Nintendo should ditch Wii U, focus on 3DS for hardware, and release their mainline IPs on the HD twins, but not on mobile.
Sony should ditch the Vita and double down on PS4.
Therefore, the market would look like:
PC
PS4 / 720
3DS / iPhone / Android
46,000 in five weeks? That's more less than 10k a week itself. God fucking damn.
Nintendo panic mode engaged!
No, read it again.
...What is this article trying to communicate with the 46k number? Especially considering it's just an estimate based upon taking 80% of the 57k number.
They also mention a 4.1 tie ratio for Wii U. I thought our last number was 1.9. How?
If this January was 4 weeks like in 2007, then it would be 46k. Isn't that it?...What is this article trying to communicate with the 46k number? Especially considering it's just an estimate based upon taking 80% of the 57k number.
They also mention a 4.1 tie ratio for Wii U. I thought our last number was 1.9. How?
They also mention a 4.1 tie ratio for Wii U. I thought our last number was 1.9. How?
Japan is a much smaller market than the US, yet both Vita and WiiU sold way better in Japan than in the US, greater than 2>1. We know the Vita is dead and I don't think Sony gives a damn, but the WiiU is not far behind. That's really worrisome for the health of the platform in the west.
This seems like an unfair dig at me and accusation of bias that I don't think is relevant to the discussion at hand. I'd ask you to stop and, if you choose to proceed, will ask for mod attention to it.
Thanks.
The question now is who wins next gen? Sony seems to be aiming for the hardcore and MS seems to be playing off of LIVE along with a more balanced approach. We as a collective may not like it but with Nintendo losing the casuals and Sony NOT having the same appeal toward casuals with LIVE and Kinect, MS may just take next gen surprisingly.
After so many years of Wii domination it is fucking shocking to see these numbers. I didn't think they would regress back to Gamecube era of irrelevancy with their console division. It really seems like Nintendo is nothing now that the casual user base, who pretty much made the Wii the success that it was, has been ripped from under their feet and funneled into the mobile market.
Yeah, I don't understand this. Do they talk about this specific month or about LTD? I can perfectly believe 4.1 tie ratio for January, not at all for November + December + January.
Yeah, I don't understand this. Do they talk about this specific month or about LTD? I can perfectly believe 4.1 tie ratio for January, not at all for November + December + January.
It seems clear that Microsoft has the most momentum going into next gen. Well, in NA at least.
Wii U is 2 years too late, The industry is NOT in trouble and 300k 360s in January proves this. People want to play, they just don't want Wii U. Everyone has a tablet or smartphone. Why would anyone want a low end one tied to a underpowered console with no games? Nintendo screwed up and unless they drop to $200-$249 by e3 its over. They will be CRUSHED by MS and Sony this fall.
The question now is who wins next gen? Sony seems to be aiming for the hardcore and MS seems to be playing off of LIVE along with a more balanced approach. We as a collective may not like it but with Nintendo losing the casuals and Sony NOT having the same appeal toward casuals with LIVE and Kinect, MS may just take next gen surprisingly.
I agree with your overall point about Japanese sales being healthier, but remember that those January numbers are skewed by the first week of January being one of the largest Japanese sales weeks of the year.
If MS target the casual crowd, they'll eventually come unstuck just like Nintendo.
Casual gamers are whores, they'll just go with anyone for the latest thrills and gimmicks, but they get bored easily and quickly and will abandon you in the end.
Nintendo is discovering this with the WiiU.
Console wars GAF is embarrassing as fuck.
That 4.1 tie ratio can't mean what we typically mean. Even including bundling.
Column up later today.
Next month will be even worse for the Wii U.
If it's still sub-60k in March, then that's the ball game. Either the price has to be cut aggressively along with a bunch of rushed software or the system will quickly become permanently irrelevant.
You misunderstood. I think, if they don't get those numbers for the March NPD (which we'll get in April), then they need to price cut and rush software.
This does bring up a good point that a relaunch is possible.
But it also not only assumes they will play their cards right, but that they also have cards to play right now.
Is it less risky to sit back and do nothing? Is the cost of inaction not possibly even greater than that, long-term? That's what I mean by hard choices. It could be worse if they make a huge gamble and it fails, but it could also be the worst to sit back and do nothing.On the other hand, if that gambit fails they lose a billion dollars this year and continue to bleed money to the point where they would probably be forced to discontinue it to prevent that kind of loss again. They need to be aggressive, but I don't know if putting your entire system on the line would be worth it.Unfortunately/Fortunately, they can. At this point with 3DS, they were forced into making hard decisions. About the only way I can see for them to meaningfully turn things around is to make another hard (possibly even harder) decision with Wii U. Changing the name after launch would be a hard choice. Swallowing huge, huge losses to sell hardware would be a hard choice. Don't see an easy choice helping much, at this point. Sink or swim.Nintendo can't afford to deplete their money like that. 100 billion yen operating loss would be devastating. Nintendo can't just keep piling up losses for years as much as we talking about them being able to survive decades of losses they could not survive that kind of loss for very long.Yes, it would almost be a relaunch, but it'd be hard to relaunch worse than the launch, and it just might clear up a long-term problem in name confusion. 100 billion yen operating profit seems like a very bad goal for next year. Better to take a 100 billion yen operating loss and drop the price by $100 to coincide with a popular game launch, like Wii Fit U could be.this would constitute an actual relaunch. the wii u name is awful, but i doubt they'll do it. it would mean screwing up production lines everywhere. it would be worse than shutting down production like they did for the gamecube in 2002.Nintendo made a really hard decision with the 3DS to drop the cost by 1/3 just 5 months after launch. I think it's worth considering another hard choice and change the name of the console to Wii 2 just three months after launch.
If Nintendo does nothing, it'll still sell a paltry amount for at least a few months. When games start coming out, it'll increase some, but still be pretty bad. Assuming a $50 price cut in August, it'll increase a bit and have something like a DS second Christmas, and probably be on track to undersell GameCube in the U.S. in the first 4 years. It won't die. Nintendo doesn't need big sales to justify keeping a console around. It just won't amount to much in the long run. It may or may not eventually have a library worth looking fondly upon in hindsight.
Nintendo won't be out of the console business even if they do nothing drastic with Wii U. They'll just be shoved back to GameCube-era relevance.
Nah. Those casuals are sucking up "entertainment". Look at 360 and it's LIVE numbers. People moved from the Wii to 360. U offers almost nothing in comparison. As long as 720 offers a nice jump and a great price and takes the entertainment thing up a notch they'll do fine. Ps4 will have to be a generational leap above plus match LIVE of this gen to even matter.
What can Nintendo do?
Changing the box and "re launching" the system with a new marketing campaign is the only short term action they can do right now.
Clock is ticking and I don't think waiting for other consoles to enter the mix before doing it is the right course of action.
I know it seems crazy, but I think the $50 PS+ program is kind of that for PSV. You get a bunch of games free right out of the gate, for less than the cost of two PSV games. Also free PS3 games, if you have one.Nintendo needs to do Ambassador Redux. By summer, slash the price ($50 doesn't cut it) and give free shit to the early adopters.
This should have been done with the Vita last fall. Too late.
GAF isn't often right (especially when it comes to Nintendo) but we called it on the name confusion. You would have thought the 3DS name confusion would have made them reconsider the Wii U branding but they still went ahead with it.
The best course of action for them now without completely embarrassing themselves is to just drop the Wii brand entirely and rebrand the system as the Nintendo U. It's short and easy to communicate and won't force them to do an absolute rebrand of the entire game line.
Who at NCL thought it was a great idea to extend the branding of a dead console? Certainly not the millions of consumers who bough the Wii in 2009-10 and then had an unsupported platform by the next year.
(And, yes, to play those games you then have to buy a bigger memory card, more than likely. So awful.)
Nah. Those casuals are sucking up "entertainment". Look at 360 and it's LIVE numbers. People moved from the Wii to 360. U offers almost nothing in comparison. As long as 720 offers a nice jump and a great price and takes the entertainment thing up a notch they'll do fine. Ps4 will have to be a generational leap above plus match LIVE of this gen to even matter.
i think people are using name confusion to excuse away an unappealing product
I hope that you mean unappealing in that it has no game library because if I see one more poster equating console power with console success I'm going to scream and then everyone in my office is going to look at me funny.i think people are using name confusion to excuse away an unappealing product
i think people are using name confusion to excuse away an unappealing product
This is pretty week analysis. This is exactly what people were saying about how all PS2 owners were guaranteed to jump to PS3. Some did but many either didn't buy a console or went to another console. It doesn't work that way, only the core audience is very likely to "jump" with a company to the next gen. Casuals have been proven to be easily attracted by any side. There will be plenty of those who will stay on 360 as long as COD and Madden come out on it.
I hope that you mean unappealing in that it has no game library because if I see one more poster equating console power with console success I'm going to scream and then everyone in my office is going to look at me funny.
WiiU
Vita
Both consoles have 4 letters.
In Japanese, 4 means death.
COINCIDENCE?!?!
;P
I don't think the name is good, but I can't imagine it's anywhere near as big a problem as the price and lack of software.
software was only at $15 million? if this keeps up what are the chances of strong 3rd party support? lol prob none