I believe if a publisher publish a Switch 1 version of a game without native Switch 2 version (like Bethesda just did several days ago), then it's probably true.
Microsoft published 1 Switch 2 game, which also have a Switch 1 verison (Tony Hawk 3+4) and announced absolutely nothing besides that. There are leaks about the Switch (2?) version of CoD but not announced yet, so it is more likely that they got their devkits super late.
EA already published a native Switch 2 version of Apex Legends, Madden 26, will launch FC26 next month (and the beta is already available) + Plant vs Zombie 2 remastered.
Capcom already published Street Fighter 6 native Switch 2 port and announced Monster Hunter Stories 3 nativr Switch 2 version.
Bandai Namco only announced Dragon Ball Sparking Zero for Switch 1 and Switch 2 and nothing else, besides a comment on Tekken 8 requiring some work to do.
And Square Enix announced FF7 Remake Integrade for Switch 2 with the other titles coming in the future, an Octopath prequel and a new 2D-HD game for Switch 1 and 2.
So yeah, I believe the situation is more dire than expected. And I also believe Nintendo didn't really plan on launching the system as they did (forced announcement in January, April direct, this weird partner showcase), like a Sega Saturn situation where the system launched 6 months too early