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NYMag: Trump Budget Based on $2 Trillion Math Error

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Also, too. Even conceptually, the idea of TDE is run under a misleading premise: the idea that if our benevolent job creators simply had more money, then OBVIOUSLY they will use that extra money from tax cuts to give to their employees or hire new employees. Because that's how businesses work, right?

Imagine you have a guy who owns a small little grocery store or whatever. He only has need for one employee, and that's basically to handle the register. If he literally had to pay ZERO dollars in taxes, would you expect him to hire more people? Why the hell would he when we just mentioned that he only has need for one employee?

Also, employee salaries aren't effected by employer taxes anyway, so....
 
So two trillion in lost revenue do to tax cuts will be covered by exactly two trillion in growth over 10 (!) years? I must be a cynic because I think they'll have to cut two trillion worth of things people need to not die.

It's worse than that.

The underlying assumption is not just $2 trillion in growth to cover the loss in revenue from tax cuts...

it's an additional $2 trillion in growth on top of that to completely balance the budget.

So Trump is assuming $4 trillion in economic growth.

And on top of that Trump is omitting additional trillions in proposed tax cuts from his budget.
 
Makes sense.

Screen_Shot_2017_05_22_at_12.19.56_PM.0.png
 

finley83

Banned
Wait, I think we're approaching this wrong. Maths is wrong and needs to be reevaluated on a fundamental level. This explains why Trump's hands are always seen as small when in fact they are enormous.
 

i-Lo

Member
Trump's english vocabulary and his team's math skills are reflective of the country's education system.
 
My wife works for the Center for Disease Control. She talked with me this morning about their all hands meeting wherein their higher ups had to talk about the 17% (!!) cut to the CDC proposed by Trump. Some things Trump wants to get rid of include heart disease prevention, epilepsy research, breastfeeding support, and cancer research to name a small fraction.

If this monstrous bill passed, she'd be out of a job. I fucking hate Trump with the fury of a thousand suns.
 

Curufinwe

Member
Lawrence Summers has some thoughts.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...t-is-simply-ludicrous/?utm_term=.8e2642b5c561

Details of President Trump’s first budget have now been released. Much can and will be said about the dire social consequences of what is in it and the ludicrously optimistic economic assumptions it embodies. My observation is that there appears to be a logical error of the kind that would justify failing a student in an introductory economics course.

Apparently, the budget forecasts that U.S. economic growth will rise to 3.0 percent because of the administration’s policies — largely its tax cuts and perhaps also its regulatory policies. Fair enough if you believe in tooth fairies and ludicrous supply-side economics.
 
Michael GrunWald said:
I have a plan to dunk a basketball. First, I'll grow a foot taller. Then, I'll recapture the athleticism of my youth, so I can jump a lot higher. I didn't say I had a serious plan—just a plan.
...
Numbers that huge tend to melt into abstraction. And the media will help downplay them by declaring the Trump budget dead on arrival in Congress, as if the fact that it won't be rubber-stamped into law means that nothing in it matters. But a presidential budget is a detailed blueprint for governing—and in this case, the blueprint has a fair amount in common with blueprints offered by the Republicans who still control Congress. It matters for policy and it matters for politics.
...
The senior OMB official told me those nonpartisan analysts are all jumping the gun, because the administration really does intend to propose tax increases large enough to offset the tax cuts it has already proposed. It just hasn't decided which loopholes and deductions it wants to close, so it didn't mention them in its budget. ”What the budget is saying is that tax reform will be paid for," the official said. ”There's a large conversation to be had about how we're going to do it."
...
”Give me a break," one congressional Republican appropriator told me. ”A lot of the discretionary spending is already squeezed. You can't get blood from a stone."



http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/05/23/trump-budget-scam-215183
 
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