• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Media Create Sales: Week 49, 2011 (Dec 05 - Dec 11)

Cipherr

Member
Damn. At this rate, 3DS will beat the DS's first year worldwide.

EDIT: Actually, that's not impressive. It 's a sure thing, though. It'll still fall WAY short of Nintendo's forecast, however.

That chart makes me wonder about that forecast in the first place. How many was it 16m the expected? Am I reading this wrong, or have they never had a console come anywhere NEAR that in its first year, but somehow they expected the 3DS to do it?
 

Anth0ny

Member
It does, they're just all western franchises - Call of Duty, Mortal Kombat, Assassin's Creed, etc.

True. Makes sense, I guess they're trying to expand their North American audience, considering PSP and all.

I just wish I cared about any of those franchises :lol
 

BurntPork

Banned
That chart makes me wonder about that forecast in the first place. How many was it 16m the expected? Am I reading this wrong, or have they never had a console come anywhere NEAR that in its first year, but somehow they expected the 3DS to do it?

GBA did it. It had over 17 million in its first full fiscal year and over 15 million in its second.
 
Opiate said:
You don't think FFX can do 500k on Vita? Honest question. I play very few Japanese games (I haven't played a SE game in well over a decade), so I'm honestly interested in your opinion. What would be your gut estimate?
Hard to say. III and IV DS are the only portable versions of home FF games to hit such numbers yet, and they were both massively remade versions on the hottest hardware ever. On the other hand, most that weren't III and IV DS came out either on really unsuccessful hardware (WonderSwan) or were really late to the party (GBA post-DS).
 

Takao

Banned
You don't think FFX can do 500k on Vita? Honest question. I play very few Japanese games (I haven't played a SE game in well over a decade), so I'm honestly interested in your opinion. What would be your gut estimate?

I completely missed this comment before. I'd honestly expect 300k best case. It's not a full remake, so I'm not confident there's a tonne of demand out there, even if it has been ages since the game released.
 

wsippel

Banned
Hard to say. III and IV DS are the only portable versions of home FF games to hit such numbers yet, and they were both massively remade versions on the hottest hardware ever. On the other hand, most that weren't III and IV DS came out either on really unsuccessful hardware (WonderSwan) or were really late to the party (GBA post-DS).
But they were also much older by the time they were remade. I personally believe that's an important aspect. I definitely assume the majority of people who bought the remakes never played the originals, whereas a much larger part of the audience FFX tries to target probably already played it. With the way the genre changed in recent years, I'm also not quite sure how many people are still willing to deal with pretty much outdated concepts like random encounters these days.
 

Road

Member
Remakes/Ports (Famitsu)

{2000-12-09} [BWS] Final Fantasy I - 377,000
{2001-05-03} [BWS] Final Fantasy II - 242,000
{2002-03-28} [BWS] Final Fantasy IV - 64,000

{2002-10-31} [PS1] Final Fantasy I - 173,000*
{2002-10-31} [PS1] Final Fantasy II - 182,000*
{1997-03-21} [PS1] Final Fantasy IV - 673,000**
{1998-03-19} [PS1] Final Fantasy V - 564,000**
{1999-03-11} [PS1] Final Fantasy VI - 480,000**

{2007-04-19} [PSP] Final Fantasy I: Anniversary Edition - 125,000
{2007-06-07} [PSP] Final Fantasy II: Anniversary Edition - 83,000
{2011-03-24} [PSP] Final Fantasy IV: The Complete Collection - 199,000

{2004-07-29} [GBA] Final Fantasy I + II: Dawn of Souls - 278,000
{2005-12-15} [GBA] Final Fantasy IV Advance - 219,000
{2006-10-12} [GBA] Final Fantasy V Advance - 260,000
{2006-11-30} [GBA] Final Fantasy VI Advance - 281,000

{2006-08-24} [NDS] Final Fantasy III - 1,057,000
{2007-12-20} [NDS] Final Fantasy IV - 652,000


*Includes sales from FF Premium Package (2002-10-31): 44,000.
**Includes sales from FF Collection (1999-03-11): 412,000, although this one sold this much probably more because of VI than either IV or V.
 

wsippel

Banned
It does, they're just all western franchises - Call of Duty, Mortal Kombat, Assassin's Creed, etc.
3DS had many of those as well. Games got canned quietly, and not even because the 3DS didn't sell well out of the gate. Assassin's Creed, Saint's Row and Bloodrayne were canned before the system even launched. With what little we have, I wouldn't hold my breath for Bioshock Vita or whatever ever surfacing.
 

Thoraxes

Member
I completely missed this comment before. I'd honestly expect 300k best case. It's not a full remake, so I'm not confident there's a tonne of demand out there, even if it has been ages since the game released.

I think it'll sell more to the larger install base personally. Plus when most people buy HD remakes, it's to experience them on their huge TVs to get something they couldn't have had in the past, so for these reasons I believe you to be correct.

Also, I come home and find Pacman eating AGAIN?!? He doesn't nearly exercise enough to be devouring things this much.
 

DCharlie

And even i am moderately surprised
Did PES 2012 3D already come out?

yup - moaned about it elsewhere - came out last week and the game seems to be pretty much a dirty little secret.

3rd parties seem to be getting shat on if they aren't Monster Hunter. Trying to find the games in stores behind all the Nintendo stuff or - like in sofmap - on a shelf of their own tucked away.

I've not had chance to play it yet as i'm tied up with other handheld games, but will give it a whirl this morning
 
3rd parties seem to be getting shat on if they aren't Monster Hunter. Trying to find the games in stores behind all the Nintendo stuff or - like in sofmap - on a shelf of their own tucked away.


They can only blame themselves. Nintendo gave them a huge window of opportunity to capitalize on the launch and soon after launch buyers, with literally no competition outside of Nintendogs and Pilotwings. It resulted in months of moaning of no software worth owning, and weird, that doesn't change until Nintendo drops with Zelda, Star Fox, Super Mario, and Mario Kart. I seriously have no sympathy for third parties on Nintendo hardware, they really just don't get it for the most part.
 

Erethian

Member
I completely missed this comment before. I'd honestly expect 300k best case. It's not a full remake, so I'm not confident there's a tonne of demand out there, even if it has been ages since the game released.

Yeah when I see some of the predictions for FFX HD I wonder if people missed the part where it isn't a full blown remake, but a HD-ified PS2 game.
 
yup - moaned about it elsewhere - came out last week and the game seems to be pretty much a dirty little secret.

3rd parties seem to be getting shat on if they aren't Monster Hunter. Trying to find the games in stores behind all the Nintendo stuff or - like in sofmap - on a shelf of their own tucked away.

I've not had chance to play it yet as i'm tied up with other handheld games, but will give it a whirl this morning

Interesting - I'd imagine it's purely a case of retailers pushing the "big" games that are guaranteed to sell, rather than "wasting" shelf space on the smaller titles?
 

Kandinsky

Member
I completely missed this comment before. I'd honestly expect 300k best case. It's not a full remake, so I'm not confident there's a tonne of demand out there, even if it has been ages since the game released.

Doesnt help that is the worst game in the series, such a pos :/
 

Fularu

Banned
Yeah when I see some of the predictions for FFX HD I wonder if people missed the part where it isn't a full blown remake, but a HD-ified PS2 game.

I went with the assumption that it wasn't merely a port but had remade aspects (like full 3D backgrounds and not pre rendered stuff). Unless that changed it's a little bit more than just porting it.

Still between regular and "the best' versions, I don't think FFX will do less than 500k. I could be wrong though (wouldn't be the first time).
 
Congratulations to FINALFANTASYDOG and Labadal for winning the ranking by units and by points/percentages respectively.
Code:
Results	By Units			By Points	
1	 61182	FINALFANTASYDOG		 33,56%	Labadal
2	 62497	Orgen			 37,56%	Chris1964
3	 68585	starship		 38,49%	starship
4	 69550	Chris1964		 42,53%	u_neek
5	 84497	KuwabaraTheMan		 43,67%	Sadist
6	 94227	u_neek			 44,54%	FINALFANTASYDOG
7	 99015	Sadist			 47,57%	Road
8	104228	Road			 50,13%	Mpl90
9	116415	Labadal			 53,18%	Orgen
10	124553	BurntPork		 55,00%	Alrus
11	131934	Kenka			 55,25%	Kurosaki Ichigo
12	132840	Alrus			 58,80%	KuwabaraTheMan
13	136042	Mpl90			 60,48%	Michan
14	143145	zomgbbqftw		 70,32%	BurntPork
15	162374	lunchwithyuzo		 70,55%	lunchwithyuzo
16	178145	Michan			 70,67%	zomgbbqftw
17	188585	noobie			 75,22%	Yeshua
18	189415	Kurosaki Ichigo		 76,97%	noobie
19	201855	Yeshua			 83,99%	schuelma
20	237497	schuelma		 89,70%	Kenka
21	276855	donny2112		 97,75%	LOCK
22	343585	LOCK			113,06%	donny2112
23	351145	Scum			156,34%	Scum

12/05-12/11	Sales	Orgen	Sadis	Chris	LOCK	Labad	Kenka	lunch	Burnt	Kuwab	Yeshu	noobi	Alrus	donny	stars	Micha	schue	Scum	zomgb	Road	Mpl90	FINAL	Kuro	u_nee
PS3 Skyrim	75865	112000	58040	56789	60000	80000	131131	101234	111111	112000	100000	45000	95000	125000	55000	55000	110000	0	45000	55555	94321	104323	87000	60000
3DS MHTriG	521959	543000	490000	543210	700000	480000	575575	543210	504555	550000	600000	615000	550550	700000	550000	395000	725000	285000	500000	555555	604709	497324	412000	530000
3DS Hardware	350321	345000	301090	321098	500000	280000	373373	234567	422224	330000	450000	415000	435435	400000	370000	320000	350000	312000	260000	299999	385157	342232	282000	280000
							
Difference	0	62497	99015	69550	343585	116415	131934	162374	124553	84497	201855	188585	132840	276855	68585	178145	237497	351145	143145	104228	136042	61182	189415	94227
							
Difference (%)	0,00%	53,18%	43,67%	37,56%	97,75%	33,56%	89,70%	70,55%	70,32%	58,80%	75,22%	76,97%	55,00%	113,06%	38,49%	60,48%	83,99%	156,34%	70,67%	47,57%	50,13%	44,54%	55,25%	42,53%
						
PS3 Skyrim	0	36135	-17825	-19076	-15865	4135	55266	25369	35246	36135	24135	-30865	19135	49135	-20865	-20865	34135	-75865	-30865	-20310	18456	28458	11135	-15865
3DS MHTriG	0	21041	-31959	21251	178041	-41959	53616	21251	-17404	28041	78041	93041	28591	178041	28041	-126959	203041	-236959	-21959	33596	82750	-24635	-109959	8041
3DS Hardware	0	-5321	-49231	-29223	149679	-70321	23052	-115754	71903	-20321	99679	64679	85114	49679	19679	-30321	-321	-38321	-90321	-50322	34836	-8089	-68321	-70321
Past Predictions Results:
11/28-12/04 Predictions Results
11/21-11/27 Predictions Results
11/14-11/20 Predictions Results
Prediction League Results 2009-2010
 

DCharlie

And even i am moderately surprised
DCharlie, serious question: Do you ever sleep?

i've started surviving on around 4 hours sleep a day, mainly because i had a project at work for the last 6 months that needed me to hammer it.

It wound up last week, you'll notice i suddenly started posting more. But i can't get out of the sleep pattern (or lack of sleep pattern) :/

They can only blame themselves. Nintendo gave them a huge window of opportunity to capitalize on the launch and soon after launch buyers, with literally no competition outside of Nintendogs and Pilotwings. It resulted in months of moaning of no software worth owning, and weird, that doesn't change until Nintendo drops with Zelda, Star Fox, Super Mario, and Mario Kart. I seriously have no sympathy for third parties on Nintendo hardware, they really just don't get it for the most part.

that's not the point i was making - the point is that for whatever reason stores are chosing to push Nintendo's titles in the main whilst the other games are , in some cases, literally not in plain view - whilst the 3DS displays are just a wall of nintendo games - maybe Layton slides in, Monster Hunter does to as a huge hitter. Whilst i had noticed this with Sonic and a few other 3rd party games, it was only when i couldn't find Winning Eleven that i though "wtf?!"

Winning Eleven isn't exactly a small game - but it too seems to be getting the cold shoulder from retailers. Perhaps they're not helping the self perpetuating myth by simply assuming that it's the Nintendo stuff that's going to sell to customers and devoting the space to them?

I have a couple of pictures from Sofmap of this situation - will upload. They're mildly amusing i guess.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Eeeh, the fact is that Winning Eleven is not so big on Nintendo consoles due to Konami's policy during these last years.
If the games "ostracized", including WE, are things like Sonic, NFS, Cooking Mama and other titles of this range... well, they would have NEVER sold a lot, neither on other platforms.
I mean, Sonic Generations charted 36th with the PS3 version and 48th with the 3DS one last week.

We've already had many examples of third party games doing well...and Senran Kagura has also demonstrated that new IPs done with all the right charachteristics for appealing to a certain audience of the market can sell well. Kagura has even outdone all the Marvelous efforts on Wii :lol

Now, talking about FFXIII-2, and what was saying schuelma. Since we've got final preorders pt from Comgnet...

FFXIII-2 - 723pt
FFXIII - 2201pt

Putting things in perspective (or at least trying doing it)

Tales of Xillia - 1065pt
Final Fantasy Type 0 - 648pt
 

BurntPork

Banned
Congratulations to FINALFANTASYDOG and Labadal for winning the ranking by units and by points/percentages respectively.
Code:
Results	By Units			By Points	
1	 61182	FINALFANTASYDOG		 33,56%	Labadal
2	 62497	Orgen			 37,56%	Chris1964
3	 68585	starship		 38,49%	starship
4	 69550	Chris1964		 42,53%	u_neek
5	 84497	KuwabaraTheMan		 43,67%	Sadist
6	 94227	u_neek			 44,54%	FINALFANTASYDOG
7	 99015	Sadist			 47,57%	Road
8	104228	Road			 50,13%	Mpl90
9	116415	Labadal			 53,18%	Orgen
[B]10	124553	BurntPork[/B]		 55,00%	Alrus
11	131934	Kenka			 55,25%	Kurosaki Ichigo
12	132840	Alrus			 58,80%	KuwabaraTheMan
13	136042	Mpl90			 60,48%	Michan
[B]14	143145	zomgbbqftw		 70,32%	BurntPork[/B]
15	162374	lunchwithyuzo		 70,55%	lunchwithyuzo
16	178145	Michan			 70,67%	zomgbbqftw
17	188585	noobie			 75,22%	Yeshua
18	189415	Kurosaki Ichigo		 76,97%	noobie
19	201855	Yeshua			 83,99%	schuelma
20	237497	schuelma		 89,70%	Kenka
21	276855	donny2112		 97,75%	LOCK
22	343585	LOCK			113,06%	donny2112
23	351145	Scum			156,34%	Scum

12/05-12/11	Sales	Orgen	Sadis	Chris	LOCK	Labad	Kenka	lunch	Burnt	Kuwab	Yeshu	noobi	Alrus	donny	stars	Micha	schue	Scum	zomgb	Road	Mpl90	FINAL	Kuro	u_nee
PS3 Skyrim	75865	112000	58040	56789	60000	80000	131131	101234	111111	112000	100000	45000	95000	125000	55000	55000	110000	0	45000	55555	94321	104323	87000	60000
3DS MHTriG	521959	543000	490000	543210	700000	480000	575575	543210	504555	550000	600000	615000	550550	700000	550000	395000	725000	285000	500000	555555	604709	497324	412000	530000
3DS Hardware	350321	345000	301090	321098	500000	280000	373373	234567	422224	330000	450000	415000	435435	400000	370000	320000	350000	312000	260000	299999	385157	342232	282000	280000
							
Difference	0	62497	99015	69550	343585	116415	131934	162374	124553	84497	201855	188585	132840	276855	68585	178145	237497	351145	143145	104228	136042	61182	189415	94227
							
Difference (%)	0,00%	53,18%	43,67%	37,56%	97,75%	33,56%	89,70%	70,55%	70,32%	58,80%	75,22%	76,97%	55,00%	113,06%	38,49%	60,48%	83,99%	156,34%	70,67%	47,57%	50,13%	44,54%	55,25%	42,53%
						
PS3 Skyrim	0	36135	-17825	-19076	-15865	4135	55266	25369	35246	36135	24135	-30865	19135	49135	-20865	-20865	34135	-75865	-30865	-20310	18456	28458	11135	-15865
3DS MHTriG	0	21041	-31959	21251	178041	-41959	53616	21251	-17404	28041	78041	93041	28591	178041	28041	-126959	203041	-236959	-21959	33596	82750	-24635	-109959	8041
3DS Hardware	0	-5321	-49231	-29223	149679	-70321	23052	-115754	71903	-20321	99679	64679	85114	49679	19679	-30321	-321	-38321	-90321	-50322	34836	-8089	-68321	-70321
Past Predictions Results:
11/28-12/04 Predictions Results
11/21-11/27 Predictions Results
11/14-11/20 Predictions Results
Prediction League Results 2009-2010

imokaywiththis.jpg
 

cvxfreak

Member
You've been even at the launch event. You dirty AKB4 maniacal lover.
Impressions.

Of the line or of the game? Because I wasn't there to pick up the game... :p

Line was nowhere near as busy as I would have expected for a FF launch event, but by no means did I stick around long enough to see if the lines would build up. It's still early, so we'll have to wait for the line reports (if any).
 
Dat rise to heaven.

We will all look back on the Mario 3D Land --> Mario Kart 3DS --> Monster Hunter 3G onslaught the way we do that first Nintendogs --> Brain Training --> Animal Crossing Wild World sequence of unstoppable DS sales juggernauts.

3DS-It-Prints-Money.gif
Yup.
 

lobdale

3 ft, coiled to the sky
Why do PSP sales keep going up when its successor is out next week?
Cause the PSP is affordable and has a million games and can use UMD (a bigger issue in Japan than people realize, considering the used games market).
 

Thoraxes

Member
Cause the PSP is affordable and has a million affordable games and can use UMD (a bigger issue in Japan than people realize, considering the used games market).
Adding on to what you said: Would you have a new system with no UMD support and no ability to buy a ton of super cheap games likely on very large sales, or would you rather buy a new system and pay full-price for all those games, which you will likely need to spend another $20-120 on top of the system to contain all those games you want?
 

Takao

Banned
That image gets posted too much. That's like 1/4th of the Vita covered by the shelves. There's more to a wall than that, and at that angle it would be pretty clear to see what that was.
 

Cipherr

Member
That image gets posted too much. That's like 1/4th of the Vita covered by the shelves. There's more to a wall than that, and at that angle it would be pretty clear to see what that was.


I just now noticed the Vita on the wall in the background. Wondered why people kept posting that
 
03./03. [3DS] Super Mario 3D Land <ACT> (Nintendo) {2011.11.03} (¥4.800) - 89.743 / 724.611 (+21%)

Noice! It's definitely performing better than any previous 3D Mario. Those kind of legs are more similar to NSMB than Galaxy...

02./01. [3DS] Mario Kart 7 <RCE> (Nintendo) {2011.12.01} (¥4.800) - 183.834 / 607.453 (-57%)

That's a large drop, but a smaller one than Mario Kart Wii's 2nd week (-66%). For comparison's sake, Mario Kart DS had a 29% drop in its 2nd week but it started off much lower than MKWii or MK7 (at 224,411 for week 1)

That image gets posted too much. That's like 1/4th of the Vita covered by the shelves. There's more to a wall than that, and at that angle it would be pretty clear to see what that was.

Why do you have to spoil the funny? I find it good for a laugh myself!
 

Alrus

Member
That image gets posted too much. That's like 1/4th of the Vita covered by the shelves. There's more to a wall than that, and at that angle it would be pretty clear to see what that was.

People are just having fun. It's just a funny image considering the history of MH.

MH3G will have no effect on the Vita launch though. The reason people still buy psp is because it's cheap, has a huge library and there's still a few high profile games coming.
 

BurntPork

Banned
People are just having fun. It's just a funny image considering the history of MH.

MH3G will have no effect on the Vita launch though. The reason people still buy psp is because it's cheap, has a huge library and there's still a few high profile games coming.

And because Vita doesn't have "full" backwards compatibility...
 

Erethian

Member
And because Vita doesn't have "full" backwards compatibility...

Vita would be an interesting test case in how much backwards compatibility affects the sales of a handheld, if there weren't a number of mitigating factors that could affect the sales much more.
 
13./00. [WII] Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games <SPT> (Nintendo) {2011.12.08} (¥5.800) - 30.222 / NEW

These mini-game compilations are losing their luster in Japan even with the 2 biggest gaming mascots attatched. Good news for most gamers.
 
13./00. [WII] Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games <SPT> (Nintendo) {2011.12.08} (¥5.800) - 30.222 / NEW

These mini-game compilations are losing their luster in Japan even with the 2 biggest gaming mascots attatched. Good news for most gamers.

Globally it'll still be a solid seller if nothing spectacular like the first, with a bit of luck the decline of the Olympic games could mean they think about a real Mario and sonic platformer, it could be a real killer app for WiiU
 

Takao

Banned
13./00. [WII] Mario & Sonic at the London 2012 Olympic Games <SPT> (Nintendo) {2011.12.08} (¥5.800) - 30.222 / NEW

These mini-game compilations are losing their luster in Japan even with the 2 biggest gaming mascots attatched. Good news for most gamers.

Only 1 of those mascots are relevant in Japan.
 
Top Bottom