There we go.
Doesn’t explain the jump in deaths though. They recategorise that too?
I also heard that WHO is now in China, they might be correcting their figures. Tomorrow’s numbers will be interesting.
Could be number correction. Remeber deaths are not "Died today" but were "Recorded today." This could be getting us closer to the real numbers.
About six weeks ago, China was reporting on the first 41 cases of confirmed #coronavirus in that country. Singapore and Hong Kong have now each hit 50 cases. Modeling suggests that the time from first introduction to epidemic spread is about 10 weeks.
So that means it should breakout in North America end of March or early April... Maybe a little later due to all the preventive measures.
Major cities in the US will have problems, but as long as they don't ignore it the summer should help.
This virus is odd in that we don't really understand all of the way it spreads, and sometimes doesn't spread. I have a inkling that it's ability to spread through aerosolization of fecal matter may be a big clue. In china I believe most apartments don't have bathrooms? If so that means communal bathrooms are a great place were it can spread easily on surfaces and through shit.
In the US most of us have personal homes that are not crowded, and, even if we live in apartments, our apartments have their own bathrooms.
The key to staying safe is to stay away from public transit (hope you have car), public bathrooms (hold your shit till you get home), and don't eat out. Also, wash you hands in a non-bathroom sink as much as possible and use hand sanitizer with at least 70% alcohol.
All of that said, living in an apartment during a pandemic is a horrible idea. I suspect a lot of millennials who scoff at the idea of owning a home in the suburbs will be buying them in the next few years once they realize how dumb it is to stack yourself on top of other people in buildings.