=( You really think so? Bears are still pretty good in limited, right? This guy makes it impossible for your opponent to block profitably and, since a bunch of your dudes will probably be unleashed, not blocking them will be just as bad. I am quite the unskilled drafter though.
By "not a top pick" I mean "at first glance this card looks 1st pickable, but it most certainly is not."
There's decent synergy with the other cards in Rakdos, which tend to be fairly speedy, but if the format is like Alara, Invasion, and OG Ravnica in that most decks are going to need to have a third color (made easier by common manafixing), it isn't going to be anywhere near as good as it looks.
In a race-y format like Avacyn Restored, I'd be taking these early all day long.... or would be if RB wasn't so goddamn terrible and full of common unplayables in that format. But no multicolored format I've ever played has been like that, with the possible exception of Alara.
Hell, in Invasion block and OG Rav, it was considered proper to draw first. That's how slow those formats were
If you're in pure Rakdos, this card will likely be one of the best few cards in your deck. The unleash 3/4 for 2B is absurdly aggressive (look at how solid Centaur Courser has been in most formats), and if the format has as many playables as M13 did, it might be possible to go pure R/B without needing a third color. The fact that it's a creature with an ability many new drafters will see as a removal effect will cause people to assume this card is a bomb and pick it over -actual- removal and bombs.
So I guess what I'm saying is.... My initial pessimism was based on the assumption that RTR will be similar to past multiplayer formats, which it may not given that we have a fucking 3/4 for 2B spoiled already, at common no less. Leaving RRBB (and in some situations, even just RB) open and swinging with your team is going to be a little bit crazy if we see more powerful unleash cards at common.
It's just difficult to get that kind of mana in three colors.
Eh, I'll retract my initial opinion. It's still going to be vastly overrated by people with moderate limited experience, but if there's a legitimate Rakdos aggro archtype in the format, yes, this card MIGHT be first pickable assuming there's nothing crazy like Augur Spree in the pack.
Bears being good in limited is insanely dependent on what the format is like. In Avacyn Restored bears were at a -massive- premium, with some mediocre bears in good colors being taken in the first 3-5 picks. This was due to the extremely low number of good 2-drops in low rarities, and the absurd swinginess of the format.
In M13, silvercoat lions and such often wind up being the 20-23rd cards in your deck, or filling out your curve. There's even formats in the past where you'd almost never want a bear in your deck, especially not if it has a prohibitive mana cost.
Also, underworld connections is cute. Wish it was Phyrexian Arena, but it's nice that this version can draw you a card immediately after you play it.
Prohibitive mana cost, below the curve, need to sink 7 mana into it before it does anything, way too reliant on other cards.