr, absolutely hates campaigning and has largely ignored this race until now. The other interesting thing about Kander's race is that it's almost impossible (except for a few very rare circumstances) for a Senate challenger to beat an incumbent where the incumbent's party's presidential candidate wins the state. This would be huge.
Endorsement: The St. Louis American
http://www.stlamerican.com/news/edi...cle_f876328a-90d8-11e6-8756-a36b005ff5a6.html
4. NEW HAMPSHIRE: MAGGIE HASSAN
Challenger: Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 59.1%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/hassan_website?refcode=web
Volunteer: http://maggiehassan.com/take-action/
Here's the funny thing about New Hampshire: Every single one of their state-wide elected politicians is popular. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen is popular. Gov. Maggie Hassan is popular. And Sen. Kelly Ayotte is popular. So when someone had to run against the very-popular Sen. Kelly Ayotte, the only person who could possibly win was the very-popular Governor.
To be fair to Ayotte, she doesn't suck as majorly as a lot of the other people on this list, but she's not great. On the other hand, Gov. Hassan is very much in the mold of Shaheen -- probably a three or four touches more liberal than her state, yet still is a pragmatic Democrat. This one of the rare races where the top of the ticket is a bit divorced from the downballot race, but Ayotte was the one who said that "Donald Trump is absolutely a great role model" during a debate, which of course has been plastered everywhere by Hassan's camp. Most polls have shown a tight race, with a slight edge to Hassan.
5. NEVADA: CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO
Challenger: Rep. Joe Heck (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 61.6%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/ccmbutton
Volunteer: http://action.catherinecortezmasto.com/page/s/get-involved#_=_
Cortez Masto is the hand-picked successor of the retiring Sen. Harry Reid, and this race has been sort of a proxy war for the Reid-Koch Brothers spat that has bubbled over the past few years. While it had seemed as if the Koch-backed candidate Rep. Joe Heck might have the lead, Cortez Masto has surged recently. This is due to a pretty fantastic debate performance (watch here, she murders him: https://www.c-span.org/video/?416810-1/nevada-senate-debate) and Heck's unendorsement of Donald Trump after being one of his bigger backers.
To continue on this trend of "if you care about this...", Cortez Masto will probably be one of the biggest proponents of comprehensive immigration reform in the Senate that creates a pathway to citizenship. She also served for two terms as the Attorney General of Nevada and has been singled out by both Nevada Democrats and Republicans alike as being one of the most effective Attorney Generals the state has had in recent memory, and fought to curb domestic violence during her time as AG. She's a great candidate, and I'm proud to see her surging during these past few weeks.
Endorsement: Las Vegas Sun
6. INDIANA: EVAN BAYH
Challenger: Rep. Todd Young (R)
538 Chances of winning: 69.0%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/eb-signupredirect
Volunteer: http://evanbayhforindiana.com/contact/
A few things are true:
1. Evan Bayh sucks.
2. Evan Bayh is one of the few Democrats who can win statewide in Indiana for federal office.
3. Evan Bayh will vote for most Democratic proposals.
Evan Bayh is every progressive's least favorite Democrat. After dropping out of his 2010 Senate race because he was going to lose, he jumped back in (and caused ex. Rep. Baron Hill to drop out) because Democrats finally convinced him to jump back in. He's popular (though not as much as he used to be) and... whatever. Okay, look. We need him.
7. FLORIDA: PATRICK MURPHY
Challenger: Sen. Marco Rubio (R)
538 Chances of winning: 28.7%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/patrickmurphyforsenate?refcode=homepage&amount=25
Volunteer: https://www.murphyforflorida.com/get-involved/
Unfortunately for Rep. Patrick Murphy, this race got much harder for Democrats to win once Sen. "Lil'" Marco Rubio jumped back in. I know there are some Dems not hot on Murphy, but I also don't really see anyone else doing better. Rubio had a national profile and huge backing of establishment Republicans who wanted to keep this seat.
I'm not ready to write Murphy off just yet -- the Trump tapes have been a shot in the arm to Democrats, and Murphy isn't as hopeless as, say, Ted Strickland or Ann Kirkpatrick. There is a debate tonight that's getting a decent amount of coverage for a Senate debate, so we'll see if the higher profile can change things. If this is a wave election, it's quite possible that we could see a surprise win in Florida for Murphy.
8. ILLINOIS: TAMMY DUCKWORTH
Challenger: Sen. Mark Kirk (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 89.8%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/tduckworth?refcode=homepage
Volunteer: http://action.tammyduckworth.com/page/signup/take-action?refcode=homepage
So the next two people are pretty much guaranteed beat their Republican challengers, but it's important to mention them anyway.
Rep. Tammy Duckworth is an Iraq War veteran who lost both legs during an RPG attack on her helicopter in Iraq. She's a boss. This is her riding her rainbow scooter (with a rainbow fake leg!) during Chicago Pride this year:
https://www.facebook.com/YahooCanada/videos/10153465082816371/
Duckworth ran on a platform vehemently opposing the Iraq War, and has been an advocate for veterans since she entered Congress. She's a great congresswoman, and would be excellent for the Senate. Thankfully, it's very likely she'll end up there.
Endorsement: The Chicago-Sun Times
http://chicago.suntimes.com/opinion/endorsement-duckworth-the-better-choice-for-u-s-senate/
9. WISCONSIN: RUSS FEINGOLD
Challenger: Sen. Ron Johnson (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 93.9%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/feingold2016?refcode=web.splash
Volunteer: http://action.russfeingold.com/page...splash&utm_campaign=web.splash&utm_medium=web
This is a really important one for me. In one of the closest races of 2010, Ron Johnson beat out then-Sen. Russ Feingold during a Republican wave. This is a rematch of that race.
Sen. Ron Johnson is one of the worst members of Congress and votes like he's a Senator from Oklahoma, not a lean-blue state. On the other hand, Russ Feingold was one of the best Senators that we had during his time in office. He authored McCainFeingold (campaign finance reform), and was the only Senator to vote against the PATRIOT Act. He's one of the best civil libertarians that we could have in the Senate, and is a stalwart progressive in the mold of Paul Wellstone.
It's absolutely imperative that we send Russ Feingold back to the Senate.
--. CALIFORNIA: KAMALA HARRIS
Challenger: Rep. Loretta Sanchez (D)
538 Chances of winning: 91.4%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/kdharrisforca?refcode=home&recurring=true
Volunteer: http://kamalaharris.org/take-action/
California is very weird. One of the weird things about California is that it uses a top-two primary system. Whichever candidates, regardless of party, get the top two votes in the primary go on to the general. This year, that was two Democrats: CA Attorney General Kamala Harris and Rep. Loretta Sanchez.
Harris is, far and away, the more progressive of the two. Sanchez is a blue dog Democrat who's trying to court Republican votes in order to win, taking up Republican talking points on Muslims and has been endorsed by various Republicans as the more moderate of the two. Because California is so blue, sending a moderate Democrat to Congress seems like a waste when Harris has earned the endorsement of Labor groups, EMILYs List, and environmental groups, plus almost every major Democrat in California.
I'll post links to their donation pages below. But also, if you live in these states, I would really implore you to get involved. Go phonebank. Go canvass on a weekend. We really need these seats in order to get Democratic control of the Senate.
1. NORTH CAROLINA: DEBORAH ROSS
Challenger: Sen. Richard Burr (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 49.5%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribu...de=website_splash&recur_weekly=true&amount=25
Volunteer: https://www.deborahross.com/landing/get-involved/
About this race: This was initially a very low profile race. The top choices for Democrats -- ex-Sen. Kay Hagan and Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx -- both passed on the race, feeling that Burr was a strong opponent. The Democrats eventually found their candidate in ex State Assemblywoman Deborah Ross, who also used to lead the NC ACLU chapter. She was low profile, but Democrats thought they might have an outside chance like in 2008 when little-known state senator Kay Hagan beat incumbent Sen. Elizabeth Dole.
Ross has outraised Burr every quarter (I believe) this year. She's caught up in the polls to the point where it's literally a dead-even race. Unlike many southern Democrats, even ones in 2016, Ross is extremely progressive. Her history as director of the state ACLU has received scorn from Burr ("she's defending criminals!"), but her true-blue progressive stances have earned her the backing of Bernie's "Our Revolution". She's one of 3 senators who have been backed by the group.
This was not supposed to be a race. And now it's a dead heat.
Endorsement: The Charlotte Observer
http://www.newsobserver.com/opinion/editorials/article108296372.html
After leaving her ACLU post, Ross, 53, served five terms in the state House representing a Wake County district. Most recently, she served as legal counsel for GoTriangle, the regions transit agency. Ross entered the race after more prominent Democrats declined, and she has taken Burr by surprise with her energetic campaigning and her pride in being a civil liberties advocate. In an embarrassing but predictable response, Burr has tried to make that advocacy an issue by focusing on Ross role in trying to make sex offender registries more just and more protective of victims.
Ross has dismissed Burrs attempts to distort her record. People are smarter than these ads, she says. People like someone who is going to stick up for whats right.
In this Senate race, voters have a choice of vivid clarity. Burr and Ross differ on virtually every key issue. To name a few, Ross supports the Affordable Care Act, more regulation of the financial industry, increased efforts to halt climate change, more federal spending to spur growth, the Iran nuclear deal, tighter gun controls, a higher minimum wage, increasing taxes on corporations and the wealthy and holding hearings to consider Obama Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland.
Burr does not.
Ross has rightly focused on Burrs comfort in office and his distance from the everyday concerns of North Carolinians. As she has campaigned across the state, she has encountered widespread dismay over the direction the state has taken under Republican leadership and the gridlock in Congress because of the GOPs relentless opposition to President Obama.
As a former leader of the ACLU, as a progressive and effective state lawmaker and as a dynamic candidate, Ross has demonstrated that she will fight for whats right and whats needed, not whats popular or whats easy. North Carolina needs her smarts, her energy and her courage in the U.S. Senate. We urge you to put her there.
2. PENNSYLVANIA: KATIE McGINTY
Challenger: Sen. Pat Toomey (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 63.5%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/km-contribute
Volunteer: http://katiemcginty.com/volunteer/
Sen. Pat Toomey is the former president of Club For Growth, a radical-right PAC that: "According to its website, the Club for Growth's policy goals include cutting income tax rates, repealing the estate tax, supporting limited government and a balanced budget amendment, entitlement reform, free trade, tort reform, school choice, and deregulation." It's a destructive right-wing economic policy that Toomey has waded in for the past 6 years during his time as Senator.
Besides the fact that Toomey sucks, one reason why McGinty would be a great Senator is her focus on environmental issues. She was the Pennsylvania Secretary of Environmental Protection and, before that, Chairperson of the Council on Environmental Quality for Bill Clinton. If you care about global climate change, McGinty is going to be a fighter in the Senate and has the experience for meaningful environmental reform.
Most polls have had McGinty with a slight-yet-durable lead, but it's important to put her over the top and get McGinty in the Senate.
Endorsement: The Philadelphia Inquirer
http://www.philly.com/philly/opinio...orial__Katie_McGinty_for_the_U_S__Senate.html
If corporations were people, Pennsylvania's Republican freshman Sen. Pat Toomey would be the right senator for them. His approach to governance is to slash regulations and taxes to help companies, which he believes would provide good paying jobs. But that hasn't worked for average people struggling with flat wages, job insecurity and wondering why so little of the good economic news isn't about them.
Toomey, 54, would eliminate Obamacare and let the marketplace decide to provide benefits like covering children up to age 26. He'd kill an agency that keeps lenders from preying on consumers and return to the days of low-regulation and low-oversight of Wall Street, which led to the financial meltdown.
He opposes forcing companies to clean up greenhouse gases which contribute to global warming, a factor in the spate of floods and wildfires ravaging the country. And, he favors Supreme Court decisions that allow unlimited corporate funds to persuade voters in elections.
A product of the radical right, Toomey voted to shut down the government over raising the debt ceiling rather than find a civil solution. But, in a stellar moment, he crossed the aisle to seek background checks for those who wish to purchase guns. He failed, but says he'd try again if re-elected. Let's hope it's with more conviction than his politically expedient equivocation over whether to support his party's presidential nominee, Donald Trump, an admitted serial molester.
McGinty, 53, wants to raise the minimum wage, expand child care credits and fight for equal pay for women. She would invest in research, skilled manufacturing and renewable energy. McGinty wants to expand pre-kindergarten, improve public schools, make college affordable and training available to adults. She would lower health care costs by decreasing co-payments and high deductibles and cut abusive drug pricing.
3. MISSOURI: JASON KANDER
Challenger: Sen. Roy Blunt (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 60.1%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/jason-kander-3
Volunteer: https://www.jasonkander.com/get-involved/
So, behind Deborah Ross, this is my favorite race of the year. Kander is the current Secretary of State of Missouri, is an Iraq vet, and is lauded as one of the best recruits by Dems this cycle. It's hard not to see why since he put out the best ad of the campaign cycle:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-wqOApBLPio
Watch it. Watch it again.
He's running one of the best campaigns of the cycle, and is neck-and-neck with Sen. Roy Blunt in what should be a generally sleepy race. Blunt doesn't really have any scandals, but like Richard Burr, absolutely hates campaigning and has largely ignored this race until now. The other interesting thing about Kander's race is that it's almost impossible (except for a few very rare circumstances) for a Senate challenger to beat an incumbent where the incumbent's party's presidential candidate wins the state. This would be huge.
Endorsement: The St. Louis American
http://www.stlamerican.com/news/edi...cle_f876328a-90d8-11e6-8756-a36b005ff5a6.html
National Democrats sense a possible Democratic takeover of a Senate seat, leading to possible Democratic control of the Senate. Kanders race is one of the most important to Democrats, who must pick up four Senate seats and the White House (with the vice president getting a vote in the Senate) to gain a majority. U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey) stumped for Kander this week in Ferguson, where they met privately with local elected officials to discuss policy issues of concern to the African-American community, and in St. Louis, where they talked to Harris-Stowe State University students about addressing the student loan debt burden. Booker eloquently defined the crises of our cities and enthused over the boost Kander would bring to his efforts in the Senate to reform criminal justice and urban education. He cited Kanders leadership in removing the felon check box from applications to work for the secretary of states office under his administration. With a partner like Jason on legislation, we would be able to get some creative things done, Booker said. It was a ringing endorsement for Kander, who grew up in Kansas City, to deliver on issues of concern to our community. We will add our ringing endorsement just as loudly and emphasize, along with Booker, that its only an especially strong black voter turnout in this red state on November 8 that can elevate Kander to the Senate. We strongly endorse JASON KANDER FOR U.S. SENATE.
4. NEW HAMPSHIRE: MAGGIE HASSAN
Challenger: Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 59.1%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/hassan_website?refcode=web
Volunteer: http://maggiehassan.com/take-action/
Here's the funny thing about New Hampshire: Every single one of their state-wide elected politicians is popular. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen is popular. Gov. Maggie Hassan is popular. And Sen. Kelly Ayotte is popular. So when someone had to run against the very-popular Sen. Kelly Ayotte, the only person who could possibly win was the very-popular Governor.
To be fair to Ayotte, she doesn't suck as majorly as a lot of the other people on this list, but she's not great. On the other hand, Gov. Hassan is very much in the mold of Shaheen -- probably a three or four touches more liberal than her state, yet still is a pragmatic Democrat. This one of the rare races where the top of the ticket is a bit divorced from the downballot race, but Ayotte was the one who said that "Donald Trump is absolutely a great role model" during a debate, which of course has been plastered everywhere by Hassan's camp. Most polls have shown a tight race, with a slight edge to Hassan.
5. NEVADA: CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO
Challenger: Rep. Joe Heck (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 61.6%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/ccmbutton
Volunteer: http://action.catherinecortezmasto.com/page/s/get-involved#_=_
Cortez Masto is the hand-picked successor of the retiring Sen. Harry Reid, and this race has been sort of a proxy war for the Reid-Koch Brothers spat that has bubbled over the past few years. While it had seemed as if the Koch-backed candidate Rep. Joe Heck might have the lead, Cortez Masto has surged recently. This is due to a pretty fantastic debate performance (watch here, she murders him: https://www.c-span.org/video/?416810-1/nevada-senate-debate) and Heck's unendorsement of Donald Trump after being one of his bigger backers.
To continue on this trend of "if you care about this...", Cortez Masto will probably be one of the biggest proponents of comprehensive immigration reform in the Senate that creates a pathway to citizenship. She also served for two terms as the Attorney General of Nevada and has been singled out by both Nevada Democrats and Republicans alike as being one of the most effective Attorney Generals the state has had in recent memory, and fought to curb domestic violence during her time as AG. She's a great candidate, and I'm proud to see her surging during these past few weeks.
Endorsement: Las Vegas Sun
Her crackdown on domestic violence and human trafficking a crime that plays out on the streets of Las Vegas earned her the congratulations of our Republican governor, Brian Sandoval. And when Cortez Masto finished her second term as attorney general and stepped down, her successor, Republican Adam Laxalt, was quoted in the Las Vegas Review-Journal saying that she was a role model in how she has run the office during the past eight years.
Her efforts for Nevadans also showed in her creation of the Mortgage Fraud Strike Force to investigate and prosecute fraudulent foreclosure-rescue and loan-modification scams, and her administering $1.9 billion to help foreclosure-fraud victims in Nevada, thanks to the national mortgage settlement with big banks.
In other words, Cortez Masto has a history of working directly on behalf of Nevadans.
Moreover, her election will help bring the Senate back under Democratic control. When combined with a Republican House led by deal-making Speaker Paul Ryan and a president in Hillary Clinton, who works both sides of the aisle, the nation can finally exhale and move forward, with its leaders desiring compromise for the betterment of the country and to restore confidence in our institutions of government.
For her part, Cortez Masto can work on issues important to Nevadans: immigration reform that will keep families intact; funding for cancer screenings and other vitally important womens health care provided by Planned Parenthood; and the confirmation of a Supreme Court justice who will reaffirm opinions involving a womans rights over her own body, guarding against guns falling in unqualified hands while protecting the Second Amendment, and transparency in campaign funding so money-stoked special interests can be smoked out of hiding.
Perhaps most important to Nevada, Cortez Masto will not give an inch to the nuclear power industry, which wants to store used fuel rods still highly radioactive, and the deadliest material known to man inside Yucca Mountain, after coursing through Clark County. Just why a state that has no nuclear power plants should get stuck with other states nuclear waste remains unclear except that, when the idea surfaced in the 1980s, Nevada didnt have the political muscle to fight it.
6. INDIANA: EVAN BAYH
Challenger: Rep. Todd Young (R)
538 Chances of winning: 69.0%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/eb-signupredirect
Volunteer: http://evanbayhforindiana.com/contact/
A few things are true:
1. Evan Bayh sucks.
2. Evan Bayh is one of the few Democrats who can win statewide in Indiana for federal office.
3. Evan Bayh will vote for most Democratic proposals.
Evan Bayh is every progressive's least favorite Democrat. After dropping out of his 2010 Senate race because he was going to lose, he jumped back in (and caused ex. Rep. Baron Hill to drop out) because Democrats finally convinced him to jump back in. He's popular (though not as much as he used to be) and... whatever. Okay, look. We need him.
7. FLORIDA: PATRICK MURPHY
Challenger: Sen. Marco Rubio (R)
538 Chances of winning: 28.7%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/patrickmurphyforsenate?refcode=homepage&amount=25
Volunteer: https://www.murphyforflorida.com/get-involved/
Unfortunately for Rep. Patrick Murphy, this race got much harder for Democrats to win once Sen. "Lil'" Marco Rubio jumped back in. I know there are some Dems not hot on Murphy, but I also don't really see anyone else doing better. Rubio had a national profile and huge backing of establishment Republicans who wanted to keep this seat.
I'm not ready to write Murphy off just yet -- the Trump tapes have been a shot in the arm to Democrats, and Murphy isn't as hopeless as, say, Ted Strickland or Ann Kirkpatrick. There is a debate tonight that's getting a decent amount of coverage for a Senate debate, so we'll see if the higher profile can change things. If this is a wave election, it's quite possible that we could see a surprise win in Florida for Murphy.
8. ILLINOIS: TAMMY DUCKWORTH
Challenger: Sen. Mark Kirk (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 89.8%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/tduckworth?refcode=homepage
Volunteer: http://action.tammyduckworth.com/page/signup/take-action?refcode=homepage
So the next two people are pretty much guaranteed beat their Republican challengers, but it's important to mention them anyway.
Rep. Tammy Duckworth is an Iraq War veteran who lost both legs during an RPG attack on her helicopter in Iraq. She's a boss. This is her riding her rainbow scooter (with a rainbow fake leg!) during Chicago Pride this year:
https://www.facebook.com/YahooCanada/videos/10153465082816371/
Duckworth ran on a platform vehemently opposing the Iraq War, and has been an advocate for veterans since she entered Congress. She's a great congresswoman, and would be excellent for the Senate. Thankfully, it's very likely she'll end up there.
Endorsement: The Chicago-Sun Times
http://chicago.suntimes.com/opinion/endorsement-duckworth-the-better-choice-for-u-s-senate/
Duckworth is a second-term member of the U.S. House, where she can claim a number of small-bore achievements, especially in the area of reducing wasteful military spending. She sponsored a particularly ingenious bill, for example, that required the different branches of the military to settle on common uniform camouflage patterns. The U.S. Government Accountability Office estimates this simple reform will save taxpayers $4.2 billion over five years.
We are reminded of how Harry Truman made a name for himself as a senator in the 1940s by going after military waste. When we asked Duckworth about that, she acknowledged that Give em Hell, Harry was an inspiration.
But it is Duckworths remarkable life story that gives us reason to believe she might have what it takes to be a real force in the Senate, not just another back-bencher.
She joined the Army National Reserve Officers Training Corps as a graduate student at George Washington University in 1990 out of a simple desire to serve her country. She chose to fly helicopters because it was one of the few combat jobs open to women.
She lost her legs when her helicopter was shot down in Iraq. Her life was changed forever, but she was not defeated. As a patient in a military hospital, she met a visiting senator, Dick Durbin of Illinois, and before long she took to pestering him about all the problems her fellow wounded soldiers were having hassles with government paperwork and the like.
Durbin invited her to attend President George W. Bushs 2005 State of the Union Address. She wore her dress uniform with an IV line concealed underneath. She went on to become director of the Illinois Department of Veterans Affairs and, later, assistant secretary in the federal Department of Veterans Affairs.
Like Duckworth, Mark Kirk is an honored military veteran; and, like Duckworth, he has fought his way back from a devastating physical setback, in his case a severe stroke in 2012. We respect the man for his military service, of course, and we admire the tenacious way he has worked his way back to better health.
But Mark Kirk has long been a mystery to us. This is nothing new. We said exactly that six years ago when we declined to endorse Kirk in his first Senate run. We were unsure then and less sure now whether hes a man of convictions or a weather vane. And we wondered then and wonder more now how he can be so careless in his words and claims.
9. WISCONSIN: RUSS FEINGOLD
Challenger: Sen. Ron Johnson (R) (i)
538 Chances of winning: 93.9%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/feingold2016?refcode=web.splash
Volunteer: http://action.russfeingold.com/page...splash&utm_campaign=web.splash&utm_medium=web
This is a really important one for me. In one of the closest races of 2010, Ron Johnson beat out then-Sen. Russ Feingold during a Republican wave. This is a rematch of that race.
Sen. Ron Johnson is one of the worst members of Congress and votes like he's a Senator from Oklahoma, not a lean-blue state. On the other hand, Russ Feingold was one of the best Senators that we had during his time in office. He authored McCainFeingold (campaign finance reform), and was the only Senator to vote against the PATRIOT Act. He's one of the best civil libertarians that we could have in the Senate, and is a stalwart progressive in the mold of Paul Wellstone.
It's absolutely imperative that we send Russ Feingold back to the Senate.
--. CALIFORNIA: KAMALA HARRIS
Challenger: Rep. Loretta Sanchez (D)
538 Chances of winning: 91.4%
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/contribute/page/kdharrisforca?refcode=home&recurring=true
Volunteer: http://kamalaharris.org/take-action/
California is very weird. One of the weird things about California is that it uses a top-two primary system. Whichever candidates, regardless of party, get the top two votes in the primary go on to the general. This year, that was two Democrats: CA Attorney General Kamala Harris and Rep. Loretta Sanchez.
Harris is, far and away, the more progressive of the two. Sanchez is a blue dog Democrat who's trying to court Republican votes in order to win, taking up Republican talking points on Muslims and has been endorsed by various Republicans as the more moderate of the two. Because California is so blue, sending a moderate Democrat to Congress seems like a waste when Harris has earned the endorsement of Labor groups, EMILYs List, and environmental groups, plus almost every major Democrat in California.