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Kevin Rose's 5 tech predictions for 2016
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I'd like to give them the benefit of the doubt and say that they'll do it when pre orders open but...
I actually just re read that thread and they said pre orders would be opening no explicit promise to say how much the thing would cost. I hope they don't pull that kind of shit.
Maybe they'll reveal the price in the AMA with Palmer Luckey on Wednesday.
The price will definitely be announced when preorders open.
deltatheta
Member
VR isn't gonna be a success until someone builds a killer app, but it's success is inevitable imo. Either VR or AR. The killer app part is why I think people wanting VR for their PS4s are reading the hype the wrong way. It's success might not be for awhile.
Here's a list of the biggest killer apps off the top of my head, and the technology they popularized. If anyone has something to add to this list, please feel free.
- Spreadsheets: cheap desktop computers
- Desktop publishing: the GUI
- Email: networked computers
- Netscape: the internet
- Visual Basic: cheap custom business applications
Is there an obvious killer app for VR? Avatar chat? What makes the VR version of that more compelling than Second Life? A Ready Player One type of virtual world is compelling in fiction but isn't really practical in reality.
My point is that you might be able to predict the obvious-type killer apps, but you can't count on the "wildcard"-type killer apps just showing up for a particular technology. Those are rare and unpredictable by nature.
StalkerUKCG
Banned
The form factor of any VR device is still too large. Novel but not practical.
These predictions are ridiculously obvious.
These predictions are ridiculously obvious.
Spyder_Monkey
Banned
Comparing virtual reality to Kinect is nonsense. Waving your hands about is never going to engage someone in the same way virtual reality can. VR will succeed if they provide interesting and exciting software.
Kinect was a good idea aimed at the wrong audience. That was its downfall.
Beer Monkey
Member
Is there an obvious killer app for VR?
Porn. Lonely men beating off in their basements or locked dens will be the largest demographic.
Remember the "theater room" at Best Buy? Maybe there will be a more private, more sticky successor.
Not in any real capacity. Governments are finding themselves unable to really push back on Uber. Uber is also diversifying. If they create a good public api platform, it can establish itself as a sort of if Google maps for development. In that, other companies will use it's data to create unique applications and or features for their apps.
Think about pizza delivery for example. Imagine they make an application that can tie into ubers "delivery certified" drivers. They then could have all their deliveries handled by Uber, and their customers could get an eta and see on the map where their pizza is.
Silly example, but mostly to highlight what a good platform can do.
I tend to doubt that an Uber model will work all that well for food delivery, just because drivers will favor short trips and good neighborhoods. You end up in this weird situation where food will be sitting around getting cold because nobody wants to take a pizza to the wrong side of the tracks. I certainly know that in my stint delivering, there were plenty of times I would have rather refused to take an order and just sit around making nothing rather than cruise through a poorly lit, bad neighborhood praying that I can find the house since all the numbers have fallen off the buildings.
I guess there is an upside in that if you take cash completely out of the scenario, there's little motivation for people to rob/murder drivers. And presumably they will take tipping out of the scenario completely, so there's less stigma attached to delivering to low-income neighborhoods.
I tend to doubt that an Uber model will work all that well for food delivery, just because drivers will favor short trips and good neighborhoods. You end up in this weird situation where food will be sitting around getting cold because nobody wants to take a pizza to the wrong side of the tracks. I certainly know that in my stint delivering, there were plenty of times I would have rather refused to take an order and just sit around making nothing rather than cruise through a poorly lit, bad neighborhood praying that I can find the house since all the numbers have fallen off the buildings.
I guess there is an upside in that if you take cash completely out of the scenario, there's little motivation for people to rob/murder drivers. And presumably they will take tipping out of the scenario completely, so there's less stigma attached to delivering to low-income neighborhoods.
Like with taking Uber for transport, the driver doesn't have to know in advance if it is going somewhere that they 'want' to go. They agree to deliver the pizza in this made up scenario, go to pick it up and then get told where to go to - if they reneg enough times at that point, they don't get to keep doing what they're doing.
Kevin Rose is already right
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1166888
I am going to hit him up for some lottery numbers
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1166888
I am going to hit him up for some lottery numbers
Dictator93
Member
Kevin Rose, remember him?
Probably right about VR as there just wont be enough software. You will play through the few short games that show how awesome VR can be and then be done with it. By the time the next wave of software comes out there will be a new version of the headset and yours will mostly be obsolete.
I do think the Samsung Gear VR is interesting though as it gives you the killer porn experience for cheap without having to spend $599 to play a couple of gimmicky games.
I do think the Samsung Gear VR is interesting though as it gives you the killer porn experience for cheap without having to spend $599 to play a couple of gimmicky games.
The price will definitely be announced when preorders open.
And you were right. Well I'm happy they announced the price. It's about what I expected for such tech. Not sure why we have some meltdowns on gaming side. People who thought any of this, especially consumer gen 1 stuff was going to be 'cheap' are delusional.
I actually completely disagree. It's simple, familiar yet unique, and can easily be used as a slang verb.Uber is still a fucking awful name for a company too.
It has serious potential to enter the English lexicon ala Google.
Kevin Rose is already right
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1166888
I am going to hit him up for some lottery numbers
So preorders have already gone from March to April to May but because it launches at an expectedly high price, that makes Kevin Rose right?
Weird.
Where was Kevin Rose predicting that VHS would be a dud because the first VHS players were $1000? Or that the Kindle would fail because it launched at $400?
I'm personally shocked that anyone expected it to launch for less. The Oculus Rift is essentially a super high-end phone that also has a lot of other tech in it. How would it be cheaper than high-end phones?
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