LJ, I thought you were all about Evans. What cooled you on him?
Nothing, I just think the Bills would take Ebron over Evans. It may not be what I would do but it's what I think they will do.
At times it's easy to read this franchise. They've talked up big physical targets, with WR specifically mentioned, and really haven't done much about it. Their head of college scouting basically said the same thing, everyone talks up big and physical WRs but the quality isn't usually there. That's not to say that Evans isn't quality, he is, but from what I saw last year they want size and elusiveness in the middle of the field, and burners on the outside for shot plays. Ebron is the big target they want.
Chandler was a productive player last year but he's a one dimensional player. Smith was used a great deal to run block because Chandler is awful in that area, pretty big tell for an offense. Ebron isn't a good run blocker but he can be. I think Ebron fits into what they want to do on O, deep crosses, vertical seam threat, can be flexed.
Ebron came out and said the Bills and Lions are hot for him, EJ said the same thing about the Bills last year. I think the guy they really love is Watkins, but he won't be there. Two of the three tackles won't be there, two pass rushers gone, and they won't take a QB. From where I'm sitting, I think the Bills feel Watkins, Clowney, Mack, Matthews, Robinson and Ebron are all elite talents and the only elite talents in this draft.
If they think Ebron is elite it's hard to pass on him, for a guy who in their minds is very good but no elite. If it were me I'd shop the pick, and I'm not a big trade down guy. Just think we could use another 2nd day pick, and if we could stay in the top 15 why not....
They really like Watkins though, and if they covet that kind of player, the next closest guy is ODB. Plays bigger than his body, adjusts to the ball, good after the catch but not excellent, good route runner with suddenness and explosion. It's why I mentioned him, next closest substitute to a guy they love.
Edit: I could be dead wrong though, we'll find out in a little over a week.