November Hardware predictions?

Reported by NPD US I'm guessing, after that Nintendo PR, at...
GBA 1,200,000
PS2 750,000
Xbox 650,000
DS 450,000
GC 350,000
 
PS2 = Most
Xbox = Slightly less than Most
GC = Alot less than Most
 
Hardware Sales
Code: 
Month /  Period             Playstation 2    Xbox             Gamecube           Gameboy Advance    Comment
2000 / Q4                           1,087,000                0                  0                  0PS2 Launch - October 2000
2001 / Q1                           1,007,000                0                  0                  0
2001 / Q2                             580,865                0                  0                  0
2001 / 05 (May)             0 (In Q2 #)                      0                  0
2001 / 06 (June)                      345,135                0                  0            880,784
2001 / 07 (July)                      352,780                0                  0            364,970
2001 / 08 (August)                    322,782                0                  0            334,116
2001 / 09 (September)                 343,719                0                  0            329,366
2001 / 10 (October)                   332,117                0                  0            290,325
2001 / 11 (November)                  919,131          722,177            662,560            928,720
2001 / 12 (December)                1,971,318          699,597            573,499          1,618,141
2002 / 01 (January)                   360,745          127,939             61,685            170,523
2002 / 02 (February)                  416,636          139,123             78,413            411,511
2002 / 03 (March)                     362,408          136,388            111,236            504,684
2002 / 04 (April)                     204,863           78,142             81,935            310,778
2002 / 05 (May)                       523,868          228,914            111,063            309,740
2002 / 06 (June)                      693,651          264,618            213,100            553,466
2002 / 07 (July)                      435,536          154,204            137,790            323,587
2002 / 08 (August)                    454,727          137,277            128,122            267,747
2002 / 09 (September)                 535,000          172,748            167,162            280,510
2002 / 10 (October)                   535,289          239,085            168,276            314,183
2002 / 11 (November)                1,318,000          468,000            468,000          1,283,000
2002 / 12 (December)                2,733,000        1,033,000            619,000          2,215,000
2003 / 01 (January)                   448,000          164,000             81,000            266,000
2003 / 02 (February)                  488,934          198,531            165,417            291,112
2003 / 03 (March)                     410,704          164,780            165,417            838,402
2003 / 04 (April)                     264,273          126,590            101,000            431,981
2003 / 05 (May)                       288,127          123,614             84,408            402,662
2003 / 06 (June)                      440,834          166,879            124,080            660,366
2003 / 07 (July)                      309,231          137,242            126,767            485,381
2003 / 08 (August)                    291,000          146,000            100,000            369,000
2003 / 09 (September)                 334,000          172,000            165,000            410,000
2003 / 10 (October)                   300,000          176,000            254,000            401,000
2003 / 11 (November)                  849,000          490,000            754,000          1,323,000
2003 / 12 (December)                1,970,000        1,122,000          1,163,000          2,316,000
2004 / 01 (January)                   338,000          192,000            131,000            299,000
2004 / 02 (February)                  363,000          204,000            137,000            353,000
2004 / 03 (March)                     294,437          198,445            163,028            496,614
2004 / 04 (April)                     188,669          297,351             96,050            292,570
2004 / 05 (May)                       253,454          216,997             77,827            270,000
2004 / 06 (June)                      427,000          262,000            109,000            521,000
2004 / 07 (July)                      305,000          202,000             93,000            395,000
2004 / 08 (Aug)                       211,690          216,911            108,953            312,568
2004 / 09 (Sep)			      253,295	       265,067	          114,789	     527,133

October 2004 Hardware Sales

PS2: 289,000
Xbox: 217,000
GCN: 110,000
GBA: 464,000
 
Prine said:
PS2 => Xbox >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> GC
Click to expand...

Really Prine, i would have never guessed this coming from you. I think you're trying to contend for COCKLES spot as master Xbot.

GBA: 1.2 mil
PS2: 650,000
Xbox: 600,000
GC: 275,000
DS: 500,000
 
ms didnt get their ass kicked last year. by the end of the christmas rush, nintendo had only led by either 10k or 100k. i'm leaning toward the smaller number.
 
I usually don't comment in sales threads, but what's with people reporting 500k-600k for DS in NPD? Walmart sales aren't included I thought. So it would be under that, no?
 
DarthWufei said:
I usually don't comment in sales threads, but what's with people reporting 500k-600k for DS in NPD? Walmart sales aren't included I thought. So it would be under that, no?
Click to expand...

It's a nice, round number. Probably be more like 450,000, but still.

Besides, I think WM sales are estimated in.
 
I honestly don't think there are enough PS2s out there to sell over 600K...

I mean, we got two or three shipments in during November, and I don't think any of them contained more than six units, one I know specifically had just four.
 
DarthWufei said:
I usually don't comment in sales threads, but what's with people reporting 500k-600k for DS in NPD? Walmart sales aren't included I thought. So it would be under that, no?
Click to expand...
Yes and no. Walmart is not part of NPD, however NPD uses some statistical analysis/forecasting to account for Walmart sales.
 
Nintendo says that the MK GCN bundle has sold more than 250,000 units since it was launched 2 weeks ago. Assuming this is correct, how many total GCN consoles do you guys see being sold for the entire month of November?
 
Speevy said:
Why is that so hard to believe? It's already happened a few times this year, and Halo 2 came out in November.
Click to expand...

Yeah, and GTA came out for the PS2 at the end of October, MSG3 came out in November, plus R&C3, Jak III, etc, etc, etc.

The first time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was priced $30 more.
The second time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was in short supply.

IF it happens again it will only be because there weren't enough PS2s in stock (which I don't think will happen because there are plenty on store shelves everywhere I go unlike earlier in the year). It won't be because of Halo 2.
 
JC10001 said:
Yeah, and GTA came out for the PS2 at the end of October, MSG3 came out in November, plus R&C3, Jak III, etc, etc, etc.

The first time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was priced $30 more.
The second time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was in short supply.

IF it happens again it will only be because there weren't enough PS2s in stock (which I don't think will happen because there are plenty on store shelves everywhere I go unlike earlier in the year). It won't be because of Halo 2.
Click to expand...

I haven't seen a PS2 in weeks and I've really, really looked. However, Xbox seems to be in pretty short supply up until last week as well, so it's really hard to realistically guess at how many of either were sold.
 
sonycowboy said:
I haven't seen a PS2 in weeks and I've really, really looked. However, Xbox seems to be in pretty short supply up until last week as well, so it's really hard to realistically guess at how many of either were sold.
Click to expand...

Yeah, I don't know where you live JC, but there are NO PS2s around here, and the ferver their absence is creating reminds me of when the console launched back in 2000. People are getting crazy trying to find them in stores.
 
GBA - 1,200,000
PS2 - 650,000
XBX - 600,000
GCN - 500,000
NDS - 500,000

Soul4ger said:
Yeah, I don't know where you live JC, but there are NO PS2s around here, and the ferver their absence is creating reminds me of when the console launched back in 2000. People are getting crazy trying to find them in stores.
Click to expand...

I live in MD. My local Best Buy had a huge stack of them yesterday.... like one huge block comprised of 50+ systems. They might have just received a shipment. The Target down the street had some in stock as well.
 
The figures Nintendo gave were for the one week of sales. With DS launching on the 21st, they may have got more shipments in time for the 30th. If so, I predict:
GBA - 1.42M
DS - 560,000
ps2 - 740,000
xbox - 680,000
GC - 430,000
 
Nintendo will sell the most hardware.
 
Speevy said:
Why is that so hard to believe? It's already happened a few times this year, and Halo 2 came out in November.
Click to expand...

B0001VGFK2.01.LZZZZZZZ.jpg
 
JC10001 said:
Yeah, and GTA came out for the PS2 at the end of October, MSG3 came out in November, plus R&C3, Jak III, etc, etc, etc.

The first time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was priced $30 more.
The second time the Xbox outsold the PS2, the PS2 was in short supply.

IF it happens again it will only be because there weren't enough PS2s in stock (which I don't think will happen because there are plenty on store shelves everywhere I go unlike earlier in the year). It won't be because of Halo 2.
Click to expand...

It's gonna be interesting. There are lots of wildcards out there: How did the shortages play in? What game helped move more hardware, Halo 2 or GTA:SA? Will Nintendo fans/kids/parents buy the DS at the expense of the Cube?

I think XBox and PS2 are gonna be very close, with the Cube at about 50%. I could care less about handheld, either Nintendo will sell a shitload or a shitton, one or the other.
 
deadlifter said:
Really Prine, i would have never guessed this coming from you. I think you're trying to contend for COCKLES spot as master Xbot.

GBA: 1.2 mil
PS2: 650,000
Xbox: 600,000
GC: 275,000
DS: 500,000
Click to expand...


It is an honor.

Just look at this thread, pretty much agreeing with my prediction
 
fuck me, i'm revising my predictions.

GBA: 1.2 million
PS2: 1.1 million
Xbox: 850,000
GC: 350,000
DS: 500,000
 
GBA 900k
DS 750k
PS2 700k
XBX 680k
GCN 250k

The PS2 shortage didn't help XBX because MS didn't plan on the resulting excess demand.
 
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