Not seeing the Rays winning the AL East but at least PECOTA has the Jays in and the Yankees out of the playoffs.
The AL east will come down to Jays, Rays, and Red Sox.
Im actually surprised so many people are completely down on the Rays heading into the season.
A lot of things went wrong for them last year and yet they finished with 80 wins.
They lost Cobb and Smyly for the year and didnt have Moore come back until around the All Star break. The starting lineup was completely carried by Archer and Odorizzi. On the offensive side, outside of Forsythe breaking out the rest of the players had down years.
Rays went out and traded excess pitching depth and got a lot of young talent (Brad Miller, Corey Dickerson) back that can help improve the offense and sets them up nicely for the future.
If the starting pitching can stay healthy this year I don't see any reason they cant win 87-90 games which should be enough to win in a weak division.