ShadowSwordmaster
Banned
Not this shit again.
[The NYMag article is] a scary visionwhich is okay, because climate change is scary. It is also an unusually specific and severe depiction of what global warming will do to the planet. And though Wallace-Wells makes it clear that hes not predicting the future, only trying to spin out the consequences of the best available science today, its fair to ask: Is it realistic? Will this heat-wracked doomsday come to pass?
Many climate scientists and professional science communicators say no. Wallace-Wellss article, they say, often flies beyond the realm of what researchers think is likely. I have to agree with them.
....
Consider the world that climate scientists say is more realistic: a place where sea levels cause mass migration within and without the developed world; where the economy is never great but isnt in shambles either; where voters fear for their livelihoods and superpowers poke at each others weaknesses.
Does that world sound like a safe and secure place to live? Does it sound like a workable status quo? And how many small wars need to start in that world before they all fuse together? Who needs planet-killing methane burps when nine different countries have 15,000 nuclear weapons between them? In short, there are plenty of doomsday scenarios to worry about. They dont need to be catastrophic on their face to induce catastrophe.
This article is basically the climate change equivalent of that "what happens when the Pacific Northwest is hit by a super quake" article in the New Yorker.
Hyperbole, but worth thinking about, and certainly worth continuing to plan. I do think the article is right to point out that rising sea levels are really just the tip of the iceberg (climate change puns!) in terms of challenges climate change will bring, but it's usually the one that dominates discourse.
I'm not sure how its hyperbole? Its a look at the worst case scenarios, its doing what the scientists as the other article says, are almost to afraid to speak of.
One of many reasons I'm glad I most likely won't be here 20 years from now.
Coming soon to a region near you.Enormous article detailing the potential effects of climate change from NYMag. I took some of the meatier parts, but there is much more at the link. I urge everyone to read the whole thing. At the very least, click on the link and scroll through the whole thing to give the site money through advertising.
I. Doomsday
II. Heat Death
III. The End of Food
IV. Climate Plagues
V. Unbreathable Air
VI. The Perpetual War
VII. Permanent Economic Collapse
VIII. Poisoned Oceans
IX. The Great Filter
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UPDATE 2017-07-19
The New York Magazine published an annotated edition of the article detailing the science, which you can read here.
David Roberts wrote an article on Vox defending the piece. He explains how the article is mostly right, and we shouldn't dismiss it as "doomsday nonsense". Excerpts:
Coming soon to a region near you.
The third world will not survive the coming future. -- Gabriel_Logan
Maybe this is wishful thinking, but I believe by the end of this century humanity will be pulling tens of billions of tons of carbon out of the atmosphere every year. It will become apparent that that is the only way out of this crisis.
No pronouns, please.Pretty sure Ownage just owned him/herself.
All we need to do is plant more trees. that's the best "machinery" we have at this point in time for carbon storage. When tech gets better, than we can move to machinery for it. So far, though. any man-made machine is still not as efficient as just planting trees.We seriously need to invest in more machinery that pulls and stores carbon out of the ocean. We need a short term fix - just focusing on a long term fix that is likely NOT going to happen anytime soon (curbing emissions) is a very poor avenue. We need short term results right NOW.
I also read recently about seeding oceans with trace amounts of iron to stimulate growth of CO2-eating phytoplankton. Sounds similar to nitrogen in dirt for plant growth. Why not? Get f'in to it.All we need to do is plant more trees. that's the best "machinery" we have at this point in time for carbon storage. When tech gets better, than we can move to machinery for it. So far, though. any man-made machine is still not as efficient as just planting trees.
The most likely situation will be that we kill ourselves off, before killing earth.
Earth spent millions of years becoming habitable for us. We aren't going to kill it in 300 years of poison spreading.
As someone who had a few colleagues doing PhD and working in academia you cannot imagine how much pointless research is being done and research papers are being published since being quoted is like a street cred for a scientist.The thing is, what do they want regular people do with this information?
Academia is now just a big activism industry, including science. As for me on the subject, I'm a survivalist at heart. I can live here for a year without electricity. I have enough food prepared for that length and water filters to purify some.As someone who had a few colleagues doing PhD and working in academia you cannot imagine how much pointless research is being done and research papers are being published since being quoted is like a street cred for a scientist.
If the article like this exists it’s for the above.
These are worst case scenarios based on complete inaction and everything working out the worst way possible. We will see changes, I don't know when or what they will be but we will see action against climate change (especially as it starts to effect the bottom line).
They will adjust so they continue to have the means, hell a lot of them will make billions solving the problems they created.Unfortunately there is no way to avoid this until shit hits the fan. Greed reigns supreme. So iif your children and their children have the resources to get to the right geography, well you're good.
I don't think so. The ones who have means will adjust to the new lifestyle required, rather than being able to make adjustments to the benefit of everyone.
Insects and other hardy animals will survive if humans die out and evolve into new life forms over the next couple billion years.
They will adjust so they continue to have the means, hell a lot of them will make billions solving the problems they created.
China pollutes more than the entire rest of the world. The Middle East is also a huge polluter.It's a really good article and I really wish more and more people in power would realize how dire things are.
One thing that the article forgets to mention is the fact that this misery and annihilation are unevenly distributed. Places like China, South Asia, Africa, and the Middle East will be hit hard by this, while the ones most responsible for mass extinction (the US, Australia, Europe) will be hit less and have the most resources to lessen the damage.
Don't be so fragile. If you and yours are lucky, me and mine will build an array of shields/bubbles to help shade the earth and reduce the solar intake of our planet's atmosphere. There are a lot of possible solutions to help us avoid catastrophe. Instead of arriving at doom and gloom, think of it as opportunity!
People are free to make their own choices, whether you agree or not.I've never seen so many soft fragile people. I see all your posts about not wanting to have kids and being glad you'll be gone before the shit hits the fan. I'm planning on and planning for the shit to hit the fan. I'm making plans to ride it out, to be sufficient through the hard times, and I'm raising offspring to be part of a generation who will persevere, adapt, and build tomorrow. That is to say, the more of you who whose bloodlines end, the more space for me and mine!
Don't be so fragile. If you and yours are lucky, me and mine will build an array of shields/bubbles to help shade the earth and reduce the solar intake of our planet's atmosphere. There are a lot of possible solutions to help us avoid catastrophe. Instead of arriving at doom and gloom, think of it as opportunity!
Or does it?...
We Euro's have to build a huge wall with artillery on it because everyone is gonna wanna come here.