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[Broken Hope]

When are we likely to start getting results?

 

[Aquamarine]

When are we likely to start getting results?

6:30 PM EDT...maybe slightly before.

As always, we should expect Microsoft PR, Nintendo PR, and insider leaks. ;-)

 

[Mpl90]

Oh, look

Nintendo 3DS continued to build momentum in 2013 and finished as the best-selling video game system in the U.S. for the third consecutive month. A strong second month for Animal Crossing: New Leaf helped sales of Nintendo 3DS hardware and software increase by 14 and 45 percent, respectively, over the same time frame last year.

Highlights for the month include:

Animal Crossing: New Leaf sold more than 150,000 combined physical and digital units in its second month on the market, bringing its lifetime total to more than 660,000 combined units.

The lifetime total for Luigi’s Mansion: Dark Moon for Nintendo 3DS surpassed 820,000 combined physical and digital units.

New Super Mario Bros. U for Wii U surpassed 830,000 lifetime sales of combined physical and digital units.

EarthBound launched July 18 for the Virtual Console service on the Nintendo eShop for Wii U and is off to a great start. Only two eShop titles, New Super Luigi U and Pikmin 3, generated more consumer spend in the same time period since launch.

Nintendo 3DS and Wii U fans will have a lot to play this summer and through the rest of 2013. Starting with the recently released Pikmin 3 (Wii U, Aug. 4) and Mario & Luigi: Dream Team (Nintendo 3DS, Aug. 11) and continuing with The Wonderful 101 (Wii U, Sept. 15), Pokémon X and Pokémon Y (Nintendo 3DS, Oct. 12), The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker HD (Wii U, October), Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze (Wii U, November), The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds (Nintendo 3DS, November) and Super Mario 3D World (Wii U, December).

*Data regarding physical sales of games in July are from the NPD Group. Data regarding digital downloads of games and combined physical/digital life-to-date numbers are from Nintendo’s internal sales figures. All numbers are specific to the United States only.

We already have Nintendo PR

 

[idlewild_]

So 3DS above 141k based on the thread from last July.

Nintendo 3DS: Above 124k

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=486239

 

[Lambtron]

EarthBound launched July 18 for the Virtual Console service on the Nintendo eShop for Wii U and is off to a great start. Only two eShop titles, New Super Luigi U and Pikmin 3, generated more consumer spend in the same time period since launch.

Given that it costs half and one-sixth as much as the other two games listed, I'm guessing that means it did pretty well?

 

[Mpl90]

So 3DS above 141k based on the thread from last July.



http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=486239

Given the range we have thanks to last year Nintendo graphs (128k-132k), it's more around 150k.

 

[jvm]

Terrible month.

 

[CosmicQueso]

Are Ouya and Shield going to be tracked?

Yes, both are being tracked.

Sheild was primarily pre-sold direct through Nvidia, so retail sales don't matter a whole bunch at this point.

Given the range we have thanks to last year Nintendo graphs (128k-132k), it's more around 150k.

Go buy some lottery tickets.

 

[Sammy Samusu]

Earthbound, really? :lol

3DSlay should be selling so much more...

Luigi’s Mansion: Dark Moon - 820,000

Iconic.

 

[Mpl90]

Terrible month.

Damn.
Please, tell me Shin Megami Tensei IV is the positive surprise for this month, please XD

 

[Mpl90]

Earthbound, really? :lol

3DSlay should be selling so much more...

Luigi’s Mansion: Dark Moon - 820,000

Iconic.

Only iconic?

The lifetime total for Luigi’s Mansion: Dark Moon for Nintendo 3DS surpassed 820,000 combined physical and digital units.

New Super Mario Bros. U for Wii U surpassed 830,000 lifetime sales of combined physical and digital units.

Yo Mario, watch ya back. Ur brotha 's gonna slay u!

 

[allan-bh]

Nice, I predict 150k for 3DS

 

[MasterSheen]

NPD completely slipped my mind. Again.

Luigi's Mansion continues to impress.

 

[Gianni Merryman]

Wow at SMBU selling 830k, it's not doing so bad after all.

 

[Penguin]

Oh, look



We already have Nintendo PR

Such an odd metric for Earthbound success.

I mean it must be doing well since Pikmin costs 6x as much and NSLU 2x, but still odd metric.

 

[yon61]

Seems to be the story for both the 3DS and Wii U: lowish hardware sales but high software sales. The casual audience have for the most part abandoned Nintendo and the more core crowd is what's keeping them both going, well, the 3DS at least.

 

[FZZ]

Damn, my 160k for 3DS was a bit too much I guess.

Also what's NSMBU attach rate now? It's higher than Twilight Princess was for the Wii right, during the same timeframe?

 

[ethomaz]

Pachter.

"NPD sales underwhelming again. Nintendo 3DS is #1, but after 29 months, total 3DS sales are 1.5 million lower than DS first 29 months . . "

https://twitter.com/michaelpachter/status/368133478715387904

 

[botty]

I want to see the Earthbound numbers so badly. I just know it flopped.

 

[Mpl90]

Almost forgot. We know know retail + digital sales for NSMBU till July: over 830k.

Last month, Anihawk gave us an update on lots of titles for Wii U, Vita and 3DS. Here's the Wii U data

900k
numar
800k
200k
lecity
150k
zom
scrunlim
sallstar
judan
100k

Given this was until the end of June 2013's NPD track period, we can definitely say NSMBU's digital sales are under 30k for sure.

 

[Nirolak]

Sorry, sorry, I'm here.

 

[Mpl90]

http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articl...otball-cant-save-us-retail-game-sales-in-july

The NPD Group has released its video game retail report for July, and the sales numbers are not pretty. Total industry sales declined 19 percent to $443 million, as hardware dropped 34 percent to $99.4 million while software sales (including PC) fell 20 percent to $222.3 million.

...

Software overall, however, just didn't see enough brand-new AAA content to really drive sales. EA Sports' NCAA Football '14 grabbed the top spot on the charts, but sales were "slightly down" from last year's version, Callahan said.

Interestingly, the buzz around GTA V seems to be building, judging by the sudden interest again in GTA IV. "If the top software was ranked on an SKU basis, the following would have made the top 10 for July: 3DS Shin Megami Tensei IV; 3DS Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon; 360 Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition. It is unusual to see a software SKU that launched close to three years ago appear in the top 10, but clearly this is an indication that gamers who missed Grand Theft Auto IV are catching up before Grand Theft Auto Launches V launches in September," Callahan said.

 

[Lexxism]

Shit. No SMTIV?!

 

[Mpl90]

Shit. No SMTIV?!

It's in the individual SKU top 10.

 

[Lexxism]

[3DS] 153K
[360] 113K
[PS3] 82K
[WIU] 36K
[PSV] 17K

3DS - 150,000 - 3k off
360 - 107,000 - 6k off
PS3 - 79,000 - 3k off
WiiU ~29.000 - 7k off
Vita ~16.000 - 1k off

If this true, then I'm 20k off this month. I'm 9k better from last month!

 

[Drago]

Sure, why not...

[3DS] 160K
[360] 130K
[PS3] 95K
[WIU] 35K
[PSV] 20K

Aw yeah right on the money

(I over estimated pretty much everything! :/)

 

[FZZ]

[360] 103k
[3DS] 160k
[PS3] 85k
[PSV] 18k
[WIU] 37k
[OYA]5k

3DS - 150,000 - 10k overestimate
360 - 107,000 - 4k underestimate
PS3 - 79,000 - 6k overestimate
WiiU ~29.000 - 8k overestimate
Vita ~16.000 - 2k overestimate
Ouya < 10k

30k off in total of what's known, oh well...

 

[jvm]

[3DS] 160K
[360] 108K
[PS3] 80K
[WII] 40K
[WIU] 33K
[PSV] 19K
[OYA] 8K

I think I'm off by about 25K, not counting Ouya. Probably one of my better months?

Edit: Wait, we don't do Wii anymore, right? So better than 25K?

 

[shinra-bansho]

[360] 111K +4K
[3DS] 145K -5K
[PS3] 86K +7K
[PSV] 19K +3K
[WIU] 33K +4K

Overshot on everything this month slightly, except 3DS.

Off by 23K.

Next month is going to be a crapshoot though with the $200 PS3 and whatever effect Pikmin has.

 

[DaBoss]

[360] 110K
[3DS] 135K
[PS3] 88K
[PSV] 20k
[WIU] 32K

34K, not good. D:

 

[Madouu]

Next month is going to be a crapshoot though with the $200 PS3 and whatever effect Pikmin has.

I'm thinking ps3 new model won't have that much of an effect and wii u sales will probably double thanks to Pikmin.

[3DS] 130K +20k
[360] 105K +2k
[PS3] 85k -6k
[WIU] 31K -2k
[PSV] 22K -6k

36k, I'm sorry I didn't believe in you 3DS.

 

[Lexxism]

I'm thinking ps3 new model won't have that much of an effect and wii u sales will probably double thanks to Pikmin.

Yeah. I'm expecting around 50-60k. I don't know if that's being optimistic or not.

 

[NateDrake]

PS3 killed me this month.

 

[donny2112]

NeoGAF Prediction Results - July 2013

Units

1. Goldmund - 12,000
2. donny2112 - 15,000
3. allan-bh - 17,000
4. Brakara - 18,000
4. doicare - 18,000
6. andy_lhc - 19,000
6. jvm - 19,000
8. Lexxus - 20,000
8. Road - 20,000
10. Megadragon15 - 21,000
10. PhantomOfTheKnight - 21,000
12. archnemesis - 23,000
12. pieatorium - 23,000
14. CorporateClown - 24,000
14. GAF_Agg - 24,000
14. kswiston - 24,000
14. michaelius - 24,000
18. Aquamarine - 26,000
18. Gianni Merryman - 26,000
20. Jonsoncao - 27,000
20. confuziz - 27,000
22. Hammer24 - 28,000
22. shinra-bansho - 28,000
24. Canis lupus - 29,000
24. Elios83 - 29,000
24. NateDrake - 29,000
27. FZZpure - 30,000
28. TechnicPuppet - 31,000
29. metalslimer - 32,000
30. bakman21 - 33,000
30. prag16 - 33,000
32. DaBoss - 34,000
33. Madouu - 36,000
34. DrWong - 38,000
34. Zero-Crescent - 38,000
36. PreyingShark - 40,000
36. idlewild_ - 40,000
38. BlackJace - 41,000
38. GulAtiCa - 41,000
40. GamerTime - 46,000
40. MasterSheen - 46,000
40. skedar897 - 46,000
43. Pachter - 49,000
44. Madao - 50,000
45. Bruno MB - 54,000
45. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 54,000
47. noobie - 55,000
48. Colonel Mustard - 57,000
48. pitseleh - 57,000
50. JaguarCROW - 58,000
51. Drago - 59,000
52. ItWasMeantToBe19 - 64,000
53. Kuro - 65,000
54. baekshi - 84,000
55. mark93 - 87,000
56. Duxxy3 - 101,000
57. Syphon Filter - 187,000


Points

     July 2013                       Overall 2013 Top (6/7)
01.  Goldmund               124.77   Goldmund               583.10
02.  donny2112              118.13   donny2112              581.13
03.  Brakara                115.77   archnemesis            574.48
04.  allan-bh               114.95   shinra-bansho          570.65
05.  doicare                113.18   doicare                563.18
06.  andy_lhc               110.70   ItWasMeantToBe19       561.67
07.  jvm                    109.33   allan-bh               558.36
08.  PhantomOfTheKnight     107.35   Road                   553.40
09.  Road                   107.15   Megadragon15           553.04
10.  Megadragon15           105.42   MasterSheen            551.77
11.  Canis lupus            104.79   DaBoss                 549.45
12.  kswiston               104.54   Bruno MB               546.62
13.  Lexxus                 104.11   jvm                    536.85
14.  pieatorium             104.10   idlewild_              533.70
15.  Elios83                103.70   confuziz               528.99
16.  confuziz               103.29   kswiston               528.53
17.  michaelius             103.20   prag16                 527.48
18.  Zero-Crescent          102.69   skedar897              525.93
19.  Gianni Merryman        102.68   pieatorium             525.29
20.  Madouu                 102.58   DrWong                 524.23
21.  TechnicPuppet          102.43   metalslimer            524.07
22.  metalslimer            102.41   Zero-Crescent          516.04
23.  Hammer24               102.24   BlackJace              515.61
24.  CorporateClown         102.17   Elios83                513.22
25.  Jonsoncao              101.98   Hiro_Kunimi_80         512.05
26.  PreyingShark           101.94   Jonsoncao              511.86
27.  shinra-bansho          101.74   CorporateClown         510.38
28.  archnemesis            101.63   Colonel Mustard        506.33
29.  Aquamarine             101.41   Pachter                504.92
30.  DaBoss                 101.36   Brakara                500.65
31.  Pachter                 99.70   Gianni Merryman        497.23
32.  prag16                  99.63   michaelius             495.51
33.  NateDrake               99.48   pitseleh               476.26
34.  DrWong                  98.79   Hammer24               453.11
35.  FZZpure                 98.60   andy_lhc               451.38
36.  idlewild_               97.69   Aquamarine             447.51
37.  MasterSheen             97.65   noobie                 431.38
38.  noobie                  97.29   Drago                  377.00
39.  GulAtiCa                96.98   perfectchaos007        374.52
40.  BlackJace               96.79   Madao                  371.43
41.  bakman21                96.12   GulAtiCa               370.79
42.  Hiro_Kunimi_80          95.57   Jesse2040              331.02
43.  Madao                   94.28   Canis lupus            327.31
44.  ItWasMeantToBe19        93.98   dreamghost             298.61
45.  pitseleh                93.81   sacrificengineer       283.54
46.  Bruno MB                93.65   rayner                 281.36
47.  Drago                   92.72   Strike                 256.22
48.  Colonel Mustard         91.97   NateDrake              249.99
49.  skedar897               89.66   airmangataosenai       242.55
50.  GamerTime               89.37   Lexxus                 226.00

Congratulations, Goldmund!

 

[jvm]

Great job, Goldmund!

Thanks as always, donny2112!

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Egh, two straight terrible months for me, need to get my head back in the game.

 

[Bruno MB]

Congratulations, Goldmund!

45. Bruno MB - 54,000

What a disaster! and I'm already out of the top 10.

I highly overestimated PS3 once again, Xbox 360 overestimated too.

I've learned the lesson the hard way, I'm sure it won't happen again.

 

[donny2112]

I highly overestimated PS3 once again, Xbox 360 overestimated too.

For me, I was remembering what Scotch (I think) said after winning a July like 6 years ago. "Just take June's weekly numbers and copy/paste for July with a bit of wiggling" or something to that effect. Took a little more work trying to compensate for the AC LE bundle, but otherwise worked pretty well! :lol

 

[Goldmund]

Holy mackerel! Thanks guys!

 

[DaBoss]

Congrats Goldmund!

Out of the top ten. D:

EDIT: It seems this has been closest anyone's been in terms of units for this year.

 

[kswiston]

Congrats Goldmund!

Out of the top ten. D:

EDIT: It seems this has been closest anyone's been in terms of units for this year.

The numbers are so low that it's hard to be off by a wide margin


I suppose there's nothing I could have done much better this month. My 360 prediction was the furthest from reality, and I only overshot that by 8k units. I'll take a #14 unit finish given how well everyone predicted this month. Congrats Goldmund.

We're finally coming up on some interesting months though. I'm curious to see the range of predictions for the Wii U in August, and the 3DS in October.

 

[Lexxism]

Wow. I'm in top 50 overall!

 

[DaBoss]

The numbers are so low that it's hard to be off by a wide margin


I suppose there's nothing I could have done much better this month. My 360 prediction was the furthest from reality, and I only overshot that by 8k units. I'll take a #14 unit finish given how well everyone predicted this month. Congrats Goldmund.

We're finally coming up on some interesting months though. I'm curious to see the range of predictions for the Wii U in August, and the 3DS in October.

lol that's true.

Yea, I'm not sure what to put for Wii U in August, probably not going to make a big difference. But 3DS in October will be interesting.

 

[PreyingShark]

I was originally going to go with 150K for 3DS but my instinct was like, "NOOOOO, WAY TOO MUCH!"

...:X I did better than last month at least.

 

[allan-bh]

Finally a good month for me

 

[Square2015]

Oh I don't see myself up there, did I miss the cutoff??

 

[metalslimer]

Well i continue to be mediocre. I swear when the new consoles come out i will make the top 5

 

[GulAtiCa]

[360] 115K
[3DS] 165K
[PS3] 90K
[PSV] 15K
[WIU] 35K

3DS - 150K - 15K over
360 - 107K - 8K over
PS3 - 79K - 11K over
WiiU ~29K - 6K over
Vita ~16K - 1K under

Not too bad this month. Though looking at my rank for this month, I shouldn't become an analyst. :lol

 

[Drago]

Hell yes, 51st place!!

 

[MasterSheen]

I did terribly D:

Still in the top ten overall though.