I think we should be asking you that.
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Media Create Sales: Week 35, 2015 (Aug 24 - Aug 30)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
I think we should be asking you that.
1st Course
Member
Being an online focused game that is updated constantly it has the potential to sell for a very long time. 1.5m might be too optimistic though I agree, all depends on it's performance after holidays.
~1.8million , >2million with digital. Now, you're turn.
1.2 lifetime.
It will be around that at the end of Q1 next year.
Lol, Splatoon will Sell those numbers only in 2015.
Splatoon won't sell only 1,2m. It's already above 700k. 1,5m is possible.
kuroneko0509
Member
The new Kamen Rider Battride War is ps3/ps4/vita only... no wii u like the previous entries, release next year
http://gamestalk.net/kamen-rider/
http://gamestalk.net/kamen-rider/
Kresnik258
Member
It was only one previous entry that released on WiiU:
231 - PS3 Kamen Rider: Battride War II 59,777 / 85,192
43 WIU Kamen Rider: Battride War II 6,827 / 6,827
I can see why they dropped it. Not that I think it's going to do particularly better on PS4Vita (and it's going to decrease again on PS3).
Is it Battride War 3? Can't click the link from home.
kuroneko0509
Member
ah my bad. always thought the 1st game is on wii u as well..
it's battride war creation, not battride war 3
small44
Member
Because of the small Wii u install base i doubt it will reach that
Splatoon's driving the install base higher though. It's basically Monster Huntering Wii U.
Mario Kart Globally has ~54% attach rate, and generally in many countries is at >50% attach rate.
In France, as for June 2015, Wii U Sold 590,000 Unit, and Mario Kart Sold 500,000... This is a huge 85% attach rate.
Splatoon is bigger than Mario Kart in Japan, so, Over 50% attach rate for Splatoon is not a Problem.
Ans This.sörine;177938915 said:
Kresnik258
Member
Hmm, do we know what that is yet? Musou-esque like the others?
I seem to remember them making a Skylanders rip-off with Kamen Rider last year.
If we go with a 15K/20K weekly sales until week 52 it should sell another 250/300K units at retail and if you add the (30% to 35%) digital sales you're at +1M in week 52. And there's a big chance it will follow the MK8 route (will be up this fall).
do we know as a sure fact that the digital sales % will stay similar to the one saw near launch? do we have evdence (not only for Splatoon, but in general) for this kind of behaviour?
Weekly sales will improve during holiday weeks. Holiday weeks are still pretty far ahead. We are now tracking early September weeks right now. Real Holiday bumps usually occurs very near the Christmas period. We still have three full months ahead beore entering December.
Bruno MB
Member
Only if Dragon Quest XI PS4 leaves a crater bigger than of the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs.
I think he was making fun of the Xbone version, hence the "ｗｗｗｗ". 0.2 is probably 0.2万, meaning 2,000 copies sold. Also just a while ago he said that it sold less than half of Lego Ninjago: Shadow of Ronin for 3DS.
the comparison was Splatoon vs DQXI PS4 only.
Tbh, I'm not betting that it will happen at all.
Mario Kart 8 is dropped under 10k before Holidays Sales. And do You know what's happen in December? Mario Kart Sales Are rise to Over 30k, The week 52 Mario Kart 8 Sold nearly 40k.
FACT IS, Splatoon is tracking Over Mario Kart 8, and by a HUGE margin in weekly Sales ( we talk about Splatoon above MK8 by 2:1 ) and that's NOT gonna Change, at least not This year.
Here what's gonna happen:
Splatoon will dropped at ~15k or why not, maybe even less, and during December will Sell Over 40k, most likely Over 50k.
Many thing can happen, BUT Splatoon at 1 million withouth digital in 2015 is a lock. With digital probabily Over 1.2 million.
1.5 million is pretty easy.
Ps4 version of dq is not going to be the version that does gangbusters in Japan
Oh it's true
I'd be surprised if the Xbox version sold 2k lol.
It is at 700k with digital: I can see it reaching 1 million by the year end, but continuing selling so good to be able to reach the 1.5 million mark "easily", to outsell "easily" FFXV PS4 is not a lock to me. that's all
It is at 700k with digital: I can see it reaching 1 million by the year end, but continuing selling so good to be able to reach the 1.5 million mark "easily", to outsell "easily" FFXV PS4 is not a lock to me. that's all
1 Million with or withouth digital?
Splatoon is going to reach at least 1.8 mill i am sure lol. Splatoon is more or less mini Monster Hunter for Wii U here. And with Mario Maker bundle coming, we will see even more people get Splatoon in holiday there. Nintendo title is also famous for their long long.....tentacles here.^_^
Yes, but first we had rather neutral news from 300k (matching YSO) and now we have super positive Tatsuya!
thestopsign
Member
The problem is that Splatoon is quickly running out of user base to sell through as it is outpacing Wii U hardware. It can certainly break a million, but I think it will peter out before 1.5 million. It will be close to the best selling home console game of the generation in Japan, it depends on how the PS4 user base grows for Dragon Quest and the split between the 3DS and PS4 sku.
DQ had almost 0 chances of beating Splatoon here. 3DS is going to eat up it's lunch by a lot. And like how we see Smash Bros 4 3DS vs Wii U, we know how much the consoles sales will be eaten here.
I wonder if these Splatoon estimates are getting a bit extreme...
the bundle will help
but going upwards of 1.5m and even up to 2m?
How much are people expecting it to sell on a weekly basis in 2016? Surely not 20k or 15k right? Even 10k might be high.
EDIT:
Wait no, it's Mario Maker getting the bundle. Oops
the bundle will help
but going upwards of 1.5m and even up to 2m?
How much are people expecting it to sell on a weekly basis in 2016? Surely not 20k or 15k right? Even 10k might be high.
EDIT:
Wait no, it's Mario Maker getting the bundle. Oops
Don't do that, be more specific: only one person said 2M ltd, there's no "these extreme Splatoon estimates".
Sure thing around 1M at the end of the year. Very realistic: at +1M at the end of the year. The ltd will depend on lot of things but I'm pretty sure end of Q1/start of Q2 the game will be around 1.2M. Is it extreme?
Chû Totoro
Member
I think I'm lost now with all these Splatoon posts. 1.5 to 2m lifetime? and 1.2 to 1.5m by the end of this year?
If this is what's suggested I think it's possible (with digital) but clearly it's going to be a big achievement for a new franchise. Maybe not Wii Sports like but regarding Wii U hardware presence it would be very good (for a very good game).
test_account
XP-39C²
Hopefully Nintendo will announce when Splatoon hits 1 million. Then we can get some idea how much the download version has sold.
Is the unofficial Splatoon bundle still being sold by the way?
Is the unofficial Splatoon bundle still being sold by the way?
KillerMan91
Member
I still think FFVII Remake will be the best selling home console game this gen. True, brand strenght of FF has suffered during the years but I think if affects more to XVs sales potential than VII Remakes. We are talking about the best selling FF game of all time that is getting completely remade and not just some remaster treatment. It will sell to current FF fanbase and to the older players looking for nostalgia trip. Of course we have to see how it actually looks and plays and will it be developed in time (unlike XV) but if they go with U4 (like rumoured) and knowing that some stuff like plot, characters etc. already exists I actually believe that it will not end in development hell. We are still talking about probably 2018 at earliest for release though so we shall see.
.....i don't want to said this though but......... I don't even think FFVII is going to come out this gen here.T_T I mean, yeah U4 is going to help but KH,DQ and FFXV is not even out yet. FFVIIR i feel will come out at least in PS5 or cross gen here.T_T
I disagree.
Oops. Got it confused with Mario maker
Several people have said >=1.5 though.
And no I don't think 1.2 is extreme. But there's a big 300k diff between that and 1.5 when sales drop off for a game, especially with a small userbase.
My predictions since well over a year ago:
FFVX: Fall 2017
KH3: Fall 2018
FF7R: 2020 (This one was predicted when the game was announced obv)
Whether 2020 is still this gen or the next...hm not sure. Could be cross.
1st Course
Member
^
I thought XV was confirmed for 2016?
I thought XV was confirmed for 2016?
Psycho_Mantis
Banned
FFXV 2016
KH3 2016/17
DQ11 2016
FF7R 201X
KH3 2016/17
DQ11 2016
FF7R 201X
I don't care what they say at this point tbh. lol
(And that trailer/announcement came out after my prediction was made in June 2014, but I haven't seen enough to move from that prediction...)
Wii U confirmed to stay over 10k then?
never thought I would see the day