Well my only reasoning for the 600k number is that --- MH4 is like Call of Duty Modern Warfare for Japan... It typically attracts an audience that does not play Nintendo products (as much) but more the PSP... It is the most anticipated game in Japan right now on Famitsu's Most Wanted... I think it will sell a million units the first week of release and will probably be Capcom's biggest game sales-wise ever (will probably easily eclipse Biohazard 2 on PSX)...I think a modified Monster Hunter 4 specific 3DSXL (perhaps with second stick?) and packed-in game could set records... Knowing Nintendo/Capcom I'm sure they are trying to do a limited edition bundle... if they go the second stick route, I can totally see people double-dipping for that
MH4 sells 1 million first week but moves 600K hardware?
wtf are you talking about? MH4 sells 1 million first week but moves 600K hardware? Use Biohazard 2 as a bar for Capcom's biggest game? Don't be like heavy and just post random stuff without checking anything.
BY UNITS BY PERCENTAGE
1 622,766 Road 1 153.7% Road
2 670,363 MasterSheen 2 186.3% frankie_baby
3 707,525 donny2112 3 208.9% LayLa
4 842,909 DrWong 4 210.9% MasterSheen
5 859,523 frankie_baby 5 224.9% DrWong
6 860,757 LayLa 6 251.2% donny2112
7 960,263 Gradivus 7 269.0% Gradivus
8 992,699 ohlawd 8 270.0% hiska-kun
9 1,029,125 Zornica 9 270.2% slaughterking
10 1,030,357 schuelma 10 283.1% Orgen
11 1,043,853 Orgen 11 285.1% Kenka
12 1,104,639 Yeshua 12 290.3% schuelma
13 1,117,959 Nekki 13 314.7% Zornica
14 1,135,263 Bruno MB 14 323.5% Gianni Merryman
15 1,136,409 Exterminieren 15 325.8% Exterminieren
16 1,139,719 hiska-kun 16 334.7% ohlawd
17 1,157,559 slaughterking 17 335.4% Chris1964
18 1,176,243 Kenka 18 337.4% Nekki
19 1,246,453 Chris1964 19 340.0% Yeshua
20 1,306,301 lunchwithyuzo 20 357.8% hongcha
21 1,317,901 Gianni Merryman 21 374.7% Bruno MB
22 1,395,495 starship 22 381.7% Pupi18
23 1,461,073 XDDX 23 402.7% lunchwithyuzo
24 1,482,651 Pupi18 24 418.3% starship
25 1,583,259 The_lascar 25 436.7% XDDX
26 1,703,673 hongcha 26 441.4% The_lascar
27 2,003,335 DCharlie 27 468.9% DCharlie
Famitsu Orgen Kenka lunchwit slaughte Yeshua Gianni M Extermin Chris196 schuelma XDDX MasterSh DCharlie DrWong donny211 Bruno MB Zornica Nekki ohlawd starship Pupi18 Road LayLa frankie_ hongcha The_lasc hiska-ku Gradivus
[3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf 1,012,051 697000 700000 890123 723455 1000000 900000 810000 987654 950000 1000000 1000000 1200000 1050000 1000000 1200000 950000 980000 1000000 1150000 1200000 999999 880000 1200000 1000000 1200000 1300000 1100000
[3DS] Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney 232,168 304000 260000 345678 436488 350000 230000 365000 321098 220000 400000 270000 280000 320000 400000 400000 380000 350000 450000 380000 340000 222222 320000 250000 150000 500000 350000 360000
[PS3] Dai-2-Ji Super Robot Taisen OG 245,228 332000 285000 321012 305155 300000 312000 315000 234567 210000 300000 190000 300000 250000 250000 325000 220000 150000 200000 190000 175000 222222 260000 200000 150000 400000 299000 350000
[3DS] Paper Mario: Sticker Star 391,078 398000 315000 432101 289455 300000 385000 486000 456789 300000 400000 320000 130000 385000 400000 450000 440000 300000 300000 430000 375000 333333 280000 335000 250000 600000 400000 500000
[PS3] Yakuza 5 521,856 445000 335000 456789 490478 500000 421000 423000 432109 390000 500000 420000 430000 400000 550000 500000 450000 400000 500000 400000 380000 444444 480000 400000 500000 630000 480000 500000
[3DS] Inazuma Eleven Go 2 314,390 241000 255000 234567 335456 300000 195000 310000 345678 290000 400000 350000 200000 230000 200000 300000 280000 250000 200000 330000 320000 222222 220000 360000 175000 350000 399000 200000
[PSP+PSV] AKB1/149: Love Election 196,778 199000 165000 210123 175456 270000 137000 195000 210987 180000 310000 200000 90000 110000 300000 325000 250000 250000 150000 140000 135000 222222 260000 165000 250000 200000 210000 250000
[WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U 381,315 423000 390000 456789 380456 100000 516000 429000 678901 560000 610000 400000 200000 320000 350000 500000 450000 450000 400000 600000 560000 333333 450000 345000 250000 450000 599000 400000
[WIU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate 166,908 216000 205000 345678 169456 250000 219000 369000 345678 290000 300000 270000 88000 150000 100000 285000 105000 125000 320000 340000 420000 222222 180000 160000 150000 250000 220000 200000
[WIU] Nintendo Land 214,374 490000 415000 432101 320125 300000 342000 312000 234567 320000 300000 300000 102000 280000 175000 300000 400000 400000 240000 340000 280000 222222 200000 145000 150000 350000 200000 230000
[WIU] Hardware 638,339 652000 601000 789012 570125 800000 999000 679000 890123 780000 1000000 600000 280000 750000 600000 750000 750000 600000 550000 800000 850000 666666 700000 520000 300000 850000 777000 820000
[3DS] Hardware 1,407,744 1377000 1250000 1234567 1155789 1300000 1232000 1264000 1234567 1300000 1220000 1300000 1000000 1250000 1500000 1450000 1250000 1200000 1250000 1550000 1590000 1222222 1250000 1530000 800000 1290000 1300000 1500000
UNIT DIFF 1043853 1176243 1306301 1157559 1104639 1317901 1136409 1246453 1030357 1461073 670363 2003335 842909 707525 1135263 1029125 1117959 992699 1395495 1482651 622766 860757 859523 1703673 1583259 1139719 960263
STATISTICS
Famitsu GAF AVERAGE MIN MAX OVER UNDER CLOSEST BY
[3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf 1,012,051 1,002,527 697,000 1,300,000 33% 67% 1,000,000 Yeshua
[3DS] Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney 232,168 331,648 150,000 500,000 85% 15% 230,000 Gianni Merryman
[PS3] Dai-2-Ji Super Robot Taisen OG 245,228 260,961 150,000 400,000 59% 41% 250,000 DrWong
[3DS] Paper Mario: Sticker Star 391,078 370,025 130,000 600,000 44% 56% 385,000 Gianni Merryman
[PS3] Yakuza 5 521,856 453,993 335,000 630,000 7% 93% 500,000 Yeshua
[3DS] Inazuma Eleven Go 2 314,390 277,516 175,000 400,000 33% 67% 310,000 Exterminieren
[PSP+PSV] AKB1/149: Love Election 196,778 205,918 90,000 325,000 59% 41% 195,000 Exterminieren
[WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U 381,315 429,684 100,000 678,901 70% 30% 380,456 slaughterking
[WIU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate 166,908 233,149 88,000 420,000 74% 26% 169,456 slaughterking
[WIU] Nintendo Land 214,374 288,149 102,000 490,000 78% 22% 222,222 Road
[WIU] Hardware 638,339 700,886 280,000 1,000,000 67% 33% 652,000 Orgen
[3DS] Hardware 1,407,744 1,288,894 800,000 1,590,000 22% 78% 1,377,000 Orgen
So, 2/3 of the participants overestimated WiiU sales, while 3/4 underestimated 3ds? Color me surprised ; )Congratulations to Orgen for winning by percentage and to Road, by units!
Code:STATISTICS Famitsu GAF AVERAGE MIN MAX OVER UNDER CLOSEST BY [WIU] Hardware 638,339 700,886 280,000 1,000,000 67% 33% 652,000 Orgen [3DS] Hardware 1,407,744 1,288,894 800,000 1,590,000 22% 78% 1,377,000 Orgen
Congratulations to Orgen for winning by percentage and to Road, by units!
- Pupi18 had 1,2000,000 for Animal Crossing, but I don't think the intent was 12 million, so I corrected it amnually to 1.2 million.
- DCharlie, you were warned. =P
http://www.famitsu.com/news/201301/11027203.html
Famitsu December Top 10 (2012/11/26~2012/12/30/)
01 [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf (Nintendo) {2012-11-08} - 1,012,051 / 2,286,977
02 [PS3] Yakuza 5: Yume, Kanaeshi Mono (SEGA) {2012-12-06} - 521,856 / 521,856
03 [3DS] Paper Mario: Sticker Star (Nintendo) {2012-12-06} - 391,078 / 391,078
04 [WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U (Nintendo) {2012-12-08} - 381,315 / 381,315
05 [3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 (Nintendo) {2012-07-28} - 368,524 / 1,780,493
06 [3DS] Inazuma Eleven Go 2: Chrono Stone Neppuu / Raimei (Level 5) {2012-12-13} - 314,390 / 314,390
07 [WII] Taiko Drum Master Wii: Chougoukaban (Bandai Namco) {2012-11-29} - 308,684 / 308,684
08 [PS3] Super Robot Wars OG 2nd (Bandai Namco) {2012-11-29} - 257,741 / 257,741
09 [3DS] Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney (Level 5) {2012-11-29} - 232,168 / 232,168
10 [PSP] One Piece: Romance Dawn - Bouken no Yoake (Bandai Namco) {2012-12-20} - 217,482 / 217,482
Judgement day for Wii U tomorrow.
Well, not really since it's know it will be low but it's unknown how low it will go.
Judgement day for Wii U tomorrow.
Well, not really since it's know it will be low but it's unknown how low it will go.
Is time to ?Judgement day for Wii U tomorrow.
Well, not really since it's know it will be low but it's unknown how low it will go.
Congratulations to Orgen for winning by percentage and to Road, by units!
Code:BY UNITS BY PERCENTAGE 1 622,766 Road 1 137.3% Orgen 2 630,823 Orgen 2 153.7% Road 3 670,363 MasterSheen 3 186.3% frankie_baby 4 707,525 donny2112 4 208.9% LayLa 5 842,909 DrWong 5 210.9% MasterSheen 6 859,523 frankie_baby 6 224.9% DrWong 7 860,757 LayLa 7 251.2% donny2112 8 960,263 Gradivus 8 269.0% Gradivus 9 992,699 ohlawd 9 270.0% hiska-kun 10 1,029,125 Zornica 10 270.2% slaughterking 11 1,030,357 schuelma 11 285.1% Kenka 12 1,104,639 Yeshua 12 290.3% schuelma 13 1,117,959 Nekki 13 314.7% Zornica 14 1,135,263 Bruno MB 14 323.5% Gianni Merryman 15 1,136,409 Exterminieren 15 325.8% Exterminieren 16 1,139,719 hiska-kun 16 334.7% ohlawd 17 1,157,559 slaughterking 17 335.4% Chris1964 18 1,176,243 Kenka 18 337.4% Nekki 19 1,246,453 Chris1964 19 340.0% Yeshua 20 1,306,301 lunchwithyuzo 20 357.8% hongcha 21 1,317,901 Gianni Merryman 21 374.7% Bruno MB 22 1,395,495 starship 22 381.7% Pupi18 23 1,461,073 XDDX 23 402.7% lunchwithyuzo 24 1,482,651 Pupi18 24 418.3% starship 25 1,583,259 The_lascar 25 436.7% XDDX 26 1,703,673 hongcha 26 441.4% The_lascar 27 2,003,335 DCharlie 27 468.9% DCharlie Famitsu Orgen Kenka lunchwit slaughte Yeshua Gianni M Extermin Chris196 schuelma XDDX MasterSh DCharlie DrWong donny211 Bruno MB Zornica Nekki ohlawd starship Pupi18 Road LayLa frankie_ hongcha The_lasc hiska-ku Gradivus [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf 1,012,051 697000 700000 890123 723455 1000000 900000 810000 987654 950000 1000000 1000000 1200000 1050000 1000000 1200000 950000 980000 1000000 1150000 1200000 999999 880000 1200000 1000000 1200000 1300000 1100000 [3DS] Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney 232,168 304000 260000 345678 436488 350000 230000 365000 321098 220000 400000 270000 280000 320000 400000 400000 380000 350000 450000 380000 340000 222222 320000 250000 150000 500000 350000 360000 [PS3] Dai-2-Ji Super Robot Taisen OG 245,228 332000 285000 321012 305155 300000 312000 315000 234567 210000 300000 190000 300000 250000 250000 325000 220000 150000 200000 190000 175000 222222 260000 200000 150000 400000 299000 350000 [3DS] Paper Mario: Sticker Star 391,078 398000 315000 432101 289455 300000 385000 486000 456789 300000 400000 320000 130000 385000 400000 450000 440000 300000 300000 430000 375000 333333 280000 335000 250000 600000 400000 500000 [PS3] Yakuza 5 521,856 445000 335000 456789 490478 500000 421000 423000 432109 390000 500000 420000 430000 400000 550000 500000 450000 400000 500000 400000 380000 444444 480000 400000 500000 630000 480000 500000 [3DS] Inazuma Eleven Go 2 314,390 241000 255000 234567 335456 300000 195000 310000 345678 290000 400000 350000 200000 230000 200000 300000 280000 250000 200000 330000 320000 222222 220000 360000 175000 350000 399000 200000 [PSP+PSV] AKB1/149: Love Election 196,778 199000 165000 210123 175456 270000 137000 195000 210987 180000 310000 200000 90000 110000 300000 325000 250000 250000 150000 140000 135000 222222 260000 165000 250000 200000 210000 250000 [WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U 381,315 423000 390000 456789 380456 100000 516000 429000 678901 560000 610000 400000 200000 320000 350000 500000 450000 450000 400000 600000 560000 333333 450000 345000 250000 450000 599000 400000 [WIU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate 166,908 216000 205000 345678 169456 250000 219000 369000 345678 290000 300000 270000 88000 150000 100000 285000 105000 125000 320000 340000 420000 222222 180000 160000 150000 250000 220000 200000 [WIU] Nintendo Land 214,374 490000 415000 432101 320125 300000 342000 312000 234567 320000 300000 300000 102000 280000 175000 300000 400000 400000 240000 340000 280000 222222 200000 145000 150000 350000 200000 230000 [WIU] Hardware 638,339 652000 601000 789012 570125 800000 999000 679000 890123 780000 1000000 600000 280000 750000 600000 750000 750000 600000 550000 800000 850000 666666 700000 520000 300000 850000 777000 820000 [3DS] Hardware 1,407,744 1377000 1250000 1234567 1155789 1300000 1232000 1264000 1234567 1300000 1220000 1300000 1000000 1250000 1500000 1450000 1250000 1200000 1250000 1550000 1590000 1222222 1250000 1530000 800000 1290000 1300000 1500000 UNIT DIFF 630823 1176243 1306301 1157559 1104639 1317901 1136409 1246453 1030357 1461073 670363 2003335 842909 707525 1135263 1029125 1117959 992699 1395495 1482651 622766 860757 859523 1703673 1583259 1139719 960263 STATISTICS Famitsu GAF AVERAGE MIN MAX OVER UNDER CLOSEST BY [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf 1,012,051 1,002,527 697,000 1,300,000 33% 67% 1,000,000 Yeshua [3DS] Professor Layton vs. Ace Attorney 232,168 331,648 150,000 500,000 85% 15% 230,000 Gianni Merryman [PS3] Dai-2-Ji Super Robot Taisen OG 245,228 260,961 150,000 400,000 59% 41% 250,000 DrWong [3DS] Paper Mario: Sticker Star 391,078 370,025 130,000 600,000 44% 56% 385,000 Gianni Merryman [PS3] Yakuza 5 521,856 453,993 335,000 630,000 7% 93% 500,000 Yeshua [3DS] Inazuma Eleven Go 2 314,390 277,516 175,000 400,000 33% 67% 310,000 Exterminieren [PSP+PSV] AKB1/149: Love Election 196,778 205,918 90,000 325,000 59% 41% 195,000 Exterminieren [WIU] New Super Mario Bros. U 381,315 429,684 100,000 678,901 70% 30% 380,456 slaughterking [WIU] Monster Hunter 3 Ultimate 166,908 233,149 88,000 420,000 74% 26% 169,456 slaughterking [WIU] Nintendo Land 214,374 288,149 102,000 490,000 78% 22% 222,222 Road [WIU] Hardware 638,339 700,886 280,000 1,000,000 67% 33% 652,000 Orgen [3DS] Hardware 1,407,744 1,288,894 800,000 1,590,000 22% 78% 1,377,000 Orgen
- Pupi18 had 1,2000,000 for Animal Crossing, but I don't think the intent was 12 million, so I corrected it amnually to 1.2 million.
- DCharlie, you were warned. =P
Judgement day for Wii U tomorrow.
Well, not really since it's know it will be low but it's unknown how low it will go.
I think that's the general expectation of sales-age gaf for tomorrow.I'd say 35k for Wii U.
EDIT: Orgen stole my prediction.
Like other Nintendo products, doomed when planned, doomed when announced, doomed when released and doomed once its successor is announced.Wow, so Wiiu completely doomed already...
Wii sold 94k same week for reference (Basically it sold what Nintendo managed to ship)
Europe : Sonyland
Road, I get 1,043,853 total difference for Orgen. That makes a lot more sense given how close our predictions were.Congratulations to Orgen for winning by percentage and to Road, by units!
Wait, Super Robot Wars numbers are wrong.
Road, I get 1,043,853 total difference for Orgen. That makes a lot more sense given how close our predictions were.
I wish my motives are worth a thank, he he no worries, it happens.It was established the valid numbers are from the Famitsu Top 30. Usually the results are posted one or two weeks before the monthly top 10 is even made available, I was just lazier this month.
Oh, wow. There was a mistake on with Orgen: Only half of his predictions were being compared. Not exactly sure how that happened (other then I surely messed up something). Thanks for keeping an eye on me.
32k for Wii U
Iwata getting ready for a "special" Nintendo Direct
It was established the valid numbers are from the Famitsu Top 30. Usually the results are posted one or two weeks before the monthly top 10 is even made available, I was just lazier this month.
Oh, wow. There was a mistake on with Orgen: Only half of his predictions were being compared. Not exactly sure how that happened (other then I surely messed up something). Thanks for keeping an eye on me.
Sorry, Orgen,you don't have to pay me anymore since we were caught.
I wish my motives are worth a thank, he he no worries, it happens.
Animal Crossing is going to sell more as the true legend it is.Yeah, I'm also expecting that much for WiiU [edit: 35k].
More curious how much of a dive Animal Crossing and Fantasy Life take. It would be amazing if Animal Crossing still went fairly strong.
Yeah 35k is a safe bet. Maybe 40k at the mostWii sold 94k same week for reference (Basically it sold what Nintendo managed to ship)
I'll keep an eye on you now ò_ó
PS3 levels. Vita was below 20k week 2 last year.Below 30k would signal Wii U heading to Vita levels
Iwata getting ready for a "special" Nintendo Direct
Yeah, I'm also expecting that much for WiiU [edit: 35k].
More curious how much of a dive Animal Crossing and Fantasy Life take. It would be amazing if Animal Crossing still went fairly strong.
Animal Crossing must have the record of shortest supply ever for a multimillion seller. 9 weeks and counting.
I've been wondering for a while how long NSMB stayed at over 100k per week in Japan, thanks for clearing up. I just remember that it seemed like forever.I'm curious if ACNL will be above 100k. It has 9 weeks, the record is by NSMB with 13 weeks. (Probably not, but who knows.)
32k for Wii U
Iwata getting ready for a "special" Nintendo Direct
I'm torn. Part of me wants it to post good numbers for the sake of the platform...on the other hand, we need some goddamn announcements as soon as yesterday.