nhlducks35
Member
Where's Vita?
Where's Vita?
So based off current trends it's looking like this for next gen?
1 720
2 PS4
3 Wii U
Farcry 3 includes PC numbers, which I imagine is significant. 2006 numbers do not.heres 2006 top december top 10
Madden NFL 07, EA1.9 million
Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess, Nintendo--1.5 million
Call of Duty 3, Activision1.1 million
Cars, THQ874K
Need for Speed Carbon, EA871.6K
Gears of War, Microsoft815.7K
Guitar Hero II, Activision805.2K
Lego Star Wars II: The Original Trilogy, LucasArts792.3K
WWE Smackdown vs. Raw 2007, THQ731.6K
Tony Hawks Project 8, Activision713.9K
From creamsuger we know that number 6 on this years december npd (Far Cry 3) is greater than 1 million so I am going to assume it probably is, at the very least the top of the charts are.
So you seriously think the "manufactured shortages" that the Wii had helped Nintendo more than hurting it?
Nintendo hasn't shown their guns for E3
That's a big assumption based off nothing
Well, FIFA did 353K in one day in its U.S. launch, so let's take the possible range.
Low End: 353 + 300 + 243 + 337 = 1.23 million
High End: 1500 + 460 + 500 + 1000 = 3.46 million
ME3's first month was 1.3 million including PC.
Nintendo stock price during shortage: $76 a share
Nintendo stock price now: $12 a share.
You tell me.
Every system launch going forward is going to be a terrible failure if we are going to line it up against the Wii. The Wii was something so unique it wont be duplicated.
I'm basing it off of MS unbelievable popularity in the U.S. And the Wii U's lack of one. Which leaves PS4 comfortably in the middle.
I really don't see anything changing next gen.
So based off current trends it's looking like this for next gen?
1 720
2 PS4
3 Wii U
The 360 has almost caught up to the Wii in sales, and should pass it by the time the 720 hits shelves.
How many gens have had the same outcome? NES and barely SNES (or did Genesis sell more in US?), PS & PS2? That's probably it unless I'm missing something glaringly obvious.I'm basing it off of MS unbelievable popularity in the U.S. And the Wii U's lack of one. Which leaves PS4 comfortably in the middle.
I really don't see anything changing next gen.
The Wii was wayyy more popular at its peak.The 360 has almost caught up to the Wii in sales, and should pass it by the time the 720 hits shelves.
Nice stats!2005 v. 2012
2005
PS2: 1.5M
GCN - 606K
XBX - 415K
6th Gen systems subtotal: 2.52M
X360 - 281K (supply constraints)
Home consoles: 2.80M
GBA/GBM - 1.2M
PSP - 1.12M
NDS - 1.07M
Handhelds: 3.39M
2012
X360 - 1400K
PS3 - 625K
WII - 475K
7th Gen systems subtotal: 2.5M
WIU - 460K
Home consoles: 2.96M
3DS - 1250K
NDS - 470K
PSV - 225K
Handhelds: 1.97M
2005 v. 2012
2005
GBA/GBM - 1.2M
PSP - 1.12M
NDS - 1.07M
Handhelds: 3.39M
2012
3DS - 1250K
NDS - 470K
PSV - 225K
Handhelds: 1.97M
You said what I wanted to say so much more eloquentlyWhat Happens in Gen 8 is totally up in the air. So many variables can impact what happens going forward
I see what you did there.December 2005 v. 2012
2005
PS2: 1.5M
GCN - 606K
XBX - 415K
6th Gen systems subtotal: 2.52M
X360 - 281K (supply constraints)
Home consoles: 2.80M
GBA/GBM - 1.2M
PSP - 1.12M
NDS - 1.07M
Handhelds: 3.39M
2012
X360 - 1400K
PS3 - 625K
WII - 475K
7th Gen systems subtotal: 2.5M
WIU - 460K
Home consoles: 2.96M
3DS - 1250K
NDS - 470K
PSV - 225K
PSP - ? (essentially negligible)
Handhelds: 1.97M
I guess the low end is 1.45m since NSMB2 didn't make the top 10.
Looking at the games above FIFA doesn't give me any help in lowering that high end figure. Since we have nothing on Lego Batman or MW3. Although Boarderlands finished above FIFA for the year and only charted above it in September. So I doubt it was near that 1.5m high for Sept.
Farcry 3 includes PC numbers, which I imagine is significant. 2006 numbers do not.
Adding 1 and a quarter million more, to the 3DS NA install base, is not too shabby.
I'm basing it off of MS unbelievable popularity in the U.S. And the Wii U's lack of one. Which leaves PS4 comfortably in the middle.
I really don't see anything changing next gen.
Except it dropped YOY overall byAdding 1 and a quarter million more, to the 3DS NA install base, is not too shabby.
Done? You didn't see the posted 3DS numbers?Good post. Handhelds are done in the US.
So like someone earlier said, if Nintendo had shipped only 600k for the holidays (Nov + Dec) then they'd be doing okay because those sales would have been supply constrained?
How many gens have had the same outcome? NES and barely SNES (or did Genesis sell more in US?), PS & PS2? That's probably it unless I'm missing something glaringly obvious.
And how many gens have had to compete with the emergence of tablets?
All that tells me is that investor confidence in Nintendo was higher than it is now (of which, there are a lot of extenuating factors that could be affecting the stock price). It says nothing about whether or not having limited stock of their product generated more sales of said product in the end.Nintendo stock price during shortage: $76 a share
Nintendo stock price now: $12 a share.
You tell me.
The Wii was wayyy more popular at its peak.
That's just volume.Good post. Handhelds are done in the US.
Done? You didn't see the posted 3DS numbers?
So based off current trends it's looking like this for next gen?
1 720
2 PS4
3 Wii U
I had a long response typed out dissecting your post sentence by sentence explaining why I think what you had to say was ridiculous.
But then I decided that it's really not worth it. All that matters, is that 3DS is now being sold at a profit, and Wii U is being sold at a profit with software attach rates. I predict that they will make a return to profitability this fiscal year and continue on their path...despite the consistent and gleeful doom mongering.
Seemingly fleeting, transient and unsustainable growth. Because the market that made the Wii and DS a phenomenon presumably found something else to spend their money on instead (iDevices, Android, tablets, Facebook games).While they will get to pat themselves on the back for catching up in sales its not having near the impact on the industry that the Wii was. 360 in the lead is happening during years after year of decline while the Wiis dominance was year after year of growth for the industry.
I saw them. They're smaller than the numbers from last year. You think that's a sign of health?
That's just volume.
3DS is doing great, Vita is bombing and the other two are (or should be) dead.
Basically, it's 1 vs 3.
The 3DS is in kind of weird position. Calling it dead is hilarious by any stretch of the imagination. At the same time, Nintendo knows its struggling and the worldwide release of pokemon confirms nintendo is in high gear for the 3DS.
Considering Nintendo only released Paper Mario I'd say it shows far more signs of health than being 'done'.I saw them. They're smaller than the numbers from last year. You think that's a sign of health?
So based off current trends it's looking like this for next gen?
1 720
2 PS4
3 Wii U
That's just volume.
3DS is doing great, Vita is bombing and the other two are (or should be) dead.
Basically, it's 1 vs 3.
PS2 was far more dominant, and we all know what happened with the PS3...I'm basing it off of MS unbelievable popularity in the U.S. And the Wii U's lack of one. Which leaves PS4 comfortably in the middle.
I really don't see anything changing next gen.
All that tells me is that investor confidence in Nintendo was higher than it is now (of which, there are a lot of extenuating factors that could be affecting the stock price). It says nothing about whether or not having limited stock of their product generated more sales of said product in the end.
I saw them. They're smaller than the numbers from last year. You think that's a sign of health?