Gallup: R 52-O 45 Time to Worry?

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Devil's Advocate time...
So its better to vote someone who broke many campaign promises?

Halve te deficit - doubles down.
No more credit-card spending - signs a trillion dollar bill.
Transparency - "don't you want us to pass this bill so you can find out what's in it?"

Both sides of the grass aren't grass - its a swamp.

Fool me once - not again. Dude could have put the brakes on early and decided he'd rather floor it and drive off the road.

This is what many don't like.

Sadly, the right and left control the debate and we can't get 3rd parties up in front of the nation speaking - so many will vote Romney out of disappointment.

Im a Libertarian so go easy on me, GAF. Im not impressed with either candidate. Sucks since I had hope for real change in 2008 and got more of the same result, just a different route was taken to get here.

Not true.
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-m...romney-says-barack-obama-has-doubled-deficit/
 
I did vote for those, because I support them. They aren't budget-related, and I think the prison/penal system in the USA is a disgrace.

edit: to clarify, I voted for the props, which weaken 3 strikes and abolish the death penalty.

High five, slim libertarian/socialist intersection!

Also, seriously, guys, Cooter is literally parroting a Dick Morris analysis. He deserves slightly less respect than Dick Morris -- except that that would be impossible.
 
Devil's Advocate time...
So its better to vote someone who broke many campaign promises?

Halve te deficit - doubles down.
No more credit-card spending - signs a trillion dollar bill.
Transparency - "don't you want us to pass this bill so you can find out what's in it?"

FYI, Government tends to spend like crazy to save the country from a depression. We learned that from the 30s.

As for the health bill, it was online before it was passed. People were just too lazy to read it. Including people in congress.
 

Obama needs to earn the votes, and to do that he needs to go on record with a more open plan, more commitments, basically sell his vote more than the previous election. He actually faces legitimate competition. I dont remember McCain/Palin being this close to Obama at this point four years ago.
 
Obama needs to earn the votes, and to do that he needs to go on record with a more open plan, more commitments, basically sell his vote more than the previous election. He actually faces legitimate competition. I dont remember McCain/Palin being this close to Obama at this point four years ago.

Obama wasn't even campaigning against McCain/Palin in 2008. He was basically campaigning against Bush.

Any Democrat would have easily won in 08 for precisely that reason.
 
Obama wasn't even campaigning against McCain/Palin in 2008. He was basically campaigning against Bush.

Any Democrat would have easily won in 08 for precisely that reason.

Id agree with that to an extent, but would consider the Bush/Kerry election of 2004.
 
Spin it however you want - this is how people see it which they should since Obama constantly mentions the previous administration.

I know it's probably more spin, but if he actually halved the deficit our economy wouldn't be looking this good at all. He needed to spend much more than he has. The stimulus should have been bigger, and the government shouldn't have lost the jobs that it did.
 
At least you US citizens get to vote, if Mitt Romney gets he will fuck up shit even worse throughout the whole world.
 
FYI, Government tends to spend like crazy to save the country from a depression. We learned that from the 30s.

As for the health bill, it was online before it was passed. People were just too lazy to read it. Including people in congress.
Too lazy or not enough time to tear through it all before it passed?

You make it sound like it was up for months, ha! Nope. Not enough time to get the nation involved in discussion. But that's not ramming it through, right? Its like me telling you im going to burn your house down after I already soaked it in gasoline and had a lit match waiting to throw on it with you across town. Plenty of time to stop me, right?

Say whatever you want but there is no defending the mishaps of this administration and no light at the end of the tunnel with Romney, either.

It is what it is.

Funny... we get to choose between 50 women for Miss America but only 2 for President... something is wrong with that picture.
 
I know it's probably more spin, but if he actually halved the deficit our economy wouldn't be looking this good at all. He needed to spend much more than he has. The stimulus should have been bigger, and the government shouldn't have lost the jobs that it did.
Stimulus? What stimulus?

If you take 5 dollars from me and then give me back 5 dollars thats a net zero. Nothing. Nada. Zilch. Zero. A wash.

Stimulus? Surely this is just some mathematical trolling.
 
Funny... we get to choose between 50 women for Miss America but only 2 for President... something is wrong with that picture.

You realize there's a primary process for this, right? That's where you get your multiple choices. If you want a better president, pay attention and vote in primaries. This goes for every political office, really. If you pay attention and get involved in the process, you can sway things.


Stimulus? What stimulus?

If you take 5 dollars from me and then give me back 5 dollars thats a net zero. Nothing. Nada. Zilch. Zero. A wash.

Stimulus? Surely this is just some mathematical trolling.

What in fuck's name are you talking about?
 
Not enough people hated Bush in 2004, sadly.

Honestly this is looking a lot like 2004 with the parties switched. And minus one big clusterfuck mistake war, of course.

Yeah, Bush's approval ratings in 04 were still around 50%.

America did not start despising him until the midpoint of his second term.
 
You realize there's a primary process for this, right? That's where you get your multiple choices. If you want a better president, pay attention and vote in primaries. This goes for every political office, really. If you pay attention and get involved in the process, you can sway things.
I apologize, im continuing my thoughts from the previous page on how the left/right control the debates and don't allow 3rd parties in the national debate.

Im not good at poliGAF so I should have made my analogy a bit more clear. My apologies.
 
I was checking 538 on GAF's recommendation a couple weeks ago and it had something like a 87% chance of Obama winning. I visit it now and it's down to 66%.

I mean, I've missed attacks with better odds before in Fire Emblem. Just sayin'.
 
Oh good grief, quit with the dogpile like I'm the first person to say this.

The really funny thing about this post is that most of the other people who posted this in the thread ALSO got dogpiled, so you can hardly say you weren't warned.
 
Can't stay away. :). Good ole' discounting Gallup because it says something I don't like. The main reason I see Romney winning comfortably is turnout. There is a very very very small chance Obama can replicate 08' turnout of hope and change/Bush sucks with his argument this year of things are bad but they will get better and my opponent is a horrible human being. Add that to a much stronger republican turnout and I just don't see it happening.

The problem is that Gallup itself, if you look past the headline figure and look at how the votes is distributed, is pointing to Obama taking victory. It doesn't matter if Romney gets 100% of the vote in Texas, he still only gets 38 votes in the Electoral College. The South is not the entireity of the United States, despite what some people (and Gallup) believes.
 
To anyone that thinks Gallup isn't an insane outlier.

Explain how their Obama approval rating has been above 50 for days, above other polls, and yet they keep showing Romney's lead increasing.

It makes no sense.
 
Anyone saying that Obama has accomplished nothing or has been completely ineffectual has been living under a rock the past 3 1/2 years or is a complete ideologue blinded by an extreme dislike or hatred for man they have really no reason to dislike. If you're a sane minded person and I don't care if you're Republican or Democrat you know that Obama has not accomplished nothing. He has quite a track record of achievements they've just been marred by the disgusting political atmosphere that has surfaced over the past four years by people that are blinded by hate racism and extreme ideology.
 
The problem is that Gallup itself, if you look past the headline figure and look at how the votes is distributed, is pointing to Obama taking victory. It doesn't matter if Romney gets 100% of the vote in Texas, he still only gets 38 votes in the Electoral College. The South is not the entireity of the United States, despite what some people (and Gallup) believes.

By the same token racking up 70 in Illinois, New York and California does Obama no good. I don't think that's a rock-solid analysis.
 
Sorry, but I'm finding it hard to believe Gallup's LV poll. Is Romney up nationally? Quite conceivably so. Is he up by 7 points? Hell no. That's a bigger margin than what Obama won by in 2008, if I remember correctly.
 
Anyone saying that Obama has accomplished nothing or has been completely ineffectual has been living under a rock the past 3 1/2 years or is a complete ideologue blinded by an extreme dislike or hatred for man they have really no reason to dislike. If you're a sane minded person and I don't care if you're Republican or Democrat you know that Obama has not accomplished nothing. He has quite a track record of achievements they've just been marred by the disgusting political atmosphere that has surfaced over the past four years by people that are blinded by hate racism and extreme ideology.
Making personal jabs really helps the Obama camp. So does the race card... I mean... he was white when we voted him in... wasnt he? Oh that's right! He wasn't!

You can more a more convincing point not insisting that people that dont like him are insane, racist, etc

You sound no better than the right wing that believes Romney's BS. Grow up.
 
Obama needs to earn the votes, and to do that he needs to go on record with a more open plan, more commitments, basically sell his vote more than the previous election. He actually faces legitimate competition. I dont remember McCain/Palin being this close to Obama at this point four years ago.
McCain was either neck and neck or ahead of Obama in a lot of the polls, Obama's big gap on McCain occured when the economy collapsed while McCain was saying he had no clue how to run it.
 
By the same token racking up 70 in Illinois, New York and California does Obama no good. I don't think that's a rock-solid analysis.

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What is an EV signal and... I don't know... which is why im asking... I really have no clue... Fort Knox?

Empty Vessel. He's a guy around here that usually jumps on this sort of thing.

But yes, we have a Fiat Monetary system, which means that the US Government has monetary sovereignty over the creation of our dollar. Every dollar spent is a dollar created. Dollars taxed are dollars destroyed. In order to expand an economy with an expanding population it is necessary to create more dollars, and we've done so almost every year of our existence with a few exceptions (Andrew Jackson got rid of our debt, and there were a few more times throughout history that we pulled in a bit more than we sent out, though the debt didn't disappear in those instances.... and after every single one but one time the economy went through a depression afterwards)

But really none of that matters in the current discussion. You're talking about a stimulus, something that really no reputable economist has any problems with. You do realize that this isn't a politically or economically questionable thing, right? Almost every candidate running in 08 had a stimulus plan (and Romney's was the largest!). And now most economists agree our stimulus wasn't big enough. There is absolutely no question that a stimulus pretty much does what it's supposed to do and can kick start a lagging economy. You'd be pretty extreme to think otherwise.
 
that's the thing, he doesn't seem to be racking up 70 in any of them (except maybe illinois)

Well it doesn't look like Romney is getting any larger margins in Texas either. The point is that the breakdown of 4 regions for the entire country isn't large enough to tell you that Obama is winning the states he needs because there are large high margin states on his side too.
 
The "douche vs. turd sandwich" people, who somehow thinks their uneducated, ignorant view on the world is correct and worth sharing.
 
Too lazy or not enough time to tear through it all before it passed?

You make it sound like it was up for months, ha! Nope. Not enough time to get the nation involved in discussion. But that's not ramming it through, right? Its like me telling you im going to burn your house down after I already soaked it in gasoline and had a lit match waiting to throw on it with you across town. Plenty of time to stop me, right?

Say whatever you want but there is no defending the mishaps of this administration and no light at the end of the tunnel with Romney, either.

It is what it is.

Funny... we get to choose between 50 women for Miss America but only 2 for President... something is wrong with that picture.

Wasn't the health care bill debated for almost a year? Isn't that one of the talking points from the GOP, that he spent too much time on that instead of jobs?
 
There is absolutely no question that a stimulus pretty much does what it's supposed to do and can kick start a lagging economy. You'd be pretty extreme to think otherwise.

Also Europe has done the opposite of stimulus and look how well it's going for them.
 
Well it doesn't look like Romney is getting any larger margins in Texas either. The point is that the breakdown of 4 regions for the entire country isn't large enough to tell you that Obama is winning the states he needs because there are large high margin states on his side too.

speaking of high-margin states, here are some numbers that just got released seconds ago:

WSJ/Marist/NBC - Oct 15-17

Iowa - Romney 43% - Obama 51%
Wisconsin - Romney 45% - Obama 51%
 
Wasn't the health care bill debated for almost a year? Isn't that one of the talking points from the GOP, that he spent too much time on that instead of jobs?

And in hindsight it's probably a great thing he worked on healthcare. With a recession that size, there were probably plenty of people who lost their jobs and couldn't afford to continue their coverage. Being covered for a pre-existing condition may be a godsend to those people in the next few years or so.
 
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