I'm still trying to decide if I should switch my Roth 401K to a regular 401K (rather, start investing in a regular vs. a Roth, obviously won't be cashing out the Roth and moving it or anything). I am in the 28% tax bracket for this year, likely moving to the 33% bracket next year. I like that I have already paid taxes on that income and the matter is done and dusted. Additionally, company matches and other contributions appear to be pre-tax, so I have an element of a traditional 401K in my Roth 401K.
The goal is obviously to save up so much that my distributions would put me in an even higher bracket, but I don't know if that's realistic. I just feel like I can't make a decision on this and am losing money.
tokkun gave you the Roth approach, I'll go the counter.
You're throwing money away, dude. Your average tax rate is going to be far lower than 28% or 33%. You'll have deductions that reduce your taxable income (based on your income level, state/local income tax [if applicable in your locale] will be enough to get you to itemize, before factoring in such things as property tax, mortgage interest deductions, charitable contributions, etc.), You might top out in a high tax bracket, but your effective tax rate will be far below that. But let's set that aside for a moment and take a look at 2015 tax brackets. The below is for someone filing as single:
To break that down into true tax rates, I put together the following for the 25, 28, and 33 % brackets, respectively. If your taxable income tops out in any of these brackets, you can see the range of what your effective income tax rate will be.
Code:
Rate Min Income Min Tax True Rt Max Income Max Tax True Rt
25% 37,450.00 5,156.25 13.8% 90,750.00 18,481.25 20.4%
28% 90,750.00 18,481.25 20.4% 189,300.00 46,075.25 24.3%
33% 189,300.00 46,075.25 24.3% 411,500.00 119,401.25 29.0%
The question then becomes why would you choose to lock in the marginal rate (25, 28, 33) on your 401K dollars when the maximum true rate is below that, and the minimum true rate is
well below that? You'd have to wager that tax rates will be higher in the future (perhaps significantly so), or your taxable income will push you into yet higher brackets, or both. (Keep in mind, brackets adjust with inflation, so even if you project your earnings to grow, these brackets will also move further up the income scale).
It's true, you can
effectively put more into your 401K by contributing Roth, but it's costing you a lot more when you do that, and that effective gain is more than negated by the extra taxes incurred. If you're in the 33% marginal bracket, it's costing you $27,000 in pre-tax income to fund your 401K (based on the $18,000 limit in 2015, and assuming your account is fully funded), and that's before factoring in state and local income taxes, if any. Alternately, if fund your 401K pre-tax, you'll save a minimum of $9000 in pre-tax income, or a minimum of $6000 in after tax income, and you can funnel tax savings into other investments.
Bottom line. you don't want to pay 33% on those dollars now unless you think there is a reasonable probability you'll be paying more than 33% on those dollars tomorrow. Personally, I wouldn't make that bet.