..sorta.
Keep in mind that while the DJIA has recovered back to all time highs, the DJIA has removed a significant amount of companies from the index that were on there during the market crash.
Chevron, Cisco, UnitedHealth, Nike, Visa, Goldman Sachs, and Travelers are all on the average now and weren't in 2007, making the average look a bit higher than it would be if HP, General motors, Kraft, AIG etc were still there.
second, keep in mind the market generally has a gain of about 8 or 9% YOY. That 6 or 7 years or so (which was really fast all things considered) to get BACK to where it was pre-crash is basically lost income when talking about retirement- thats years of gains that one will never get back.
Pretty much.
The OP is pretty comprehensive here. The only thing I might add is municipal bond funds. Vanguard offers them as well (I have some money here, but it's not my primary retirement vehicle.)
The advantage over an IRA or an index fund is that a municipal bond fund is much lower risk and guarantees a set return (though the risk is not zero, nothing is zero) and if you have a fund composed of bonds from your state, all gains are completely non taxable.
might be worth looking into alongside an IRA or 401K.
Goverment bonds are guaranteed zero risk. The goverment cannot default on its bonds denominated in domestic currency (foreign currency bonds can default, there are a lot of examples). You can still lose money if the interest rates start to rise, though.
So if I invest in 401k and Roth IRA - is there a reason to invest into index funds beyond that? Or should I pick the funds in the op in my 401k?
I'm all in index funds with very low fees. Slice and Dice.
No time or desire to be a stock picker.
Many other things I'd rather be thinking about.
Buy, hold, and rebalance infrequently.
Holding 20% bonds for rebalancing purposes and to reduce volatility.
Here is the question you have to honestly answer for yourself. "Am I going to sell my portfolio at the worst possible time (the next time things crash, and they will)?" Its hard to really know the answer to that until it happens. But if you end up buying high and selling low during a crash because your investments are too risky for your own risk tolerance then you are not holding enough bonds and it probably cost you a ton of money.
...
Here is a link to a recent decent article by Rick Ferri:
http://www.rickferri.com/blog/investments/a-reason-to-own-bonds/
A lot of misinformation and blanket advice in this thread. Piecake, care to explain your credentials to the folks you are giving advice to; people whose situation you have no direct information on.
It's one thing to take a basic approach and educate people on why invest, what is a stock, what is a bond, etc but to take it further and justify an asset allocation the way you are is out of bounds. In fact, if you were registered under finra, you could be in a lot of trouble. Throwing blanket advice is not only irresponsible, it is morally deceiving and justified only by your bias ("I don't see the point of being aggressive" etc).
For anyone who wants a basic understanding of the pieces involved in investing, a lot of major broker dealers have this information on their sites or you can go to www.investopedia.com
By the way, "investment bankers" don't charge 3-4% or 1-2%. Wealth managers do. there's a huge freaking difference. You don't even have a fundamental grasp of the profession itself so continued threads like these continue to irk me.
Yeah yeah same song and dance. you don't use data to "support your position". Yku use it to come to one. Difference. Using data to support your position does and should not equate to you asserting said position to others.Your irrelevant bias against "investment bankers" is a personal matter and one you contend is linked to pride as you mentioned in the stock thread. Anyone can self medicate, however a blanket strategy , as two people have easily pointed out here, does not work.
There's much more to investing than accumulating it. Something so basic in your view does not have a web of laws and regulations and studies to go along with it for no reason.
Goverment bonds are guaranteed zero risk. The goverment cannot default on its bonds denominated in domestic currency (foreign currency bonds can default, there are a lot of examples). You can still lose money if the interest rates start to rise, though.
I wasn't specifically speaking of the Dow 30, nor it is the only one that has recovered. Pick any index you like, and you'll see levels now markedly higher than the peaks in 2007 before the collapse. If you were in bonds this entire time, maybe you didn't appear to lose your shirt, but I dare say you'd actually be worse off right now, and it will only get worse as time marches forward.
Again, I say this while feeling young and invincible and having already fully acknowledged that as I approach retirement, I'll likely feel much more conservative. But on the other hand, if this is a "once in 80 years event" (as they called it), and the worst market any of us are likely to live through, then an ultra-conservative strategy, say, 10 years out just seems awful silly.
What do you guys think about Employee Stock Plan.
I work for a utility company and the company matches 11% or whatever amount of company stock I purchase. The upper limit of the match is pretty high. I can sell the portion of the share after owning it for 12 months. Again its a stable power utility company with dividends.
Do you guys recommend sell them every year or hold on it them and wait for a high price to sell? When I sell it I have to pay tax for that portion of the profit.
You want to see shit hit the fan, wait 40 years when my gen is "retiring". I see a lot of folk in this thread with savings and 401k talk, none of which exists for a lot of folk increasingly over the years. I don't think i can count more than 3-4 people i work with that have any sort of retirement plan. And hah, Social Security! I'm sure that'll still be a thing.
Book it, total poverty old person meltdown in 30-40 years time. Soylent green is people i eagerly await the clinics.
Everyone has access to an IRA. And I think a number of people who think they can't save for retirement can if they make a budget and do some serious cutting. It will probably suck, but it'll suck worse if you don't have any retirement savings. I really don't see SS going away or being significantly changed. It is remarkably stable and the only people who suggest otherwise are deliberately misleading you or don't know what they are talking about.
As for the retirement crisis, Itll probably happen sooner than that. I made a thread on the retirement crisis a while back
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=712237&highlight=
But this was the most important/disturbing thing out of all of it
Yup, apparently the average 55-64 year-old american only has 12k saved up for retirement.
What do you guys think about Employee Stock Plan.
I work for a utility company and the company matches 11% or whatever amount of company stock I purchase. The upper limit of the match is pretty high. I can sell the portion of the share after owning it for 12 months. Again its a stable power utility company with dividends.
Do you guys recommend sell them every year or hold on it them and wait for a high price to sell? When I sell it I have to pay tax for that portion of the profit.
What do you guys think about Employee Stock Plan.
I work for a utility company and the company matches 11% or whatever amount of company stock I purchase. The upper limit of the match is pretty high. I can sell the portion of the share after owning it for 12 months. Again its a stable power utility company with dividends.
Do you guys recommend sell them every year or hold on it them and wait for a high price to sell? When I sell it I have to pay tax for that portion of the profit.
You would recommend a stock of a company you know nothing of and tell this person to invest 20% of his portfolio into it?
I rest my case.
How dare different people have different ages, emotional parameters or goals from one another and how dare they have a plan that is aligned to those specific needs.
I've always wondered how the hell you're supposed to know what your tax rate will be two or three decades from now.
How dare different people have different ages, emotional parameters or goals from one another and how dare they have a plan that is aligned to those specific needs. How dare they. How dare we consider that a "retirement portfolio" should warrant more emphasis than a retirement plan that is aligned to their different accumulation, distribution and legacy needs. How dare anyone pay an "investment banker" to put said plan together. Lets save the money and pay waiters a 15% tip for bringing over our burgers instead.
Look, you can argue your case around the parameters that you have just gotten around to quantify, namely "retirement portfolio" and following the market. But those terms and investing are NOT mutually exclusive and if you are not careful with your words, you confuse and misinform.
Regarding comment about data to justify your position. Your choice of words indicate that your position came first and that you are being selective with your data of choice to justify said position. A very common way many people function to justify a bias
I want to clear why I am discussing this with you and seem to be targeting you. I take money very seriously and have studied it for a very long time for a personal reason. Money is something many people work hard for and can lose 50% on in a year they planned on retiring (another reason why your focus on following market is trite). That being said, the words you use to inform is very important.
On that note, I want to recognize your good intentions and you promoting thought around what is an important subject. I respect that. What I do not respect is your means to this end. And I do not believe it is right.
You would recommend a stock of a company you know nothing of and tell this person to invest 20% of his portfolio into it?
I rest my case.
I've always wondered how the hell you're supposed to know what your tax rate will be two or three decades from now.
the tax rate on investments is always the "capital gains" tax rate, usually the "long term capital gains" rate unless you're day trading.
This is very, very, very easy to predict (it's currently one rate no matter how much you make) and if there are any changes it's national news.
For reference: It's 13% in Canada.
This might be a dumb question, but can you switch to a lower paying job close to retirement when you want to take your 401k money, and fall under lower tax bracket?
see my above answer. investment income (like 401k, IRA, or bond income) is "capital gains" no matter how much you make. It's currently 15%, which is WELL below even the lowest income tax bracket. 16 year olds working at mcdonalds pay a greater percentage of their income than you will in retirement.
15% in the US, though its typically higher. It will probably go up if the republicans ever get voted out of the house, but not by much.
see my above answer. investment income (like 401k, IRA, or bond income) is "capital gains" no matter how much you make. It's currently 15%, which is WELL below even the lowest income tax bracket. 16 year olds working at mcdonalds pay a greater percentage of their income than you will in retirement.
see my above answer. investment income (like 401k, IRA, or bond income) is "capital gains" no matter how much you make. It's currently 15%, which is WELL below even the lowest income tax bracket. 16 year olds working at mcdonalds pay a greater percentage of their income than you will in retirement.
401k is not assessed capital gains. You pay ordinary income tax on disbursements, if you are in a pre-tax account, and marginal tax rates apply. (If your employer offers it, you can participate in a Roth 401k and contribute after tax, similar to a Roth IRA.)
ah, that's my mistake then. I was assuming the tax rate on 401K/IRA was capital gains.
The three options my company has for putting different percentages of my contribution into are A)before tax account, B) Roth 401(k) account, and C) after tax account.
Shit's confusing.
The three options my company has for putting different percentages of my contribution into are A)before tax account, B) Roth 401(k) account, and C) after tax account.
Shit's confusing.
The three options my company has for putting different percentages of my contribution into are A)before tax account, B) Roth 401(k) account, and C) after tax account.
I'm glad my Dad uses a similar strategy as I do, and is ready for retirement. I think there will be some SS reform, but more than likely a lot of boomers are going to live in poverty and heavily rely on their children.
I have something like that at work. It may actually be a good deal, but I completely ignore it. The idea of putting significant amounts of assets into a single stock irks me. Even giants can fail. I feel much safer in stock index funds in broad sectors of the world economy. Each of my stock index funds has at least 100 stocks.
These are the 3 funds I have for my "house fund" (basically growing cash after I max IRA and max 401k matching):
VSMAX
VHDYX
VTIAX
The only thing I don't like about these 3, is that their "since inception" is really short.
The only thing I don't like about these 3, is that their "since inception" is really short.
If your employer offers a Roth 401k and matching contributions, make sure to ask their plan administrator if said matching donations can go into the Roth 401k. The reason is many employers do not. The reason they dont is because IRS requires they main records that segregate post and pre tax matchings.. This becomes time and cost consuming so they don't make the match into Roth 401. I f they don't match into Roth 401k, dump all your money into said Roth ,401k. You'll end up with both traditional 401 and Roth 401 which is fine. You'll never know when you'll need a tax deduction. I knew someone who recharacterized his trad 401 into Roth and wound up moving here in TX where we have no state taxes. Tax diversification is important.
Edit: remember, if matching is done in Roth 401k, it does not received the same tax treatment as regular contributions.
I've been dumping as much as I can into my 401k since I started working 8 years ago.
The balance in there has grown pretty well in those 8 years. (Over 185k at age 31).
Also have an IRA opened that I try to max each year.
Stinks not having as much money now cause I'm planning for the future ... but I don't think I'll want to do SHIT after I retire.
I also work for a utility company and currently my company stock amounts to 21.45% of my entire 401k portfolio. My company also matches pretty highly.