Support NeoGAF

[Lobster]

Ps3 didn't chart??? wow. Thats scary..I thought Japan would still give Sony a little push..

 

[schuelma]

Anyone want to predict SPM sales next week? Seems like no one has any clear idea of what to expect.

I'll hold off until I hear some others..I honestly have no clue.

 

[RPS37]

What ever happened to the Pac Man charts?

 

[norinrad21]

Is GOlden Week next week, or in two weeks?

Can we expect charts, or will we wait for an extra week?

oh Easter is coming and there will be a lot of crow eating around here

 

[Cheesemeister]

What ever happened to the Pac Man charts?

By request only.

 

[davepoobond]

Ps3 didn't chart??? wow. Thats scary..I thought Japan would still give Sony a little push..

was anything worthwhile even released?

 

[apotema]

I think SPM will be in the league of 150,000, that's less than expected, but since Golden Week is approcahing, I think it can sell the same amount in the 2nd week

Big Brain on Wii will be big, but not huge

 

[Cruceh]

was anything worthwhile even released?

Nope. Hard to chart if there are no games released.

 

[norinrad21]

was anything worthwhile even released?

Has there been anything worthwhile since its release?

 

[davepoobond]

Has there been anything worthwhile since its release?

gundam musou...

but yeah...not much otherwise..FOR JAPAN, at least.

 

[Jammy]

Has there been anything worthwhile since its release?

Was it's release even worthwhile?

Whoa.

 

[TheGreatDave]

Anyone want to predict SPM sales next week? Seems like no one has any clear idea of what to expect.

I'll hold off until I hear some others..I honestly have no clue.

I'll guess around 60-70k personally. I don't think it's got enough about it to be a breakout hit.

 

[HomShaBom]

Woah. Nintendo almost went 3rd party last week, rebound total.

 

[_Alkaline_]

I'll guess around 60-70k personally. I don't think it's got enough about it to be a breakout hit.

?

 

[castle007]

Woah. Nintendo almost went 3rd party last week, rebound total.

seriously, they scared me for a second.

 

[XiaNaphryz]

Ps3 didn't chart??? wow. Thats scary..I thought Japan would still give Sony a little push..

Japan's general feeling right now:

vs

 

[Saitou]

I'll guess around 60-70k personally. I don't think it's got enough about it to be a breakout hit.

 

[schuelma]

I'll guess around 60-70k personally. I don't think it's got enough about it to be a breakout hit.

Wow..I'm thinking much higher- I mean Fire Emblem got 80K first week right?

 

[Raw64life]

I'm gonna guess 90k week one for SPM. I wouldn't be surprised if it sold the same or more in its second week thanks to golden week.

 

[TheGreatDave]

I have nothing about the game, I'm really enjoying it. It's just not the kinda game that I see having these huge legs or breathtaking opening sales. Golden Week may be throwing me off because I don't know exactly what to expect from it, but I don't the numbers being that amazing. The userbase is still pretty small and I think Paper Mario 2 sold around 150,000 on a larger Gamecube userbase.

Still, tis just a guess.

 

[Agent Icebeezy]

It's the first Mario game on the system, this is going to sell really well.

 

[Cheesemeister]

Wow..I'm thinking much higher- I mean Fire Emblem got 80K first week right?

03. (WII, Nintendo) Fire Emblem: Goddess of the Dawn - 75,359 / NEW

.

 

[alejob]

My guess, Paper Mario = 170000.

Its going to be interesting to see how HW numbers compare.

 

[Wyndstryker]

I wonder if Layton might reach the coveted non-game status.

Go Pheonix Wright! Lets hope it has legs!

 

[ivysaur12]

After Sanjaya got kicked off, I have renewed my faith in God, and I'm confident that AA4 will sell over a million copies.

EDIT: Oh yes, nice job Layton. Third parties rock on the DS.

 

[TheGreatDave]

.

Those Fire Emblem numbers force a revision, I remembered them being a bit lower I don't think we should expect anything too amazing though.

 

[ant1532]

Eh, I hated Mario vs Donkey Kong 2 DS... Nothing like the rest of the series. It's lemmings with Mario characters...

 

[apotema]

While we are in the predictions, What numbers do you expect for Big Brain Academy?

I'll go with 90,000 first week, a little more maybe

 

[BrodiemanTTR]

It's pretty crazy, considering it's Level5's first self published title and their first DS game, and it's already outsold all of their non DQ games. Amazing.

Level 5 to go Nintendo second party.

 

[duderon]

I'll say 300k for SPM, just to be on the higher side of the guesstimates

 

[wonderfuldays]

I think next week SPM 150K is save bet.

 

[schuelma]

I'll say 275K...being very optimistic

 

[Lobster]

You guys underestimate SPM. 1 billion copies or a spanking.

 

[ShockingAlberto]

I say 175k for SPM opening week and probably drop off after that.

 

[lupin23rd]

140,000 guess for Super Paper Mario.

Persona 3 and FF PSP are coming the same week are they not? Wonder who will be #1...

And why do we even care about Layton? Am I the only one who looks at the game and says "ugh"?

m

 

[Hcoregamer00]

Go Gyakuten Saiban, I hope it beats sales expectations.

 

[giant_frying_pan]

Ps3 didn't chart??? wow. Thats scary..I thought Japan would still give Sony a little push..

A little push out the window.

 

[RiskyChris]

400k guess on SPM, less if supply-constrained. After watching NSMB dominate its first week on the charts, I can reasonably see this title doing well.

 

[justchris]

After some thought, I'm gonna go with 200k for SPM this week, 75k for second week, then 100k for 3rd week (Golden Week).

BBA I think will probably only do around 80-90k it's first week, but will probably have longer legs than SPM manages (ie it'll continue selling after Golden Week, SPM will likely drop big time after that).

 

[BrodiemanTTR]

I'll wait until we have shipment numbers for SPM before I get prediction crazy. In the meantime, I'll say 80k Wii for this week.

 

[ElFly]

PS3, already dead.

PS4 in Xmas 2008 confirmed?

 

[apujanata]

Paper Mario RPG (PM:TYD in US) first week sales is : 137K, on July 25, 2004. At that time, there are about 3.3 Million GCN.

Since there are now 2 Million Wii, and because SPM are more like platform instead of RPG, I predict 150K (min) to 250K (max) first week.

Anyone have first week sales of Super Mario Sunshine ?

I predict 90K-100K Wii this week (since Wii Sports sell 40K this week, and assuming 35% attach rate of Wii sports to H/W)

 

[ghostlyjoe]

Was it's release even worthwhile?

Whoa.

Come on, dude. I know it's a joke, but let's not gloat, now.

Does anyone else think MS has killed Sony in Japan? Think of this way. The XBox flopped in Japan. The 360 flopped in Japan. The PS3 is clearly aimed at one-upping Microsoft, including its software library (an FPS was its marquee launch title, for God's sake). Now, the PS3 is flopping in Japan.

Basically, in Japan, Sony has followed Microsoft right into the gutter.

 

[Smiles and Cries]

now I'm starting to wonder what is really hurting the PS3 in Japan?

its the PS2 Sony!

 

[icecream]

Next week, FSN.

Good to see PW4 pull in, the series deserves all the attention it gets. Now bring it over here, Capcom!

Spoiler

PW3 and PW4 duel release

 

[apujanata]

And why do we even care about Layton? Am I the only one who looks at the game and says "ugh"?

m

This game appeal to those who like puzzle games, such as me. And if I am not mistaken, it is not time sensitive, so we can take our time trying to find the correct answer.

 

[Chris Michael]

Level 5 to go Nintendo second party.

I doubt this, but I really wouldn't mind a non-DQ Level 5 RPG for the DS with this newfound success.

 

[schuelma]

Paper Mario RPG (PM:TYD in US) first week sales is : 137K, on July 25, 2004. At that time, there are about 3.3 Million GCN.

Since there are now 2 Million Wii, and because SPM are more like platform instead of RPG, I predict 150K (min) to 250K (max) first week.

Anyone have first week sales of Super Mario Sunshine ?

I predict 90K-100K Wii this week (since Wii Sports sell 40K this week, and assuming 35% attach rate of Wii sports to H/W)

The attach rate is usually over 50% BTW. I'll say 70K Wii hardware.

 

[Linkup]

If there holding back I'd say 50k if not lower, but with wiisports back up there and SPM next week...50k.

 

[schuelma]

If there holding back I'd say 50k if not lower, but with wiisports back up there and SPM next week...50k.

For Wii hardware?