Synth_floyd
Banned
PEAK OIL is coming soon. Some of the alarmists are predicting $100+ for a barrel of oil within a year and others are saying quite the opposite.
Deku said:I think the silver lining is, it will eventually get North Americans off their SUVs and get a real practical appreciation of smaller cars and fuel efficiency as well as drive technological innovation and acceptance of hybrids. There's absolutely no excuse for soccer moms to be hogging the road and crashing into buses in busy downtown streets on an SUV when they could be zipping around on a smaller more fuel efficient car where the frequent starts and stops wouldn't waste so much fuel.
And yes, I was on a bus in downtown Vancouver when a soccer mom crashed into a Bus on her SUV and tried to blame it on the bus driver.
That's a simplistic analysis. The oil companies also took a hit with the low fuel costs in the 90s but no one seem to mind then.
Most of them have to get their fuel from somewhere to process in their refineries, it's not like they get the oil for free and make a fortune off of it.
That said, since a lot of the commodity business has to do with futures contracts where prices are locked in ahead of time, rising price of oil means contracts that were locked in when prices were expected to be lower would yield considerable profit for the oil companies. But it's not really their fault since prices could just easily fall and they'd be stuck with a bunch contracts where they are supposed to buy crude at higher than the spot price on the market.
The real driver of rising oil prices is limited supply or more precisely, limited capacity to raise supply and China's surging demand for oil.
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Teh Hamburglar said:Gas was 85 cents when I got my license![]()
xabre said:The whole situation regarding modern western society is one of such self-indulgence and arrogance that the populations of western countries have become so convinced, so self-assured their societies and lifestyles are based upon such a foundation of solid fortified stone that they are essentially eternal. That the status quo of western dominance and affluence will never alter, shake or waver and nothing, besides those dastardly 'terrorists' can ever undermine that foundation.
We sit high and pretty at the peak of our civilisation so self-assured and arrogant at our dominion over the world that the idea that it may one day come crashing down is such an unthinkable concept to be seriously considered and debated. And yet we have one thing in common with every other civilisation that ever sat high and pretty and fell apart soon thereafter, that despite our technological advantage and evolved social complexity our civilisation like all proceeding societies still has at its basis an insatiable appetite for a raw natural resource; the basic need of an energy source to feed its very prosperity and very survival and in the absence of which neither are feasible.
The bane of modern civilisation is oil.
Jeffahn said:I agree with this generally, but would like to add that we now actually know enough about how the collapse is likely to happen, yet at the same time, can do little to stop it -even though we know we have the know-how to do so. Vested interests and self-delusion look to be our downfall.
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AB 101 said:Well, the US stealing Iraqi oil has not lead to lower prices in the US.
Raoul Duke said:That's entirely our fault, though. The boonies is one thing, but suburbia is going to be remembered as the most wasteful, untenable way of life from the 20th century.
Suikoguy said:Yep, while it comes with a ton of drawbacks.. I think its the only thing thats going to get us off our dependance on oil. I truely hope that billions of dollars are poured into research of new energy production technologies (Lets get fusion working alright?), to the point that there is a scientist shortage![]()
whytemyke said:...oil has gone up another buck per barrel today, topping out at $66 a barrel.
The thing with this shit, touching on suburbia, is that at least in the inner-cities, there tends to be a mass transportation system of some sort in most of them. But you don't have that kind of thing in Suburbia.
I'm wondering how long its gonna take for someone in the Big 3 to realize the money taht could be made by getting contracts for bullet trains and stuff across the country. Ford could take in a shitload if they started to build advanced train systems across southeast michigan, from the contract to maintenance and everything.
I wish that the US had mass transit down as well as Europe seems to.
fennec fox said:Peak oil : 2005 :: Titor : 2004
SteveMeister said:You kids crack me up![]()
The Experiment said:I agree. Suburbia has done more harm than good:
1) The society of acquiring hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt. Many of those people that live in nice houses more often than not only make around $60-80k and own $300k+ houses. Add in an SUV and all kinds of high tech gadgets. Most people who live like this are living in hell pretty much, paycheck to paycheck as they can barely meet their minimum payments.
Macam said:
Nerevar said:The "majority"? Are you sure about that? And what's so bad about being in debt? If you're locked in to a 30-year mortgage at a fixed rate you might be "hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt", but you're also certainly building a much more stable financial future than someone else renting their living space. And for the record - making 60-80k is more than enough to enjoy living in a 300k dollar house. You're lucky if you can find a house that cheap within 50 miles of the urban center of any major coastal city.
I'm not going to even try to deconstruct the rest of your post because you sound like some barely 20-year old pissed off metropolitan college kid with no grasp of reality. Most cities try to pass ordinances that restrict people from living out in the suburbs and driving in. In metro New York I believe you have to pay an extra tax if you live outside the city but work inside the city. Boston is attempting to force development along mass transit /commuter rail lines to decrease the sizable congestion that chokes the highways through the cities. The worst city is honestly Washington, DC where the government supplies free parking for a majority of its downtown workers. Suburbia can work through intelligent urban planning and development coupled with well-designed mass transit. The problem is that we're not doing enough to encourage it. Sitting around bitching about the "evils" of suburban culture accomplishes nothing, and rejects the incredibly sizable benefits that accompany "growing up" in a suburban setting allow.
Raoul Duke said:The problem with Suburbia(this is mostly addressed to Darien and Nerevar) is that it was a terrible misallocation of NONRENEWALBE resources. Using all of that oil in A) constructing cookie cutter houses dozens of miles outside of urban centers and then B) travelling from suburbia to the city to work and back again is really stupid. People should just live where they work.
Raoul Duke said:That's entirely our fault, though. The boonies is one thing, but suburbia is going to be remembered as the most wasteful, untenable way of life from the 20th century.
pestul said:I swear, the fucking buses in our city seem to pollute/eat fuel more than if every passenger was riding thier own economy cars.
I suppose they're still cheaper though.
Phoenix said:A lot of buses in many major cities are biodiesel and more cities are looking at electric until fuel cells become reasonable.
mashoutposse said:Higher gas prices are a bitter pill to swallow, but it is worth it in the name of the development of a renewable replacement. If gas were $1.20/gal, the world would drink it until it's gone, with no 'exit strategy' created until it's way too late.
Ninja Scooter said:yeah. People who are upset about the gas prices probably just want them lower so they can fill up their Hummer's so they can make the 5 minute drive to Starbucks and buy a $6.00 coffee.
I wouldn't be terribly worried about this country, per se, but the non-first world that's addicted to oil and can't afford to switch. Then there's China which is gearing up an oil-consuming economy right now. Things are going to get ugly one way or the other.mashoutposse said:Ultimately, I'm not terribly worried about the inevitable fossil fuel energy crisis. I have faith in the entrepreneurial spirit of this nation -- I believe that the people in a position to develop a truly viable alternative to crude realize that a renewable replacement would make them rich beyond their absolute wildest dreams. For this reason, I am sure that there are people out there working very hard to fill the upcoming need for a gasoline substitute.
Raoul Duke said:The problem with Suburbia(this is mostly addressed to Darien and Nerevar) is that it was a terrible misallocation of NONRENEWALBE resources. Using all of that oil in A) constructing cookie cutter houses dozens of miles outside of urban centers and then B) travelling from suburbia to the city to work and back again is really stupid. People should just live where they work. Doing so gives you more of an identification with where you work AND live, plus it eliminates and "us and them" mentality that has helped to further seperate America when it needs to come together.
And Darien, I love your cavalier attitude. "We have money in the bank and blah blah blah." It's amusing to me because you generally are a pretty intelligent fella from what I can tell, but are using an extremely self-centered, short sighted viewpoint on this issue. Is living outside of the city that important in the long run? What about your children? Can you guarantee that the situation will be the same 15 or 20 years from now? That your money will still be good or even there?
mashoutposse said:Higher gas prices are a bitter pill to swallow, but it is worth it in the name of the development of a renewable replacement. If gas were $1.20/gal, the world would drink it until it's gone, with no 'exit strategy' created until it's way too late.
The Experiment said:I agree. Suburbia has done more harm than good:
1) The society of acquiring hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt. Many of those people that live in nice houses more often than not only make around $60-80k and own $300k+ houses. Add in an SUV and all kinds of high tech gadgets. Most people who live like this are living in hell pretty much, paycheck to paycheck as they can barely meet their minimum payments.
2) The society of urban apathy. The cities rot from the inside out, literally. Instead new funds from transportation now must go to creating new sprawling roads for the growing suburbia while the urban areas are riddled with potholes and bridge projects that take forever to fix because they're low priorities. Then they want excellent schools but not on their dime. Its like Reaganomics never left these people, even though they were little kids when Reagan was President.
3) The society of unrealistic expectations. Suburbia is a culture mired in materialism, a who has what sub-society. Children more often than not, continue this mindset. Many suburban girls want no less than a slave for a boyfriend, someone who caters to her all the time. The suburban boys drive brand new cars and expect to coast through life, hoping to automatically get a high paying job because they are suburban, they deserve better than the rest of the people.
I'm done with this rant.
Who is ths us and them you are talking about? Different cultures? Different nationalities? We have all of that in our suburban community, and my identification of where I live and work is just fine thank you very much.Raoul Duke said:The problem with Suburbia(this is mostly addressed to Darien and Nerevar) is that it was a terrible misallocation of NONRENEWALBE resources. Using all of that oil in A) constructing cookie cutter houses dozens of miles outside of urban centers and then B) travelling from suburbia to the city to work and back again is really stupid. People should just live where they work. Doing so gives you more of an identification with where you work AND live, plus it eliminates and "us and them" mentality that has helped to further seperate America when it needs to come together.
Um it's not blah, blah, blah when too much of this country IS based on living from paycheck to paycheck WE are concerned with living TODAY AND TOMORROW, and that is what savings and diverse investments are all about. We don't live paycheck to paycheck because we realize that it's a dead in... and lord as for our neighborhood the people on our right side(2 houses) own their own business, the people on our left (1) does the same, no one in our neighborhood lives paycheck to paycheck. Living in an area that is safe for my child to grow up, interact with all different types of peoples from all different backgrounds with less of chance of gun and drug related violence is damn well very important. No one can guarantee ANY city or country area will be the same in the time period you've put forth.And Darien, I love your cavalier attitude. "We have money in the bank and blah blah blah." It's amusing to me because you generally are a pretty intelligent fella from what I can tell, but are using an extremely self-centered, short sighted viewpoint on this issue. Is living outside of the city that important in the long run? What about your children? Can you guarantee that the situation will be the same 15 or 20 years from now? That your money will still be good or even there?
SteveMeister said:You kids crack me up![]()
DarienA said:Every time you start this crazy suburban living is evil shit in threads I sit back and wonder WTF are you thinking? I normally sit back and watch without responding because it's much easier to let it pass... but this time I showed your posts to the missus and she couldn't believe it.
DarienA said:Who is ths us and them you are talking about? Different cultures? Different nationalities? We have all of that in our suburban community, and my identification of where I live and work is just fine thank you very much.
Um it's not blah, blah, blah when too much of this country IS based on living from paycheck to paycheck WE are concerned with living TODAY AND TOMORROW, and that is what savings and diverse investments are all about. We don't live paycheck to paycheck because we realize that it's a dead in... and lord as for our neighborhood the people on our right side(2 houses) own their own business, the people on our left (1) does the same, no one in our neighborhood lives paycheck to paycheck. Living in an area that is safe for my child to grow up, interact with all different types of peoples from all different backgrounds with less of chance of gun and drug related violence is damn well very important. No one can guarantee ANY city or country area will be the same in the time period you've put forth.
Your arrogance in basing society's woes on suburban living is beyond stupid. Why not put the problem where it really is? Why not talk about the grossly uneven distribution of wealth in this country? Inner city crime is a huge issue, and yet you're complaining about funds being syphoned away concerning transportation issues? My god there are so many more problems that can be identified with REAL issues... REAL solutions.....
Every time you start this crazy suburban living is evil shit in threads I sit back and wonder WTF are you thinking? I normally sit back and watch without responding because it's much easier to let it pass... but this time I showed your posts to the missus and she couldn't believe it.
I wish I had time to sit down with you and hash out all the real problems in this country... crime, lack of public funding for social programs, poverty, too much wealth in the hands of too few, lack of corporate and political accountability, but I just don't have the patience anymore....
So once again I'll go back to just sitting here and shaking my head in wonderment...