How long was the 360 supply constrained?
How do we know that range?
If XB1 does outsell the OGX then the industry is fucked.
Because of the shape of the curves, as stated. They were tremendously front loaded, with sharp declines in sales already, particularly on the Xbox One. Yes, so far, the Xbox One has sold more than the 360, but the way the sales have been shaped -- with strong sales in the first couple of months with a significant drop off afterwards -- is less promising for the future.
Pg 17. Still waiting on pretty much everything.
I want WiiU Numbers. Maybe 30k-40k?
Because of the shape of the curves, as stated. They were tremendously front loaded, with sharp declines in sales already, particularly on the Xbox One. Yes, so far, the Xbox One has sold more than the 360, but the way the sales have been shaped -- with strong sales in the first couple of months with a significant drop off afterwards -- is less promising for the future.
Do you personally think that poignant software releases could change the shape of that curve, or do you think this is a trend that is likely to stick? Be interesting to gauge your thoughts on this, and why you think there's been more of a drop off this time around.
Does Cream even post anymore? Where is Aqua?!
I am honestly pretty new to all this NPD stuff, so I want to know what I am missing. Any response would be appreciated.
Based on the 360 numbers listed for past Aprils, wouldn't that mean that a ~215k month for the PS4 is pretty good? It seems to be above par for April sales of the 360. Also, I assume the PS4 has a higher ratio of WW to US sales. I don't see how the doom and gloom is warranted based on that.
It's good to be patient.
Seeing it at this E3 might be premature. But with the Wii U essentially dead and all the major 3DS franchise titles already out the door, they need to get hardware finalized and launch titles ready sooner rather than later.
Do you personally think that poignant software releases could change the shape of that curve, or do you think this is a trend that is likely to stick? Be interesting to gauge your thoughts on this, and why you think there's been more of a drop off this time around.
What does that have to do with anything? PS4 was not supply constrained in April (if it was, I would like a source and I'd gladly recant my statement). In fact, because it was supply constrained in previous months, sales should be higher in April because people would have waited for it to land on store shelves, no?
Does Cream even post anymore? Where is Aqua?!
The Xbox platform (115K + 71k) sold more than the Playstation plataform. And we also know that the PS4 sold more than the Xbox One.
She's in a meeting with Iwata
On a serious note, she had an engagement thus limiting her posts today for the NPD thread
I just don't think it will outsell it by that much. i can't see Xbox One selling much more than 40 mil. If that :/
Maybe I was wrong about the state of the industry back in January's thread. I'm still hopeful PS4 can do 120m mil+ though.
Because I'm trying to compare US market leaders at similar price. Wii was its own thing at $250. I don't see how that is relevant. Price is a huge factor for consoles.Why would you compare Xbox 360 in April 2007 and PS4 in April 2014? That's Xbox 360's second April and PS4's first April.
I mentioned April 2007 to compare Wii, for which it was its first April. Wii was the market leader last gen.
Retailers will knock $50 off the Premium systems (bringing it to $350), $30 off the Elite (down to $450), and $20 off the Core (bringing it to $280). Expect it to take effect this Wednesday, the 8th
Iwata-san says hi, everyone.
Does Cream even post anymore? Where is Aqua?!
It will probably be below the Wii's trend line soon and it will be below the Wii's trend line the rest of this gen most likely.
Midrange got squeezed out of the market because of the pricing limitations in place last gen; it was too early to ask customers to pay more than $15 for a digital game, but the economics of retail made anything but $60 games worthless in physical media, and most midrange games simply couldn't sell copies at that price.
So basically, Nintendo should be sticking their logo on the back of last-gen iPhones?
You mean this E3? With Iwata's latest comments, I think we'll see it next year's E3 for sure.
I think the PS4 will do better than the PS1, but it won't do 120 million. I'd say 100-105 million. The X1 will do 35-40 million. And the Wii U will do 15-20 million. That's just what I think.
For PS4 maybe, considering it's been getting the brunt of the marketing push.
PS4 is doing well overall, not great this month. The 6 month curve is troubling and not particularly great for the leading console of a generation where both other competitors are weak.
The Wii dropped off hard and fast, whereas Playstations tend to have very good sustained sales over a long span. The PS3 did over 80 million, so it wouldn't take much for the PS4, given its trajectory, to outsell the Wii LTD.
"Easily" is a strong adverb.
It's good to be patient.
And I quote "bad".
There's always senseless assholes in these threads pointing out how badly everything is doing and how awful sales of everything are. Maybe theyre. PC fanboys, or iOS fanboys upset that apple hasn't crushed all game companies by now.
360:
April 2006 - 295K
April 2007 - 174K
April 2008 - 188K
April 2009 - 175K
April 2010 - 185K
April 2011 - 297K
April 2012 - 236K
April 2013 - 130K
Xbox One:
April 2014 - 115K
Xbox 360 has never managed such a low number for April.
Can the Wii U even 10 mil? ;_;
The Xbox platform (115K + 71k) sold more than the Playstation plataform. And we also know that the PS4 sold more than the Xbox One.
This is the best idea I've heard all year!
Yeah, I'm not sure why no one was allowed to sell $20-$40 retail console titles until well into the second half of the generation. May have hurt a lot of games that could probably have succeeded for their publisher but were instead DOA at full price.
The Xbox platform (115K + 71k) sold more than the Playstation plataform. And we also know that the PS4 sold more than the Xbox One.
Yes, I definitely agree this is possible. It's possible the data on this generation is unique, and it's one of the primary reasons I'm referring to 6 months of data as useful but not conclusive. We'll have to wait and see. I'd say by 14-15 months, we'll have a strong idea how the generation will play out. People often make too much noise about a single data point (i.e. a single month), but can also be too conservative when extrapolating from 15 months of data, just as people can't believe that a sampling of a few thousand people can accurately predict the behavior of 300 million.
The software was much stronger for that first year of Xbox 360. If there's any fault for this its with the console manufacturers. 360s first year was unstoppable. Just excellent games coming out every month or two.
I wonder why we haven't seen that this gen? Publishers too scared to drop last gen ports, scared away by the mobile phone bogeyman?
Don't see even that. 3ds is barely 3 years old isn't it.
Where does it say that?
I don't think that's right. Source?