POSTED Sept. 2, 2:30 p.m., ET
After yesterday's Red Sox column, here's a totally justified e-mail from reader Chad Lawton:
"Why do we hear so many of your 'I saw it coming' predictions AFTER THE FACT. Red Sox rally, Oakland and Anaheim rally, Anquan Boldin. C'mon dude -- tell us BEFORE, not after! Geesh."
Very good point. In fact, this happened twice in the past few weeks -- once with the Nightmare Team column (the House conversation), once with yesterday's Sox column (the conversation with my editor). Unfortunately, due to time constraints, unforeseen developments and my writing schedule, sometimes it's difficult to get those thoughts up in a timely enough fashion. For instance, I was planning on writing that Nightmare Team column for Tuesday -- the same day they lost to Puerto Rico -- but the Nomar trade pushed everything back one day.
With the Red Sox column, I had actually written something on Aug. 10 about how I was having Those Ideas -- which were quickly dashed by Dale Sveum -- so I had pretty much given up hope. The following night, I watched a Yankees game against Texas when the immortal Tanyon Sturtze pitched five innings for the win, followed by Quantrill, Gordon and Rivera pitching the last four innings, which made me think about their crazy workload this season. So I ended up going on the Web and looking up their career stats, eventually finding out that ...
A.) All of them were in their mid-30's
B.) Rivera was on pace to throw the most innings in his career as a closer
C.) Gordon was on pace to throw his most innings in six years
D.) Quantrill was on pace to throw his most innings in eight years
And these were all guys that had battled health problems. Then I examined their starting pitches and realized that nobody was on pace for 200 innings, not even Vazquez, and that everyone seemed to have trouble pitching past the sixth inning. It just looked like a team ready to blow their bullpen out. Anyway, that's when I decided, "Hmmmmmm." Leading to the conversation with my editor two days later.
Here's the point: Since this didn't deserve an entire column, and there was no real way to mention this, I need to figure out a way to capture epiphanies like this one on my SGW Page somewhere.
That's why I'm creating a new running feature: "The Gut Feeling Du'Jour." Then we can track them and I can eventually be exposed for the idiot that I am. I don't want to confine this to a weekly feature -- when I have them, I'll post them.
I have six Gut Feelings this week ...
(Drumroll please ...)
1. Brandon Lloyd will be this year's Anquan Boldin. You knew this one already. <--
This should make FMT happy
2. The Lakers will NOT make the playoffs. <--
Wonder what Laker fans responses will be to this
3. The Patriots will lose to the Jaguars Thursday night by more than 14 points. <--
You heard it from the Sports Guy first!
4. Within the next two weeks, either LeBron or Carmelo will come out and slam Larry Brown for the way he coached the team in Athens, followed by at least 3-4 other players joining suit, leading to a national story, capped off by LeBron saying something along the lines of "Let's just say I'm looking forward to our first game against the Pistons." <-- :lol
5. The Angels will be the proverbial "odd team out" in the American League.
6. "Lost" will become a hit show for ABC ... and "The Benefactor" will be a full-fledged disaster.
Until next time.