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[Physiognomonics]

I am talking lifetime, PS5 copies sold physical and digital. Say in 5 years how many PS5 copies will be sold?

 

[Dacvak]

I’m thinking around 10m, which would be huge for a game like this.

 

[NeverYouMind]

Whatever Rift Apart did.

 

[West Texas CEO]

100 million, with the momentum of Chinese gamers.

 

[DJ12]

I voted 11 - 15.

That's if it stays of psn for a couple of years

 

[Hookshot]

30 years of pent up frustration against Mario so 30 million copies.

 

[EDMIX]

Probably 50 million...

 

[killatopak]

 

[DrFigs]

I think it could do 16 mil lifetime.

 

[Unknown Soldier]

1 BILLION COPIESSSSSSS

 

[Crayon]

 

[SHA]

Something like the original Super Mario Bros which is magnificent.

 

[aerts1js]

6-10 million which would be amazing for a game developed by only around 60 people.

 

[nial]

It's 100% gonna outsell Ratchet & Clank 2016 and Crash Bandicoot 2-3 (all over 7M), you can only go up from there.

 

[Markio128]

I reckon it could easily sell more than 10 million units. Parents will lap this up at Xmas for the kids, and it’ll likely be a consistent seller for the remainder of the PS5’s life.

 

[Draugoth]

Should easily sell over 20 minutes by the end of it's lifetime

 

[Holammer]

Over five seems like a safe bet.

 

[DeepSpace5D]

I’d say probably 7-8 million after 5 years which I think would be great for the genre.

 

[ReyBrujo]

6-7 millions, does not match the PS gamer profile much like Little Big Planet.

 

[Crayon]

20 sounds absolutely wild to me. But I've always sucked at this.

 

[Hookshot]

Should easily sell over 20 minutes by the end of it's lifetime

Problem with Sony's sales milestones that God of War 2018 is currently £7.99 https://www.playstation.com/en-gb/games/god-of-war/

So you never know how many were sold at full price or how many were given away with a bag of Cheetos. It all counts towards the total but should they really count? 20 million at £60 is great, 19 million at £8 not so much

 

[ReyBrujo]

Problem with Sony's sales milestones that God of War 2018 is currently £7.99 https://www.playstation.com/en-gb/games/god-of-war/

So you never know how many were sold at full price or how many were given away with a bag of Cheetos. It all counts towards the total but should they really count? 20 million at £60 is great, 19 million at £8 not so much

They are also radically different games. I don't see the point in comparing a "cute" platform IP with a adventure "macho" IP. There's nothing similar in the PS5 list of million sellers, and in the PS4 one there's Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy which sold 2.5m according to wiki.

 

[nial]

and in the PS4 one there's Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy which sold 2.5m according to wiki.

Ratchet & Clank 2016 (over 7M)

 

[nial]

20 million at £60 is great, 19 million at £8 not so much

come on now

 

[RyanEvans21]

1 to 5 million

 

[Azelover]

I'm optimistic. So I'm gonna say more than 20 million..

 

[ReyBrujo]

It's 100% gonna outsell Ratchet & Clank 2016 and Crash Bandicoot 2-3 (all over 7M), you can only go up from there.

I see Astrobot closer to Crash Bandicoot than Ratchet & Clank in terms of gameplay. And was comparing only with PS4-5 games in terms of sales in recent hardware. Little Big Planet still is the closest comparison personally, and that gives me 6-7m mark.

 

[nial]

I see Astrobot closer to Crash Bandicoot than Ratchet & Clank in terms of gameplay. And was comparing only with PS4-5 games in terms of sales in recent hardware. Little Big Planet still is the closest comparison personally, and that gives me 6-7m mark.

It appeals to virtually the same audience, tho. I'd say even more than LBP.
Bolded, huh, I mentioned a PS4 game.

 

[LavitzSlambert]

I actually think Sony is dealing with the perfect storm that puts Astro Bot on display to a wider audience. I could see 12 million by the end of the generation.

 

[Hookshot]

come on now

I’m not saying that happened but we don’t know the mix. Pokémon scarlet has sold 25 mil and we know it’s probably 25 mil at close to full price. God of war is at 23 mil but we can argue either way what percentage of those were full or not

 

[ReyBrujo]

It appeals to virtually the same audience, tho. I'd say even more than LBP.
Bolded, huh, I mentioned a PS4 game.

Ah, sorry, went to the original quote which also mentioned Crash Bandicoot 2-3. Hopefully it does at the very least as good as LBP, that was a pretty refreshing game much like Loco Roco.

 

[nial]

I’m not saying that happened but we don’t know the mix. Pokémon scarlet has sold 25 mil and we know it’s probably 25 mil at close to full price. God of war is at 23 mil but we can argue either way what percentage of those were full or not

The game had already sold 5M units by its first month, and it didn't even get its first permanent price cut ($20 less) until October 2018.

 

[Crispy Gamer]

16-20 mill but coupled with ps5 price drop and bundle maybe 25 mill

 

[CityHunter1981]

Hope a lot, so they get greenlight a second game with an even bigger team.
This game is a pure delight.

But looks positive, it’s peaking on many sales charts and the great review scores should even draw more people in.

 

[Rockman33]

Feels like the perfect game to bundle in Christmas bundles with.

 

[Mibu no ookami]

Really difficult to ascertain where it will land. So much depends on when Sony eventually drops the price of the PS5 and by how much. Then there is a PlayStation handheld and then the eventual transmedia boost when they make a movie about Astro Bot.

It also depends on how hard Sony pushes the game. It's likely to get a strong push from them throughout the holidays and into next year, especially with all the 30th anniversary stuff happening.

It's not your typical seller on PlayStation and PS5 is probably too pricey to really get a lot of kids on the system. Parents won't want to buy PS5 for 500 (plus in other regions).

I could see a bundle next year that includes Astro Bot and Lego Horizon Adventure though after GTA6 drops. 300/350 for the digital system and both games.

 

[Jesb]

How is Sony not doing a bundle with this game.

 

[odhiex]

I suspect 10+ millions (sold) lifetime, and I hope 18+ millions combined when it comes to PS+, or PC (eventually)

 

[Omnipunctual Godot]

When it hits PS+? 10M+

 

[kazuyamishima]

So you never know how many were sold at full price or how many were given away with a bag of Cheetos. It all counts towards the total but should they really count? 20 million at £60 is great, 19 million at £8 not so much

The pricing change from PS4 to PS5 is significant, something like Ragnarok was 15m. units at the end of 2023, the cheapest price the PS5 version has been is $40.

Same with Niche-Man 2, and the same will apply with Astrobot, average price has changed from generations and that’s something a lot of people haven’t analysed yet.

 

[Mibu no ookami]

How is Sony not doing a bundle with this game.

They might eventually, but is it really a system seller?

 

[peter42O]

4-6m.

 

[vivftp]

30 million seller incoming

 

[DragonNCM]

16-20 million if they pack it with every PS5

 

[Danjin44]

I dont know, I hope sales well enough they could make more games, even new IP.

 

[SweetTooth]

6-7 million which is fantastic

 

[BigLee74]

How many babies do PS5 players collectively have again?

 

[tmlDan]

idk why, i feel like it'll be a slow burn, hoping for 6-10 but expect 1-5MM

 

[Success]

6-10 million​

If it weren't for my catastrophic misread of the game before, I would have said 2 million tops.

 

[blacktout]

I voted 16-20 million, but after reading the replies, I'm starting to get the impression that I have been spending too much time in Nintendo sales threads and have no idea what a game like this would sell on a Sony platform.